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Wednesday, May 21, 2014

Gold World News Flash

Gold World News Flash


Gold Sloppy Until July; FOMC On Deck

Posted: 21 May 2014 12:30 AM PDT

from KitcoNews:

Charles Nenner : War, 2014 Dollar Collapse, Gold Could Go Parabolic and More

Posted: 20 May 2014 11:20 PM PDT

On the U.S. dollar, renowned financial analyst Charles Nenner predicts, "Timing is our business, and we've always said the dollar is going to collapse in end of 2014.There are different reasons for this. The government has loans outstanding that are very short term. If interest rates only go...

[[ This is a content summary only. Visit http://www.GoldSilverNewsBlog.com or http://www.newsbooze.com or http://www.figanews.com for full links, other content, and more! ]]

Gold Prices Will Rise on Robust Demand and Instensifying Currency War

Posted: 20 May 2014 10:00 PM PDT

by David Levenstein, Gold Silver Worlds:

Gold prices remain stuck in a narrow range between $1,290 and $1,305, the downside being limited by geopolitical concerns and the upside being capped by generally good U.S. data, which suggest the U.S Federal Reserve will carry on with the current pace of stimulus tapering.

Meanwhile reports show that the Chinese are buying less gold this year and demand during the Golden Week holidays that began on 1 May dropped some 30% from a year ago.

After an exceptional year for gold sales in 2013, the situation is back to something like 2012, according to Haywood Cheung, president of the Chinese Gold & Silver Exchange Society.

While China surpassed India as the biggest bullion consumer last year, the buying frenzy, triggered by a price slump last April has not been repeated this year.

Read More @ GoldSilverWorlds.com

Gold Strengthens & Financial Stocks Deteriorate

Posted: 20 May 2014 09:00 PM PDT

Graceland Update

German TV network broadcasts long program on gold market manipulation

Posted: 20 May 2014 08:40 PM PDT

by Chris Powell, GATA:

Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:

Gold researcher and GATA consultant Koos Jansen today calls attention to a long broadcast about gold market manipulation made this month on the German-language television network 3sat, which serves Germany, Austria, and Switzerland. The broadcast came on the 3sat program “Makro” and focused on recent complaints about the daily London gold fixings. It quoted market analyst and GATA consultant Dimitri Speck and Hong Kong fund manager William Kaye, who is frequently interviewed by King World News about gold market manipulation. The program does not seem to have gotten much into central bank involvement in the market manipulation, but questions are raised about Germany’s gold reserves vaulted abroad, so this may have been a good start.

Read More @ Gata.com

Interviews with Eric Sprott and USAGold's three market analysts

Posted: 20 May 2014 08:05 PM PDT

11:05p ET Tuesday, May 20, 2014

Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:

With gold and silver supplies tight and premiums for real metal strong in China, India's return to the gold market soon could be decisive, Sprott Asset Management CEO tells Sprott Money News in a 10-minute audio interview here:

http://www.sprottmoney.com/sprott-money-weekly-wrap-up

Over at Centennial Precious Metals in Denver, market analysts Peter Grant, Jonathan Kosares, and George Cooper discuss, among other things, the latest gold manifesto by the European central banks. Video of the discussion runs a half-hour long and can be viewed at Centennial's Internet site, USAGold.com, here:

http://www.usagold.com/video/20141905.html

CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.



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Join GATA here:

Committee for Monetary Research and Education
Spring Dinner Meeting
Union League Club, New York City
Thursday, May 22, 2014

http://www.cmre.org/news/spring-meeting-2014/

Porter Stansberry Natural Resources Conference
AT&T Performing Arts Center
Margot and Bill Winspear Opera House
2403 Flora St., Dallas, Texas
Saturday, May 31, 2014

http://stansberrydallas.com/

Canadian Investor Conference 2014
Vancouver Convention Centre West
1055 Canada Place, Vancouver, British Columbia
Sunday and Monday, June 1 and 2, 2014

http://cambridgehouse.com/event/25/canadian-investor-conference-2014-inc...

New Orleans Investment Conference
Hilton New Orleans Riverside Hotel
New Orleans, Louisiana
Wednesday-Saturday, October 22-25, 2014

https://jeffersoncompanies.com/new-orleans-investment-conference/home

* * *

Support GATA by purchasing DVDs of our London conference in August 2011 or our Dawson City conference in August 2006:

http://www.goldrush21.com/order.html

Or by purchasing a colorful GATA T-shirt:

http://gata.org/tshirts

Or a colorful poster of GATA's full-page ad in The Wall Street Journal on January 31, 2009:

http://gata.org/node/wallstreetjournal

Help keep GATA going

GATA is a civil rights and educational organization based in the United States and tax-exempt under the U.S. Internal Revenue Code. Its e-mail dispatches are free, and you can subscribe at:

http://www.gata.org

To contribute to GATA, please visit:

http://www.gata.org/node/16



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The Elephant in the Room Just Stepped on Another GOLD RIGGER

Posted: 20 May 2014 07:42 PM PDT

[Ed. Note: That sound you hear in the distance? It's the dominoes falling. Recall this: Barclays, Deutsche Bank Accused of Gold Fix Manipulation]

by Bix Weir, Road to Roota:

Another one bites the dust: Barclays Head of Spot Gold Trading Leaves Bank

With the mass exodus of gold and silver “traders” from the London Fix naturally people are of course wondering about the ramifications of ENDING the “Silver Fix” in August and most likely the Gold Fix soon after. Right? You are wondering about that Right? It keeps you up at night Right?

Well, if you aren’t you SHOULD BE. I guarantee you that Jeffrey Christian is up all night…every night worrying about what’s going to happen. You see, the Gold and Silver Fix are more than just numbers posted in the financial news outlets every day. They are “Benchmark Numbers” defined in every complicated gold and silver derivative contract written in the last 50 years! They are a main operating component of TRILLIONS of dollars worth of gold and silver derivatives. Many very, very complex derivatives created and promoted by the likes of Goldman Sachs starting in the 1980′s by Robert Rubin and none other than Jeffrey Christian. They keep the gold and silver prices in check and they are a REQUIRED PART of the current un-backed fiat monetary system.

If those contracts die because they were poorly constructed legally…then the whole system dies
.

And they were all contingent upon the “London Fix”. That is/was the ONLY physical gold and silver proxy price around the world and that is what is defined in almost every gold and silver derivative contract written…including integrated into the massively complex and complicated monetary swap agreements. (And no they can’t use the COMEX prices because those are point in time futures and options contracts…NOT a physical proxy.)

The death of the London Fix is leaving a gaping hole in the legal structure of gold and silver derivatives. So far, there have been no alternatives put forth….and even if there were what Counter Party in their right mind that is on the losing side of the derivative agreement would want to legally change the terms of their contract?

The situation is totally FUBAR and the criminals involved in the gold and silver rigging know it. That’s why they are running for the hills!

May the Road you choose be the Right Road.

Bix Weir
Road To Roota.com

image: Photographer: Jason Alden/Bloomberg

China Is A Direct Threat To The Dollar So U.S. Charges China With Cyber-Espionage

Posted: 20 May 2014 07:40 PM PDT

from X22Report:

Peter Schiff: The Belgian connection

Posted: 20 May 2014 06:24 PM PDT

9:30p Tuesday, May 20, 2014

Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:

Fund manager Peter Schiff today casts suspicions on Belgium's supposed purchase of $215 billion of U.S. Treasuries since last August, a figure about half the size of the little country's gross national product and $20,000 for each Belgian. Schiff concludes that all this is likely the mechanism by which the European Central Bank is returning the Federal Reserve's favor in 2011 of surreptitiously rescuing European banks, with "Belgium" now buying the U.S. bonds whose purchase the Fed purports to be discontinuing.

