Monday, January 23, 2017

Gold World News Flash

Gold World News Flash


GoldSeek.com Radio: David Morgan and Bob Hoye, and your host Chris Waltzek

Posted: 23 Jan 2017 07:10 AM PST

Bob Hoye of Institutional Advisors rejoins the show with positive insights on the PMs sector noting a nascent cyclical bull market in the PMs miners. Now that the first significant correction is passing, increased exposure to enticing gold / silver stocks is advisable. Adding to the appeal of PMs investments, increased tensions between member nations and the EU, such as France, Italy, Portugal and Spain.

Gold Faces a Key Test

Posted: 23 Jan 2017 07:00 AM PST

February Gold did everything we asked of it on Friday, clearing the way for a push to the 1226.90 target given here earlier. As always, a move that easily exceeds the target, in this case by perhaps $2-$3, would affirm the robustness of the rally and the likelihood that it will continue. The short-term outlook would brighten even more if bulls can surpass mid-November's 1236.10 'external' peak (see inset), especially if they achieve this feat without taking a noticeable breather.

FTSE 100 extends losses but pound hits five-week high as unease over Trump weakens dollar

Posted: 23 Jan 2017 02:04 AM PST

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FTSE 100 extends losses but pound hits five-week high as unease over Trump weakens dollar

Posted: 23 Jan 2017 01:28 AM PST

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Trader Warns "Trump's First Week Could Keep Markets Busy" - What To Watch

Posted: 23 Jan 2017 01:15 AM PST

"May you live in interesting times," really is a curse; and as Bloomberg's Richard Breslow warns, "I doubt things are going to get any less gripping... Whatever else markets are pricing in, risk premiums appear to be too low."

Last week fell into three memorable parts...

The Trump trades were given a severe test, declared dead and held. A trend isn’t broken until it actually breaks. But nothing lasts forever.

 

 

More Fed speeches than you could shake a stick at, including two from Chair Yellen, told us little. They went for unity and upbeat assessments. Debate raged about whether she was more hawkish or dovish than expected. Even one day to the next. Take that as over analyzing. At the end of the day, no one is going to fully internalize a hawkish message nor remotely price three 2017 hikes unless they hear March is at least being debated. Until then, it’s a lot of noise. Thankfully, no speeches are scheduled this week.

 

And, of course, there was the inauguration. It really was a tale of two cities. While the Dow rose 100 points, you could hear jaws hitting pavements around the rest of the world.

What this week brings, no one knows.

I suspect trading is going to be time-zone specific in the near term as perception of policies, intent and outcomes are going to vary widely by locale. You could easily get into a pattern of risk-off mornings only to be followed by benign closes.

We’ll see more of the hundred-day plan. U.K.’s Theresa May, a vocal critic of campaigner Donald Trump, will fly to Washington on Friday to woo President Trump. Or as it’s been reported, for the two to recreate the Reagan/Thatcher mystique. Where’s Lloyd Bentsen when you need him? Chancellor Merkel is said to be poring over film and speeches to try to figure out just what makes this guy tick.

What To Watch..

  • Monday will be the first real test of the market reaction after Trump’s inauguration. And awaiting new tweets. The dollar index closed at 100.74. For the trade higher to stay good, you really don’t want to see 100.25ish give way.

  • Tuesday brings euro-zone PMIs, which are expected to be good. This will annoy the Germans and get no response from Draghi. You have your priorities and I have mine. Also the Turkish rate decision, with forecasts all over the map. The lira is going to move on this for sure. That’s no currency for the faint of heart.

  • Oh, and don’t miss the long-awaited U.K. Supreme Court ruling on triggering Brexit talks. Sterling is right in-between two good moving averages.

  • Thursday brings Swedish unemployment, which I only mention because long SEK is a hugely popular and crowded trade and, so far, EUR/SEK has yet to prove it can stay below 9.50, right where it closed last week.

  • On Friday, China closes for a week-long holiday, after a week of no numbers. That seems like a sensible thing to do.

Gold Trumps Stocks In Presidential Transition Years

Posted: 22 Jan 2017 11:45 PM PST

Bullion bulls betting that this rally has more room to run have history on their side with the arrival of a new U.S. president.

As Bloomberg reports, a look at recent presidential transitions supports optimism among traders over the metal’s prospects. Gold has averaged gains of almost 15% in years marking the inauguration of a new president since the 1970s, advancing in five of those seven years. In contrast, the S&P 500 index of equities declined in four of those years for an average loss over the period of 0.9 percent.

