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Friday, December 20, 2013

Gold World News Flash

Gold World News Flash


Gold Investors: Take the Red Pill

Posted: 19 Dec 2013 02:27 AM PST

We make choices in our thinking, lifestyle, savings, and investments.  We can look reality squarely in the face and swallow the red pill (from the movie – "The Matrix").  Or, we can swallow the blue pill with a healthy slug of whisky, continue riding the roller coaster of mass delusion, and go back to watching "Reality TV" and the evening news.  Either way we will experience the consequences of our actions and our thinking.

The Blue Pill Delusion

US Government Budget:  Congress, in their wisdom, will pass a budget  that continues spending as usual, borrowing to cover the revenue shortfall, and increasing the official debt a $Trillion or so per year.  The debt is still rated AAA because it will be rolled over well into the next century, and all is good.  Individual equivalent:  spend until credit cards are maxed out and then apply for more credit cards.  What could go wrong?

US Government Debt:  It can increase forever.  Deficits don't matter and debt is just something that happens in our modern times.  Unfunded liabilities are somewhere between $100 and $200 Trillion, but – no problem.  Individual equivalent:  Keep spending on the credit cards!  Let's party.

Interest Rate Risk:  Interest rates are at multi-generational lows.  Hence the borrowing costs for already insolvent governments are exceptionally low.  If interest rates do NOT stay this low FOREVER, borrowing costs will greatly increase, deficits will expand even more rapidly, and the spiral of insolvency accelerates.  But, it's all good and really, why can't interest rates stay low for another 50 or 100 years?  Individual equivalent:  I borrow on credit card A to make the minimum payment on credit card B.  Now I need to apply for another credit card with a higher limit and lower interest rate.

FASB mark to myth:  About five years ago the Financial Accounting Standards Board changed the rules – banks can value certain assets with considerable latitude instead of at market value.  Example:  Mortgage Backed Securities – some of which are known as toxic waste.  This valuation process is also known as "mark to myth" or "mark to model."  It perpetuates the illusion of balance sheet solvency – "extend and pretend."  Individual equivalent:  I have a 1,000 square foot house in the country that is worth less than $85,000.  However, the bank and I agreed that it is worth $900,000 and I just took out a loan for $800,000 collateralized by that house.  Let's party!

Gold:  We don't need the stuff, we have T-Bonds!  Let's sell off a major portion of our gold, ship it to Switzerland where it will be melted down and sent to China, India and Russia.  Our T-Bonds will be good forever and the gold was earning no interest and taking up space so it is best to dump the gold at today's LOW prices.   Individual equivalent:  I'll sell the gold Double Eagle my grandfather gave me and buy a 72 inch television made in China.  In five years the gold will be gone, the TV will be practically worthless, and I'll be worse off than before.

The Red Pill Reality

Gold:  It has held its value for 5,000 years.  Gold is respected everywhere in the world and immediately recognizable.  By contrast, all paper money systems have eventually failed.  Many paper currencies have disappeared in the past 100 years due to excessive creation of those unbacked paper currency units.  It will happen again.  Remember:  if the intrinsic value of the currency is zero, it is not money – it is only a currency unit.

Dollar as the reserve currency:  Many countries around the world, such as China, Russia, India, Brazil, and South Africa, have initiated "swap agreements" whereby they trade with each other in currencies other than the U.S. Dollar.  Clearly those countries see an advantage in bypassing the dollar in their international transactions.  Similarly, countries are increasingly selling oil in Euros, Yuan, and gold, rather than the U.S. Dollar.  Using swaps instead of the dollar will cause decreased demand for the dollar, which means it will be valued lower in the future against other currencies, commodities, and gold.  The dollar is not likely to be replaced as the global reserve currency within a year, but what about within ten years?  It is time to admit that the era of the U.S. Dollar as undisputed global reserve currency is drawing to a close.  When the dollar declines, so will the value of assets denominated in dollars.  What will unbacked debt-based paper dollars buy a decade from now?

Debt:  The U.S. government official debt is over $17 Trillion with many more $Trillions accrued in unfunded liabilities for Social Security, Medicare, and government pensions.  The usual consequence of too much debt has been a devaluation of the currency – a dollar crisis whereby the dollar buys less and less of what we need to live.  Jim Sinclair refers to this process as "currency induced cost push inflation."  The standard of living goes down, people march in the streets, and many ugly consequences materialize.  Ask the people of Greece about the quality of their lives after excessive government indebtedness and fiscal irresponsibility destroyed their economy.  It can happen here.

