Gold World News Flash |
- While We Increase QE to Infinity, China Wisely Doubles Down on Gold Accumulation
- Here Are Links to 5 of the ?Best-of-the-Best? Articles on Gold You Might Have Missed Reading
- This Is What Is Going On Behind The Scenes In The Gold War
- CoT and Chart Review
- What Is Really Happening Globally & Where Gold Is Headed
- Precious Metals Market Report – December 13
- Guest Post: The Icelandic Success Story
- Harvey Organ's Report – 12/08/12
- NO SOLUTIONS MY FAT ASS
- Mike Kosares: Saving gold -- old reliable stands tall in crisis atmosphere
- What Does Tax Loss Selling Look Like on Short Term Charts?
- Jim's Mailbox
- U.S. printed three billion $100 bills, up 100% since 2007 financial collapse
- Egypt's "Temporary " Dictator To Deploy Army Against Protesters
- China's production and demand chart shows gold's future, von Greyerz says
- Brett Arends: In gold investing, forget the metal and focus on stocks
- Saturday (morning) Weekly Market Wrap for December 8, 2012
- This Past Week in Gold
- Guest Post: Complacency Everywhere You Look
- A Look Inside The Gold Vault Of The Bank Of England
- Gold Confiscation Lessons from the 20th Century
- Gold and Silver Investments and the Rise of False Contrarian Gurus
- Silver Investment Opportunity Time is Slipping Away
- Should the UK Join the Euro?
- Preppers Who Make Surviving The Apocalypse Even Less Fun
| While We Increase QE to Infinity, China Wisely Doubles Down on Gold Accumulation Posted: 08 Dec 2012 11:00 PM PST by AGXIIK, Silver Doctors:
Their military, ships, nukes and eye to making the South China sea their own pond and defensible space, is not being developed to create forward bases. It's to protect themselves and make their country inpenetrable from their former and present foes. This is a country with a strong memory that reaches over 5,000 years. And they do not appear to suffer from selective memory and collective amnesia, something that we engage in at a wholesale rate. Those who forget their history forget their legacies and lose their country. China gold stocks could easily top 10,000 tons. While worth 'only' $700 billion or so, this accumulation will soon be sufficient to lay down the Yuan marker as an alternative currency. |
| Here Are Links to 5 of the ?Best-of-the-Best? Articles on Gold You Might Have Missed Reading Posted: 08 Dec 2012 10:51 PM PST Have you been too busy to stay informed about the unusual developments in gold this week? Not to worry!*Here are*5 of the "best-of-the-best" articles selected from 100s posted on the internet this week. Each article has been edited for the sake of clarity and brevity to ensure you a fast and easy read. Enjoy! By Lorimer Wilson, editor of www.munKNEE.com (Your Key to Making Money!) and www.FinancialArticleSummariesToday.com (A site for sore eyes and inquisitive minds). Investing Gold & Silver 1. Friday Update: Whew! Gold Continues to Bounce Off Its 11-year Channel Support Line Gold again dropped below its key support line of $1,690 during intraday trading on Friday, December 7th (going as low as $1,684.10 vs. a low of $1,687.10 on Thursday and $1,686.00 on Wednesday) but closed out the day at $1,705.20 ( vs. a $1,700.50 close on Thursday and $1,697.70 Wednesday. At first glance it looks like we may have seen the worst of this correction but only time will tell so we will continu... |
| This Is What Is Going On Behind The Scenes In The Gold War Posted: 08 Dec 2012 10:01 PM PST This posting includes an audio/video/photo media file: Download Now |
| Posted: 08 Dec 2012 10:00 PM PST from TF Metals Report:
But first, before we get rolling, check out these two charts. On the left is a 15-minute Feb gold. It shows a classic, non-news BLSBS pattern. After initial hesitation, the news is aggressively gamed by those in charge. Price gets jammed lower to blow out some stops, panic some longs and inspire some fresh shorts. Then, in the blink of an eye, price reverses and everyone playing gets screwed again. Within the hour, calm is restored and it's as if nothing has happened…unless you're one of the unlucky ones who tried to battle Goliath. On the right is a daily chart of the Jan13 crude. LOTS of noise out there regarding Syrian invasions and chemical weapons but none of it seems to be bothering the crude pit. In fact, there seems to be no reason to even pay attention to crude until and unless it breaks UP through $90 or DOWN through $85. Until then, maybe just trade the range with tight stops? |
| What Is Really Happening Globally & Where Gold Is Headed Posted: 08 Dec 2012 09:00 PM PST from KingWorldNews:
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| Precious Metals Market Report – December 13 Posted: 08 Dec 2012 07:59 PM PST |
| Guest Post: The Icelandic Success Story Posted: 08 Dec 2012 06:08 PM PST Submitted by John Aziz of Azizonomics The Icelandic Success Story Emotionally, I love Iceland's financial policies since the crash of 2008: Iceland went after the people who caused the crisis — the bankers who created and sold the junk products — and tried to shield the general population. But what Iceland did is not just emotionally satisfying. Iceland is recovering, while the rest of the Western world — which bailed out the bankers and left the general population to pay for the bankers' excess — is not.