 

2017 is playing out that way, so far.

Gold, which is coming off the worst quarter in more than three years, has in 2017 managed to shrug off gains in equities and prospects for more U.S. rate increases, rising almost 5%, up to over $1200 an ounce. Whether gains last may depend on how smooth the transition is to the new presidency.

“What happens frequently is you have a new president, there’s a lot of euphoria and then reality kicks in,” says Merk, who oversees a gold exchange-traded fund with assets totaling $120 million. “It’s more difficult to implement policies.”

This is the sixth year in a row where gold has started off well, even better than last year...

From Presidents Gerald Ford to Barack Obama, bullion has often served as a haven in times of political flux.

“We have no idea what’s going to happen with some of Trump’s policies -- everybody is a little nervous,” said Axel Merk, San Francisco-based founder of Merk Investments LLC, which manages $300 million in assets.

 

“Gold is relatively undervalued and will push higher.”

Donald Trump Gets Warm Welcome At CIA Headquarters

Posted: 22 Jan 2017 10:00 PM PST

President Trump spoke to employees in the lobby of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) headquarters in Langley, Virginia. It was his first event on his first full day as president. The Financial Armageddon Economic Collapse Blog tracks trends and forecasts , futurists ,...

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Treasuries Besieged by 'Idiot Money': Record Shorts in Treasuries Paint an Ominous Picture for Bond Bears

Posted: 22 Jan 2017 08:22 PM PST

As some of you might recall, in December of 2015, I went long treasuries, due to my belief that negative interest rates would wreak havoc across the investment landscape -- bringing with it a deflationary vortex that would consume all whole -- especially equity holders. For the better part of 2016, this was the single best trade to be in -- and I had it before anyone deemed it to be fashionable.

Then the elections came and a gigantic Trump induced squeeze commenced -- helping rout bonds and buoy equities in record fashion. Looking back on that rally, it was a fucking month -- literally nothing in the big scheme of things. Should bonds rally again, recapturing some of its former glory, no one will remember the faux inflation days of November-January -- post Hillary annihilation.

Looking at the bond trade, it's ripe for a reversion to the mean. After all, the most reprehensible people around, pavement apes and the like, are short bonds. These are the 'Fast Money' people -- the same lads who bought mortgage bonds in 2007 and dot com hand grenades in the spring of 2000.

Via CFTC:

The amount of speculators' bearish, or short, positions in
10-year Treasury futures exceeded bullish, or long, positions by
394,689 contracts on Jan. 10, according to the CFTC's latest
Commitments of Traders data.

A week earlier, speculators held 344,931 net short positions
in 10-year T-note futures.

Net shorts in five-year T-note futures and Eurodollar
futures among speculators also climbed to record highs in the
latest week, while speculative T-bond net shorts rose to their
highest level since March 2012, according to CFTC data.

Net shorts in federal funds futures among speculators rose
to their highest since August 2015.

The rise in net shorts among these futures contracts
suggested this group of market participants believes bond prices
will resume their fall despite their rebound since mid-December.

Juxtaposing short data with actual yield action, proves, in fact, that the shorts are literally pavement apes -- idiots devoid of reason -- slaves to the basest instincts that require zero thinking. These are horrible people.

IMG_6188

IMG_6189

Yields on the 5 year treasury have doubled since our glorious leader, Donald J. Trump, seized power, to 1.94%. Short contracts now outstrip longs by a record 1.1 million -- making this Tower of Pisa trade indelibly lopsided.

In the end, "real money always wins," said Tom di Galoma, the managing director of government trading and strategy at Seaport Global Holdings. "Speculators tend to get taken out. We've seen this occur several times in the last 10 to 15 years, where everybody thinks rates are too low."

A shift back into Treasuries may already be starting. Fixed-income managers who oversee a combined $225 billion held 24.7 percent of their assets in U.S. government debt in the week through Jan. 17, according to Stone & McCarthy Research Associates client survey. That's higher than the average of 24.2 percent in 2016.

However, signs of even a slightly more aggressive Fed can still make the bearish trades worthwhile. Last week, Fed Chair Janet Yellen said rates could rise "a few times a year" from now through 2019. That caused five-year yields to soar by the most since the central bank raised rates Dec. 14.

