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Thursday, November 13, 2014

Gold World News Flash

Gold World News Flash


YOUR FRIENDLY NEIGHBORHOOD CRIMINAL BANK: Excerpts Prove FOREX Traders COLLUDED in Transactions With Colleagues at Other Banks.

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 11:00 PM PST

from The Point:

Traders of major banks fined $4.3 billion Wednesday for attempted manipulation of foreign exchange markets used electronic chat rooms to plot their moves.

Transcript excerpts of conversations released Wednesday by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission show traders from U.S. banks Citibank (C) and JPMorgan Chase (JPM), coordinated their currency trades with colleagues at Swiss banking giant UBS (UBS), London-based HSBC (HSBC) and other financial institutions.

The cryptic chats feature references to “cable” trades – shorthand for transactions involving the British Pound/U.S. Dollar exchange rate. The excerpts also show the traders often colluded to focus their moves on the daily 4 p.m. London time market “fix” – the most widely referenced time when world foreign exchange benchmarks are set.

Read More @ Thepoint.usatoday.com

Putin Is About To Rock The Gold, Oil & Currency Markets

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 09:01 PM PST

Today a legendary trader and investor, who recently called the bottom in the U.S. stock market with remarkable precision, gave King World News a stunning interview where he laid out exactly how Russian leader Vladimir Putin is about to rock the gold, oil, and currency markets. Victor Sperandeo has been in the business 45 years, and has worked with famous individuals such as Leon Cooperman and George Soros. Below are the warnings and predictions issued by Sperandeo.

This posting includes an audio/video/photo media file: Download Now

Swiss Regulator Fines UBS for Silver Price Manipulation so This is Now a Matter of Fact Not Speculation

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 08:40 PM PST

by Peter Cooper, Arabian Money:

The Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority found evidence of 'serious misconduct' by UBS employees in trading precious metals and most markedly in silver in an investigation of the bank's foreign exchange and precious metal trading operations, it emerged today. Traders have used electronic chat media to front run silver prices. That is to say traders have been illegally employing their knowledge of an upcoming silver transaction to profit from price-sensitive orders.

Like forex manipulation

'The behavior patterns in precious metals were somewhat similar to the behavior patterns in foreign exchange,' said Mark Branson, Finma CEO. 'We have also seen clear attempts to manipulate fixes in the precious metals markets.'

Read More @ ArabianMoney.com

Putin's trump card is to refuse dollars for Russian energy, Sperandeo tells KWN

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 08:23 PM PST

11:20p ET Wednesday, November 12, 2014

Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:

Picking up a theme long expressed by fund manager and geopolitical strategist James G. Rickards, market analyst Victor Sperandeo tonight tells King World News that all Russian President Vladimir Putin has to do to control the currency, energy, and commodity markets is to ban acceptance of U.S. dollars for purchase of Russian oil and gas. Timing such a move with the arrival of cold weather would make it even more effective, Sperandeo says. An excerpt from the interview is posted at the KWN blog here:

http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2014/11/13_P...

CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.



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United States: Voters Know Better than Economists

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 08:20 PM PST

by Philippe Herlin, Gold Broker:

What head of State would not dream of going into an election backed by 3.5% growth and 5.9% unemployment rate? That would surely insure victory over opponents… However, Barak Obama and the Democrats just lost the mid-term elections. They were already in minority in Congress and now they are sinking even deeper, losing their majority in the Senate in favour of the Republicans.

There is nothing unfair in these results. On the contrary, they simply show that manipulating statistics has its limits. The American people, unlike "economists", columnists and political leaders, know that unemployment is being grossly under-estimated, namely because millions of discouraged unemployed workers are not accounted for in the statistics. People also realise that the Fed's monetary printing experiment has created a "wealth effect" (QE is good for stocks and shareholders) generating a little growth, but that this growth remains fragile and bubble-like. The American people, in general, are not faring better since the 2008 crisis and there is no real economic recovery: they just let it be known to the politicians in place.

Read More @ Goldbroker.com

The Economic End Game Explained

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 07:22 PM PST

Submitted by Brandon Smith via Alt-Market.com,

Throughout history, in most cases of economic collapse the societies in question believed they were financially invincible just before their disastrous fall. Rarely does anyone see the edge of the cliff or even the bottom of the abyss before it has swallowed a nation whole. This lack of foresight, however, is not entirely the fault of the public. It is, rather, a consequence caused by the manipulation of the fundamental information available to the public by governments and social gatekeepers.

In the years leading up to the Great Depression, numerous mainstream “experts” and politicians were quick to discount the idea of economic collapse, and most people were more than ready to believe them. Equities markets were, of course, the primary tool used to falsely elicit popular optimism. When markets rose, even in spite of other very negative fiscal indicators, the masses were satisfied. In this way, stock markets have become a kind of dopamine switch financial elites can push at any given time to juice the citizenry and distract them from the greater perils of their economic future. During every upswing of stocks, the elites argued that the “corner had been turned,” when in reality the crisis had just begun. Nothing has changed since the crash of 1929. Just look at some of these quotes and decide if the rhetoric sounds familiar today:

John Maynard Keynes in 1927: “We will not have any more crashes in our time.”

 

H.H. Simmons, president of the New York Stock Exchange, Jan. 12, 1928: “I cannot help but raise a dissenting voice to statements that we are living in a fool’s paradise, and that prosperity in this country must necessarily diminish and recede in the near future.”

 

Irving Fisher, leading U.S. economist, The New York Times, Sept. 5, 1929: “There may be a recession in stock prices, but not anything in the nature of a crash.” And on 17, 1929: “Stock prices have reached what looks like a permanently high plateau. I do not feel there will be soon if ever a 50 or 60 point break from present levels, such as (bears) have predicted. I expect to see the stock market a good deal higher within a few months.”

 

W. McNeel, market analyst, as quoted in the New York Herald Tribune, Oct. 30, 1929: “This is the time to buy stocks. This is the time to recall the words of the late J. P. Morgan… that any man who is bearish on America will go broke. Within a few days there is likely to be a bear panic rather than a bull panic. Many of the low prices as a result of this hysterical selling are not likely to be reached again in many years.”

 

Harvard Economic Society, Nov. 10, 1929: “… a serious depression seems improbable; [we expect] recovery of business next spring, with further improvement in the fall.”

I hear nearly identical statements from pro-mainstream, pro-dollar skeptics all the time. And all of their assertions rest solely on the illusion of the Dow and the dollar index, not to mention statistics that are sourced from the very government that has much to gain by fooling the public into believing all is well.

In 2009, Paul Krugman, perhaps the worst and most famous economist of our age, lamented on the fact that no one in mainstream finance saw the derivatives and credit crash coming. Yet it is the same kinds of manipulative policies that Krugman champions that caused this collective ignorance in mainstream circles to begin with.

What the past proves, time and time again, is that establishment trained and educated economists are perhaps the most useless of all analysts. They are perpetually wrong. Only independent analysts have ever been able to predict anything of value as far as our economic future — not because they are psychic, but because they have the advantage of standing outside the foggy propaganda of brainwashed financial academia.

It also proves that the appearance of prosperity means nothing if the fundamentals do not support the optimism. That is to say, a bullish stock market, a high dollar index and a low unemployment percentage mean nothing if such stats are generated by false methods and fiat.  The fundamentals ALWAYS matter.  As we saw during the Great Depression, the markets cannot hide from reality forever.

I relate these points because the future I am about to suggest here might sound outlandish to some, because it is so contrary to the “official” accounting of our current financial world. It is important to remember that the mainstream, the majority, is almost always wrong and that the truth is very rarely accepted broadly until calamity has already fallen.

I outlined the hard facts behind the reality of economic downturn in my article “We Have Just Witnessed The Last Gasp Of The Global Economy.”

The bottom line is that the stock market, the greatest false indicator of all time, is on the verge of implosion; and the banking elites are positioning themselves to avoid blame for this implosion while the rest of us are being sold on the most elaborate recovery con-game ever conceived. But what is the purpose behind this con-game? Lies are generally only told by those who hope to gain something through deception. What do the elites hope to gain by creating a facade of recovery?

They have openly admitted to the public on numerous occasions EXACTLY what they want — namely, the institution of a truly global and centralized economic system revolving around a highly controlled world currency framework and dominated by a select cult of banking oligarchs. Anyone who claims that this is not the goal is either a liar or an uneducated fool.

I have covered the evidence supporting this program many times in the past, but it would seem with the precariously surreal nature of our world today that much needs repeating. In 1988, the financial magazine 'The Economist' published an article titled “Get ready for a world currency by 2018,” in which it outlined the framework for a global currency system called the “Phoenix” (a hypothetical title), administered by the International Monetary Fund by the year 2018, which would erase all national economic sovereignty and require governments to borrow from the world central banking authority, rather than print, in order to finance their infrastructure programs. This would mean total control by the IMF over member nations as they beg and plead for more capital under the global currency umbrella.

ecocover

If this sounds familiar, it is because I have been warning about the IMF takeover of the global monetary system for at least six years. The Economist actually admits that the Phoenix system would start out in the format of the Special Drawing Rights basket currency:

The phoenix would probably start as a cocktail of national currencies, just as the Special Drawing Right is today. In time, though, its value against national currencies would cease to matter, because people would choose it for its convenience and the stability of its purchasing power…

The plan is to introduce a basket currency system as an alternative to the dollar as world reserve, then slowly but surely phase out all sovereign currencies until the basket becomes a currency itself - the ONLY currency.  Former World Bank Chief Economist Justin Yifu Lin seems to agree with this ideology, arguing that national currencies must be replaced with a supranational currency, and pointing out that no single currency has the strength to stand alone as world reserve:

"I think the dominance of the greenback is the root cause of global financial and economic crises...The solution to this is to replace the national currency with a global currency..."

I would mention that a "Phoenix" rises from the ashes of calamity reborn.  What ashes are the elites expecting the new global currency to rise from?

It is important to note that 'The Economist' is not just any random financial publication; it is in large part owned by the Rothschild banking family and is based out of the London financial center, meaning, The Economist does not have to “guess” on the economic developments of the future; it has an inside track on exactly what is planned to occur.

You can see my more recent analysis on the IMF global currency scheme here.

A plan for global governance has also been touted by international elites over the years, the roots of which would supposedly begin around 2015. The Gorbachev Foundation, which boasts many American elites as members, has long predicted the rise of a global government. In 1995, the executive director of the foundation, Jim Garrison, had this to say to the San Francisco Weekly:

"Over the next 20 to 30 years, we are going to end up with world government. … It’s inevitable. It will happen and become just as normal to have a relationship with the rest of the world as we now have, say, if you are a Californian and you go to Vermont."

At the Gorbachev-led State of the World Forum in 1995, Council On Foreign Relations member Zbigniew Brzezinski had this to say:

“We do not have a New World Order. … We cannot leap into world government in one quick step. … In brief, the precondition for eventual globalization — genuine globalization — is progressive regionalization, because thereby we move toward larger, more stable, more cooperative units.”

Regionalization is already occurring as the BRIC nations form their own bilateral trade agreements and their own global bank, and this is by design.  The catalyst to trigger the end of the dollar and the dominance of a global currency system, I believe, will be the false East/West paradigm. I have seen an incredible array of analytic interpretations of the macro-economy by multiple mainstream and independent financial writers, but very few of them recognize that the conflict between the West and the eastern BRICS is nothing more than a farce. I have compiled a considerable profile of evidence on the reality that governments like Russia and China are actually complicit in the formation of a global currency and global government controlled by the IMF. You can see that evidence here, here and here.

China in particular has loudly pronounced a need for a global currency system to replace the dollar, and they have suggested that this system be controlled by the IMF:

The world economic crisis shows the "inherent vulnerabilities and systemic risks in the existing international monetary system," Gov. Zhou Xiaochuan said in an essay released Monday by the bank. He recommended creating a currency made up of a basket of global currencies and controlled by the International Monetary Fund and said it would help "to achieve the objective of safeguarding global economic and financial stability."

China is NOT anti-establishment or anti-new world order, nor is Russia. Eastern opposition to the NWO is a lie. Period. In fact, the BRICS have argued only for greater inclusion in the IMF system and have no intention of developing a legitimate alternative to “Western” globalization. If you do not understand that the BRICS are part of the NWO, not opposed to it, then you do not understand a thing.