QE and Printing Currency:  Let's admit that QE was largely created to save the big banks, and that QE is maintained as a wealth transfer system to recapitalize the big banks and fund the deficits of many governments.  Does anyone truly believe that printing a $Trillion (just in the U.S.) per year will NOT have negative consequences for the economy, for consumer prices, and for most citizens in the lower financial 90%?  What did you pay for food and gasoline five years ago?  What about 10 years ago?  Has your after-tax income gone up proportionally?  What will you pay for food and gasoline in the next 10 years?  What will the devaluing dollar buy in 10 years?  How much gold and silver do you own as insurance against a devalued dollar?

Cycles:  Many well respected individuals have written about cyclic downturns over the next several years.  To name a few:  Marc Faber, Gerald Celente, Jim Rogers, Mike Maloney, Russel Napier, Jeff Berwick, Michael Pento, Laurence Kotlikoff, Hugo Salinas Price, Robert Prechter, David Stockman, Harry Dent, and others.  Will massive money printing delay or eliminate these downward cycles or is another financial collapse imminent?  Are you prepared?

CONCLUSIONS

Swallow the blue pill and chase it with a half-pint of whisky if you want the easy and well-traveled road of collective delusion.  But as Ayn Rand said, "We can ignore reality, but we cannot ignore the consequences of ignoring reality."  Or, take the red pill and invest wisely along the less-traveled road.

If you accept the red pill reality of our financial and monetary systems, then we believe you will find that fewer dollar denominated investments, more physical gold and silver, fewer paper assets, and more hard assets make sense.

The consequences of your actions and beliefs are yours to experience.  Blue pill or red pill – your choice and your consequences.

 

Suggested Reading:

Daniel Amerman       Taper and Quantitative Easing Reality Check
The DI                        Going Dark!  Economic Cycles Point Downward
Peter Schiff                They Bravely Chickened Out
Michael Snyder         Dent, Faber, Celente …

 

GE Christenson  |  The Deviant Investor

A Fed Policy Change That Will Increase the Gold Price

Posted: 19 Dec 2013 01:00 AM PST

by Doug French, Casey Research:

For investors having a rooting interest in the price of gold, the catalyst for a recovery may be in sight. “Buy gold if you believe in math,” Brent Johnson, CEO of Santiago Capital, recently told CNBC viewers.

Johnson says central banks are printing money faster than gold is being pulled from the ground, so the gold price must go up. Johnson is on the right track, but central banks have partners in the money creation business—commercial banks. And while the FFed has been huffing and puffing and blowing up its balance sheet, banks have been licking their wounds and laying low. Money has been cheap on Wall Street the last five years, but hard to find on Main Street.

Read More @ CaseyResearch.com

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts – It Was an FOMC Day in Paperland

Posted: 19 Dec 2013 12:00 AM PST

from Jesse’s Café Américain:

Today was pretty much what I had expected. It was Christmas meat on the table from the Fed, mostly roasted jawbone. The ‘taper’ was meaningless, except to take the talk about when it would start off the table. The FOMC went out of its way in the verbage to signal accommodative policy and money for nothing for the foreseeable future.

Despite the big rally in stocks, what did the Treasuries market do?  Nada.  I rest my case.
The hit on gold and silver was consequential only because JPM has locked up most of the registered inventory on the Comex, and after all, today was an FOMC day when monetary inflation was affirmed. Rik Green has some interesting observations about this here.

Goldbroker published an interview with Le Patron on the correction in the Gold Market today here.

Read More @ Jesse’s Café Américain:

The five biggest investment lessons of 2013

Posted: 18 Dec 2013 11:07 PM PST

From the success of Royal Mail to the fall of gold, this year's events can teach investors some useful lessons
    




The All Important Chart For Gold & Silver Post-Fed Meeting

Posted: 18 Dec 2013 09:50 PM PST

With continued volatility in gold, silver, stock, and crude oil markets, today one of the savviest individuals in the business told King World News sent King World News an important on the gold and silver markets. He also included an incredibly important short-term chart as well. Below is what Jeffrey Saut, who is Chief Investment Strategist for $360 billion Raymond James, had to say in this timely piece.