Whatever is happening here, it is more evidence that Western central banking is essentially the cosmic deception and destruction of markets and of democracy itself, something that by comparison makes the old Nazi Reichsbank look like a model of transparency and accountability.

Schiff's commentary is headlined "The Belgian Connection" and it's posted at his radio program's Internet site, Schiff Radio --

http://www.schiffradio.com/b/The-Belgian-Connection/-383600028093290326....

-- and at 24hGold here:

http://www.24hgold.com/english/news-gold-silver-the-belgian-connection.a...

CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.



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Join GATA here:

Committee for Monetary Research and Education
Spring Dinner Meeting
Union League Club, New York City
Thursday, May 22, 2014

http://www.cmre.org/news/spring-meeting-2014/

Porter Stansberry Natural Resources Conference
AT&T Performing Arts Center
Margot and Bill Winspear Opera House
2403 Flora St., Dallas, Texas
Saturday, May 31, 2014

http://stansberrydallas.com/

Canadian Investor Conference 2014
Vancouver Convention Centre West
1055 Canada Place, Vancouver, British Columbia
Sunday and Monday, June 1 and 2, 2014

http://cambridgehouse.com/event/25/canadian-investor-conference-2014-inc...

New Orleans Investment Conference
Hilton New Orleans Riverside Hotel
New Orleans, Louisiana
Wednesday-Saturday, October 22-25, 2014

https://jeffersoncompanies.com/new-orleans-investment-conference/home

* * *

Support GATA by purchasing DVDs of our London conference in August 2011 or our Dawson City conference in August 2006:

http://www.goldrush21.com/order.html

Or by purchasing a colorful GATA T-shirt:

http://gata.org/tshirts

Or a colorful poster of GATA's full-page ad in The Wall Street Journal on January 31, 2009:

http://gata.org/node/wallstreetjournal

Help keep GATA going

GATA is a civil rights and educational organization based in the United States and tax-exempt under the U.S. Internal Revenue Code. Its e-mail dispatches are free, and you can subscribe at:

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To contribute to GATA, please visit:

http://www.gata.org/node/16



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German TV Exposes "Gold Price Manipulation Fit For A Financial Thriller"

Posted: 20 May 2014 05:46 PM PDT

While we have done our best to expose the utterly disgusting manipulation that occurs day-in-and-day-out in the precious metals markets over the last few years (how the "fix" is manipulated, who is responsible, and the blowback from European investigations), but mainstream US media remains actively ignorant of exposing these realities (even as another 'gold-"fixer"' gets the ax today). But not the Germans. As the following brief documentary exposes "an examination of gold prices reveals machinations fit for a financial thriller." With the Germans still wanting their gold back, we suspect this German TV documentary explaining the "lack of oversight.. and serious manipulations of the gold price," will stir up more than a little public concern about ever getting it back.

 

Is wine next target of price suppression by central banks?

Posted: 20 May 2014 05:02 PM PDT

And could vineyards be any more oblivious than gold mining companies?

* * *

The Best Investment of the 20th Century? Red Wine

From News Services
The Telegraph, London
Tuesday, May 20, 2014

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/personalfinance/investing/10844896/Th...

Forget government bonds, fine art and even stamps: Red wine outperformed them all over the 20th century.

At least that is what research by a team of academics from the University of Cambridge, HEC Paris and Vanderbilt University, Nashville, Tennessee, shows.

The Warren Buffetts of the fine wine world could have earned annualised real returns of 4.1 percent from 1900 to 2012, beating government bonds, fine art, and stamps, though British equities would have given annualized returns of 5.2 percent.

... Dispatch continues below ...



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"You would have done nowhere like as well as equities but the returns are surprisingly high compared with the returns on cash or bonds," Elroy Dimson, visiting professor at the Cambridge Judge Business School, said.

"Life is a little unfair and wealthy people who buy these assets -- in this case wine -- if they keep half to drink and sell half, maybe the half they sell could pay for the half they drink," he said.

The research crunched the data from 36,271 transactions for five red Bordeaux wines -- Haut-Brion, Lafite-Rothschild, Latour, Margaux, and Mouton-Rothschild -- from the sales rooms of Christie's auctioneers and wine merchant Berry Bros & Rudd.

Annualized real returns over the same period on British government bonds were 1.5 percent, 2.4 percent on art, and 2.8 percent on stamps, according to data quoted in the research.

So did the academics get to try the Premiers Crus Bordeaux, which can fetch L8,000 ($13,500) a bottle, as part of their research?

"No. Come on. They are L8,000 a bottle. ... They are for Chinese millionaires not for humble academics," said Mr Dimson.

Mr Dimson used the example of port, which underperformed fine red wine over the century, to caution that drinking fashions can change dramatically over time.

But he did have one bit of advice for tippler-investors planning for the next century. "Fine whisky may be the coming thing," he said.

* * *

Join GATA here:

Committee for Monetary Research and Education
Spring Dinner Meeting
Union League Club, New York City
Thursday, May 22, 2014

http://www.cmre.org/news/spring-meeting-2014/

Porter Stansberry Natural Resources Conference
AT&T Performing Arts Center
Margot and Bill Winspear Opera House
2403 Flora St., Dallas, Texas
Saturday, May 31, 2014

http://stansberrydallas.com/

Canadian Investor Conference 2014
Vancouver Convention Centre West
1055 Canada Place, Vancouver, British Columbia
Sunday and Monday, June 1 and 2, 2014

http://cambridgehouse.com/event/25/canadian-investor-conference-2014-inc...

New Orleans Investment Conference
Hilton New Orleans Riverside Hotel
New Orleans, Louisiana
Wednesday-Saturday, October 22-25, 2014

https://jeffersoncompanies.com/new-orleans-investment-conference/home

* * *

Support GATA by purchasing DVDs of our London conference in August 2011 or our Dawson City conference in August 2006:

http://www.goldrush21.com/order.html

Or by purchasing a colorful GATA T-shirt:

http://gata.org/tshirts

Or a colorful poster of GATA's full-page ad in The Wall Street Journal on January 31, 2009:

http://gata.org/node/wallstreetjournal

Help keep GATA going

GATA is a civil rights and educational organization based in the United States and tax-exempt under the U.S. Internal Revenue Code. Its e-mail dispatches are free, and you can subscribe at:

http://www.gata.org

To contribute to GATA, please visit:

http://www.gata.org/node/16

North Korea: A Peek Behind the Iron Curtain

Posted: 20 May 2014 04:46 PM PDT

By: Mark Wallace at http://capitalistexploits.at/

North Korea is a country you won't find in a Lonely Planet Guide. The Western media is universally negative on the place, and mostly for good reason. It's run by a dictator who thinks he's a god amongst men, arguably insane, definitely cruel and vindictive. Cross him and you could end up being torn apart by starving dogs, blown apart by an RPG, or torched with a flame thrower.

We've been following the country, albeit from a safe distance, for the last few years. Our colleague Kevin Virgil of Pathfinder Capital is fascinated by the place.

Kevin has graced these pages many times over the past several years, with posts like: Libya – The Real Story and Why Libya. He's also co-authored an excellent white paper on investing in Frontier Markets, "Introducing the I-3?, which you can download here.