With the BRICS on board with the plan for global currency, what is likely to happen over the course of the next few years if the schedule for an economic reset is on track for 2018?

As I outlined in my last article, the U.S. in particular has been prepped like a sacrificial lamb, with the populace for the most part oblivious to the extent of the threat. Middle-class wealth is being driven into bonds and will be driven more so by market declines, which will progress over the next few months. This “herding” of capital into bonds is only in preparation for the death of the dollar’s world reserve status, thus erasing what little savings were left among the common citizenry.

The ceremony initiating our nation’s fiscal destruction will likely take place in the near term. To achieve global centralization by 2018, the elites would need a serious crisis soon in order to provide the proper collective panic required to generate public consent for global economic governance in four years’ time.

The first, most important factor to consider is the fake conflict between the IMF and the U.S. Congress over the approval of IMF policy changes agreed upon in 2010. The U.S. has yet to officially sign off on the IMF policy measures that would bring more “inclusiveness” for developing nations like Russia and China, and this has led the IMF to assert that a move forward without the U.S. is necessary. IMF head Christine Lagarde is now demanding that Congress pass the reforms of 2010; but with the election of a predominantly Republican government, those reforms have little or no chance of being approved.

Lagarde recently joked that she would be willing to "belly dance" to get IMF reforms passed (I would pass them just to avoid the gut churning image of that belly dance), but the joke will ultimately be on the U.S. as IMF heads suggest that if the current Congress does not pass reforms by the end of this year, they will be forced to apply a "Plan B".  The details of this Plan B are not public.

It is now highly likely that the IMF will set policy WITHOUT the input of the U.S., as they have warned they would, crippling the assumptions by many that the IMF is somehow a “U.S.-owned institution.” It is actually the reverse; the IMF is setting the stage for ownership of the U.S. monetary structure, along with the Bank Of International Settlements, which appears to be the capstone of the NWO system.

The next IMF meeting on SDR inclusion is not set, but will probably take place in early 2015. It is expected that China and the Yuan will be officially added to the SDR basket. Gold should also be watched carefully. There is a reason why the BRICS have been accumulating thousands of tons of the precious metal. The IMF introduction of gold into the SDR basket is inevitable, and a new Bretton Woods style-agreement has already been called for by a number of elites.

The IMF has been openly discussing the ascension of the SDR to replace the dollar as the world reserve currency since at least 2011.

With developing nations already asking for help from the IMF due to volatility caused by the Fed taper and the BRICS well into their own programs to remove the dollar as the world reserve, the only question left is: How will the banks be able to accomplish the currency reset without taking blame for the resulting catastrophe that will no doubt bury the majority of middle-class and poor?

There is no way around it. The elites need a geopolitical disaster so overwhelming that all economic changes taking place in the background go completely unnoticed. They also need to set themselves up as the prognosticators and rescuing heroes in the midst of the coming chaos, as outlined in my last article.

I do not know what that disaster will specifically look like, because there are too many possibilities to consider. Think about this honestly, 10 years ago, would you or your friends and family have ever thought that the U.S. would be at war in Syria with a terrorist organization we created ourselves out of thin air? That we would be immersed in renewed tensions and the possibility of economic warfare with Russia? That our presidency would have attempted and failed the initiation of socialized healthcare? That our military would be tapped as a possible response force for domestic unrest? That an outbreak of Ebola would be suggested as a trigger for medical martial law?

How many conspiracies have been exposed in just the past few years? How many government crimes have hit the headlines and then disappeared? Benghazi, Fast and Furious, IRS targeting of activists, government-aided illegal immigration, etc. — a nonstop parade of corruption that few would have thought possible a decade ago. We are being boiled slowly, economically as well as politically. We are being conditioned to accept imminent crisis as a way of daily life, to become used to it and to blame these crises on hundreds of various scapegoats, but never the international banks.

And while the Titanic sinks, the band plays on, as mainstream pundits and dupes accuse independent analysts of “crying wolf.” The economic endgame is not about collapse alone. Collapse is nothing more than a process that ends abruptly only when public faith is finally lost. The endgame is about acceptance — the acceptance by the masses of a “new normal” in which financial and political terror become the foundation of daily life. The endgame is, first and foremost, about the psyche of mankind and its mutation into something unrecognizable. This kind of pervasive conditioning requires immeasurable fear. Our economic philosophy of sovereign trade and identity cannot be erased without it. The elites have already given us their timeline. The crash of 2008 was only the beginning of the program, and 2014-2015 looks to be the next stage. I have written hundreds of articles on how to prepare and diffuse the dangers of the impending reset, but the most important issue of all is that people understand the threat is at their doorstep. It’s not a few years off or a decade away; it’s here now. We are right in the middle of collapse, even if many cannot see it.  Watch global developments carefully, as market volatility increases and international conflicts escalate. Time is up.

Here’s what I think the financial system will look like in the future

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 07:20 PM PST

from Sovereign Man:

Thousands of years ago whenever the Pharaohs of Ancient Egypt passed away, they were buried with all of their gold in a specially constructed tomb. The idea was to ward off thieves with booby traps and other perils so that these perceived demigods could enjoy their riches for eternity. It worked. In the case of Tutankhamen, his gold was untouched by both thieves and desperate government tax collectors for thousands of years.

In the Pharaohs' day, gold was money. Today, it might be even more important than ever.

As advanced as our modern civilization may be, we've been playing with fire for more than a century. Every single experiment with unbacked paper money throughout history failed. And though today's economists like to think that 'this time is different,' our own experiment with paper money will share the same fate.

Read More @ SovereignMan.com

The Economic End Game Explained

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 06:40 PM PST

by Brandon Smith, Activist Post:

Throughout history, in most cases of economic collapse the societies in question believed they were financially invincible just before their disastrous fall. Rarely does anyone see the edge of the cliff or even the bottom of the abyss before it has swallowed a nation whole. This lack of foresight, however, is not entirely the fault of the public. It is, rather, a consequence caused by the manipulation of the fundamental information available to the public by governments and social gatekeepers.

In the years leading up to the Great Depression, numerous mainstream "experts" and politicians were quick to discount the idea of economic collapse, and most people were more than ready to believe them. Equities markets were, of course, the primary tool used to falsely elicit popular optimism. When markets rose, even in spite of other very negative fiscal indicators, the masses were satisfied.

Read More @ Activist Post

War-Making And Class-Conflict

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 06:29 PM PST

Submitted by Joseph Salerno via Ludwig von Mises Institute,

All governments past and present, regardless of their formal organization, involve the rule of the many by the few. In other words, all governments are fundamentally oligarchic. The reasons are twofold.

First, governments are nonproductive organizations and can only subsist by extracting goods and services from the productive class in their territorial domain. Thus the ruling class must remain a minority of the population if they are to continually extract resources from their subjects or citizens. Genuine "majority rule" on a permanent basis is impossible because it would result in an economic collapse as the tribute or taxes expropriated by the more numerous rulers deprived the minority engaged in peaceful productive activities of the resources needed to sustain and reproduce itself. Majority rule would therefore eventually bring about a violent conflict between factions of the previous ruling class, which would terminate with one group establishing oligarchic rule and economically exploiting its former confederates.

 

The second factor that renders oligarchic rule practically inevitable is related to the law of comparative advantage. The tendency toward division of labor and specialization based on the unequal endowment of skills pervades all sectors of human endeavor. Just as a small segment of the population is adept at playing professional football or dispensing financial advice, so a tiny fraction of the population tends to excel at wielding coercive power. As one writer summed up this Iron Law of Oligarchy: "[In] all human groups at all times there are the few who rule and the many who are ruled."

The inherently nonproductive and oligarchic nature of government thus ensures that all nations under political rule are divided into two classes: a productive class and a parasitic class or, in the apt terminology of the American political theorist John C. Calhoun, "taxpayers" and "tax-consumers."

The king and his court, elected politicians and their bureaucratic and special-interest allies, the dictator and his party apparatchiks — these are historically the tax-consumers and, not coincidentally, the war makers. War has a number of advantages for the ruling class.

First and foremost, war against a foreign enemy obscures the class conflict that is going on domestically in which the minority ruling class coercively siphons off the resources and lowers the living standards of the majority of the population, who produce and pay taxes. Convinced that their lives and property are being secured against a foreign threat, the exploited taxpayers develop a "false consciousness" of political and economic solidarity with their domestic rulers. An imperialist war against a weak foreign state, e.g., Grenada, Panama, Haiti, Iraq, Afghanistan, Iran, etc., is especially enticing to the ruling class of a powerful nation such as the United States because it minimizes the cost of losing the war and being displaced by domestic revolution or by the rulers of the victorious foreign state.

 

A second advantage of war is that it provides the ruling class with an extraordinary opportunity to intensify its economic exploitation of the domestic producers through emergency war taxes, monetary inflation, conscripted labor, and the like. The productive class generally succumbs to these increased depredations on its income and wealth with some grumbling but little real resistance because it is persuaded that its interests are one with the war makers. Also, in the short run at least, modern war appears to bring prosperity to much of the civilian population because it is financed in large part by money creation.

We thus arrive at a universal, praxeological truth about war. War is the outcome of class conflict inherent in the political relationship — the relationship between ruler and ruled, parasite and producer, tax-consumer and taxpayer. The parasitic class makes war with purpose and deliberation in order to conceal and ratchet up their exploitation of the much larger productive class. It may also resort to war making to suppress growing dissension among members of the productive class (libertarians, anarchists, etc.) who have become aware of the fundamentally exploitative nature of the political relationship and become a greater threat to propagate this insight to the masses as the means of communication become cheaper and more accessible, e.g., desktop publishing, AM radio, cable television, the Internet, etc. Furthermore, the conflict between ruler and ruled is a permanent condition. This truth is reflected — perhaps half consciously — in the old saying that equates death and taxes as the two unavoidable features of the human condition.

Thus, a permanent state of war or preparedness for war is optimal from the point of view of the ruling elite, especially one that controls a large and powerful state. Take the current US government as an example. It rules over a relatively populous, wealthy, and progressive economy from which it can extract ever larger boodles of loot without destroying the productive class. Nevertheless, it is subject to the real and abiding fear that sooner or later productive Americans will come to recognize the continually increasing burden of taxation, inflation, and regulation for what it really is — naked exploitation. So the US government, the most powerful mega-state in history, is driven by the very logic of the political relationship to pursue a policy of permanent war.

From "The War to Make the World Safe for Democracy" to "The War to End All Wars" to "The Cold War" and on to the current "War on Terror," the wars fought by US rulers in the twentieth century have progressed from episodic wars restricted to well-defined theaters and enemies to a war without spatial or temporal bounds against an incorporeal enemy named "Terror." A more appropriate name for this neoconservative-contrived war would involve a simple change in the preposition to a "War of Terror" — because the American state is terrified of productive, work-a-day Americans, who may someday awaken and put an end to its massive predations on their lives and property and maybe to the American ruling class itself.

In the meantime, the War on Terror is an open-ended imperialist war the likes of which were undreamt of by infamous war makers of yore from the Roman patricians to German National Socialists. The economist Joseph Schumpeter was one of the few non-Marxists to grasp that the primary stimulus for imperialist war is the inescapable clash of interests between rulers and ruled. Taking an early mega-state, Imperial Rome, as his example, Schumpeter wrote:

Here is the classic example ... of that policy which pretends to aspire to peace but unerringly generates war, the policy of continual preparation for war, the policy of meddlesome interventionism. There was no corner of the known world where some interest was not alleged to be in danger or under actual attack. If the interests were not Roman, they were those of Rome's allies; and if Rome had no allies, then allies would be invented. When it was utterly impossible to contrive such an interest — why, then it was national honor that had been insulted. The fight was always invested with an aura of legality. Rome was always being attacked by evil minded neighbors, always fighting for a breathing space. The whole world was pervaded by a host of enemies, and it was manifestly Rome's duty to guard against their indubitably aggressive designs. They were enemies who only waited to fall upon the Roman people. [No] attempt [can] be made to comprehend these wars of conquest from the point of view of concrete objectives. ... Thus there is but one way to an understanding: scrutiny of domestic class interests, the question of who stood to gain. ... Owing to its peculiar position as the democratic puppet of ambitious politicians and as the mouthpiece of a popular will inspired by the rulers [the Roman proletariat] did indeed get the benefit of the [war] booty. So long as there was good reason to maintain the fiction that the population of Rome constituted the Roman people and could decide the destinies of the empire, much did depend on its good temper. ... But again, the very existence, in such large numbers, of this proletariat, as well as its political importance, was the consequence of a social process that also explains the policy of conquest. For this was the causal connection: The occupation of public land and the robbery of peasant land formed the basis of a system of large estates, operating extensively and with slave labor. At the same time the displaced peasants streamed into the city and the soldiers remained landless — hence the war policy.