So what exactly did Iceland do? First, they create an aid package for homeowners:
Then, they redenominated foreign currency debt into devalued krone, effectively giving creditors a big haircut:
What this meant is that unsustainable junk was liquidated. While I am no fan of nationalised banks and believe that eventually they should be sold off, there were no quick and easy bailouts that allowed the financial sector to continue with the same unsustainable bubble-based folly they practiced before the crisis (as has happened throughout the rest of the Western world). And best of all, Iceland prosecuted the people who caused the crisis, providing a real disincentive (as opposed to more bailouts and bonuses):
Iceland's approach is very much akin to what I have been advocating — write down the unsustainable debt, liquidate the junk corporations and banks that failed, disincentivise the behaviour that caused the crisis, and provide help to the ordinary individuals in the real economy (as opposed to phoney "stimulus" cash to campaign donors and big finance). And Iceland has snapped out of its depression. The rest of the West, where banks continue to behave exactly as they did prior to the crisis, not so much. |
| Harvey Organ's Report – 12/08/12 Posted: 08 Dec 2012 05:00 PM PST by Harvey Organ, HarveyOrgan.Blogspot.ca:
Gold was languishing throughout the European session as investors were waiting patiently for news on the USA jobs front. At exactly 8:30 am est, gold and silver plummeted within seconds as the following hit the wires: 146,000 Jobs Added In November, Beat Expectation Of 85,000, Unemployment Rate Lower At 7.7% The bankers no doubt were trying to orchestrate a gold/silver avalanche on Friday which is what we are accustomed to see on a jobs report day. Gold was knocked to $1685 but this price held again as gold successfully defended this resistance level. We also had a triple bottom. Demand for gold was just too great for our bankers as they immediately retreated to higher ground covering as many shorts as they could. It looks to me like $1700 gold and $33.00 silver are your new floors. The COT report below also is very bullish as the bankers massively covered their shortfall. |
| Posted: 08 Dec 2012 04:20 PM PST Every once in awhile some know-it-all drops onto the site and derides me for not proposing any solutions. I then have to kick their ass and ridicule them. I posted an article two years ago called A Modest Proposal. It laid out my platform for saving this country. Below is the list of my proposals. I've added a couple new ones. If you don't like them, then tough shit. Come up with your own list. Political System
Economic Policy
Education Policy
Energy Policy
National Defense/Foreign Policy
Immigration
Social Issues
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| Mike Kosares: Saving gold -- old reliable stands tall in crisis atmosphere Posted: 08 Dec 2012 01:35 PM PST 3:30p ET Saturday, December 8, 2012 Dear Friends of GATA and Gold: Mike Kosares, proprietor of Centennial Precious Metals in Denver and its Internet site, USAGold.com, has done a year-end review of inflation-adjusted rates of return on investments, and while 2012 has not been a spectacular year for gold, he reports that gold still is far outpacing interest-paying securities like bank certificates of deposit. Kosares' study is headlined "Saving Gold: Old Reliable Stands Tall in Crisis Atmosphere" and it's posted at USAGold.com here: http://www.usagold.com/publications/savinggold2012.html CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer ADVERTISEMENT Fred Goldstein and Tim Murphy open All Pro Gold Longtime GATA supporters Fred Goldstein and Tim Murphy have brought their many years of experience in the precious metals and numismatic coins to All Pro Gold as metals brokers who specialize in the delivery of gold and silver bullion bars and coins as well as numismatic gold and silver coins. Fred and Tim follow these markets closely and are assisted by a team of consultants in monitoring market trends. All Pro Gold offers GATA supporters competitive pricing on all bullion products and welcomes inquiries. Tim can be reached at 602-299-2585 and Tim@allprogold.com, Fred at 602-799-8378 and Fred@allprogold.com. Ask about their ratio strategy and the relationship of generic $20 dollar gold pieces to 1-ounce gold bullion coins. Visit their Internet site at http://www.allprogold.com/. Join GATA here: Vancouver Resource Investment Conference * * * Support GATA by purchasing DVDs of our London conference in August 2011 or our Dawson City conference in August 2006: http://www.goldrush21.com/order.html Or by purchasing a colorful GATA T-shirt: Or a colorful poster of GATA's full-page ad in The Wall Street Journal on January 31, 2009: http://gata.org/node/wallstreetjournal Help keep GATA going GATA is a civil rights and educational organization based in the United States and tax-exempt under the U.S. Internal Revenue Code. Its e-mail dispatches are free, and you can