This posting includes an audio/video/photo media file: Download Now

Warrants “Don’t Get No Respect” But They Should – Here’s Why

Posted: 18 Dec 2013 09:50 PM PST

This article offers a tutorial on warrants as an underused investment vehicle, disabuses myths about warrants, shares theinvesting-4 names of some warrants that warrant attention and makes the case for adding warrants to one’s portfolio.

So says the introduction to an interview of Dudley Baker (CommonStockWarrants.com) by Brian Sylvestor (GoldReport.com) as posted on SeekingAlpha.com under the title

[The following is presented by Lorimer Wilson, editor of www.FinancialArticleSummariesToday.com and www.munKNEE.com and the FREE Market Intelligence Report newsletter (sample here – register here). The excerpts may have been edited ([ ]), abridged (…) and/or reformatted (some sub-titles and bold/italics emphases) for the sake of clarity and brevity to ensure a fast and easy read. This paragraph must be included in any article re-posting to avoid copyright infringement.]

Edited excerpts from the interview are as follows:

The Gold Report: Before we get into how to invest in warrants, please tell our readers what a warrant is.

Dudley Baker: Very simply, a warrant is a security that gives the holder the right, but not the obligation, to purchase the underlying common shares at a specific price and includes a specific expiration date.

TGR: How does that differ from a futures contract?

DB: A futures contract refers to the purchase of an actual commodity: gold, silver, soybeans, pork bellies, etc. Warrants also differ from call options. Those are derivative contracts written on a stock, stock index or futures contract. The official definition of warrants states that they are securities, the distinction being here that a warrant is actually issued by the company.

TGR:Does market performance have an effect on the warrant market?

DB: Yes, if stocks are down, warrants will be down. That said, it’s all about the underlying company. For the warrant to do well, the company has to perform… [and warrants often provide twice the returns of the associated stock and the longer term the warrants are the greater the chance of such occurring.]

TGR: Why do mining companies, especially gold and silver equities, deal in warrants more than other sectors?

DB: The resource sector is highly capital intensive and high risk. Let’s face it, the companies need more incentive to get someone like Rick Rule and Sprott Global involved in a potential financing. They have to offer a long-term warrant as an equity kicker…

TGR: What’s the typical path to making money by investing in a warrant?

DB: The most straightforward, logical way is to pick the right company and buy its warrants. If the company doesn’t perform, the warrant can’t perform either…[and we also] need a good market environment or the expectation of a good market environment

TGR: Are there other ways to make money with warrants?

DB:An investor…could

  • split his investment between the stock and the warrant depending on the leverage situation…according to the investor’s risk/reward ratio or
  • hedge positions and

    • buy the warrants and short the common shares…or
    • buy the warrants and sell puts against that position….or
    • short the warrants and buy call options.

…[Hedging] works better in the U.S. markets…because American investors can’t exercise a warrant issued in Canada; U.S. investors can only trade Canadian warrants…

I’d almost say, especially in the U.S., any time you are doing a hedge and you’re buying the common shares as your core position, basically you just substitute the company’s long-term warrant for the common shares, and you can accomplish that same hedge position with a lot less cash on the line, which means your net return will be substantially higher.

TGR: What are four things should investors be aware of before entering the world of warrants?

DB:

  1. [Keep in mind that] warrants can expire and once they’ve expired, they are worthless. I would recommend choosing only long-term warrants, which to me means a minimum of two or three years. This gives you more time for the markets to turn around and to capture the maximum gains.
  2. [Choose only]…companies [where] you like [the fundamentals and believe in the potential prospects] you like…
  3. …Determine what the warrants’ current leverages are [and whether they are] overpriced, fairly priced or undervalued. You don’t want to pay more than you have to.
  4. The liquidity of warrants as they vary on a daily basis.

TGR: When you talked with The Gold Report in 2008, there was no exchange where warrants were traded. Are there some new resources that make warrants trading more transparent and, perhaps, simpler?

DB: The lack of information about warrants was one reason I started my service back in 2005 but there has been considerable progress since then. Today, warrants are traded like stocks on the Toronto Stock Exchange [TSX] and the TSX Venture Exchange [TSX.V] in Canada and warrants for U.S. companies can trade on the New York Stock Exchange [NSYE] or on NASDAQ. Exchanges issue warrants a symbol usually with a .WT suffix in Canada & perhaps a -WS suffix or five letters in the U.S., just like common shares…

TGR: When an outstanding warrant is worth less than the current stock trading price, it can create an overhang on a stock. How do you play that situation?