This lengthy quotation from Schumpeter vividly describes how the expropriation of peasants by the ruling aristocracy created a permanent and irreparable class division in Roman society that led to a policy of unrestrained imperialism and perpetual war. This policy was designed to submerge beneath a tide of national glory and war booty the deep-seated conflict of interests between expropriated proletarians and landed aristocracy.

Democracy and Imperialist War Making

Schumpeter's analysis explains the particularly strong propensity of democratic states to engage in imperialist war making and why the Age of Democracy has coincided with the Age of Imperialism. The term "democratic" is here being used in the broad sense that includes "totalitarian democracies" controlled by "parties" such as the Nationalist Socialist Workers Party in Germany and the Communist Party in the Soviet Union. These political parties, as opposed to purely ideological movements, came into being during the age of nationalist mass democracy that dawned in the late nineteenth century.

Because the masses in a democratic polity are deeply imbued with the ideology of egalitarianism and the myth of majority rule, the ruling elites who control and benefit from the state recognize the utmost importance of concealing its oligarchic and exploitative nature from the masses. Continual war making against foreign enemies is a perfect way to disguise the naked clash of interests between the taxpaying and tax-consuming classes.

Kiev Preparing For An All Out Offensive Which Will Lead To War

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 06:01 PM PST

 The people in the UK have had enough with austerity. Mortgage application plunge once again, which show Real Estate is in a death spiral. The Western countries are selling gold, meanwhile China and Russia are stockpiling gold. Obamacare was designed as a scam. Obama wants to regulate the...

[[ This is a content summary only. Visit http://www.newsbooze.com or http://www.figanews.com for full links, other content, and more! ]]

Did The BoJ Quietly Peg The Yen To Gold?

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 05:57 PM PST

For 14 years, as Japan's economic demise grew more and more evident, its currency devalued relative to gold (the only non-fiat numeraire). When Abenomics began, the trend began to stabilize... but for the last year or so - as The Fed tapered - JPY and Gold have practically flatlined around 132,000 JPY per ounce. This 'odd' stability stands in strangely stark contrast to the volatility and trends in the USD, JPY, and Gold over this period. Even amid the collapse in JPY in recent weeks, it has remained firmly inside a 3% envelope of the 'peg'.

 

A long trend of JPY fiat devaluation as Japan's lost decades are priced in...

 

Then odd stability...

 

Of course, this is conjecture, but doesn't it seem a little odd that with all the hot money flows and violent swings in the last year around the world, that this relationship has been for all intent and purpose - flat and managed.

 

Charts: Bloomberg

Coast To Coast AM - November 11, 2014 The Nature of Angels

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 05:30 PM PST

Coast To Coast AM - November 11, 2014 The Nature of Angels The Financial Armageddon Economic Collapse Blog tracks trends and forecasts , futurists , visionaries , free investigative journalists , researchers , Whistelblowers , truthers and many more

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24 Reasons Why Millennials Are Screaming Mad About America's "Unfair" Economy

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 05:28 PM PST

Submitted by Michael Snyder via The Economic Collapse blog,

Do you want to know why Millennials seem so angry?  We promised them that if they worked hard, stayed out of trouble and got good grades that they would be able to achieve the "American Dream".  We told them not to worry about accumulating very high levels of student loan debt because there would be good jobs waiting for them at the end of the rainbow once they graduated.  Well, it turns out that we lied to them.  Nearly half of all Millennials are spending at least half of their paychecks to pay off debt, more than 30 percent of them are living with their parents because they can't find decent jobs, and this year the homeownership rate for Millennials sunk to a brand new all-time low.  When you break U.S. adults down by age, our long-term economic decline has hit the Millennials the hardest by far.  And yet somehow we expect them to bear the burden of providing Medicare, Social Security and other social welfare benefits to the rest of us as we get older.  No wonder there is so much anger and frustration among our young people.  The following are 24 reasons why Millennials are screaming mad about our unfair economy...

#1 The current savings rate for Millennials is negative 2 percent.  Yes, you read that correctly.  Not only aren't Millennials saving any money, they are actually spending a good bit more than they are earning every month.

#2 A survey conducted earlier this year found that 47 percent of all Millennials are using at least half of their paychecks to pay off debt.

#3 For U.S. households that are headed up by someone under the age of 40, average wealth is still about 30 percent below where it was back in 2007.

#4 In 2005, the homeownership rate for U.S. households headed up by someone under the age of 35 was approximately 43 percent.  Today, it is sitting at about 36 percent.

#5 One recent survey discovered that an astounding 31.1 percent of all U.S. adults in the 18 to 34-year-old age bracket are currently living with their parents.

#6 At this point, the top 0.1 percent of all Americans have about as much wealth as the bottom 90 percent of all Americans combined.  Needless to say, there aren't very many Millennials in that top 0.1 percent.

#7 Since Barack Obama has been in the White House, close to 40 percent of all 27-year-olds have spent at least some time unemployed.

#8 Only about one out of every five 27-year-olds owns a home at this point, and an astounding 80 percent of all 27-year-olds are paying off debt.

#9 In 2013, the ratio of what men in the 18 to 29-year-old age bracket were earning compared to what the general population was earning reached an all-time low.

#10 Back in the year 2000, 80 percent of all men in their late twenties had a full-time job.  Today, only 65 percent do.

#11 In 2012, one study found that U.S. families that have a head of household that is under the age of 30 have a poverty rate of 37 percent.

#12 Another study released back in 2011 discovered that U.S. households led by someone 65 years of age or older are 47 times wealthier than U.S. households led by someone 35 years of age or younger.

#13 Half of all college graduates in America are still financially dependent on their parents when they are two years out of college.

#14 In 1994, less than half of all college graduates left school with student loan debt.  Today, it is over 70 percent.

#15 At this point, student loan debt has hit a grand total of 1.2 trillion dollars in the United States.  That number has grown by about 84 percent just since 2008.

#16 According to the Pew Research Center, nearly four out of every ten U.S. households that are led by someone under the age of 40 are currently paying off student loan debt.

#17 In 2008, approximately 29 million Americans were paying off student loan debt.  Today, that number has ballooned to 40 million.

#18 Since 2005, student loan debt burdens have absolutely exploded while salaries for young college graduates have actually declined

The problem developing is that earnings and debt aren’t moving in the same direction. From 2005 to 2012, average student loan debt has jumped 35%, adjusting for inflation, while the median salary has actually dropped by 2.2%.

#19 According to CNN, 260,000 Americans with a college or professional degree made at or below the federal minimum wage last year.

#20 Even after accounting for inflation, the cost of college tuition increased by 275 percent between 1970 and 2013.

#21 In the years to come, much of the burden of paying for Medicare for our aging population will fall on Millennials.  It is being projected that the number of Americans on Medicare will grow from 50.7 million in 2012 to 73.2 million in 2025.  In addition, it has been estimated that Medicare is facing unfunded liabilities of more than 38 trillion dollars over the next 75 years.  That comes to approximately $328,404 for every single household in the United States.

#22 In the years to come, much of the burden of paying for our exploding Medicaid system will fall on Millennials.  Today, more than 70 million Americans are on Medicaid, and it is being projected that Obamacare will add 16 million more Americans to the Medicaid rolls.

#23 In the years to come, much of the burden of paying for our massive Ponzi scheme known as Social Security will fall on Millennials.  Right now, there are more than 63 million Americans collecting Social Security benefits.  By 2035, that number is projected to soar to an astounding 91 million.  In 1945, there were 42 workers for every retiree receiving Social Security benefits.  Today, that number has fallen to 2.5 workers, and if you eliminate all government workers, that leaves only 1.6 private sector workers for every retiree receiving Social Security benefits.

#24 Our national debt is currently sitting at a grand total of $17,937,617,036,693.09.  It is on pace to roughly double during the Obama years, and Millennials are expected to service that debt for the rest of their lives.

Yes, there are certainly some Millennials that are flat broke because they are lazy and irresponsible.

But there are many others that have tried to do everything right and still find that they can't get any breaks.  For example, Bloomberg recently shared the story of a young couple named Jason and Jessica Alinen...

The damage inflicted on U.S. households by the collapse of the housing market and recession wasn’t evenly distributed. Just ask Jason and Jessica Alinen.

 

The couple, who live near Seattle, declared bankruptcy in 2011 when the value of the house they then owned plunged to less than $200,000 from the $349,000 they paid for it four years earlier, just as the economic slump was about to start. Jason even stopped getting haircuts to save money.

 

“We thought we’d have a white picket fence, two kids, two dogs, and we’d have $100,000 in equity,” said Jason, 33, who does have two children. “It’s just really frustrating.”

Can you identify with them?

Most young Americans just want to work hard, buy a home and start a family.

But for millions of them, that dream might as well be a million miles away right now.

Unfortunately, most of them have absolutely no idea why this has happened.

Many of them end up blaming themselves.  Many of them think that they are not talented enough or that they didn't work hard enough or that they don't know the right people.

What they don't know is that the truth is that decades of incredibly foolish decisions are starting to catch up with us in a major way, and they just happen to be caught in the crossfire.

Sadly, instead of becoming informed about what is happening to our country, a very large percentage of our young people are absolutely addicted to entertainment instead.

Below, I want to share with you a video that I recently came across.  You can find it on YouTube right here.  A student at Texas Tech University recently asked some of her classmates a series of questions.  When they were asked about Brad Pitt or Jersey Shore they knew the answers right away.  But when they were asked who won the Civil War or who the current Vice-President of the United States is, they deeply struggled.  I think that this video says a lot about where we are as a society today...

 

Gold has never been so much in backwardation, Turk tells King World News

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 05:23 PM PST

8:25p ET Wednesday, November 12, 2014

Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:

GoldMoney founder and GATA consultant tells King World News tonight that gold has never been as backwardated as it is now and that a rally in the gold price always follows backwardation. An excerpt from the interview is posted at the KWN blog here:

http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2014/11/12_T...

CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.



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http://www.minesandmoney.com/london/

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http://gata.org/node/wallstreetjournal

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Bud Conrad: 'Paper gold' and its effect on the gold price

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 05:16 PM PST

8:16p ET Wednesday, November 12, 2014

Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:

Casey Research's chief economist, Bud Conrad, reports today that the gold futures market on the New York Commodity Exchange is so concentrated that 98.5 percent of the gold delivered to the market last month came from only three banks -- Barclays, Bank of Nova Scotia, and HSBC -- and 98 percent of the deliveries were taken by just one bank, Barclays.

"The opportunity for distorting the price of gold in an environment with so few players is obvious," Conrad writes. "Barclays knows 98 percent of the buyers and is supplying 35 percent of the gold."

Of course the opportunity for gold market rigging is not yet obvious to the founder of Casey Research, Doug Casey, who argues that all markets are manipulated, that it's no big deal, that central banks have no interest in gold, and it wouldn't matter if they did have any interest because they're all irrelevant anyway. But then Conrad does the research at Casey Research and Casey merely supplies the ideology and opinions, and if the research doesn't fit the ideology and opinions, it's irrelevant too.

Conrad's report is headlined "'Paper Gold' and Its Effect on the Gold Price" and it's posted at the Casey Research Internet site here:

http://www.caseyresearch.com/articles/paper-gold-and-its-effect-on-the-g...

CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.



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Join GATA here:

Mines and Money London
Business Design Centre
London, England, U.K.
Monday-Friday, December 1-5, 2014

http://www.minesandmoney.com/london/

Vancouver Resource Investment Conference
Vancouver Convention Centre West
1055 Canada Place, Vancouver, British Columbia, Cananda
Sunday-Monday, January 18-19,2015

http://cambridgehouse.com/event/33/vancouver-resource-investment-confere...