subscribe at: To contribute to GATA, please visit: ADVERTISEMENT Opinion Around the World Is Changing When Deutschebank calls gold "good money" and paper "bad money". ... http://www.gata.org/node/11765 When the president of the German central bank, the Bundesbank, pays tribute to gold as "a timeless classic". ... http://www.forbes.com/sites/ralphbenko/2012/09/24/signs-of-the-gold-stan... When a leading member of the policy committee of the People's Bank of China calls the gold standard "an excellent monetary system". ... http://www.forbes.com/sites/ralphbenko/2012/10/01/signs-of-the-gold-stan... When a CNN reporter writes in The China Post that the "gold commission" plank in the 2012 Republican platform will "reverberate around the world". ... http://www.thegoldstandardnow.org/key-blogs/1563-china-post-the-gop-gold... When the Subcommittee on Domestic Monetary Policy of the U.S. House of Representatives twice called on economist, historian, and gold standard advocate Lewis E. Lehrman to testify. ... World opinion is changing in favor of gold. How can you learn why and what it will mean to you? Read the newly updated and expanded edition of Lehrman's book, "The True Gold Standard." Financial journalist James Grant says of "The True Gold Standard": "If you have ever wondered how the world can get from here to there -- from the chaos of depreciating paper to a convertible currency worthy of our children and our grandchildren -- wonder no more. The answer, brilliantly expounded, is between these covers. America has long needed a modern Alexander Hamilton. In Lewis E. Lehrman she has finally found him." To buy a copy of "The True Gold Standard," please visit: http://www.thegoldstandardnow.com/publications/the-true-gold-standard |
| What Does Tax Loss Selling Look Like on Short Term Charts? Posted: 08 Dec 2012 01:30 PM PST Update 1: Adds longer term charts for context. HOUSTON -- Vulture G.L. in Europe asked if we could show examples of what tax loss selling might look like on our short term volume candle (VC) charts. The charts are evidently becoming popular. All of the examples below could, that's could be showing tax loss selling. Tax loss selling is often characterized by repetitive sales into the bid, as opposed to setting up on the offer, so they tend to show up as negative volume on our 1-hour and 30-minute VC charts. Of course there is no way to tell for certain what the motives behind any particular sale were merely by looking at a chart, but over time we do get a sense of the trading personality and can make reasonably informed assumptions from unusual activity – especially if that activity is consistent. First up is Timberline Resources (TLR). On Friday one particular seller unloaded a bit more than 100,000 shares into the bid, knocking the bid lower by as much as 4-cents. Interestingly, the sales seemed to be soaked up by more than one willing buyer. TLR closed the day lower, but well above its low print. Disclosure: Timberline is one of our largest SRC positions and we have set up a bid ladder to catch even more if it trades a tiny bit lower than it did on Friday. All charts are 15-day, 1-hour increment volume candle (VC), which show the relative size of the increments in both the trading candles and the volume bars. Edit Saturday 21:30 to add longer term charts for context by request. For context, a longer term weekly chart below comparing the issue to important indexes that track the junior miners. The first SON sellers set the tone, driving CSL lower and that fed on itself enough to trigger the second downward pressure event, tax loss selling. Yet a third factor is a 15-cent financing that is just now becoming free trading – which allows the participants to sell their shares at anything above $0.15 and still have the warrant in case CSL does well in the future. Although it is not strictly legal to sell the shares short and then replace them with private placement shares once the restriction has been removed, some of the placement participants find ways to sell the stock short (or an equivalent action) ahead of when the restricted stock becomes free trading (either by selling unrestricted shares already in hand or other, more opaque means, such as using separate accounts in divergent cross border brokerages, et al), so the downward pressure from the sales of placement participants actually comes in or begins well ahead of the expected free trading date. In the chart below we point to several periods of obvious negative liquidity, hammering the bid. Most likely that is tax loss selling at this late point, but all three factors could be in play. All three factors are likely to end shortly and we would not at all be surprised to see CSL finding overwhelming support (OS) before the end of the month – as the selling has now taken the share price well below where it probably should have given the good drill results this year. For context, a longer term weekly chart below comparing the issue to important indexes that track the junior miners.