Kevin attended West Point and was an Army officer for several years. He served with the 82nd Airborne Division and the Ranger Regiment. He's also served with the US State Department, which afforded him the opportunity to live and work in Russia, Western Europe and Central Africa.

More recently, he was an investment banker in New York and an emerging markets equities trader in London. Those experiences, coupled with a passion for travel to developing countries, have all played a part in his current activities – namely, to find and participate in some of the most exciting investment opportunities available today, now via his own firm, Pathfinder Capital.

We'll be hearing a lot more from Kevin and his partner Christopher Kyte going forward. They are now partnered with us on our EmergingFrontiers.com website, which we hope to build into the premier online destination for information on emerging and frontier markets.

Let us know what you think about Kevin's thoughts on North Korea…

-----

By: Kevin Virgil

 

Temperatures are rising on the Korean peninsula these days, and not just because of the spring thaw. Once again the saber rattling is growing louder – Western media reports that North Korea is threatening another nuclear test, the American president has just visited Seoul and stirred further tensions. Recent bouts of name-calling do little to ease tensions in the world's longest-running conflict.

 

For as long as I've been alive, everything I've read, seen or heard about North Korea has been intensely negative. We are told that the Kim regime is a kleptocracy, a rogue nuclear state, and dangerously unpredictable. We are led to believe that the regime has willingly starved its people while Kim Jong-Il ordered Michelin-starred sushi from his favorite Tokyo chef, delivered by private jet. We are told that millions of people have withstood subjugation, torture and misery for their entire lives.

 

Is all of this true? I have no reason to doubt that the general perception of daily life for the average North Korean is painfully accurate. There are too many stories of utter horror and despair to doubt the narrative. However, I have been to many of the world's conflict zones and found the ground truth to be completely different than what the conventional wisdom wants us to believe.

 

North Korean PropagandaThe other side of the coin – North Korean propaganda poster.

 

So, while I'm not going to comment on North Korean internal matters, I can confirm this: Perceptions of the country as an industrial backwater are very quietly – and quickly – becoming outdated. Change is coming to North Korea, and you're not going to hear anything about it on CNN (as this would most certainly require a reduction in your daily dose of Kardashian updates).

 

Full disclosure: I have never been to the DPRK. I have read nearly everything I can find on the topic (I recommend Victor Cha's The Impossible State for a terrific, if slightly biased, history from a member of George W. Bush's National Security Council). I have several business associates who are actively seeking their fortunes there right now. I have even seen North Korean laborers working in mining and construction projects in Ulaanbaatar (a surreal sight, to be sure). But I have not yet walked that ground, or explored its side streets, and this limits my ability to offer insightful first-hand comments. I am mildly annoyed with myself for not yet making the trip to North Korea, for how else can one possibly begin to understand what has been billed as the world's strangest place?

 

I never served in Korea in my military days, but a former roommate did. He was an infantry platoon leader assigned to the Joint Security Area, the tiny little strip of dynamite-laden wasteland that separates North from South. Every terrain feature was plotted for artillery strikes; every road and bridge was wired with significant amounts of high explosive. Imagine living on top of a powder keg for a year and you will begin to understand what a tour in the JSA is like.

 

DMZ

The Demilitarized Zone separating North and South Korea – what Bill Clinton called "the most dangerous place on Earth".

 

My friend would routinely lead night-time combat patrols in the DMZ. These were jointly staffed with American and ROK (South Korean) troops (this has since been entrusted to the South Koreans, and Americans rarely participate these days). Occasionally they would exchange small-arms fire with a random North Korean patrol that happened to be in the same area. Invariably the South Koreans fired the first shots – they were always looking for a fight. My friend would return to base, work his way through a pack of cigarettes, and eventually would call home to ask his family whether they had seen anything on the local news about escalating tensions in Korea. It was never mentioned, and still never is. Frankly, I am astounded that there hasn't been a high-intensity war there since 1953.

 

Recent developments indicate that North Korea is very quietly beginning to expand its commercial interests. Some of this is due to internal change, but much larger geopolitical forces are at work. In my opinion, the relationship between Russia and the DPRK – driven largely by Russia's strong motivation to create new export markets in Asia – is about to become very interesting.

 

In order to get some perspective, let's take a look at what's happening in the DPRK's neighborhood.

 

Northeast Asia has been a restive and generally uneasy region since the 1930s. The litany of problems has been unending – Japanese empire and ravages of the Second World War were followed in rapid succession by the Korean civil war, the Cultural Revolution, Sino-Soviet Split, Great Leap Forward, breakup of the Soviet Union, rogue nuclear tests, Senkaku Islands… I could go on, but you get the picture. This is a region where today's lone superpower arguably has less influence than any other place on earth. One of America's most bitter enemies (DPRK) borders two of the world's three most powerful countries (Russia, China) who aren't exactly on friendly terms these days with the USA in their own right. Just to the east lies the world's third-largest economy (Japan), a ticking demographic time bomb that nonetheless inspires profound reactions from its Chinese and Korean neighbors whenever politicians find it advantageous to stir up centuries worth of ethnic hatred.

 

After the 1953 armistice, the Korean peninsula evolved into an uneasy equilibrium between North and South. People of a certain age will remember that until the 1980s, the smart money was actually riding on North Korea to achieve final victory. In the 1970s the South was an agrarian banana republic with very little industry and a series of corrupt regimes that flirted with communism and proved to be a frustrating ally for the United States. On the other hand, North Korea was a darling of its Soviet masters. Kim il-Sung, the grandfather of the current head of state, fought alongside the Soviets against their Japanese oppressors. By the early 1980s the US government had developed containment scenarios in the increasingly likely event that North Korea absorbed the South.

 

This all came to a screeching halt in the 1980s when, because of rapprochement and monetary aid from a revitalized South Korea, the Soviet Union suddenly halted all aid to the Kim regime. As a net importer of agricultural products and energy, the DPRK almost immediately descended from relative prosperity to famine. The rest, as they say, is history.

 

Today's North Korea is often portrayed as a caricature of a pariah state. Conventional mass media carries the same narrative – the country's recently deceased leader was a paranoid egomaniac, the country's only revenue comes from illicit shipments of opium and spent reactor fuel rods, and its people are starving and desperate to be set free. The country remains a backwater with no commercial economy, and no interest in creating one.

 

All of this fits well with the narrative… but what if the true story were different? In fact, what if much of what we believe to be true, really wasn't?

 

What if the North Korean regime has been watching China's economic miracle for the past 20 years, and quietly begun taking steps to emulate that success (on its own terms)?

 

What if the Russian government, in response to economic and political tension in Europe, has been pivoting toward Asia even faster than the United States, and sees North Korea as a potential ally worthy of billions of rubles (because dollars are so 2008) of debt forgiveness, aid and investment?

 

What if the Chinese are investing billions of renminbi (because the dollar may soon disappear from regional trade in Northeast Asia) into infrastructure and mining projects in North Korea?

 

What if North Korea were one of the most resource-rich areas in Asia, with significant proven reserves of iron ore, coal, gold, graphite and assorted rare earths? And what if steps were very quietly being taken to begin exporting those resources?

 

What if one of the most geopolitically important ports in Northeast Asia – of nearly incalculable value to landlocked Mongolia, or overdeveloped Northeast China, or frozen Russia – were actually in North Korea?

 

And potentially most importantly, what if a deal were about to be struck that might unite China, Russia, and the two Koreas in a way that would change the face of global trade overnight?