* * *

Support GATA by purchasing DVDs of our London conference in August 2011 or our Dawson City conference in August 2006:

http://www.goldrush21.com/order.html

Or by purchasing a colorful GATA T-shirt:

http://gata.org/tshirts

Or a colorful poster of GATA's full-page ad in The Wall Street Journal on January 31, 2009:

http://gata.org/node/wallstreetjournal

Help keep GATA going

GATA is a civil rights and educational organization based in the United States and tax-exempt under the U.S. Internal Revenue Code. Its e-mail dispatches are free, and you can subscribe at:

http://www.gata.org

To contribute to GATA, please visit:

http://www.gata.org/node/16

The Federal Reserve Is a Cartel - G. Edward Griffin

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 04:28 PM PST

G. Edward Griffin discusses the trajectory of the US dollar and the country's political direction with Casey Research Chief Metals & Mining Strategist Louis James during the recently concluded conference, Navigating the Politicized Economy. The Financial Armageddon Economic Collapse Blog...

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The Gold Price Closed at $1,158.90 Down $3.90

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 03:50 PM PST

12-Nov-14PriceChange% Change
Gold Price, $/oz1,158.90-3.90-0.34%
Silver Price, $/oz15.62-0.05-0.29%
Gold/Silver Ratio74.198-0.036-0.05%
Silver/Gold Ratio0.01350.00000.05%
Platinum Price1,205.80-0.20-0.02%
Palladium Price773.306.450.84%
S&P 5002,038.25-1.43-0.07%
Dow17,612.20-2.70-0.02%
Dow in GOLD $s314.161.010.32%
Dow in GOLD oz15.200.050.32%
Dow in SILVER oz1,127.613.070.27%
US Dollar Index87.900.290.33%

The GOLD PRICE dropped $3.90 (0.28%) at $1,158.90; the SILVER PRICE fell 4.5 cents to $15.619.

This won't do. Silver and GOLD PRICES are stalled here and if they can't get passed these recent highs at $1,170 - $1,172 and $15.88. Hanging around here only burns up purchasing power, morale, and enthusiasm. In markets as in life, if you're not moving forward you're falling behind.

Silver coin premiums won't shut up and strongly shout for a rally.

US and UK regulators have fined UBS, HSBC, Citigroup, JP Morgan Chase, and Royal Back of Scotland $3.4 billion (average $680 mn each) for "allegedly" manipulating currency markets. But if it's only "alleged," why did they agree to pay all that dough? I note that no one went to jail, nor were there any indictments. Don't y'all think that's odd, that none of the hanchos in these giant banks are ever brought up on criminal charges? I reckon there must be 2 sets of laws, one for them, and one for us peons.

Stocks bounced off that overhead resistance today. Dow shrank back 2.7 (0.02%) to 17,612.20. S&P lost 0.07% (1.43) to 2,038.25. Watch for a sharp decline.

US dollar index rose 29 basis points today after losing 29 basis points yesterday. Closed at 87.90. Still trending down.

Euro lost 0.28% to $1.2436, wiping out yesterday's gains. Yen bounced up 0.22% and ended at 86.53.

Sorry to leave y'all short tonight, but I must keep an appointment.

Aurum et argentum comparenda sunt -- -- Gold and silver must be bought.

- Franklin Sanders, The Moneychanger
The-MoneyChanger.com

© 2014, The Moneychanger. May not be republished in any form, including electronically, without our express permission. To avoid confusion, please remember that the comments above have a very short time horizon. Always invest with the primary trend. Gold's primary trend is up, targeting at least $3,130.00; silver's primary is up targeting 16:1 gold/silver ratio or $195.66; stocks' primary trend is down, targeting Dow under 2,900 and worth only one ounce of gold or 18 ounces of silver. or 18 ounces of silver. US $ and US$-denominated assets, primary trend down; real estate bubble has burst, primary trend down.

WARNING AND DISCLAIMER. Be advised and warned:

Do NOT use these commentaries to trade futures contracts. I don't intend them for that or write them with that short term trading outlook. I write them for long-term investors in physical metals. Take them as entertainment, but not as a timing service for futures.

NOR do I recommend investing in gold or silver Exchange Trade Funds (ETFs). Those are NOT physical metal and I fear one day one or another may go up in smoke. Unless you can breathe smoke, stay away. Call me paranoid, but the surviving rabbit is wary of traps.

NOR do I recommend trading futures options or other leveraged paper gold and silver products. These are not for the inexperienced.

NOR do I recommend buying gold and silver on margin or with debt.

What DO I recommend? Physical gold and silver coins and bars in your own hands.

One final warning: NEVER insert a 747 Jumbo Jet up your nose.

Brazil Builds Its Own Fiber-Optic Network... To Avoid The NSA

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 03:28 PM PST

Submitted by Simon Black via Sovereign Man blog,

This past week Brazil announced that it will be building a 3,500-mile fiber-optic cable to Portugal in order to avoid the grip of the NSA.

What’s more, they announced that not a penny of the $185 million expected to be spent on the project will go to American firms, simply because they don’t want to take any chances that the US government will tap the system.

It’s incredible how far now individuals, corporations, and even governments are willing to go to protect themselves from the government of the Land of the Free.

The German government, especially upset by the discovery of US spying within its borders, has come up with a range of unique methods to block out prying ears.

They have even gone so far as to play classical music loudly over official meetings so as to obfuscate the conversation for any outside listeners.

They’ve also seriously contemplated the idea of returning back to typewriters to eliminate the possibilities of computer surveillance.

More practically, the government of Brazil has banned the use of Microsoft technologies in all government offices, something that was also done in China earlier this year.

The Red, White, and Blue Scare has now replaced the Red Scare of the Cold War era. And it comes at serious cost.

From Brazil’s rejection of American IT products alone, it is estimated that American firms will lose out on over $35 billion in revenue over the next two years.

Thus, as the foundation of the country’s moral high-ground begins to falter, so does its economic strength.

The irony should not be lost on anyone; on a day when Americans celebrate their veterans’ courage in fighting against the forces of tyranny in the world, we find yet another example of where the rest of the world sees the source of tyranny today.

It’s amazing how much things have changed.

In the past, the world trusted America with so much responsibility.

The US dollar was the world’s reserve currency. The US banking system formed the foundation of the global banking system. US technology became the backbone of the global Internet.

But the US government has been abusing this trust for decades.

Today the rest of the world realizes they no longer need to rely on the US as they once did.

And in light of so much abuse and mistrust, they’re eagerly creating their own solutions.

Just imagine—if Brazil is building its own fiber optic cable to avoid the NSA, it stands to reason that they would create their own alternatives in the financial system to directly compete with the IMF and the US dollar.

Oh wait, they’re already doing that too. Fool me twice, shame on me.

The 1937 Recession

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 03:06 PM PST

Submitted by Stephen Lewis of admisi

The 1937 Recession

The US Federal Reserve terminated its latest programme of bond purchases at the end of last month.  Though Fed officials have been at pains to point out that this did not represent a tightening in monetary policy, but at most a halt in the supply of monetary stimulus, financial market participants are not wholly convinced.  They fear the shift in Fed policy is occurring before US economic growth is firmly established.  They worry that the US economy will slip back into recession from lack of adequate monetary support.  Some of them cite the example of 1937-38 when the US suffered a severe downturn in business activity four years into its recovery from the Great Depression.  This they attribute to an untimely tightening in the Fed's policy-stance.  They argue that Ms Yellen and her colleagues could be repeating the mistake of their predecessors eighty years ago.

Nowadays, events in the US economy in the 1930s are seen primarily through the prism of 'A Monetary History of the United States, 1867-1960' by Milton Friedman and Anna Schwartz.  This is certainly a work that greatly influenced Mr Bernanke in his responses to the policy challenges he faced after 2008.  The financial markets largely accept the Friedman/Schwartz view that the troubles of the Great Depression and its aftermath were the consequence of faulty monetary policies.  However, we should remember that the Friedman/Schwartz work was not entirely objective; it was produced in support of their thesis that monetary variables are the key to short-term economic fluctuations.  It is not surprising, then, that their account of the 1930s experience points to that conclusion.  It attaches overwhelming weight to central bank monetary policy in generating and dampening these fluctuations, while overlooking what may be other significant influences.  When, in 2008, the global economy plunged into a crisis widely acknowledged as the most dangerous since the 1930s, the Friedman/Schwartz analysis naturally gained influence, as a text relevant to such situations, and with that came the current assumption that central bank monetary policy sufficiently determines whether or not an economy will achieve sustained growth with stable prices.   It also seems to many observers, especially in the financial markets where historical analyses are received second-hand, that central banks ought to be on guard to avoid repeating errors they are believed to have committed all those years ago.  This is why there is now a strong focus on the Fed's supposed contribution in precipitating the severe recession of 1937/38.

The setback to US economic activity in 1937-38 was no small matter.  The unemployment rate rose from 14.3% to 19.0%, as manufacturing output suffered a peak-to-trough fall of 37% and personal incomes declined by 15%.  By comparison, during the Great Depression in the USA, unemployment had risen from 3% to 21%, industrial production had dropped by 45% and personal incomes by 44%.  (It is worth noting that the post-2008 downturn did not generate statistics anything like the order of magnitude of those relating to either of these episodes, except that labour-shedding was on roughly the same scale as in 1937-38).  The monetarist analysis sees the 1937 downturn as a consequence of premature tightening in US central bank policy, starting in August 1936.  In the previous year, the reserves held by banks had built up to more than twice the legal requirement, a circumstance that unsettled Marriner Eccles, then Fed Chairman.  His concern and that of other Fed and US Treasury officials was that the reserves overhang could prove inflationary or result in asset bubbles, as it gave banks massive scope to step up their lending.  Consequently, the Fed decided, over three stages, to double the level of the reserve requirements.  This is the action that, according to the monetarist account, triggered the 1937-38 recession.  To be sure, there was the appropriate temporal relationship between the Fed's move and the economic downturn, with the former coming before the latter.  However, while the data is scanty, it does not appear that the tightening of reserve requirements was the decisive factor, since the lending behaviour of member banks after the policy-move was similar to that of unaffected non-member banks.  If higher reserve requirements had made a substantial difference to banks' lending behaviour, member banks should have been more constrained than non-member banks.  The monetarist account of these events is not all that persuasive.

We should bear in mind that the financial structure in the mid-1930s was, in important respects, different from today's.   One important difference lay in the relative importance of gold to the monetary system.  The USA went off the gold standard in 1933 but under the Gold Reserve Act in January 1934, the Roosevelt Administration withdrew gold coin from circulation and fixed the US dollar price of gold at $35/oz.  At that price, gold flooded into the USA from the increasingly troubled states of Europe, thereby increasing the US money supply.  The rising liquidity in US capital markets boosted asset prices and encouraged speculative activity.  As a result, there was widespread misallocation of capital.  Belatedly, the US Treasury moved to sterilise the monetary effects of these inflows of gold.  As the flow of liquidity to the markets was cut off, the unproductive character of much of the financial investment during the recovery years was made manifest.  The economy thereupon peaked and went into a slide. 

This Austrian School interpretation of events fits the facts rather better than the monetarist account.  The lesson for policymakers today is uncomfortable.  For, on this view, if there is a parallel with the 1930s, the damage has already been done.  It was done when the Fed allowed funds available for investment in capital markets to balloon, not this time through unsterilized gold inflows but through its QE experiment. 

There are, indeed, other factors that may have led to the 1937-38 recession.  Contrary to popular belief, the Roosevelt fiscal policy up to 1937 was aimed at balance; only in response to the recession did the Administration resort to Keynesian pump-priming.  Fiscal policy was far looser in the aftermath of the 2008 debacle than it was from 1933 onwards.  This should warn us against assuming too close a parallel between the two periods.

Yra Harris On Official Swiss Objections To the Gold Referendum

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 03:00 PM PST

Le Cafe Américain

The Number One Misconception About the Banking System — and Why You Should Care

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 02:29 PM PST

This post The Number One Misconception About the Banking System — and Why You Should Care appeared first on Daily Reckoning.

Modern Monetary Theory, very simply, looks at how the government spends. How the government spends, how it interacts with the central bank. How the central bank interacts with the Treasury, interacts with the banking system. So the first part of MMT is really descriptive. It’s how the system actually works. In the second part of MMT, they have policy conclusions, which you can debate one way or the other, but the descriptive work is what I find most valuable.