The VC chart below shows a gap lower on huge volume, a combination of disappointment selling following the release of a batch of drill results that failed to live up to the still overly high expectations of the fickle trend jumpers and retail gamers, and likely a bit of a panic spike lower. The negative liquidity that follows that gap lower is likely in large part tax loss selling in our view. Despite the obvious fall from grace by GoldQuest since September, colleagues we know and respect are on the bid, not the offer for GQC – thinking more long term, but with more reasonable expectations. GoldQuest is one of the more interesting exploration stories out there. Disclosure: We are aggressively accumulating GQC at the moment, content to build our stake in the company while it is being "goatified" by a fickle, unforgiving market. We hold a recently acquired long position. For context, a longer term weekly chart below comparing the issue to important indexes that track the junior miners. Finally, one more from the Yukon. Kaminak Gold (KAM.V) broke long term support in early November and has come under what we call "Panic Spike" selling since then. Ironically, this particular panic spike follows a $12 million, $2.50/sh financing closed in early October, landing a major posture puncture for the company and the financing underwriters (RBC Capital Markets, Canaccord Genuity, Fraser Mackenzie, Mackie Research Capital, Paradigm Capita, and Raymond James). Ouch! The chart below shows what a panic spike can look like, and with Kaminak having broken major long term support it has become a kind of poster child for tax loss selling. However, it may be reaching the level we call "OS" or overwhelming support around the $1.00 mark. Heavy emphasis on the word "may." In private charts we have added the label "Capitulation Watch," meaning we are on the lookout for capitulation on this issuer imminently. This kind of irrational downward momentum can be surprising in both intensity and amplitude, so we cannot be surprised by just about anything price wise until the downward momentum and tax loss selling is exhausted. We Vultures love this kind of action, by the way – when we are in an accumulation mode.
For context, a longer term weekly chart below comparing the issue to important indexes that track the junior miners. Thanks for the question. We hope you find the above interesting. As always everyone should study the issues carefully and make their own informed decisions. We are high risk takers here at Got Gold Report. What we do - vulutre speculation - is not for everyone. |
| Posted: 08 Dec 2012 01:24 PM PST Hello Jim, Thanks for your website. Wherever I go, I read your website every day! I thought you might be interested in this article in the French newspaper Le Figaro. Gold has now become the fourth most preferred investment for French people, after real estate, savings accounts, and life insurance. Very conservative huh? Gold Continue reading Jim's Mailbox |
| U.S. printed three billion $100 bills, up 100% since 2007 financial collapse Posted: 08 Dec 2012 11:46 AM PST Nicholas Colas, ConvergEx Group chief market strategist, released a note Tuesday in which it confirmed that the United States government printed three billion $100 bills in the 12 months that ended Oct. 31, according to figures he used from the U.S. Treasury Department's Bureau of Engraving and Printing (BEP). Production of the $100 bill is up 100 percent since the collapse of the U.S. economy began in 2007 and is 50 percent more than the total number of $1 bills printed in the same time period. These numbers suggest that there is a healthy demand for $100 bills in both the regular economy and the shadow economy and the demand is still continuing to grow. Colas explained that $100 bills are the preferred denomination among those in the underground economy's illegal activities, such as the drug trade, illegal arms transactions and even tax evasion deals. He explained that since the U.S. dollar is in danger of losing its world reserve currency status, the statistics show that it's sort of an endorsement by the underground entities. Also, the increase in use of $100 bills could be because there have been delays of a newer version of the note, which has had technical difficulties and the newly printed currency has not yet been in circulation. Meanwhile, when it comes to smaller denominations, the demand isn't there. One of the reasons is that many consumers are turning to credit and debit cards to purchase items that are relatively cheaper. The innovation in credit technology has become transparent in recent years as a Visa card can simply tap a machine to purchase a $1.50 coffee or a $0.50 bottle of water. Read more.... This posting includes an audio/video/photo media file: Download Now |