 

As stated previously, I haven't been to North Korea yet but I think it's nearly time for a trip. I have been paying attention to what's been happening behind the scenes for some time now. Maybe you should too.

 

Stay tuned for my next update, when I will answer all of the questions above and throw in a potential investment idea or two.

 

Sincerely yours,

 

Kevin

-----

On Thursday we'll get a perspective on South Korea from our colleague Miha, who has spent the last couple months in the country. He'll contrast what he's seeing on the ground in South Korea, to what Kevin and others have observed on the North. It should be an interesting post, with some great photos.

- Mark

 

"It's starting to get serious – China has warned North Korea about starting a war. China told them flat out, 'Do not fire any missiles at the United States at least until after we get our money. They owe us $16 trillion. Wait until then.'" - Jay Leno

Silver and Gold Prices Up Slightly with the Gold Price Closing at $1,294.60

Posted: 20 May 2014 04:45 PM PDT

20-May-14PriceChange% Change
Gold Price, $/oz1,294.600.800.06%
Silver Price, $/oz19.370.00450.02%
Gold/Silver Ratio66.8410.0260.04%
Silver/Gold Ratio0.0150-0.0000-0.04%
Platinum Price1,468.10-1.30-0.09%
Palladium Price825.7010.301.26%
S&P 5001,872.83-12.25-0.65%
Dow16,374.31-137.55-0.83%
Dow in GOLD $s261.48-2.36-0.89%
Dow in GOLD oz12.65-0.11-0.89%
Dow in SILVER oz845.47-7.30-0.86%
US Dollar Index80.07-0.04-0.05%

Friends, this don't happen in nature. The GOLD PRICE last three daily moves have been -20 cents, plus 40 cents, and plus 80 cents. This is not a market but a mausoleum. Gained 80 cents today for a Comex close at $1,294.50. The SILVER PRICE rose -- ready for this? -- 4.5 cents to 1936.7c.

I'm haunted by what the BoE's Bean said. I remember only too well August through November 2008. It was horrifying. The paper and physical prices of silver and GOLD PRICES completely disjointed. Physical silver cost 40% or more above the paper quote, and you couldn't get it except with a six to eight week delay. US 90% silver coins rose to a 50% premium Physical gold didn't acquire that large a premium, but was still 5 - 8% higher than paper gold. And delays? You were lucky to find a wholesaler who would sell it to you even with an 8 week delay.

Markets don't ever play dead long. Silver and gold prices are both in technical uptrends (higher highs, lower lows), but I could make an argument either way from this flatness: either it means silver and gold will drop off, or shoot up. On the weakness side, both the silver and gold price are below their 20 DMA's ($1,295 and 1945c). Gold has built that long narrow even-sided triangle, and that suggests a snake coiling for a long move, you just don't know which way he will strike.

You're right, I am coming down squarely on both sides of the fence. I am not ambiguous about this, though: breakout will come soon, up or down.

Odd, portentous event today. Retiring Bank of England Deputy Governor said that the present low volatility in financial markets is "eerily reminiscent" of the run-up to the 2008 financial crisis. Now I wonder why he did that? Was this just a Greenspan maneuver, dusting his skirts clean before he leaves and the world blows apart? Or is it a well-meant warning?

Volatility returned to US Stocks today. Dow sank 137.55 (0.83%) to 16,374.31, while the S&P500 also gurgled lower 12.25 (0.65%) to 1,872.83.

Ooooh. That takes the Dow below its 50 DMA (16,403) where cheerleaders were hoping the Dow would stage a rally. Let's see, below 50 DMA and 20 DMA and 200 DMA rests below at 15,891. S&P 500 did not punch through its 50 DMA (1,868) tut touched it and closed not much higher. Russell 2000 and Nasdaq Composite offer no comfort at all. Russell 2000 is below its 50, 20, AND 200 DMA, and about to break down out of a plain topping formation. Nasdaq Comp has nearly completed a head and shoulders top, and is also below its 50 and 20 DMA. Nasdaq 100 alone remains above its 50 and 20 DMA, but it's finishing the right shoulder of a HandS top, too.

It begins to look more and more like 13 May marked the top in stocks.

Dow in Silver and Dow in Gold agree with that conclusion. Dow in Gold today broke clean out of its rising flat topped triangle. Ended down 0.96% (without gold moving!) at 12.65 oz (G$261.50 gold dollars). It's already below its 20 DMA, and the 50 lurks nearby at 12.55 oz (G$259.43).

I don't think it can be denied any longer that the Dow in Silver has turned down, too. It has walked through two uptrend lines, and today closed again below its 20 DMA (849.60 or S$1,098.47). On flat silver it lost 1.11% today to 844.04 oz (S$1,091.28 silver dollars). Should move much lower.

I'd be bald as a Boston billiard ball if I were the Nice Government Man tasked with managing the US dollar -- but then again, I reckon they're doing just what they mean to do. Catatonic, it rose 3 basis points to 80.10. Euro fell 0.7% to $1.3701, Yen rose 0.16% to 98.91. None of them have a lick of gumption. Dollar roared off a bottom two weeks ago, hit 80.40, and forgot what it was doing. Euro has broken down into a fall that may last six or nine months. Yen has broken out upside like a chick hatching, one chip at a time, no follow through. Gigantic moves, followed by catatonia.

- Franklin Sanders, The Moneychanger
The-MoneyChanger.com

© 2014, The Moneychanger. May not be republished in any form, including electronically, without our express permission. To avoid confusion, please remember that the comments above have a very short time horizon. Always invest with the primary trend. Gold's primary trend is up, targeting at least $3,130.00; silver's primary is up targeting 16:1 gold/silver ratio or $195.66; stocks' primary trend is down, targeting Dow under 2,900 and worth only one ounce of gold or 18 ounces of silver. or 18 ounces of silver. US $ and US$-denominated assets, primary trend down; real estate bubble has burst, primary trend down.

WARNING AND DISCLAIMER. Be advised and warned:

Do NOT use these commentaries to trade futures contracts. I don't intend them for that or write them with that short term trading outlook. I write them for long-term investors in physical metals. Take them as entertainment, but not as a timing service for futures.

NOR do I recommend investing in gold or silver Exchange Trade Funds (ETFs). Those are NOT physical metal and I fear one day one or another may go up in smoke. Unless you can breathe smoke, stay away. Call me paranoid, but the surviving rabbit is wary of traps.

NOR do I recommend trading futures options or other leveraged paper gold and silver products. These are not for the inexperienced.

NOR do I recommend buying gold and silver on margin or with debt.

What DO I recommend? Physical gold and silver coins and bars in your own hands.

One final warning: NEVER insert a 747 Jumbo Jet up your nose.

Silver and Gold Prices Up Slightly with the Gold Price Closing at $1,294.60

Posted: 20 May 2014 04:41 PM PDT

20-May-14PriceChange% Change
Gold Price, $/oz1,294.600.800.06%
Silver Price, $/oz19.370.00450.02%
Gold/Silver Ratio66.8410.0260.04%
Silver/Gold Ratio0.0150-0.0000-0.04%
Platinum Price1,468.10-1.30-0.09%
Palladium Price825.7010.301.26%
S&P 5001,872.83-12.25-0.65%
Dow16,374.31-137.55-0.83%
Dow in GOLD $s261.48-2.36-0.89%
Dow in GOLD oz12.65-0.11-0.89%
Dow in SILVER oz845.47-7.30-0.86%
US Dollar Index80.07-0.04-0.05%

Friends, this don't happen in nature. The GOLD PRICE last three daily moves have been -20 cents, plus 40 cents, and plus 80 cents. This is not a market but a mausoleum. Gained 80 cents today for a Comex close at $1,294.50. The SILVER PRICE rose -- ready for this? -- 4.5 cents to 1936.7c.