This is because for most people, the way they think the system works, it’s not the way the system actually works. So the classic example is QE, or quantitative easing, where the central bank is buying Treasury securities for example, and are replacing them with a deposit.

If you look at what most people think about quantitative easing, is they immediately think that the government is printing a lot of money, and that this is inflationary. But if you actually look at the mechanics of how it works, what really happens is that QE, if anything if has a deflationary bias, and a contractionary bias.

Because what it does is it deprives the private sector of a lot of interest income they would have earned otherwise. It’s, in effect, taking money that's in this savings account, and moving it into a checking account. Or instead of earning a higher yield of interest, you’re earning much less interest.

That's one area where I think that it has been most helpful as an investor because most people are expecting that it will either lead to the dollar to collapse, or the lead to hyperinflation. If you look at the actual transactions and how they happen, you would come to the conclusion that's not possible.

DR_11-11-14_Scary

Everybody – our readers especially — have seen that chart, which shows the huge increase in excess reserves in the banking system since QE.
So naturally, people think: well, you know, as soon as those reserves leak out into the private sector, you’re going to have massive inflation.

And I thought the same, until sometime around early 2013, where I started to really revaluate everything that I thought about the banking system and how it worked. Because nothing that people were predicting would happen, happened.

In fact, the opposite happened.

Rates didn't go up, rates went down. Gold didn't go up, gold went down. Treasure yields are still falling at 2 percent. And the hyperinflation everyone thought was nowhere near.

So I started to reexamine all those assumptions. And because of this reexamination, I think there are many things I’ve learned, but if I had to boil down the one thing I would tell you to remember is that loans create deposits. Banks don't lend deposits.

On the macro view, when you’re looking at the macro economy, just because there are tremendous amount of excess reserves in the banking system, doesn't meant that those are going to leak out into the private sector.

In fact, whether the excess reserves are there or not, it does not change the banking system's ability to make a new loan. It has no impact. So whether they had $3 trillion in excess reserves, or they had zero in excess reserves, it doesn't impact the banking system's ability to create new money and make new loans.

And once you understand that, then you start to think: ah ha, this is why we’re not seeing that kind of hyperinflation that people might have expected with quantitative easing because it’s trapped up there in the banking system and there isn't a mechanism for it to get out. It’s not possible.

[Ed. Note: For the last year or so, Chris Mayer has been extolling the virtues of the Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) -- and now it's your turn! We want to know: What's YOUR take on Modern Monetary Theory? Tell us in the comment section, below!]

The post The Number One Misconception About the Banking System — and Why You Should Care appeared first on Daily Reckoning.

Why the Dollar’s Reserve Currency Status is America’s “Achilles Heel”

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 01:39 PM PST

This post Why the Dollar’s Reserve Currency Status is America’s “Achilles Heel” appeared first on Daily Reckoning.

[Ed. Note: While most pundits and self-proclaimed experts herald modern central bankers as "saviors of the economy," there are a few dissenting voices who know better. We've featured many of them in the pages of the Daily Reckoning before. But below, Marc Faber quotes a rare member the mainstream financial sector who -- rather than being a cheerleader for the establishment -- isn't afraid to call out the Fed for its hazardous monetary policy. Read on...]

Ned Goodman (born in 1937) is a successful entrepreneur (by background a geologist) and a philanthropist who also happens to be a billionaire, thanks to his Dundee Group of Financial, Resource and Real Estate Investments, which he founded in 1991.

He is also a deep thinker, and a man with common sense and a vast knowledge. Every year, Goodman airs his insightful views in a lengthy paper (the 2013 write-up was over 90 pages) published as part of Dundee's annual report. In the 2013 report, he explains:

In Dundee's initial Annual Report for the year 1991, dated May 11, 1992, I wrote that our investment philosophy encompassed fundamental principles and was totally oriented toward value. I stated that it was essential that we understood the business before we invested, and that we looked to purchase assets that were likely to increase in value by at least 150% over a five-year period.

We knew from past experience that we must understand how to sell before we buy, and that always requires the establishment of a selling target along with a plan of action for achieving that target… The Clarkson Centre for Business Ethics and Board Effectiveness (CCBE) report of 2013 showed that we were able to achieve a 20- year share price return of 18% per annum for our shareholders, while increasing the market price of our stock by more than 30 times over that period. I can assure current shareholders that not one part of our process and philosophy has changed since 1991…

Of the US economy, which he calls (appropriately, in my view) the "Botox" economy, he writes:

I am currently reading an excellent book by Hunter Lewis entitled Where Keynes Went Wrong: And Why World Governments Keep Creating Inflation, Bubbles, and Busts. John Maynard Keynes came up with the idea that a government could take the edge off a business recession by making more credit available when money was tight, and by spending more money to make up for lack of spending on the part of consumers and business people.

He even whimsically suggested the idea of hiding bottles of cash around town where people might find them and spend the money; thereby, causing a revival of the economy. Much of the tactics that former Fed chairman Ben Bernanke suggested, he could do in a similar vein by dropping money from a helicopter. Obviously the politicians of those days, and indeed even today, like the program of allowing government to meddle in private affairs on a grand scale. President Barack Obama is a big-time Keynesian money spender today.

But, even today, it does not seem to bother anyone in officialdom that the whole idea was actually stupid and is truly a scam.

Nobody seems concerned about the question: where does this new money come from? Whose money was it? What makes those economists think that they know better? Are not politicians supposed to work within political means rather than economic means?

There are many instances in life where we are given two ways Harold Laski to get what we want. There are honest ways and dishonest ways. There are economic means and there are political means. There is persuasion and there is force. There are civilized ways and there are barbaric ways.

But when economists undertake to get people to do what they want, either by offering them money that is not their own, by defrauding them with artificially low interest rates, or by printing money that is not backed by anything of real value (such as gold or silver), it can be said that they are using political means to achieve their goals.

There are today a large group of us "non-Keynesians" who believe that these economists have crossed to the dark side. Let us face it, if the National Assembly could make people rich simply by passing laws, we would all be billionaires.

Where Keynes' meddling and President Obama's usage of the Keynesian approach is of greatest danger is in the U.S. dollar being today accepted as the reserve currency of the entire world. At a time when the world is undergoing momentous changes in Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, Asia and Russia, how long can the National Assembly of the U.S. allow the Fed to go on printing dollars that are not earned and not backed by anything other than faith that they will print more if you want to cash in your Treasury bills?

How much longer will the U.S. be allowed to use the "scam" of printing reserve currency dollars and continue to have them accepted by equally smart but richer members of the world, such as China, Russia and the rest of the BRICS community? This is when we will find out where Keynes went wrong and why the world's governments will not allow the U.S. and other countries to keep creating inflation, bubbles and busts by printing too much "paper" money.

Without the belief of the U.S. dollar as an acceptable world reserve currency, the U.S. is a bankrupt nation. The reserve currency is that country's Achilles heel, and the stock and bond markets are not prepared for the consequences of the U.S. dollar no longer being a reserve currency.

Let us go back to 2008, when the world's financial system failed and the world governments intervened decisively. President Obama was guided by many economists with impeccable credentials. The intention was to not only stimulate the economy, but to "jolt" it back to the schemata of borrowing and spending as usual.

Critics (me among them) asked: "Doesn't the root problem lie in the fact that Americans have already borrowed too much, and are now taking on more with the U.S. government's attempts to relieve the country of its debt and deficit problems? Should the U.S. be allowed by its global neighbours to continue to print paper at will that has the unique advantage of being accepted by all as a reserve currency?"

If Keynesian economics are wrong and only lead to inflation, bubbles and economic busts, then so are the economic policies of President Obama, Ben Bernanke and virtually all world governments who remain friendly with the U.S. today. What happens when, like China and Russia, they all wake up to the fact that the U.S. dollar is not worthy of being a reserve currency and the U.S. is left to borrow from its own population, many of whom are unemployed, short of spending money and over- leveraged with debt?

Throughout my 50-year career, I have subscribed to a creative habit of always thinking about the end before starting the beginning. The story goes that Pope Leo X heard Leonardo da Vinci was experimenting with the formulas for varnishes instead of executing a painting.

The Pope declared, "This man will never do anything, for he begins thinking about the end before beginning his work." However, it is amply clear Leonardo understood that the better you learn the nuts and bolts of your craft, the more fully you can express your talents.

The great painters of the world are incomparable draftsmen. They know how to mix their own paint, grind it, add the fixative — no task is too small to be worthy of their attention.

Great composers are usually dazzling musicians. They have to know their instrument and their abilities before they make the effort to play the tune in their heads.

The same can be said about great chefs who can chop and dice better than anyone else in the kitchen. And, the best writers are well-read people. They have a rich appreciation for words and vocabulary, and a keen ear for language and grammar.

I also know that a successful entrepreneur and investor must be able to do anything — develop a product, design an ad campaign, close a deal, and placate an unhappy customer as well as, if not better than, those who work for him or her.

Creativity is good, but craft is more important, and skill gives you the wherewithal to execute whatever occurs to you. As Picasso once said while admiring an exhibition of children's art, "When I was their age I could draw like Raphael, but it has taken a whole lifetime to draw like them."

Goodman then quoted libertarian Charles Goyette (who cooperates with Ron Paul and writes a newsletter entitled Charles Goyette's Freedom and Prosperity Letter.) According to Goyette:

They Saved the Economy (But Have You Been to the Grocery Store?)

It reminds me of that great Groucho Marx line: "Who are you going to believe, me or your lying eyes?" A week ago, the Consumer Price Index numbers for April were reported. They showed that over 12 months, the CPI had climbed 2%. But food prices were the attention getter, reported to have risen 0.4% for the month. Annualize that. It's hard to take government numbers seriously when confronted with the evidence of our own eyes.

Just yesterday I was dispatched to Safeway to pick up a few things. As soon as I got home, my wife noticed that a large carton of Safeway's Lucerne brand cottage cheese, which has long been 32 ounces, has suddenly been repackaged in a 24 ounce carton.

There's a lot of that sort of thing going on these days. We've all seen it — laundry detergent, cereal, paper towels, cookies, peanut butter and other products, all being repackaged to conceal price increases. But then who are you going to believe, government statistics or your own experience?

I call it the phenomenon of the incredible shrinking candy bar. We see it when inflation starts moving.

Producers, wholesalers, retailers and marketers get very creative about passing higher prices along to the consumer. You may feel deceived when you notice that the new cereal box appears to be the same size — the front of the box looks the same — but it has actually been narrowed considerably.

It wasn't long ago that my wife came home angry because what had always been a five-pound bag of sugar had suddenly shrunk to just four pounds. Smaller packages are just one manifestation of the rising prices. Sometimes it's a deterioration in product quality.

Other times service is downgraded. If balancing your new tires was free, now it costs; if delivery and set-up was free, now it's extra. I suppose it's a normal thing for people to blame the producers and the merchants for these things. But such blame is misplaced since they are victims, too. Victims of a round of monetary malfeasance dating back to the mortgage meltdown in 2008.

At this juncture, with consumer prices beginning to rise, the narrative that former Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner is proclaiming with his new book, that he and the Keynesian crew of Geithner's predecessor, Henry Paulson, former Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke, and the rest "saved the economy," is more than a little unseemly.

Paulson has also been full of praise for the way he and Geithner and Bernanke worked with each other to "Stop the Collapse of the Global Financial System," as his book's subtitle so modestly describes their heroics.

Does it strike anyone as odd that capitalism should be so very frail, and that although it is capable of creating wealth and prosperity such as the world had never before seen, it can easily be brought to its knees by the misfortunes of a handful of reckless crony banks?

Even if not true, this narrative proved to be persuasive enough to enable those cronies to become the special beneficiaries of a wealth transfer of epic and unprecedented scale.

In any event, one must take the economic "saviors'" claims of success with a great deal of skepticism.

I have quoted from Ned Goodman's contribution to the Dundee Group's annual report of 2013 because it is common for people in the financial sector to be central bank cheerleaders who applaud Keynesian interventions with fiscal measures (as long as they don't involve increasing taxes on the affluent members of society) and, in particular, with monetary policies as long as these are expansionary and lift financial asset prices.