| Egypt's "Temporary " Dictator To Deploy Army Against Protesters Posted: 08 Dec 2012 10:57 AM PST Update: The devolution is complete as Egypt declares martial law. * * * It was only a matter of time before Egypt's US-endorsed temporary dictator resolved to what will be spun as temporary military intervention against what is increasingly looking like a permanent counterrevolution by deploying the army to crush local protesters who have besieged the Egyptian presidential palace for almost a week, and have put the country's new "democratic" regime increasingly under threat of collapse. RT reports that "Egyptian President Mohamed Morsi will authorize the deployment of the country's armed forces to quash protests in Cairo, al-Ahram reported. The military said prolonging the crisis would be "disastrous," and that they would not tolerate violence. At least six people died and hundreds were reported injured over the last few days in the unrest that has gripped the Egyptian capital since late November. Al-Ahram reported that the armed forces will be given powers of arrest, previously an exclusive right of the police." Naturally, once one starts down the slope of "temporary decrees" (never to be confused with presidential Executive Orders), one doesn't go back. The only question is whether the denouement of the Mursi administration will be a peaceful one with the self-imposed dictator stepping down without a fight, or if the country will devolve into an all out civil war, threatening the (in)stability of the region even further. More from Al Arabiya:
On the other hand, a far greater problem would evolve if instead of a simple escalation, the conflict grew into a schism along religion lines:
This is the same Egypt about which US State Department secretary Burns issued the following statement as recently as July:
Funny stuff. And while the local situation in the country which the US called a "pillar of peace, security and prosperity" to get much bloodier, violent and overall louder, one person who has kept very quiet during the past few weeks is none other than Hillary Clinton, who as recently as July welcomed Morsi with open arms. From the NYT:
This is the same Hillary Clinton who "was targeted by protesters who threw tomatoes and their own shoes at her motorcade during a visit to Egypt on Sunday. Demonstrators also mockingly chanted 'Monica, Monica' in reference to Bill Clinton's extra-marital affair. The Secretary of State was on her first trip to Egypt since the election of the country's new Islamist President, Mohammed Morsi." Mursi is thus on the way to becoming the second US-supported dictator in Egypt. The irony of course is that like the Fed's market interventions, the half-life of the US state department imposing its pawns in various countries, only to see them turn against the US. can now be measured in months. The only question remaining is with the CIA and the US having no natural allies left in the country that controls the Suez Canal should Morsi be thrown out one way or another, how will America continue to impose its control in this country which is becoming ever more critical at a time when the gateway to Africa is one of the most important geopolitical tension points, not to mention a key focal point in the simmering Iran-Israel conflict? |
| China's production and demand chart shows gold's future, von Greyerz says Posted: 08 Dec 2012 10:32 AM PST 12:30p ET Saturday, December 8, 2012 Dear Friend of GATA and Gold: Gold fund manager Egon von Greyerz tells King World News today that gold's future is secured by a chart of China's production and demand, which is included with an excerpt from the interview with von Greyerz at the King World News Internet site here: http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2012/12/7_He... CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer ADVERTISEMENT Opinion Around the World Is Changing When Deutschebank calls gold "good money" and paper "bad money". ... http://www.gata.org/node/11765 When the president of the German central bank, the Bundesbank, pays tribute to gold as "a timeless classic". ... http://www.forbes.com/sites/ralphbenko/2012/09/24/signs-of-the-gold-stan... When a leading member of the policy committee of the People's Bank of China calls the gold standard "an excellent monetary system". ... http://www.forbes.com/sites/ralphbenko/2012/10/01/signs-of-the-gold-stan... When a CNN reporter writes in The China Post that the "gold commission" plank in the 2012 Republican platform will "reverberate around the world". ... http://www.thegoldstandardnow.org/key-blogs/1563-china-post-the-gop-gold... When the Subcommittee on Domestic Monetary Policy of the U.S. House of Representatives twice called on economist, historian, and gold standard advocate Lewis E. Lehrman to testify. ... World opinion is changing in favor of gold. How can you learn why and what it will mean to you? Read the newly updated and expanded edition of Lehrman's book, "The True Gold Standard." Financial journalist James Grant says of "The True Gold Standard": "If you have ever wondered how the world can get from here to there -- from the chaos of depreciating paper to a convertible currency worthy of our children and our grandchildren -- wonder no more. The answer, brilliantly expounded, is between these covers. America has long needed a modern Alexander Hamilton. In Lewis E. Lehrman she has finally found him." To buy a copy of "The True Gold Standard," please visit: http://www.thegoldstandardnow.com/publications/the-true-gold-standard Join GATA here: Vancouver Resource Investment Conference * * * Support GATA by purchasing DVDs of our London conference in August 2011 or our Dawson City conference in August 2006: http://www.goldrush21.com/order.html Or by purchasing a colorful GATA T-shirt: Or a colorful poster of GATA's full-page ad in The Wall Street Journal on January 31, 2009: http://gata.org/node/wallstreetjournal Help keep GATA going GATA is a civil rights and educational organization based in the United States and tax-exempt under the U.S. Internal Revenue Code. Its e-mail dispatches are free, and you can subscribe at: To contribute to