I'm haunted by what the BoE's Bean said. I remember only too well August through November 2008. It was horrifying. The paper and physical prices of silver and GOLD PRICES completely disjointed. Physical silver cost 40% or more above the paper quote, and you couldn't get it except with a six to eight week delay. US 90% silver coins rose to a 50% premium Physical gold didn't acquire that large a premium, but was still 5 - 8% higher than paper gold. And delays? You were lucky to find a wholesaler who would sell it to you even with an 8 week delay.

Markets don't ever play dead long. Silver and gold prices are both in technical uptrends (higher highs, lower lows), but I could make an argument either way from this flatness: either it means silver and gold will drop off, or shoot up. On the weakness side, both the silver and gold price are below their 20 DMA's ($1,295 and 1945c). Gold has built that long narrow even-sided triangle, and that suggests a snake coiling for a long move, you just don't know which way he will strike.

You're right, I am coming down squarely on both sides of the fence. I am not ambiguous about this, though: breakout will come soon, up or down.

Odd, portentous event today. Retiring Bank of England Deputy Governor said that the present low volatility in financial markets is "eerily reminiscent" of the run-up to the 2008 financial crisis. Now I wonder why he did that? Was this just a Greenspan maneuver, dusting his skirts clean before he leaves and the world blows apart? Or is it a well-meant warning?

Volatility returned to US Stocks today. Dow sank 137.55 (0.83%) to 16,374.31, while the S&P500 also gurgled lower 12.25 (0.65%) to 1,872.83.

Ooooh. That takes the Dow below its 50 DMA (16,403) where cheerleaders were hoping the Dow would stage a rally. Let's see, below 50 DMA and 20 DMA and 200 DMA rests below at 15,891. S&P 500 did not punch through its 50 DMA (1,868) tut touched it and closed not much higher. Russell 2000 and Nasdaq Composite offer no comfort at all. Russell 2000 is below its 50, 20, AND 200 DMA, and about to break down out of a plain topping formation. Nasdaq Comp has nearly completed a head and shoulders top, and is also below its 50 and 20 DMA. Nasdaq 100 alone remains above its 50 and 20 DMA, but it's finishing the right shoulder of a HandS top, too.

It begins to look more and more like 13 May marked the top in stocks.

Dow in Silver and Dow in Gold agree with that conclusion. Dow in Gold today broke clean out of its rising flat topped triangle. Ended down 0.96% (without gold moving!) at 12.65 oz (G$261.50 gold dollars). It's already below its 20 DMA, and the 50 lurks nearby at 12.55 oz (G$259.43).

I don't think it can be denied any longer that the Dow in Silver has turned down, too. It has walked through two uptrend lines, and today closed again below its 20 DMA (849.60 or S$1,098.47). On flat silver it lost 1.11% today to 844.04 oz (S$1,091.28 silver dollars). Should move much lower.

I'd be bald as a Boston billiard ball if I were the Nice Government Man tasked with managing the US dollar -- but then again, I reckon they're doing just what they mean to do. Catatonic, it rose 3 basis points to 80.10. Euro fell 0.7% to $1.3701, Yen rose 0.16% to 98.91. None of them have a lick of gumption. Dollar roared off a bottom two weeks ago, hit 80.40, and forgot what it was doing. Euro has broken down into a fall that may last six or nine months. Yen has broken out upside like a chick hatching, one chip at a time, no follow through. Gigantic moves, followed by catatonia.

- Franklin Sanders, The Moneychanger
The-MoneyChanger.com

© 2014, The Moneychanger. May not be republished in any form, including electronically, without our express permission. To avoid confusion, please remember that the comments above have a very short time horizon. Always invest with the primary trend. Gold's primary trend is up, targeting at least $3,130.00; silver's primary is up targeting 16:1 gold/silver ratio or $195.66; stocks' primary trend is down, targeting Dow under 2,900 and worth only one ounce of gold or 18 ounces of silver. or 18 ounces of silver. US $ and US$-denominated assets, primary trend down; real estate bubble has burst, primary trend down.

WARNING AND DISCLAIMER. Be advised and warned:

Do NOT use these commentaries to trade futures contracts. I don't intend them for that or write them with that short term trading outlook. I write them for long-term investors in physical metals. Take them as entertainment, but not as a timing service for futures.

NOR do I recommend investing in gold or silver Exchange Trade Funds (ETFs). Those are NOT physical metal and I fear one day one or another may go up in smoke. Unless you can breathe smoke, stay away. Call me paranoid, but the surviving rabbit is wary of traps.

NOR do I recommend trading futures options or other leveraged paper gold and silver products. These are not for the inexperienced.

NOR do I recommend buying gold and silver on margin or with debt.

What DO I recommend? Physical gold and silver coins and bars in your own hands.

One final warning: NEVER insert a 747 Jumbo Jet up your nose.

China Is A Direct Threat To The Dollar So U.S. Charges China With Cyber-Espionage

Posted: 20 May 2014 03:28 PM PDT

Bernanke says economy is strong that's why stock market is up. Bernanke also told us in 2008 that the FED is not forecasting a recession. The Obama administration is using the backdoor approach to push the gun control agenda by choking off lines of credit for gun stores and manufactures....

[[ This is a content summary only. Visit http://www.GoldSilverNewsBlog.com or http://www.newsbooze.com or http://www.figanews.com for full links, other content, and more! ]]

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Life Is a Cabaret

Posted: 20 May 2014 01:20 PM PDT

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Life Is a Cabaret

Posted: 20 May 2014 01:20 PM PDT

Central banks have markets in lockdown, Embry tells KWN

Posted: 20 May 2014 12:04 PM PDT

3p ET Tuesday, March 20, 2014

Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:

Markets are becoming even more tightly controlled by central banks, Sprott Asset Management's John Embry tells King World News today.

"We have the markets in total lockdown," Embry says. "The markets have become so manipulated that it's laughable. The situation has become so bad that we have Deutsche Bank coming out and saying that perhaps the Fed and the central banks are controlling markets too much through their guidance. What a laugh that is. It's a whole lot more than guidance."

Embry's interview is excerpted at the KWN blog here:

http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2014/5/20_Sh...

CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.



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Gold Price In The Post-Nixon Era

Posted: 20 May 2014 11:37 AM PDT

Gold bull market: during the late 1960s and 70s

Gold bear market: during the 80s and 90s

Gold bull market: since 2001

Now we need to know:

  • Did gold reach a generational peak in 2011 and subsequently turn down?

or

  • Did gold reach an intermediate top in 2011, correct for 2.5 years, and then begin a rally likely to persist through the end of the decade?

My answer: Gold peaked in 2011, bottomed in June and December of 2013, and should rally for at least several years, and probably until the end of the decade.

Why?

Examine the following graph of weekly gold prices since 1977 and the 144 week simple moving average shown in red. The uptrend since 2001 is clear and pronounced. The correction since 2011 is unmistakable.

gold price 1977 2014 price

gold price from 1977 till 2014

 

The spreadsheet (not shown) indicates:

  • The peak in January of 1980 was 9.37 standard deviations above the 144 week moving average. The numbers are similar for the 100 week and 40 week moving averages. Clearly gold was in a blow-off bubble in late 1979 and January of 1980.
  • The peak in August of 2011 was only 2.15 standard deviations above the 144 week moving average. It was an intermediate peak, but NOT a bull market ending bubble peak that is likely to manifest within the next decade.
  • My conclusion is that gold prices were pushed too high in late 2010 and 2011 and have corrected since then. Currently gold is 15% BELOW (about 0.6 standard deviations) its 144 week moving average. Gold prices are very likely to be much higher next year and even higher by the next US presidential election in late 2016.