In the past, the Fed has been notorious for being too confident about growth and the pace of rate increases. Jason Evans, co-founder of hedge fund NineAlpha Capital LP and the former head of U.S. government bond trading at Deutsche Bank AG, believes this time the central bank will stick to its projections and lift rates three times in 2017.

"It's understandable that there's going to be a little ebb and flow," said Evans, who said his firm put on short positions this month. Even so, "we'll have higher yields later this year. We at least know the direction we're heading in."

The expectations for the Federal Reserve is for 3 hikes in 2017, then more in 2018. However, that hope is predicated on economic growth expansion -- which cannot happen without the cooperation from a Congress who has only, at this time, approved 2 of Trump's 21 cabinet appointees and appear to be ready to fight him, tooth and nail, every step of the way. Couple that with the fact that the dollar is at 14 year highs and the cost to borrow funds has spiked, dramatically, since election day -- making Trump's fiscal dreams increasingly difficult to attain, I think it's fair to say higher rates isn't a foregone conclusion.

I am long zeroes, via $ZROZ.

 

Content originally generated at iBankCoin.com

Trump Dumps TPP, NAFTA, Praises CIA

Posted: 22 Jan 2017 08:00 PM PST

I honestly hope trump can change things for the better. For any naysayers I say this; we couldn't do much worse than the last 8 years. Barring nuclear war, we have a great chance to better our situation. Love and prayers to all!! The Financial Armageddon Economic Collapse Blog...

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An Introduction to the NEW WORLD ORDER

Posted: 22 Jan 2017 07:30 PM PST

A discussion introducing some of the basic elements and evidence of the New World Order.  The Financial Armageddon Economic Collapse Blog tracks trends and forecasts , futurists , visionaries , free investigative journalists , researchers , Whistelblowers , truthers and...

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President Trump Warns: 2017 Will See The Biggest Stock Market Crash The World Has EVER SEEN

Posted: 22 Jan 2017 07:00 PM PST

 Donald Trump Believes the stock market bubble will burst just after he takes office. He knows they are waiting for 2017 to collapse the market. A collapse has to happen but I doubt the controllers of the world are ready for that to happen just yet. They are still maneuvering some pieces on the...

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Man Who Stole $1.6 Million Bucket Full Of Gold In Midtown Manhattan Has Been Captured

Posted: 22 Jan 2017 06:54 PM PST

The most brazen, fascinating gold heist of the year, if not the decade, is now closed.

Recall that in late November, we reported that in what may have been one of the most brazen thefts in Manhattan's jewelry district, a man calculatedly swiped an 86-pound bucket full of gold worth $1.6 million from the back of an unattended Loomis armored truck on West 48th Street in the Diamond District on Sept. 29, in broad daylight, as tourists and locals were walking in and out of the jewelry stores that line the block. The suspect, described as 5 feet 6 inches tall, 150 pounds and in his 50s, managed to get away without a hitch. The police suspected that the unidentified man was lying low in Orlando or Miami until things blow over in the Big Apple. The whole incident was caught on closed-circuit camera.

Then, one month ago, the police said they had not only identified the man, but speculated that the gold thief had moved on from Florida, and may have fled to California. NYPD identified the man as Julio Nivelo, and was believed to be - as of late December - in Los Angeles.

NYPD Det. Martin Pastor said Nivelo, 53, is a convicted felon who's known to the NYPD as Luis Toledo, among other aliases. He's a career thief who's been arrested seven times and deported four times to his native Ecuador, according to Pastor. 

Nivelo, a native of Ecuador, fled to Orlando, before heading to California, WNBC reported. Nivelo, who was living in West New York, N.J., at the time of the theft, had previously been arrested seven times and deported four times, the station reported.

In the end, it turns out that Nivello was not in Los Angeles, but had fled all the way back to his native Ecuador, where, as NBC 4 New York reported, he was finally arrested according to law enforcement sources.

Authorities had been looking for Nivelo for months, with the manhunt leading police to Nivelo's residence in West New York, New Jersey, to Orlando, to Los Angeles before detectives from the major case squad headed to Ecuador. Nivelo was arrested there Thursday morning by federal agents with Homeland Security Investigations and The National Police of Ecuador.

He was arrested without incident after he sent the NYPD on a months-long search across the globe. It wasn't clear when he would be extradited to New York to face charges. Police say they have recovered some of the money. 