So, whereas I assume that Goodman is well aware that the 30-times increase in the market price of his company's stock over a 20-year period is partly due to central banks' expansionary monetary policies, he is nevertheless extremely critical of the current direction of economic policies, which have not been fully "thinking about the end before starting the beginning".

Regards,

Marc Faber
for The Daily Reckoning

Ed. Note: In addition to this commentary from Marc Faber (and Ned Goodman), today’s Daily Reckoning email edition contained an exclusive piece from Addison Wiggin continuing the discussion we’ve been having on Modern Monetary Theory (MMT). Not only that, but readers were also given a unique chance to learn more about how to use MMT to their advantage, and help them to better navigate the financial markets no matter what lies ahead. If you’re not getting The Daily Reckoning sent straight to your inbox, you’re missing the full story. Click here now to sign up for FREE.

The post Why the Dollar’s Reserve Currency Status is America’s “Achilles Heel” appeared first on Daily Reckoning.

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Agents of Misfortune

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 01:14 PM PST

Good News for Gold Bulls from the LBMA's Near Bears

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 12:59 PM PST

LBMA conference 2014's straw poll marks big change from lagging the bear market...
 
GOOD news for gold bulls from the London Bullion Market Association's conference in Lima, writes Adrian Ash at BullionVault.
 
Everyone was bearish! Or very nearly. As contrarian signals go, add this to the pile...growing taller every day.
 
Sure, instead of sipping Pisco Sours in Peru, we're here sipping instant coffee with the same view of Hammersmith's A4 flyover in West London that we get every day. But friends and journalists who didn't think this year's conference too far to go report a stark, bearish tone to the chit-chat.
 
We noted before last year's LBMA trip to Rome that the attendees...although "expert" industry insiders (like, umm, us)...have consistently called it wrong with their average 12-month forecast. As an average, the crowd was too timid when prices were rising, and then too confident when the bear began.
 
But where this unscientific poll has been consistently late, lagging the gold price up and down, it now forecasts next-to-no change in gold prices by the time of the next conference (Vienna 2015).
 
This week in Lima, the smallest LBMA crowd since at least 2009 said gold will trade at $1200 per ounce one year from now. As a guide to sentiment, the LBMA delegates' average guess has shown just how wrong the crowd tends to be. And having lagged the turn in prices so badly since 2011, forecasting no change might be as close to bearish as it gets.
 
When everyone's out...or at least miserable...there's only one way for prices to head. So says the "contrarian" school of long-term investing. 
 
Find an asset that's hated, and deeply oversold. Then fill your boots. 
 
Gold isn't quite there yet, perhaps. It's certainly a very long way from the hated, oversold wreck gold was at the turn of the century...dumped by central banks, investors and even Asian consumers. But with precious metals now the target of parliamentary hearings and heavy fines...and with bullion-bank traders facing personal charges of stiffing their clients...the wheel has turned full circle from the peak of the financial crisis. 
 
Instead of hedge funds and credit derivatives being the focus of lawsuits and new post-bubble rules, it's the turn of gold and silver. Coming at the same time as the "flight" or "exodus" from commodities investing (copyright, all headline writers today), some kind of low must be near.
 
Near is a relative term, however. This choice cut of CNBC talking-head bearishness sees $1000 as a clear target. Other calls for $800 gold come from big-name fund managers and strategists are also much nearer now than they were.
 
But that kind of wipe-out...clearing the last of the "momentum followers" who mistook gold for a bull market, rather than a flight from other, more typically profitable assets last decade...is still 30% below today. 
 
Three years after gold and silver peaked, such wipe-out forecasts might also simply reflect recent history too. Because after all, it was extrapolating the trend...just after the top in 2011 at $1900...which gave the world forecasts of $3000 gold...$5000 gold...even $10,000 gold.
 
Such over-excited forecasts, unlike the anonymous, averaged guess from the LBMA conference floor, are of course looking for headlines. Who can forget Dow 36,000...? 
 
But even the mildest group-think cuts both ways, bullish and bearish. Because people tend to predict what they've just seen. Experts included.

The Remarkable Chart Every Gold & Silver Investor Must See

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 12:45 PM PST

With the war in gold and silver continuing to rage, today one of the most respected veterans in the gold world spoke with King World News about a remarkable chart that every gold and silver investor must see. Below is the extraordinary chart as well as James Turk's comments on the war in the gold market.

This posting includes an audio/video/photo media file: Download Now

Today's market-rigging disclosures only hint at far greater offenses

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 11:54 AM PST

2:54p ET Wednesday, November 12, 2014

Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:

As much as we may claim some vindication from today's official confirmations of LIBOR and gold-market rigging --

http://www.gata.org/node/14706

http://www.gata.org/node/14707

-- they involve, after all, only the smaller participants, the investment banks that often function as agents for Western central banks.

The much bigger issue is the surreptitious involvement of central banks in market rigging, and not just the rigging of the gold market but increasingly the rigging of all commodity markets, as indicated by the documents filed this year by futures exchange operator CME Group with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission and the Securities and Exchange Commission:

http://www.gata.org/node/14385

http://www.gata.org/node/14411

This is an enormous story with consequences for everyone on the planet, signifying the destruction of democracy, markets, and human progress everywhere, as well as the vicious exploitation of the developing world and the transfer of its wealth to the developed world. But except for the story's political sensitivity, why can't it be reported by respectable financial news organizations?

Today's disclosures are only the smallest start, by no means a conclusion.

CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.



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Help keep GATA going

GATA is a civil rights and educational organization based in the United States and tax-exempt under the U.S. Internal Revenue Code. Its e-mail dispatches are free, and you can subscribe at:

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To contribute to GATA, please visit:

http://www.gata.org/node/16

Silver and Gold Producers – a CALL TO ARMS!

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 11:43 AM PST

How much longer are you going to let Wall Street determine the price you are permitted to charge for your product? How much longer will you stand by and watch as computer traders raise and mostly lower the price of your product, by selling contracts in the futures market for metal they do not own, and do not produce?  (Bud Conrad at Caseyresearch.com has just written an excellent article, with a number of charts, on this subject titled:  “Paper Gold and its effect on the Gold Price.”) 

Would you die on your feet or your knees -- or even win?

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 11:19 AM PST

2:21p ET Wednesday, November 12, 2014

Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:

Gold mining companies that haven't already committed themselves to die quietly, and any of their shareholders who aren't completely demoralized and useless, might note what Bloomberg News was told by a market analyst in Geneva in regard to the huge fines announced today against the investment banks that were caught manipulating the LIBOR interest rate.

"'Many will see this as drawing a line under this sad episode,' said Tim Dawson, an analyst at Helvea SA in Geneva who covers financial firms. 'We are less optimistic,' he said. The banks are 'likely to face a heavy burden of potential litigation in coming years.'"

(See: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-11-12/banks-to-pay-3-3-billion-in-fx-....)

Since Switzerland's market regulatory agency announced today that it had caught Swiss banking giant UBS trying to manipulate the daily London gold fix --

http://www.gata.org/node/14707

-- and since Barclays Bank already has admitted and been fined for an incident of gold market rigging --

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-05-23/barclays-fined-44-million-for-l...

-- why shouldn't such litigation now become an avalanche against the bullion banks involved in the London fix and against the investment banks that have gotten anywhere near it?

A class-action lawsuit is already under way against the London gold fix banks and its plaintiffs are looking for people to join their complaint. All people have to do is send an exploratory e-mail:

http://www.gata.org/node/14674

Good weapons are at hand. Do you want to die on your feet or on your knees -- or would you even prefer to win?

CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.



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London, England, U.K.
Monday-Friday, December 1-5, 2014

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Vancouver Convention Centre West
1055 Canada Place, Vancouver, British Columbia, Cananda
Sunday-Monday, January 18-19,2015

http://cambridgehouse.com/event/33/vancouver-resource-investment-confere...

* * *

Support GATA by purchasing DVDs of our London conference in August 2011 or our Dawson City conference in August 2006:

http://www.goldrush21.com/order.html

Or by purchasing a colorful GATA T-shirt:

http://gata.org/tshirts

Or a colorful poster of GATA's full-page ad in The Wall Street Journal on January 31, 2009:

http://gata.org/node/wallstreetjournal

Help keep GATA going

GATA is a civil rights and educational organization based in the United States and tax-exempt under the U.S. Internal Revenue Code. Its e-mail dispatches are free, and you can subscribe at:

http://www.gata.org

To contribute to GATA, please visit:

http://www.gata.org/node/16

3 Things Central Banks Will Do to “Save the Economy”

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 11:03 AM PST

This post 3 Things Central Banks Will Do to “Save the Economy” appeared first on Daily Reckoning.

We’ve been meaning to write about what hasn’t happened yet.

Not that we claim any knowledge of tomorrow or the day after. But we can look at the present. And here’s a guess about where it might lead.

The middle classes — aka “the voters” — expressed themselves last week. They have been sorely used and they know it.

…the Fed’s QE — has done nothing for [the middle classes]. Instead, it has made their lot worse.

The biggest money-fabricating program of all time — the Fed’s QE — has done nothing for them. Instead, it has made their lot worse.

Investment in new business output has gone down. Their meager savings produce no revenue. And “breadwinning jobs” are scarce.

For all the talk of an “improving labor market,” there is no sign of it in wages. The typical household has $5,000 less income than it had when the 21st century began.

Meanwhile, Europe and Japan grow cold, dark and desperate. Last week, ECB chief Mario Draghi announced the central bank would buy another €1 trillion of bonds to try to light a fire under the euro-zone economy.

And Bank of Japan governor Haruhiko Kuroda got out his matches the week before, claiming potentially unlimited tinder.

Can the US resist the worldwide slump?

Our view is it’s just a matter of time before either the US economy or US stock market begins to wobble.

We could see the Dow fall 1,000 points or more… or we could hear GDP growth has gone negative… or both.

Then what?

It’s a good bet that the Yellen Fed would intervene again — hoping to keep a small problem from becoming a bigger one.

Ever since the 1930s, central bankers have learned that they will scarcely ever be criticized for overreacting. But if they sit on their hands, they will be damned to hell.

And ever since Alan Greenspan’s 1987 “put,” the Fed has backed up the stock market with whatever policy it deemed appropriate.

Lower rates? QE? It’ll do “whatever it takes.”

Janet Yellen is aware that the two previous Fed chairmen were hailed for having saved the economy from destruction. She won’t want to be the first to let it fail.

While we are guessing, we’ll suppose each rescue effort will be more costly and less effective than the one that preceded it.

That’s the way “stimulus” works. Like looking at naughty pictures, the first are exciting and titillating. Later, they are just boring and sordid.

Like looking at naughty pictures, the first are exciting and titillating. Later, they are just boring and sordid.

Still, a vigorous new response from the Fed would probably produce another rise in financial asset prices. But then what?

Central bank activism — stimulating credit creation with artificially low interest rates — only works when people see little risk of default or rising rates. But that risk cannot be ignored forever.

It’s called a “credit cycle” for a reason. Rising rates come around sooner or later — often ferociously — after a long period of apparent stability, over-optimism, overpriced equities and artificially suppressed yields.

When that happens, the central banks lose their ability to coax stocks higher with lower rates.

The Fed has been interfering with the credit cycle for the last 20 years. But when it believes it can overturn the cycle for good… that is when it becomes a big loser.

At that point, and it could be months — or years — ahead, we are likely to see central banks become more creative.

What else can they do?

They will still be fully committed to “saving” the economy. When their policy tools fail, they will have to come up with something different.

What? We see three things:

1) Central banks will buy stocks. Japan, as usual, is ahead of the curve.

2) Governments will bring out large fiscal stimulus packages aimed at infrastructure “investments” that are supposed to pay for themselves.

3) Some form of Direct Monetary Funding from central banks will finance these stimulus packages. Central banks will simply “print” the needed funds.

All of these measures are either already in service or much discussed in the leading financial journals.

What will they mean to stocks? Bonds? The dollar?

Stay tuned…

Regards,

Bill Bonner
for The Daily Reckoning

Ed. Note: Through their undying commitment to “save the economy” central bankers around the world are making more and more difficult for a true recovery to take place. But where does that leave you? That’s one of the many questions we address in our Daily Reckoning email edition. Click here now to sign up for FREE, to discover actionable things you can do to safeguard and grow your wealth no matter what economic claptrap central bankers come up with next.