GATA, please visit: ADVERTISEMENT Fred Goldstein and Tim Murphy open All Pro Gold Longtime GATA supporters Fred Goldstein and Tim Murphy have brought their many years of experience in the precious metals and numismatic coins to All Pro Gold as metals brokers who specialize in the delivery of gold and silver bullion bars and coins as well as numismatic gold and silver coins. Fred and Tim follow these markets closely and are assisted by a team of consultants in monitoring market trends. All Pro Gold offers GATA supporters competitive pricing on all bullion products and welcomes inquiries. Tim can be reached at 602-299-2585 and Tim@allprogold.com, Fred at 602-799-8378 and Fred@allprogold.com. Ask about their ratio strategy and the relationship of generic $20 dollar gold pieces to 1-ounce gold bullion coins. Visit their Internet site at http://www.allprogold.com/. |
| Brett Arends: In gold investing, forget the metal and focus on stocks Posted: 08 Dec 2012 10:25 AM PST By Brett Arends http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000142412788732331680457816123025437189... Want to buy some cheap gold? Consider gold-mining stocks. Shares of the leading precious-metals companies have lagged behind the price of physical gold bullion so steeply in recent years that they now trade for significantly less than the value of the companies' gold reserves, analysts say. In fact, they say, the gap is among the widest ever seen. And although mining stocks can be more volatile than bullion in the short term, over the medium to long term they could boom if gold -- which remains about 10% below its 2011 peak -- resumes its bull run. Gold has risen 10% this year, but the Philadelphia Gold & Silver Index, which tracks the stocks of the world's leading precious-metal mining companies, has fallen 8% on concerns that mining costs and political risks are increasing. Over the past five years, while gold has more than doubled to $1,721, the Philadelphia index has fallen 2%. It is near its lowest level versus the gold price since FactSet began tracking the data in 1984. ... Dispatch continues below ... ADVERTISEMENT GoldMoney adds Toronto vaulting option In addition to its precious metals storage facilities in Hong Kong, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom, GoldMoney customers now can store their gold and silver in a high-security vault operated by Brink's in Toronto, Ontario, Canada. GoldMoney also has recently partnered with Rhenus Freight Logistics to offer another gold storage option in Switzerland. The Rhenus vault is in the secured zone of Zurich Airport and offers customers superb security as well as the ability to inspect their gold. Storage at the new vaults in Canada and Switzerland is available at GoldMoney's lowest fees. Customers can select their storage location when placing their buy order. GoldMoney customers can take delivery of any number of gold, silver, platinum, and palladium bars from any GoldMoney vault, as well as personally collect their bars stored in the Hong Kong, Switzerland, and U.K. vaults. It's easy to open an account, add funds, and liquidate your investment. For more information, visit: http://www.goldmoney.com/?gmrefcode=gata To put it simply: The price of an ounce of gold today would buy more stock in gold-mining companies than at any point in a quarter century. Under this measure, mining stocks are as cheap "as we have ever seen them -- at least in my career, which is nearly 30 years," says David Christensen, manager of ASA Gold and Precious Metals, a $460 million closed-end mutual fund based in San Mateo, Calif., which invests in mining stocks and has been operating since 1958. George Topping, a gold-mining analyst at Stifel Nicolaus in Toronto, says the only other time the discounts were close to this extreme was in 1999, when the gold industry was near the end of a long bear market. The current prices for major gold-mining stocks would make more sense if gold were about $1,300 an ounce than the current level of more than $1,700, he says. Mr. Topping notes that shares of Toronto-based Barrick Gold Corp. and Denver-based Newmont Mining Corp., the world's biggest gold producers, trade for about 60% of his estimate of the per-share value of their gold reserves, after accounting for costs and the time it would take to extract the metal. Other major producers are at similar discounts to the value of their reserves, he says. Analysts and fund managers point to a number of reasons for the poor performance of gold-mining stocks. A surge in miners' operating costs has shaved off some of the extra profits. The rising popularity of gold-bullion exchange-traded funds has taken away investment dollars that might otherwise have flowed into mining stocks. Growing political risks, such as strikes in South Africa and a possible mining tax in Australia, have kept some investors away. John Hathaway, manager of the $2.5 billion Tocqueville Gold fund, says investors also have shied away from the stocks because they fear gold itself might fall. Yet industry experts say the biggest factor has been the rising cost of the industry's new investment boom. Mining companies have used their surging revenues to launch long-term projects and expensive takeovers, many of which could offer low returns on their sizeable investments. Mr. Hathaway's firm calculates that over the past five years the top 10 gold-mining companies have almost tripled their total capital expenditure from $7.8 billion in 