Before he was captured, Jalopnik reported that Nivelo was a truck cargo-stealing veteran and mastermind. He had allegedly ripped off many other trucks before he finally hit the golden jackpot in September.

And so, as NBC 4 puts it, ends the saga of one of the luckiest, most brazen thefts to capture our collective imagination in some time. However, now that he has shown how easily it can be done, we expect the next such brazen "truck theft" to take place in the not too distant future.

George Soros Has Significant Ties To Women’s March On Washington

Posted: 22 Jan 2017 06:30 PM PST

Most respectable women/moms would never take part in this ridiculous march. Trump is my President! God Bless him and God Bless the USA! MOMS FOR TRUMP! Abortion is wrong, fetuses are tiny human beings with rights! The Financial Armageddon Economic Collapse Blog tracks trends and...

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Donald Trump To Reveal Globalist Secrets Of Life Extension And Disease Cures

Posted: 22 Jan 2017 06:00 PM PST

Donald Trump is becoming more and more hardcore in terms of fighting back against globalists and he's going to give their secrets to the public. The Financial Armageddon Economic Collapse Blog tracks trends and forecasts , futurists , visionaries , free investigative journalists ,...

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LME's pitch for share of gold market faces bumpy ride

Posted: 22 Jan 2017 05:35 PM PST

By Peter Hobson and Pratima Desai
Reuters
Monday, January 23, 2017

LONDON -- Fears of inflexibility and rising costs are sapping enthusiasm for the London Metal Exchange's new suite of gold contracts, potentially leaving the exchange reliant on the threat of an increasing regulatory burden to drive uptake.

London's $5 trillion-a-year gold trade has, along with the rest of the City of London, found itself under increased scrutiny since the Libor scandal, with U.S. lawsuits alleging rigging against the banks that set bullion prices.

Regulatory pressure sparked the fall of the near century-old telephone-based gold fix, or benchmark pricing, which was replaced by an electronic alternative in 2015, and reform of the management structure of the London Bullion Market Association.

The LME, owned by Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Ltd., says its contracts, which include spot, futures, and options, would bring price-setting out of the back rooms of banks by creating a published forward pricing curve for gold and sliver out to five years.

It also says the contracts' central clearing would free the banks and brokers that dominate London's over-the-counter gold market from increasingly onerous capital requirements, creating savings that could be passed to others in the industry.

But a source at a major gold trading bank said: "There's a lot of caution and probably outright scepticism from market participants whether this will add anything but another cost to the bottom line." ...

... For the remainder of the report:

http://www.reuters.com/article/lme-precious-idUSL5N1F76KB



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ANONYMOUS - You Are Being Distracted YOU HAVE TO WAKE UP

Posted: 22 Jan 2017 02:00 PM PST

The elites want WW3 & riots. They must be laughing at people killing each other. How can we fight against them who are over 500 trillion net worth?? ? The Financial Armageddon Economic Collapse Blog tracks trends and forecasts , futurists , visionaries , free investigative...

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NEWS ALERT ,President Donald Trump Latest News Today 1/22/17 , USA morning news

Posted: 22 Jan 2017 01:21 PM PST

I think fake news brainwashes those that don't know it's fake. It needs to stop. The President is doing a great job! The Financial Armageddon Economic Collapse Blog tracks trends and forecasts , futurists , visionaries , free investigative journalists , researchers , Whistelblowers...

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High-frequency trading radio masts criticized by planners

Posted: 22 Jan 2017 12:24 PM PST

By Hannah Murphy
Financial Times, London
Sunday, January 22, 2017

U.S. high-‎frequency traders aiming to build radio towers taller than the Shard in a tiny village in the English countryside have been criticized by local planning officials ahead of a crucial council meeting next week.

Three traders are behind plans to build two vast masts in Kent to clip milliseconds off trading speeds between London and Frankfurt, but the size of the towers has attracted local opposition.

The fate of the masts will be decided at a Dover council meeting on Thursday, which will judge whether to overrule residents' protests and a report last week by a local planning official that they would damage views of the landscape, which contains the remnants of a Roman fort.

The standoff highlights the lengths to which electronic traders are prepared to go to receive valuable trading data before rivals, by beaming information over hundreds of miles using radio microwaves. ...