This article originally appeared in Bill Bonner’s Diary of a Rogue Economist, here.

The post 3 Things Central Banks Will Do to “Save the Economy” appeared first on Daily Reckoning.

GOLD IS CURRENCY -- Dave Kranzler

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 10:16 AM PST

GOLD IS CURRENCY & No Fiat Including the Dollar, Can Match It -- Dave Kranzler Dave Kranzler from Investment Research Dynamics joins us to talk about Greenspan's u-turn back toward the universal truth that gold IS money, and NO fiat currency including the Dollar, can match it. (His words, not...

[[ This is a content summary only. Visit http://www.newsbooze.com or http://www.figanews.com for full links, other content, and more! ]]

Dr. Bill Deagle - Marked For Extermination

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 09:41 AM PST

Jeff Rense & Dr. Bill Deagle - Marked For Extermination , Clip from November 06, 2014 - guest Dr. Bill Deagle on the Jeff Rense Program The Financial Armageddon Economic Collapse Blog tracks trends and forecasts , futurists , visionaries , free investigative journalists , researchers ,...

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7 Ways to Play the Post-Election Resource Market

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 09:40 AM PST

This post 7 Ways to Play the Post-Election Resource Market appeared first on Daily Reckoning.

[Ed. Note: The mainstream media's post-midterm election coverage is focusing on the obvious: the Republicans' trouncing of the Democrats. But Matt Insley looks past that... at how these results are likely to impact the resource market. Read on...]

Right now, the mainstream media is pouncing on this midterm election like a backwoods puma. Now that the GOP took the Senate (which is arguably the biggest, best storyline for the mainstream), there's a lot of meat on the bone for the CNNs, WSJs and ABCs…

But we're not going to follow any mainstream storylines. Instead, we've got some investing to do.

Let's start by looking at the price of gold. We've been keeping tabs on the Midas metal in these pages, but the outlook hasn't been rosy.

"A move below $1,200 will be ugly" I told you a few weeks ago.

…if you're trying to trade the upside of the gold market today, buyer beware.

Here we are 14 trading days from that message and the price of gold is $100 cheaper — breaking well below the $1,200-mark. That's one way to save $100 per ounce, eh? Plus, with the GOP winning the Senate I'm sure there's plenty more strong-dollar talk headed our way — expect added pressure on the price per ounce in the days to come.

I'll reiterate my warning from a few weeks ago: if you're trying to trade the upside of the gold market today, buyer beware.

Lately we've taken a step back from gold. Cutting back on our precious metals exposure was the right thing to do. Today, we still see a handful of quality names in the precious metals space — Agnico-Eagle (NYSE:AEM), Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold (NYSE:FCX), GoldCorp (NYSE:GG), Silver Wheaton (NYSE:SLW), to name a few. But expect these precious metal shares to remain under siege until the price of gold and silver catch a bid.

Also, arguably much more important, remember to keep your head screwed on straight in this post-election world. Just because gold is under pressure here doesn't mean our representatives in Washington have it all figured out.

You and I both know that the fools elected in Washington, whether red or blue, aren't going to make any notable changes to government spending. Instead of spending on "this" now the new squad will spend on "that."

It's only a matter of time before some fundamental reasoning returns to the resource market. But before going long and strong on gold, let's wait for those fundamentals to take shape.

Let's switch gears and talk upside opportunity — notably in the energy sector.

Last week Saudi Arabia cut its crude prices again, signaling to the market that a lower price strategy may be the way of the future.

Remember, an oil cartel like OPEC only works if there's a coordinated measure by all member nations to control prices and production. The action we've seen out of Saudi Arabia points to a breakdown in that relationship.

That said, we're seeing continued pressure on oil prices — there's a lot of "cheaper" oil to go around these days.

But my experience in the resource market — specifically the energy sector — leads me to believe that this "cheaper" oil won't be around for long. Indeed, we've seen a short-term glut of global oil — what with the increased production from the Middle East along with booming supply growth here in the U.S. But this short-term phenomenon won't last long.

In my experience when oil and gas are cheap it's not long before buyers come out of the woodwork. Here in the U.S. industrial uses will ramp up, and drivers will embrace cheap gas with more driving.

On a global scale we'll see the same phenomenon. Sure, cheaper oil will spur more buyers from emerging markets like China and India. But it will also encourage a rebound in the struggling Eurozone, leading to more demand from the region.

…gasoline prices only stay low for so long. [UGA] gives you direct exposure to the upside of gasoline prices.

Add it all up and I think we're still on the cusp of a big opportunity for hand-picked energy shares.

From an industrial side, take a look at Dow Chemical (NYSE:DOW). With each passing day of cheap energy here in the U.S., this company continues to sparkle. In less than a month shares are up 10% — which could be the start of a big move higher.

I'll also remind you of a play I suggested last week, the United States Gasoline Fund (NYSE:UGA). History has shown that gasoline prices only stay low for so long. This fund gives you direct exposure to the upside of gasoline prices. With oil's latest dip in prices, you've still got a fine opportunity to "get your gas money back" here.

The last play I've got for you is a little more speculative, given today's falling market. But if you've ever wanted to pick up shares of oil service provider Halliburton (NYSE:HAL), on sale, now's your chance. Shares are down 27% in a little over three months. The oil service sector is due for decades of work here in the U.S. — that's money in the bank for a company like Halliburton.

Once the dust settles on this mid-term election we'll be sure to keep you posted on what you need to know. For now, "buyer beware" in the metals market and keep deal hunting in the U.S. energy sector…

Keep your boots muddy,

Matt Insley
for The Daily Reckoning

Ed. Note: Ever wonder how you can make a lot of money from oil without owning a well? Or whether or not you should buy gold and silver? Or is fracking just a flash in the pan? Get insight, insider scoops and actionable investment tips twice a week with Daily Resource Hunter? Just click here for a FREE subscription!

The post 7 Ways to Play the Post-Election Resource Market appeared first on Daily Reckoning.

The U.S. Dollar’s Crucial Role in the Commodity Cycle

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 08:45 AM PST

The U.S. dollar is falling and it’ll ultimately crash and go down to near zero. Not true… that’s what the gold bugs keep harping on but it’s not true. This misinformation is very representative of what’s going on in the global economy and it’s almost as bad as the liberal economists and analysts who believe we should just print as much money as necessary to keep the economy growing. Let’s just start with the truth.

Swiss Regulator: â€Å“Clear Attempt To Manipulate Precious Metals ” … â€Å“Particularly Silver”

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 08:37 AM PST

Further proof of manipulation of gold and silver prices - if any were needed - came overnight as  Switzerland’s financial regulator (FINMA) found “serious misconduct” and a “clear attempt to manipulate precious metals benchmarks” by UBS employees in precious metals trading, particularly with silver.

Attention Preppers: Here is the One Prepper Asset That Trumps All Others

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 07:51 AM PST

This post Attention Preppers: Here is the One Prepper Asset That Trumps All Others appeared first on Daily Reckoning.

[Ed. Note: Here at the Daily Reckoning, we strive to bring you a unique and entertaining view of the world of finance. But we also realize that there's more to this world than money. After all... what good is money if you don't know how to use it wisely to protect yourself and enjoy your life? So as part of our ongoing "Tip of the Day" series -- brought to you by our friends at Laissez Faire Today -- we're proud to share this little actionable tip on living a happier, healthier and more secure life than you ever thought possible. Enjoy!]

It might sound paranoid to some, but I'm counting on being directly affected by at least one major crisis in the next decade.

Whether it be some kind of pandemic… a collapse of the grid… a terrorist attack… economic collapse… a natural disaster… an uprising… the consequent martial law from said uprising… or [enter in any crisis with equally disastrous consequences here].

And because of paranoid people like me, the "prepper" industry is huge…

For both reasons, it's also full of wild speculations on what would happen in the event of a disaster that halts our normal way of life (with, of course, a link to the "hot item" all smart preppers must have).

Problem is, it's all just that: speculation.

Luck can help in any situation. But you won't get by on it alone. And you shouldn't count on it.

Ninety-nine percent of the "preppers" who write about what would happen "in the event of a disaster" have never been in one.

In fact, only one prepper article I've read online comes from real-life experience.

In today's Tip of the Day, I'll break down that article for you.

Luck can help in any situation. But you won't get by on it alone. And you shouldn't count on it.

Preparation is key.

The article you're about to see, if you're currently doing any prepper research, is the definitive article on the subject.

And here's the thing…

If you forget about everything you read today, and take just one action I'll tell you about at the end of today's tip, I guarantee you'll be more prepared than anyone in your neighborhood… your county… and maybe even your city.

Just one.

More on that in a moment.

First, here's his story…

"To imagine the situation a little better," the author of the article, known only as Selco, wrote, "you should know it was practically a return to the Stone Age.

"I am from Bosnia," Selco explained.

"You know, between 1992-95, it was hell."

The Bosnian War raged on from April 6, 1992 to Dec. 14, 1995. It was one of the most destructive wars at the end of the 20th century. Of 4 million, 2 million were made refugees. More than 100,000 were killed. The Bosnian War is best known for the unspeakable acts of despicable behavior from all sides.

Meanwhile, the civilians who didn't make it out of Bosnia were left to fend for themselves.

"For one year, I lived and survived in a city with 6,000 people without water, electricity, gasoline, medical help civil defense, distribution service, or any kind of traditional service or centralized rule.

"Our city was blockaded by the army, and for one year, life in the city turned into total crap. We had no army and no police.

"After a month or two, gangs started operating, destroying everything. Hospitals, for example, turned into slaughterhouses.

"About 80% of the hospital staff were gone. I got lucky. My family at the time was fairly large (15 people in a large house, six pistols, three AKs), and we survived (most of us, at least)."

A few key points that stick out from this article…

  • It didn't take long for money to become worthless. An exchange system naturally rose out of the ashes (but it wasn't pretty…)
  • "Arms, ammunition, candles, lighters, antibiotics, gasoline, batteries and food. We fought for these things like animals…"
  • Items and supplies are great… but they eventually run out. Skills will keep you fed. He wrote: "I wish to say this: Learn to fix things, shoes, or people."
  • Gold and silver are useful: "I personally traded all the gold in the house for ammunition."
  • Strength in numbers is real: "A man living alone getting killed and robbed would be just a matter of time, even if he was armed."

"Today, I know everything can collapse really fast. I have a stockpile of food, hygiene items, and batteries — enough to last me for six months.

"I live in a very secure flat and own a home with a shelter in a village 5 kilometers away. Another six-month supply there, too.

On top of everything, though, one asset trumps all of them… electricity.

"I have four weapons and 2,000 rounds for each."

On top of everything, though, one asset trumps all of them… electricity.

Why electricity, you ask?

With it, you have the trifecta: heat, light, and, most importantly, communication with people outside your vicinity.

In all truth, if you can find a way out of the situation, you're not going to want to stick around for a year. No matter how big your stockpile is.

And having an electric source — one that works no matter what's going on — is crucial.

Regards,

Chris Campbell
for The Daily Reckoning

Ed. note: This "Tip of the Day" is just a small fraction of what you could be getting out of the FREE Laissez Faire Today e-letter. Each issue is packed full of actionable advice. In fact, today Chris shared with his readers one device that allows for free, unfettered (and quiet) energy — no matter what's happening. Don't miss out. Click here to sign up for Laissez Faire Today, for FREE, right now.

The post Attention Preppers: Here is the One Prepper Asset That Trumps All Others appeared first on Daily Reckoning.

Currency War Begins - Russia Detaches From The Dollar/Euro Currency Peg

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 07:50 AM PST

The job number illusion is worse than we thought. No increase is sales for McDonald's for over 12 months. The youth of America have a -2% savings rate.China and Australia made trade deals with each other. Russia and China bypassing the dollar on energy. Russia detaching the ruble from the dollar....

[[ This is a content summary only. Visit http://www.newsbooze.com or http://www.figanews.com for full links, other content, and more! ]]

IAMGold lays off 40% of management and quits World Gold Council

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 07:49 AM PST

IAMGOLD Reduces Executive Team by 40% and Takes Further Measures to Cut Costs

Company Statement via PR Newswire
Monday, November 10, 2014

TORONTO -- IAMGOLD Corp. announced today that in its continuing efforts to maximize economic returns, the company has transformed its corporate structure with the primary objective of creating a more efficient and effective organization that embeds agility and scalability through the adoption of leading practices. ...