Gold did NOT blow-off into a bubble high in 2011, all the drivers for higher gold prices are still valid, international demand is strong, supply will be reduced when the western central banks run out of gold or terminate "leasing" into the market, and US, EU and Japanese government expenses, "money printing" and bond monetization are out of control and accelerating.

Gold prices will climb a wall of worry in the years ahead.

 

GE Christenson | The Deviant Investor

Why the SEC Wants to Prevent You from Making Huge Gains

Posted: 20 May 2014 11:18 AM PDT

Before the U.S.A. even came into existence, entrepreneurship defined its culture.

European settlers journeyed here to start fresh…

Pioneers pushed westward to stake their claims…

And nowadays, tech entrepreneurs flock to Silicon Valley to pursue world-changing ideas.

Entrepreneurship is the original American Dream, and it’s created one of the most prosperous nations on the globe.

Recently, however, a study revealed that the American Dream might be dying – and with it, our entire economy.

Although some farsighted people have made it their mission to tackle this problem head-on, their efforts may be in vain. Let me explain…

For the past 25 years, consumer spending – the money you spend on goods and services – has accounted for over 70% of our GDP growth.

What drives consumer spending?

Primarily it’s your income.

Where does income come from?

Well, unless you have a multi-million dollar portfolio, it comes from your job.

And who are the largest employers in the country?

Small businesses.

…under the SEC’s proposed rules, a company raising $100,000 in equity crowdfunding would actually LOSE $38,000.

According to the Small Business Administration, small businesses accounted for 55% of all jobs, and 66% of all new jobs.

To put it simply, as small businesses grow, so does the economy.

So as you can see, entrepreneurship isn’t just part of our culture…

It’s one of the primary drivers of our economy.

But a recent study from the Brookings Institution has shown that, since 1978, the US has become “less entrepreneurial.”

According to the study, after three decades of steady decline, we reached an “inflection point” in 2008. For the first time, the percentage of new businesses shutting their doors was greater than the percentage of new businesses being created.

Fewer new companies means fewer jobs. Fewer jobs leads to less consumer spending. And less spending equals a contracting economy.

This effect isn’t showing up just in the data. Americans are feeling the effects of this phenomenon in their day-to-day life.

A Gallup Poll taken in 2011 showed that, for the first time in 30 years, the majority of Americans believe their children will have a lower quality of life than they themselves have had.

Unless this trend can be reversed, we’ll be leaving our children a country that’s on a downward spiral.

This realization is one of the factors that led Congress to pass the Jumpstart Our Business Startups Act – or the JOBS Act, for short.

The SEC still has the final say (and, unfortunately, they’re dragging their feet), but simply put, the goal of the JOBS Act is to create more jobs.

By allowing companies to publicly advertise that they’re raising capital – and in the future, by allowing companies to raise money from all US citizens, not just wealthy “accredited” investors – Congress believes we’ll see a dramatic increase in new business creation.

New businesses would lead to more jobs – and to greater economic growth and prosperity.

Here’s how the “math” behind the JOBS Act works:

If Americans use the JOBS Act to allocate just 1% of their investable assets into early-stage companies, a $300 billion marketplace will be born.

To put that in perspective, that’s 5x more capital than venture capitalists and angel investors put into start-ups each year.

This new capital could create 300,000 new businesses each year. And if each business employed just 10 people, 3 million new jobs would be created annually.

Now that’s growth for America.

But for all of the support the JOBS Act has received, it has its opponents as well.

Specifically, the SEC.

While the SEC seems to have investors’ best interests at heart, we question the solutions they’re proposing to protect them. Introducing unnecessary regulation, costs and inefficiencies to the process could ultimately cripple the JOBS Act – and it could put the very future of our economy in jeopardy.

For example, the SEC is proposing that companies raising equity crowdfunding will have to spend tens of thousands of dollars each year on accounting, audit and legal services. Those dollars would be better spent on hiring.

One report recently calculated that under the SEC’s proposed rules, a company raising $100,000 in equity crowdfunding would actually LOSE $38,000.

This has us concerned… actually, angry is the more appropriate term.

So what I’d like to do today is take a quick vote…

We’re contemplating putting together a formal petition against the SEC’s burdensome rules and submitting it to Congress.

If you’d be willing to sign the petition, please write in to Tomorrow in Reviewtomorrowinreview@agorafinancial.com

If we receive enough emails, we’ll start collecting signatures.

It may not make a difference in the end, but we can’t stand by and do nothing. Not when the stakes are this high.

Regards,

Wayne Mulligan
for The Daily Reckoning

Ed. Note: The future of the U.S. economy is on shaky ground. But no matter what happens, there will always be opportunities to profit — especially in the tech startup space. Sign up for Tomorrow in Review, for FREE, right here, to learn which companies are set to take off before the rest of the market hears about them.

Gold Prices Will Rise on Robust Demand and Instensifying Currency War

Posted: 20 May 2014 10:34 AM PDT

Gold prices remain stuck in a narrow range between $1,290 and $1,305, the downside being limited by geopolitical concerns and the upside being capped by generally good U.S. data, which suggest the U.S Federal Reserve will carry on with the current pace of stimulus tapering.

Meanwhile reports show that the Chinese are buying less gold this year and demand during the Golden Week holidays that began on 1 May dropped some 30% from a year ago.

After an exceptional year for gold sales in 2013, the situation is back to something like 2012, according to Haywood Cheung, president of the Chinese Gold & Silver Exchange Society.

While China surpassed India as the biggest bullion consumer last year, the buying frenzy, triggered by a price slump last April has not been repeated this year.

“Before, when they walk into a jewellery shop, they spend about HK$10,000 ($1,290), and now it’s about HK$5,000 to HK$6, 000,” Cheung told Bloomberg, quoting estimates by the society’s 171 members including HSBC Holdings and Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group, the largest listed jewellery chain.

“Last year was something special. We’re back to something like 2012. Wait till next year, we’ll start to pick up gradually and come back to 2013 levels,” Cheung added.

Chinese gold and silver jewellery sales dropped 30% to 20.8bn yuan ($3.3bn, €2.4bn, £1.9bn) in April from a year ago, according to government data.

Net gold imports into mainland China from Hong Kong hovered at 275.6 tonnes in the first three months of 2014 as against 210.5 tonnes in the corresponding period a year ago.

According to the Swiss Federal Customs Administration, more than 80% of Switzerland’s gold and silver bullion and coin exports found their way into Asia in January.

Some reports show that China imported nearly 1,160 tonnes of gold from Hong Kong in 2013 in the wake of the price slump. Gold consumption in China hovered at a record 1,176.4 tonnes last year.

The flow of bullion from the west to the east was emphasised by the World Gold Council in November 2013, citing higher activity at refiners in Switzerland that were recasting bullion into the higher-purity, smaller-sized bars preferred by Asian buyers.

While the drop in demand is quite substantial, and even though analysts attribute the decline to a weaker yuan, which has made gold less attractive to Chinese buyers of bullion, the fall in Hong Kong shipments coincides with another event. The Chinese government announced the opening of official gold imports through Beijing–the first time foreign bullion sales will be allowed directly through the capital.