... For the remainder of the report:

https://www.ft.com/content/048c59a0-df26-11e6-9d7c-be108f1c1dce



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At 3 Aces Project, Golden Predator Finds 7.5 Meters of 33 Grams-Per-Tonne Gold


Company Announcement
Thursday, January 19, 2017

VANCOUVER, British Columbia, Canada -- Golden Predator Mining Corp. (TSX.V: GPY; OTCQX: NTGSF) is pleased to report assay results for the first 13 holes of a total of 54 holes completed in the winter 2016 drill program at the 3 Aces Project in southeastern Yukon Territory.

Drilling has demonstrated an extension of high-grade gold at the Ace of Spades zone, as well as the exciting discovery of a blind vein and the occurrence of significant assay values in stockwork zones.

Significant results reported at true width include:

-- Hole 3A16-RC-032 intersected 7.54 meters of 32.86 grams per tonne gold from a depth of 16.76 meters, including 0.54 meters of 252 grams per tonne gold; and a new blind vein at a depth of 71.63 meters returned 3.23 meters of 10.04 grams per tonne gold. (The hole ended in mineralization. ...

For the remainder of the announcement:

http://www.goldenpredator.com/_resources/news/nr_2017_01_19.pdf



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President Donald Trump Gives Speech at Armed Services Inauguration Ball

Posted: 22 Jan 2017 10:56 AM PST

Let's go, President Trump. LET'S MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN AND KEEP IT GREAT THIS DAY FORWARD!!! Congratulations, Mister President. The Financial Armageddon Economic Collapse Blog tracks trends and forecasts , futurists , visionaries , free investigative journalists , researchers ,...

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Gold Futures Prices Looking Bullish

Posted: 22 Jan 2017 10:37 AM PST

Gold has rebounded sharply higher in the past month, taking the early lead as 2017’s best-performing asset class.  Normally such a big gold surge would require heavy gold-futures buying by speculators.  But they’ve been missing in action, barely moving any capital into gold yet.  Their collective bets on this metal remain very bearish.  Since they are such a strong contrarian indicator, that’s a very-bullish omen for gold. The sole mission of speculation and investment, and thus all the endless research that feeds into it, is to multiply wealth.  Traders can’t effectively buy low and sell high unless they understand what drives the prices of their trades.  For years now, gold has had two overwhelmingly-dominant drivers.  Their capital flows fully explain the vast majority of all gold’s price action, and thus are exceedingly important to study.

Tomorrow’s Ten-Baggers From Jay Taylor

Posted: 22 Jan 2017 10:28 AM PST

Jay Taylor’s Gold Energy & Tech Stocks Newsletter has unearthed some huge winners lately. Here's an excerpt from his weekly update that concludes with three top junior gold miners. The Crack-up Boom Is Ending and That's Very Bullish for Gold Straight out of the Ten Commandments was "Thou shalt not steal"! But massive robbery has […]

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Great Rotation and Gold

Posted: 22 Jan 2017 10:11 AM PST

The performance of gold in 2017 depends largely on whether the Trump’s presidency will lead to lasting shift in the markets. What changes do we mean? Some analysts mention the reflation, others point out the ‘risk on’ sentiment and the ‘great rotation’ out of bonds and into stocks. Ray Dalio, the founder and chairman of Bridgewater, claims that the Trump’s victory was a turning point ending the period characterized by increasing globalization, free trade, and global connectedness; relatively innocuous fiscal policies; sluggish GDP growth, low inflation, and falling bond yields. The new period is believed to be characterized more by decreasing globalization, free trade, and global connectedness; aggressively stimulative fiscal policies; increased economic growth, higher inflation, and rising bond yields.

This Ratio Suggests Gold Is Entering a Major Bull Market

Posted: 22 Jan 2017 10:08 AM PST

An often cited negative about gold is the inability for investors to value it, unlike traditional investments such as stocks and bonds. A company’s revenues and earnings can be forecast to arrive at a valuation multiple. A bond’s cash flows can be discounted to come up with a present value. But since gold bullion does not produce either, investors often struggle with assigning a fair value. Some will look at technical analysis, others fundamentals, interest rates, or expected inflation—but unfortunately there’s no correct answer, and attempting to time the market when choosing an entry point is extremely difficult.

Breaking News And Best Of The Web

Posted: 22 Jan 2017 01:37 AM PST

US stocks up, gold and silver near multi-week high. Protesters and police face off at Trump inauguration. Brexit process begins. Earnings season starting well for banks and miners. Global debt continues to soar, especially in China. Fake news debate rages. Trump and Merkel trade insults.   Best Of The Web What is this 'crisis' of […]

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