Concurrent with these changes, IAMGOLD has undertaken further cost cutting initiatives in addition to the $125 million of cost reductions realized in 2013. The company is targeting a 10 percent overall reduction of corporate general and administrative costs in the 2015 budget as well as productivity and cost reduction initiatives at the Rosebel and Essakane mines. In respect of this focus on costs, the company has decided to reduce a number of its corporate memberships, including withdrawal from the World Gold Council. While the Company acknowledges the excellent past work of WGC and is grateful for their efforts to promote gold, it is necessary in these times to make these tough decisions and focus on the essentials of running the business. ...

... For the complete statement from the company:

http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/iamgold-reduces-executive-team-b...



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Swiss regulator says UBS tried to manipulate monetary metals fixes

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 07:27 AM PST

Clear Attempt to Manipulate Precious Metals Benchmarks at UBS, FINMA Says

By Jan Harvey
Reuters
Wednesday, November 12, 2014

LONDON -- Swiss regulator FINMA said on Wednesday that it found a "clear attempt" to manipulate precious metals benchmarks during its investigation into precious metals and foreign exchange trading at UBS.

The benchmark known as the gold "fix" is used to ascertain reference prices twice daily for the precious metals industry. Along with other precious metal benchmarks, it has come under increased regulatory scrutiny since the Libor manipulation scandal broke in the foreign exchange market in 2012.

"The behaviour patterns in precious metals were somewhat similar to the behaviour patterns in foreign exchange," FINMA director Mark Branson said in a conference call with journalists.

He said that as UBS has precious metals and foreign exchange desks under combined leadership, it was not surprising to find similar behaviour.

"But we have also seen a clear attempt to manipulate fixes in the precious metal market." ...

... For the remainder of the report:

http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/11/12/banks-forex-settlement-gold-id...



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Mines and Money London
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London, England, U.K.
Monday-Friday, December 1-5, 2014

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Vancouver Resource Investment Conference
Vancouver Convention Centre West
1055 Canada Place, Vancouver, British Columbia, Cananda
Sunday-Monday, January 18-19,2015

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Support GATA by purchasing DVDs of our London conference in August 2011 or our Dawson City conference in August 2006:

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Or a colorful poster of GATA's full-page ad in The Wall Street Journal on January 31, 2009:

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To contribute to GATA, please visit:

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Fines bring bank currency-rigging settlement to $4.3 billion

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 07:18 AM PST

By Suzi Ring, Liam Vaughan, and Jesse Hamilton
Bloomberg News
Wednesday, November 12, 2014

Regulators in the U.S., Britain, and Switzerland ordered six banks to pay about $4.3 billion in the first wave of penalties since authorities began a global probe into the rigging of key foreign-exchange benchmarks last year.

The Office of Comptroller of the Currency fined Bank of America Corp. $250 million, while JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Citigroup Inc. will pay $350 million each, according to a statement. That adds to $3.3 billion of penalties announced earlier today by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Britain's Financial Conduct Authority and the Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority.

Banks and individuals could still face further penalties and litigation following the 13-month probe into allegations dealers at the biggest banks colluded with counterparts at other firms to rig benchmarks used by fund managers to determine what they pay for foreign currency. The Justice Department, which is working with the Federal Reserve, and Britain's Serious Fraud Office, are still leading criminal probes into the $5.3 trillion-a-day currency market.

"Many will see this as drawing a line under this sad episode," said Tim Dawson, an analyst at Helvea SA in Geneva who covers financial firms. "We are less optimistic," he said. The banks are "likely to face a heavy burden of potential litigation in coming years." ...

... For the remainder of the report:

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-11-12/banks-to-pay-3-3-billion-in-fx-...



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Join GATA here:

Mines and Money London
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London, England, U.K.
Monday-Friday, December 1-5, 2014

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Vancouver Resource Investment Conference
Vancouver Convention Centre West
1055 Canada Place, Vancouver, British Columbia, Cananda
Sunday-Monday, January 18-19,2015

http://cambridgehouse.com/event/33/vancouver-resource-investment-confere...

* * *

Support GATA by purchasing DVDs of our London conference in August 2011 or our Dawson City conference in August 2006:

http://www.goldrush21.com/order.html

Or by purchasing a colorful GATA T-shirt:

http://gata.org/tshirts

Or a colorful poster of GATA's full-page ad in The Wall Street Journal on January 31, 2009:

http://gata.org/node/wallstreetjournal

Help keep GATA going

GATA is a civil rights and educational organization based in the United States and tax-exempt under the U.S. Internal Revenue Code. Its e-mail dispatches are free, and you can subscribe at:

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To contribute to GATA, please visit:

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Wednesday Morning Links

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 05:22 AM PST

MUST READS Who cares about the dollar? You do – USA Today Regulators fine global banks $3.4B in forex probe – Reuters U.S. Shale Boom Masks Threats to World Oil Supply, IEA Says – Bloomberg Saudi Arabia Aims at US Fracking Industry, Hits Its Own Foot – Wolf Street Keynes Mutiny: What Abe's Tax Delay Would Mean for Japan – [...]

“Paper Gold” and Its Effect on the Gold Price

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 04:55 AM PST

Casey Research

James Turk -- Dollar Will Eventually Go Over the Cliff

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 01:27 AM PST

James Turk of GoldMoney.com says, "COMEX is just a side show. It's just a paper market. The action is taking place over here in London. You are seeing this huge backwardation. If you want to put a big order in, say $50 million for physical metal, you can't get that metal tomorrow. You are going to...

[[ This is a content summary only. Visit http://www.newsbooze.com or http://www.figanews.com for full links, other content, and more! ]]

Rocks to Riches with Thomas Schuster

Posted: 12 Nov 2014 12:00 AM PST

The key to finding gold is understanding the rocks. Thomas Schuster is a geologist and mining analyst with a deep understanding of where the gold hides. In this interview with The Gold Report, he talks about a number of gold explorers whose rocks are starting to shine. And gold is ready to come back strong, he says, as global reserves melt away.

“Paper Gold” and Its Effect on the Gold Price

Posted: 11 Nov 2014 10:24 PM PST

Dear Reader,

Casey Research Chief Economist Bud Conrad joins us today to analyze what’s behind gold’s recent weak performance.

As is his specialty, Bud dug deep into the data to figure out exactly what’s happening in the gold futures market—who’s buying, who’s selling, and why. Read on to learn what he discovered about this controversial topic.

Dan Steinhart
Managing Editor of The Casey Report

"Paper Gold" and Its Effect on the Gold Price

Bud Conrad, Chief Economist

Gold dropped to new lows of $1,130 per ounce last week. This is surprising because it doesn’t square with the fundamentals. China and India continue to exert strong demand on gold, and interest in bullion coins remains high.

I explained in my October article in The Casey Report that the Comex futures market structure allows a few big banks to supply gold to keep its price contained. I call the gold futures market the “paper gold” market because very little gold actually changes hands. $360 billion of paper gold is traded per month, but only $279 million of physical gold is delivered. That’s a 1,000-to-1 ratio:

Market Statistics for the 100-oz Gold Futures Contract on Comex
  Value ($M)
Monthly volume (Paper Trade) $360,000
Open Interest All Contracts $45,600
Warehouse-Registered Gold (oz) $1,140
Physical Delivery per Month $279
House Account Net Delivery, monthly $41

We know that huge orders for paper gold can move the price by $20 in a second. These orders often exceed the CME stated limit of 6,000 contracts. Here’s a close view from October 31, when the sale of 2,365 contracts caused the gold price to plummet and forced the exchange to close for 20 seconds:

Many argue that the net long-term effect of such orders is neutral, because every position taken must be removed before expiration. But that’s actually not true. The big players can hold hundreds of contracts into expiration and deliver the gold instead of unwinding the trade. Net, big banks can drive down the price by delivering relatively small amounts of gold.

A few large banks dominate the delivery process. I grouped the seven biggest players below to show that all the other sources are very small. Those seven banks have the opportunity to manage the gold price:

After gold’s big drop in October, I analyzed the October delivery numbers. The concentration was even more severe than I expected:

This chart shows that an amazing 98.5% of the gold delivered to the Comex in October came from just three banks: Barclays; Bank of Nova Scotia; and HSBC. They delivered this gold from their in-house trading accounts.

The concentration was even worse on the other side of the trade—the side taking delivery. Barclays took 98% of all deliveries for customers. It could be all one customer, but it’s more likely that several customers used Barclays to clear their trades. Either way, notice that Barclays delivered 455 of those contracts from its house account to its own customers.

The opportunity for distorting the price of gold in an environment with so few players is obvious. Barclays knows 98% of the buyers and is supplying 35% of the gold. That’s highly concentrated, to say the least. And the amounts of gold we’re talking about are small—a bank could tip the supply by 10% by adding just 100 contracts. That amounts to only 10,000 ounces, which is worth a little over $11 million—a rounding error to any of these banks. These numbers are trivial.

Note that the big banks were delivering gold from their house accounts, meaning they were selling their own gold outright. In other words, they were not acting neutrally. These banks accounted for all but 19 of the contracts sold. That’s a position of complete dominance. Actually, it’s beyond dominance. These banks are the market.

My point is that this market is much too easily rigged , and that the warnings about manipulation are valid. At some point, too many customers will demand physical delivery and there will be a big crash. Long contracts will be liquidated with cash payouts because there won’t be enough gold to deliver. I saw a few squeezes in my 20 years trading futures, including gold. In my opinion, the futures market is not safe.

The tougher question is: for how long will big banks’ dominance continue to pressure gold down? Unfortunately, I don’t know the answer. Vigilant regulators would help, but “futures market regulators” is almost an oxymoron. The actions of the CFTC and the Comex, not to mention how MF Global was handled, suggest that there has been little pressure on regulators to fix this obvious problem.

This quote from a recent Financial Times article does give some reason for optimism, however:

UBS is expected to strike a settlement over alleged trader misbehaviour at its precious metals desks with at least one authority as part of a group deal over forex with multiple regulators this week, two people close to the situation said. … The head of UBS’s gold desk in Zurich, André Flotron, has been on leave since January for reasons unspecified by the lender….

The FCA fined Barclays £26m in May after an options trader was found to have manipulated the London gold fix.

Germany’s financial regulator BaFin has launched a formal investigation into the gold market and is probing Deutsche Bank, one of the former members of a tarnished gold fix panel that will soon be replaced by an electronic fixing.

The latter two banks are involved with the Comex.

Eventually, the physical gold market could overwhelm the smaller but more closely watched US futures delivery market. Traders are already moving to other markets like Shanghai, which could accelerate that process. You might recall that I wrote about JP Morgan (JPM) exiting the commodities business, which I thought might help bring some normalcy back to the gold futures markets. Unfortunately, other banks moved right in to pick up JPM’s slack.

Banks can’t suppress gold forever. They need physical gold bullion to continue the scheme, and there’s just not as much gold around as there used to be. Some big sources, like the Fed’s stash and the London Bullion Market, are not available. The GLD inventory is declining.

If a big player like a central bank started to use the Comex to expand its gold holdings, it could overwhelm the Comex’s relatively small inventories. Warehouse stocks registered for delivery on the Comex exchange have declined to only 870,000 ounces (8,700 contracts). Almost that much can be demanded in one month: 6,281 contracts were delivered in August.

The big banks aren’t stupid. They will see these problems coming and can probably induce some holders to add to the supplies, so I’m not predicting a crisis from too many speculators taking delivery. But a short squeeze could definitely lead to huge price spikes. It could even lead to a collapse in the confidence in the futures system, which would drive gold much higher.

Signs of high physical demand from China, India, and small investors buying coins from the mint indicate that gold prices should be rising. The GOFO rate (London Gold Forward Offered rate) went negative, indicating tightness in the gold market. Concerns about China’s central bank wanting to de-dollarize its holdings should be adding to the interest in gold.

In other words, it doesn’t add up. I fully expect currency debasement to drive gold higher, and I continue to own gold. I’m very confident that the fundamentals will drive gold much higher in the long term. But for now, I don’t know when big banks will lose their ability to manage the futures market.

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