Up until now, Hong Kong has been the preferred channel for China’s gold imports. But authorities are reportedly uneasy about Hong Kong’s extensive and transparent reporting on trade. By using Beijng as a port of entry, imports into China may become more opaque, once again.This will allow China’s banks to build a sizeable position in physical gold without global buyers realizing the accumulation is taking place.

The fall in Hong Kong gold trade may not be as significant as it seems if Chinese purchases are moving to more-secretive sales through Beijing. And, this may result in permanent decrease in the amount of trade conducted through other cities.

We could thus be witnessing the beginning of a new era in the global gold market. Of course, there’s no way to know for sure what’s happening with Chinese purchases. But the timing of the shifts in trade is certainly something that is worth considering.

In India, Narendra Modi, the controversial Hindu nationalist won a landslide victory in the country's general election. Few predicted his conservative, pro-business Bharatiya Janata party, in opposition since 2004, would win 282 of the 543 directly elected seats in India’s lower house and international investors and local businessmen have welcomed the huge mandate for the BJP, which has promised to implement wide-ranging economic reforms. Though economic growth was strong through much of the decade of rule by Congress, it has faltered in recent years.

Even though, India announced yet another hike in the import tariff value of gold on Friday, analysts believe that the new government may ease the restriction on gold imports. Last year duties on gold imports were increased several times. Currently, they stand at 10%. Other measures include an 80-20 rule that stipulates that a minimum of 20% of all gold imported must be exported before further imports can be made. The Reserve Bank of India that imposed the restrictions ignored the fact that gold has been part of the Indian culture for centuries. It's normal to buy and store gold and give it as a gift at weddings and certain times of year.

The government did not want money going into gold so the government curbed gold imports, causing internal pricing to go through the roof and also were the cause of a dramatic increase in the smuggling of the yellow metal.

As the conflict in Ukraine continues and while the West blames Russia as the cause, Russian President Vladimir Putin has informed multiple European states that Moscow will not supply gas to Europe through Ukraine as of June 1 if Kiev does not pay its bills.

On Thursday, Putin said Russian gas exporter Gazprom had been forced to demand Ukraine pay in advance for gas as of June after its debt for gas already delivered reached $3.5 billion.

Putin also urged European leaders to do more to help Ukraine through its economic crisis and to resolve the standoff over gas, repeating a threat to cut exports if Kiev fails to pay in advance for June deliveries.

As the US and EU threaten to halt Russia from what they perceive as destabilising Ukraine by imposing a string of sanctions against the country, Russia has been working on trade arrangements that minimize the participation (and influence) of the US dollar.

For decades, virtually all oil and natural gas around the world has been traded in U.S. dollars. However, the struggle over Ukraine has caused Russia to completely re-evaluate the financial relationship that it has with the United States. If it starts trading a lot of oil and natural gas for currencies other than the U.S. dollar, that will be a massive blow for the petrodollar, and it could end up dramatically changing the global economic landscape.

According to various sources, Russia's Ministry of Finance is ready to green-light a plan to radically increase the role of the Russian ruble in export operations while reducing the share of dollar-denominated transactions.

The "de-dollarization meeting" was chaired by First Deputy Prime Minister of the Russian Federation Igor Shuvalov, proving that Moscow is very serious in its intention to stop using the dollar. A subsequent meeting was chaired by Deputy Finance Minister Alexey Moiseev who later told the Rossia 24 channel that "the amount of ruble-denominated contracts will be increased", adding that none of the polled experts and bank representatives found any problems with the government's plan to increase the share of ruble payments.

Of course, the success of Moscow's campaign to switch its trading to rubles or other regional currencies will depend on the willingness of its trading partners to get rid of the dollar. Sources cited by Politonline.ru mentioned two countries that are already willing to support Russia: Iran and China.

Given that Vladimir Putin will visit Beijing on May 20, it can be speculated that the gas and oil contracts that are going to be signed between Russia and China will be denominated in rubles and yuan, not dollars.

While China and Russia both expand their respective currency's acceptance and accumulate more gold, the US dollar will ultimately lose its status as the world's reserve currency. And, while most western central banks as well as the Bank of Japan continue to devalue their respective currencies, the on-going currency war will intensify.

The prudent minority won't be beguiled into holding paper currencies, and instead they will diversify into hard assets, such as gold and silver.

gold price 20 May 2014 price

gold price

Gold prices continue to trade sideways, hovering around the $1300/oz. level and the 200 day MA. Prices remain stuck between $1280/oz. and $1320/oz.

In The News Today

Posted: 20 May 2014 10:28 AM PDT

Jim Sinclair’s Commentary $90 billion, but a small step towards the elimination of a dollar intermediary. Russia's VTB and Bank of China agree on domestic currency settlements Published time: May 20, 2014 08:58 VTB, Russia's second biggest lender, has signed a deal with Bank of China, which includes an agreement to pay each other in... Read more »

The post In The News Today appeared first on Jim Sinclair's Mineset.

Lies, Inflation, and the Minimum Wage

Posted: 20 May 2014 09:24 AM PDT

Regular readers are familiar with the Great Inflation Lie. Lying about inflation is a device of deceit which governments use to pad numerous economic statistics, since most of these statistics only have relevance/legitimacy if fully "deflated" by the (real) prevailing rate of inflation.

The example with which readers are most familiar is that understating inflation can be used to exaggerate GDP, on a point-for-point basis. Understate the rate of inflation by 5%, and you overstate GDP by an equal 5%. It is thus through this Lie (which is getting larger every year) that the U.S. government has been able to pretend that it's Greater Depression is actually an "economic recovery".

However, readers have also previously seen another manifestation of the Great Inflation Lie: to hide the collapse in Western wages, which (in real dollars) have fallen by more than 50% over the past 40 years. The chart below illustrates this Lie perfectly.

[chart courtesy of Nowandfutures.com]

The blue line (wages deflated with the "official" rate of inflation), shows the myth: wages which have supposedly stayed roughly flat in real dollars. The green line shows the truth: wages deflated with the real rate of inflation. As readers can see for themselves; the collapse in Western wages has dragged them all the way back (in real dollars) to Great Depression levels.

But not all Western nations (and their citizens) have bought into this Corporate mythology, and doomed the vast majority of their populations to little more than slave wages. A few Western nations have shielded their populations from this wage-destruction via (unreported) inflation, and the differences between their economies and ours are highly revealing – especially when viewed from the bottom (i.e. the "minimum wage").

German TV network broadcasts long program on gold market manipulation

Posted: 20 May 2014 09:09 AM PDT

12:12p ET Tuesday, May 20, 2014

Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:

Gold researcher and GATA consultant Koos Jansen today calls attention to a long broadcast about gold market manipulation made this month on the German-language television network 3sat, which serves Germany, Austria, and Switzerland. The broadcast came on the 3sat program "Makro" and focused on recent complaints about the daily London gold fixings. It quoted market analyst and GATA consultant Dimitri Speck and Hong Kong fund manager William Kaye, who is frequently interviewed by King World News about gold market manipulation. The program does not seem to have gotten much into central bank involvement in the market manipulation, but questions are raised about Germany's gold reserves vaulted abroad, so this may have been a good start.

Jansen has posted both full video of the program and an English transcript at his Internet site, In Gold We Trust, here:

http://www.ingoldwetrust.ch/gold-price-manipulation-goes-mainstream-on-g...

CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.



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Technical analysis versus value in gold

Posted: 20 May 2014 09:00 AM PDT

Finance and Eco.