2007 to nearly $22 billion this year. The figure in 2003 was less than $2 billion. In a May research report, Stifel's Mr. Topping urged big gold miners to drop their most expensive and least attractive projects and to return the money to stockholders through higher dividends. He calculates that if companies did this they could easily pay out annual dividends equal to 5% of the stock price or more, compared with the 1% to 3% typical now. "If they just froze their production profiles, they'd be gushing cash flow," agrees Tocqueville's Mr. Hathaway. There are some signs that industry executives in recent months have started paying attention. Over the summer Barrick announced a tougher stance on capital expenditure, and deferred indefinitely its major Cerro Casale project in Chile and Donlin Creek in Alaska. Newmont said its Conga project in Peru would continue only on a "measured basis." Kinross Gold Corp. K.T +0.63%announced plans to cut costs and rein in capital expenditure, and is considering shrinking a big project in Mauritania. Ralph Aldis, co-portfolio manager of the U.S. Global Investors Gold and Precious Metals Fund, a $200 million fund, says he thinks the change is real. "In the last few months, these guys have had an epiphany," he says. To be sure, the results have yet to be seen and investors remain skeptical, as the recent declines in the stock prices show. Should the companies continue to overinvest, or should gold itself fall, the stocks might disappoint. Yet at current levels the stocks already have factored in a great deal of bad news, analysts note. Investors wishing to buy gold stocks have an array of choices. Specialist gold mutual funds buy stocks across the sector. A few, such as Mr. Hathaway's Tocqueville Gold, also own some bullion. Andy Claybrook, founder of Fee-Only Financial Solutions, a financial advisory in Franklin, Tenn., likes Tocqueville, which carries annual expenses of 1.26% a year, or $126 per $10,000 invested, and the $1.6 billion USAA Precious Metals and Minerals Fund, which charges 1.17%, citing the fund managers' expertise. Low-cost exchange-traded funds buy baskets of gold stocks and typically have low fees. They include the $9 billion Market Vectors Gold Miners Fund, which charges 0.52% a year, or $52 per $10,000 invested, and the $37 billion iShares MSCI Global Gold Miners Fund, with annual expenses of 0.39%. For those who wish to buy individual stocks, Mr. Topping recommends sticking to the bigger companies and prefers Vancouver-based Goldcorp. Its mines are mostly in North America and he predicts output will increase 60% over the next four years. The stock trades at around 75% of the per-share value of the company's gold reserves, he estimates. If gold regains its gleam, mining stocks might glitter. Join GATA here: Vancouver Resource Investment Conference * * * Support GATA by purchasing DVDs of our London conference in August 2011 or our Dawson City conference in August 2006: http://www.goldrush21.com/order.html Or by purchasing a colorful GATA T-shirt: Or a colorful poster of GATA's full-page ad in The Wall Street Journal on January 31, 2009: http://gata.org/node/wallstreetjournal Help keep GATA going GATA is a civil rights and educational organization based in the United States and tax-exempt under the U.S. Internal Revenue Code. Its e-mail dispatches are free, and you can subscribe at: To contribute to GATA, please visit: |
| Saturday (morning) Weekly Market Wrap for December 8, 2012 Posted: 08 Dec 2012 10:11 AM PST Gold was Down a bit. I said last week that the little Rally will likely fail. It's in the Process. Remember the Highs were way back in August 2011 at $1925. The current price of $1750 is a long ways from getting excited again. Read More... |
| Posted: 08 Dec 2012 10:10 AM PST Summary: Long term - on major sell signal. Short term - on mixed signals. Gold sector cycle - down as of Oct 13. Read More... |
| Guest Post: Complacency Everywhere You Look Posted: 08 Dec 2012 09:27 AM PST Submitted by Michael Panzner of Panzner Insights Complacency Everywhere You Look When trying to get a handle on investor sentiment, the benchmark of choice for many market-watchers is the CBOE S&P 500 Volatility Index, or VIX. However, this popular "fear gauge" only offers a snapshot of implied volatility, or relative pricing levels, for equity index options, which might not necessarily tell us all we need to know about the mood on The Street. In theory, stock traders could be overreacting to equity-specific developments that are not relevant to other markets. That said, there is data that suggests the high levels of complacency in the stock market are also being seen elsewhere. As the chart shows, gauges of implied volatility levels for equity, bond, currency, gold, and oil markets are at or near multi-month lows, indicating that "the crowd" is unanimous in its belief that nothing untoward is going to happen in the immediate future. Should we be worried? |
| A Look Inside The Gold Vault Of The Bank Of England Posted: 08 Dec 2012 09:20 AM PST The following video is really exciting as it shows an amount of gold in one area that almost any individual will see in its whole life. The video crew was allowed to record inside the gold vault of the Bank of England, where gold is vaulted with a value of 315,000,000,000 US dollar ($ 315 billion or £ 197 billion) at the current gold price. Some interesting insights from the video:
The video is only 6 minutes long but quite unique.