DB: True, there will be slight dilution to the company’s shares, if and when those warrants are exercised, but that means new cash coming into the company’s kitty so we see it as a tradeoff….

TGR: What’s the best way to play a long-term warrant?

DB: If you own a warrant and, after 6 to 12 months, decide that the common shares have peaked and are overbought, you sell the warrant at the same time that you would sell the shares. You make the same decision, as though you owned the common shares. You don’t have to hold the warrant until the expiration date….Warrants are totally liquid. You can buy today, sell tomorrow. You’re not locked in.

TGR: What are some warrants in the gold and silver space that you’d like to share with us today?

DB: There are several:

  1. Sandstorm Gold Ltd. (SSL), which has a similar streaming model to Silver Wheaton Corp. (SLW) and the same management team. Sandstorm Gold has three warrants trading right now. I always look for the warrant with the longest life. The Sandstorm Gold Warrant B goes out to September 2017, giving investors almost four years of remaining life.
  2. New Gold Inc. (NGD) is another great company and its Warrant A doesn’t expires until June 2017.
  3. Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI). It issued a five-year warrant just a few months ago that will expire in August 2018.

For any of those three, of course, you want to determine the leverage calculation. Is it overvalued, undervalued?

TGR: You would buy those warrants and sell them when you believe they are appropriately valued?

DB: Exactly. I would be utilizing all the tools that an investor would: looking at long-term charts, following analysts or newsletter writers [and] if, as I expect, we get a nice bull market in the resource sector, it would not be uncommon to see common share prices double, triple or quadruple. The warrants should do twice as well. It’s just a matter of staying on board as long as possible to capture these gains, but knowing that you can pull the plug and can exit at any moment. It’s like any investment, if you double your money, you may want to take some money off the table and minimize your risk.

TGR: If investors want to find the current value of one the Sandstorm Gold warrants that are trading, where would they go?

DB: That’s the dilemma for most investors. There are 200 warrants trading on the markets now in total, not just in the resource sector. It’s tooting my own horn, but CommonStockWarrants.com is virtually the only place to find all the detail needed to make informed investment decisions. Barring that, investors willing to invest the time can follow company news…

TGR: What other warrant ideas are out there?

DB: There are a number of interesting companies:

In the energy space there are:

  • Kinder Morgan Inc. (KMI) with a long-term warrant that goes out to May 2017 and
  • Fieldpoint Petroleum (FPP) with a warrant that goes out to March 2018.

In the biotech space there is:

  • MannKind Corp. (MNKD). Its warrant expires in February 2016. Not long ago, another newsletter crowed about gains on its recommendation of Mannkind’s common shares. If he had bought the warrant at the same time as the common shares, he would have more than doubled the money for his investors. Instead of making 200%, it would have made a 400-500% return.
  • Bioamber Inc. (BIOA), has a warrant that expires in May 2017. This is a sustainable chemicals company. Its proprietary technology platform combines industrial biotechnology and chemical catalysts to convert renewable feedstock into chemicals for use in a wide variety of everyday products.
  • Northwest Biotherapeutics Inc. (NWBO) is another biotech name with trading warrants.

TGR: What would be one final thought for our readers?

DB: Warrants are a simple investment vehicle that has been overlooked for decades, whether for trading or for hedging….

[Editor's Note: The author's views and conclusions in the above article are unaltered and no personal comments have been included to maintain the integrity of the original post. Furthermore, the views, conclusions and any recommendations offered in this article are not to be construed as an endorsement of such by the editor.]

*http://seekingalpha.com/article/1889941-warrants-warrant-more-respect-in-the-resource-sector-dudley-baker (© 2013 Seeking Alpha)