May The Interest Rate Rise With You

Posted: 20 May 2014 08:50 AM PDT

If global financial markets cannot set interest rates, they are distorted and dysfunctional by definition. Of course one may argue that they have long been distorted regardless, and there’s plenty merit to that, but without being able to determine interest rates, it is impossible for markets to become functional again, other than through a collapse so severe nobody wants to be seen dead with any paper ‘assets’ anymore. That is the inevitable fork in the road: either you allow interest rates to be – freely – set by markets, or you run head first into a market crash. There are other requirements too, like getting rid of bad debt, restructuring, allowing defaults and throwing out bankrupt zombifies market participants, but none of that will do much good as long as central banks and governments can claim the right of granting themselves the authority to set rates at whim.

Forex Trading - AUD/USD Double Trouble

Posted: 20 May 2014 08:24 AM PDT

Earlier today, the minutes of the RBA's May policy meeting showed that the bank plans to hold interest rates at record lows for an extended period of time. Additionally, the Conference Board reported that its index for Australia was flat in March, after a 0.2% rise in February. In reaction to this disappointing news, the Australian dollar dropped to a 2-week low against its U.S. counterpart, declining below two important support levels. Does this mean that investors’ sentiment is deteriorating and we’ll see AUD/USD lower?

London’s precious metals fixes fixable?

Posted: 20 May 2014 08:06 AM PDT

The London silver fix in its current form will go. Can the others be saved? Should they be saved?

Read more….

Bank jurisdiction key in gold storage – Phillips

Posted: 20 May 2014 08:06 AM PDT

In his regular update on the gold price, Julian Phillips, of the Gold Forecaster, weighs in on Credit Suisse tax evasion case.

Read more….

Despite gold curbs, jewellers manage record exports

Posted: 20 May 2014 08:06 AM PDT

Indian gold jewellery & source: “Any respite the government felt through lower imports was negated by a big jump in smuggling,” a trader says.

Read more….

Latest ECB gold sales agreement raises questions

Posted: 20 May 2014 08:06 AM PDT

The latest ECB gold sales agreement is notable for not putting a cap on possible future sales, but is a cap necessary under current market conditions? Perhaps it should be.

Read more….

Byrnecut wins DeGrussa copper-gold underground mining contract

Posted: 20 May 2014 08:06 AM PDT

Sandfire Resources has appointed Byrnecut Australia to take over the underground contract mining operations at its Degrussa high grade copper-gold mining operation in Western Australia.

Read more….

Turkish court arrests 8 in mine investigation, including CEO

Posted: 20 May 2014 08:06 AM PDT

The eight suspects were arrested on a provisional charge of “causing multiple deaths” in last week’s mine collapse in Soma.

Read more….

Gold Demand "Firm Long-Term" But Perception of "Good Times" Weighs on Investor Buying & Scrap Supply

Posted: 20 May 2014 05:46 AM PDT

GOLD DEMAND slipped in London's wholesale market Tuesday morning, with bullion prices falling to 1-week lows some 1.3% beneath yesterday's peak at $1305 as Asian stockmarkets closed higher but European shares slipped with weaker Eurozone bond prices.
 
What one dealer called "light, dull" volumes left precious metals traders not already busy with London's annual Platinum Week of conferences and meetings to digest the latest gold-market demand and supply data.
 
New UK data meantime showed inflation in consumer prices accelerating in April to return to the Bank of England's medium-term target of 2.0% per year.
 
Ten-year UK gilt yields rose to 2.62% on the news, and Sterling spiked half-a-cent vs. the Dollar, helping the gold price for UK investors erase last week's 0.6% rise at £765 per ounce.
 
US Treasury bonds are priced for "dovish" comments in tomorrow's release of US Federal Reserve minutes, says Bloomberg.
 
"It is clear that the longer-term underpinnings of the gold market – such as jewelry demand in Asia – remain firmly in place," says Marcus Grubb of the World Gold Council, launching the latest Gold Demand Trends report today
 
Total gold demand globally was unchanged in the first quarter from Q1 2013, the market-development group's analysis of Thomson Reuters GFMS' data says.
 
But within that total, gold bar and coin demand fell hard, down 39% by weight and 52% lower by value from Jan-March last year, while holdings for gold ETF trust funds – predominantly used by professional and institutional investors, and shrinking by one-third last year – were flat for the quarter, avoiding heavy sales for the first time since end-2012.
 
"When times were bad," the Wall Street Journal quotes commodity strategist Bart Melek at TD Securities, "people didn't mind paying a premium to own gold.
 
"But now that the existential risks have passed, that desire is no longer there."
 
Q1 jewelry demand in contrast rose to a 9-year high on the World Gold Council's new market data, led by what it calls "a strengthening economic environment."
 
Central bank purchases were 70% above their 5-year quarterly average, led by Iraq and Russia, and the Eurozone became a net buyer thanks to Latvia joining the single currency union, adding gold to its reserves as part of the Euro treaty.
 
Western Europe's existing "legacy gold holders" meantime retained their gold bullion reserves once again, in contrast to the heavy sales of 10-20 years ago.
 
"Participants can find comfort" in Monday's revised Central Bank Gold Agreement, says Swiss investment and bullion bank UBS, noting previous fears of possible Eurozone gold sales "during the height of the Eurozone crisis" and into 2013.
 
But "we find this new Agreement a little unsatisfactory," counters Australian bank Macquarie's commodity analyst Matthew Turner. Because while renewing the pact "would help short-term stability" in the market, opting instead to scrap the deal would have sent "a positive signal to other central banks [long-term] about gold's practicality as a reserve asset."
 
Monday's "non-renewal renewal" of the CBGA "seems to achieve neither," says Turner.
 
On the other side of the gold market, gold mining supply rose 6% year-on-year in Q1 as producers failed to trim output – as some analysts had predicted – despite the second-lowest quarterly average price since 2010.
 
Lower gold prices did deter scrap supply however, with recycling sales dropping 13% to "very much the lower end" of the sector's post-financial crisis range according to the World Gold Council.

Gold Price - A 40 Year Perspective

Posted: 20 May 2014 03:59 AM PDT

In broad terms, gold was in a bull market during the late 1960s and 70s, a bear market during the 80s and 90s, and back in a bull market since 2001. The important questions are: Did gold reach a generational peak in 2011 and subsequently turn down for a decade or two? Or Did gold reach an intermediate top in 2011 based on QE, dollar weakness, and high demand, correct for 2.5 years, and then begin a rally likely to persist through the end of the decade?

Gold, Stocks and Crude Oil Heading Lower

Posted: 20 May 2014 03:54 AM PDT

GOLD is moving sideways in 1268-1331 range for more than a month between two contracting trend-lines that make a shape of a triangle. We are looking at a running triangle in wave (b) that can be near completion as rise from 1276 is already in three legs that represents wave e), final leg in the pattern. With that in mind, traders should be aware of a bearish reversal down in wave (c) towards 1220/40 especially once 1277 and pattern support will give way.

Gold Price Bearish Reversal Ahead

Posted: 20 May 2014 03:49 AM PDT

Gold is moving sideways in 1268-1331 range for more than a month between two contracting trend-lines that make a shape of a triangle. We are looking at a running triangle in wave (b) that can be near completion as rise from 1276 is already in three legs that represents wave e), final leg in the pattern. With that in mind, traders should be aware of a bearish reversal down in wave (c) towards 1220/40 especially once 1277 and pattern support will give way.

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