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| Gold Confiscation Lessons from the 20th Century Posted: 08 Dec 2012 06:09 AM PST Three nasty examples of how people lost the gold they owned... TODAY'S chatter in the trading rooms says some gold owners fear a punitive US tax hike in New Year 2013, with the Obama government targeting precious-metal investors. Hence this month's sell-off (or so the tittle-tattle says) – akin to the move by Japanese households to sell gold in late 2011 ahead of new reporting rules for precious-metals dealers. |
| Gold and Silver Investments and the Rise of False Contrarian Gurus Posted: 08 Dec 2012 06:04 AM PST The typical technical analysis based stock-slinging newsletter is written by a contrarian who denies market manipulation and often ridicules those who attempt to discuss it seriously and rationally. Furthermore, the degree of denial and hostility faced by proponents of market manipulation theories is usually directly proportional to the amount of evidence actually underpinning the issue. |
| Silver Investment Opportunity Time is Slipping Away Posted: 08 Dec 2012 06:02 AM PST Everything has been distorted by the media. Humanity may no longer believe that the sun revolves around the earth, but some people still think that they can control nature. Nevertheless, with all the truly breathtaking science that has resulted in great social progress and technological advancement, the mass distortions in perception caused by propaganda — including illegal, unethical and immoral media intervention — will resolve itself eventually. |
| Posted: 08 Dec 2012 05:53 AM PST Jan Skoyles looks at how the Euro might not be such a bad idea if it is the interim step to a return to the gold standard. Looking at a paper written by Jesus Huerta de Soto, she looks at the Austrian arguments for the UK joining the Euro, but concludes that the current path of central bank net gold investment and private citizens choosing to buy gold is more likely to be providing the first steps to the new gold standard. |
| Preppers Who Make Surviving The Apocalypse Even Less Fun Posted: 08 Dec 2012 01:15 AM PST ![]() Being forced to endure and survive a catastrophic macro event like a monetary or social collapse is perhaps one of the worst experiences I could imagine. Such a crisis leads to just about every crime and inhuman action in existence, and, the time required for a culture to right itself and rebuild is severely protracted. A hurricane or earthquake or tidal wave; these calamities are short lived and easy in comparison. The point is, as survivalists who are preparing to make an economic end-game scenario as "comfortable" to live through as we can, it is incumbent upon us to consider the kind of company we keep during the gambit. Some allies will make that mad world bearable; others will bring the madness to your doorstep Many preppers are aware of the dangers inherent in our progressively deteriorating nation. Unfortunately, some of them are completely unaware of the dangers inherent within themselves. Building a solid community of people to rely on during a collapse is absolutely essential, and the larger the group of liberty minded neighbors the better. But, if certain ground rules are not established from the very beginning, a rainbow of personal issues and character flaws could very well destroy years of effort. Care must be taken by all parties involved to ensure that internal conflicts remain at a minimum, and when they do arise, that each person is wise enough to resolve issues in an adult manner. I hate to say it, but you will inevitably run into some folks that are beyond compromise and beyond hope. Working with them is like pulling teeth…shark's teeth…from your jugular. Here are just a handful of powder keg personalities that will make the apocalypse more than a living hell for you and your friends if they manage to latch onto or take leadership in your survival watch… Read more.... This posting includes an audio/video/photo media file: Download Now |
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Gold closed up $3.70 to $1704.00. Silver remained unchanged at $33.04.

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