DISCLOSURE:
1) Brian Sylvester conducted this interview for The Gold Report and provides services to The Gold Report as an independent contractor. He or his family own shares of the following companies mentioned in this interview: None.
2) The following companies mentioned in the interview are sponsors of The Gold Report: None. Streetwise Reports does not accept stock in exchange for its services or as sponsorship payment.
3) Dudley Baker: I or my family own shares of the following companies mentioned in this interview: Sandstorm Gold Warrant B [SSL.wt.B] and New Gold Warrant A [NGD.wt.A]. I personally am or my family is paid by the following companies mentioned in this interview: None. My company has a financial relationship with the following companies mentioned in this interview: None. I was not paid by Streetwise Reports for participating in this interview. Comments and opinions expressed are my own comments and opinions. I had the opportunity to review the interview for accuracy as of the date of the interview and am responsible for the content of the interview.
4) Interviews are edited for clarity. Streetwise Reports does not make editorial comments or change experts’ statements without their consent.
5) The interview does not constitute investment advice. Each reader is encouraged to consult with his or her individual financial professional and any action a reader takes as a result of information presented here is his or her own responsibility. By opening this page, each reader accepts and agrees to Streetwise Reports’ terms of use and full legal disclaimer.
6) From time to time, Streetwise Reports LLC and its directors, officers, employees or members of their families, as well as persons interviewed for articles and interviews on the site, may have a long or short position in securities mentioned and may make purchases and/or sales of those securities in the open market or otherwise

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The post Warrants “Don’t Get No Respect” But They Should – Here’s Why appeared first on munKNEE dot.com.

Gustavo Laframboise-Pierre Reveals More MADness About Central Banks

Posted: 18 Dec 2013 09:49 PM PST

An extraordinary agreement to share information between the NationalWays-to-make-money-1 Security Agency (NSA), a host of European, Russian, Canadian and Chinese spy agencies and the world's Central Banks is now in place to ensure that the only relevant force in global stock markets from now on will be the trading activity of the world's Central Banks.

So says David Hauge (davidhague.wordpress.com) in edited excerpts from his original article* posted on Funny Business entitled NSA inks landmark deal to share information with Central Banks.

[The following is presented by Lorimer Wilson, editor of www.FinancialArticleSummariesToday.com and www.munKNEE.com and the FREE Market Intelligence Report newsletter (sample here – register here) and may have been edited ([ ]), abridged (…) and/or reformatted (some sub-titles and bold/italics emphases) for the sake of clarity and brevity to ensure a fast and easy read. This paragraph must be included in any article re-posting to avoid copyright infringement.]

Hauge goes on to say in further edited excerpts:

The Market Assistance Directive (MAD

According to my good friend and trusted confidante, Gustavo Laframboise-Pierre, Global Director of Statistical Creation at the European Central Bank (ECB), this new agreement, called the 'Market Assistance Directive' (MAD) will allow the Central Banks to use their unlimited resources to trade and profit based on inside information on an almost unimaginable scale.

Thanks to the data gathering of the NSA and its subsidiary spy agencies around the world, the Central Banks will now be privy to the most confidential conversations and communications from the boardroom, the bedroom and the trading floor. Central Banks will now be able to trade with inside information that could only be dreamed about in years gone by.

Prior to the unique MAD agreement only the thousands of employees of the NSA and other security agencies, their friends and family, their political masters, paramours and twitter followers, have had the ability to use the PRISM surveillance capability to know every grain of inside information that exists in the world. Massive profits on their personal trading accounts are inevitable. It is a denial of human nature to believe that this activity is not only prevalent, it is the norm.

Wouldn’t You?

"Poppycock!" you say. "Balderdash!" you exclaim. Dear reader, I too shared your cynicism and disbelief regarding the possibility of such an agreement existing until I spoke with my good friend and trusted confidante  Gustavo Laframboise-Pierre, Global Director of Statistical Creation at the European Central Bank (ECB).

(Dear reader, before you click away in an indignant fit of outrage at the mere suggestion of this preposterous reality. I would encourage you to ask yourself one question.

  • “Would you, or any of your trusted friends and honorable family members, if given access to inside information that would allow you to generate untold wealth without fear of legal reprisal, trade in the stock market based on this inside information, or turn the opportunity down?”

Dear reader, I thought so. Please continue reading.)

But I digress; my conversation with Gustavo would enlighten me as to the New World Order that now permeates our capital markets and our global economy.

The Scoop on Gustavo Laframboise-Pierre 

For those of you not familiar with Gustavo, my friendship with such a highly placed member of the ECB executive traced its roots back to my days on Wall Street and to his days in New York when he was my bookie. His fortunes changed dramatically one day when a senior member of the ECB on a junket to New York placed an astonishingly large, incorrect and foolish bet on the outcome of the 2010 World Cup.  The only way the debt could be settled was for the senior member of the ECB to offer Gustavo an obscenely highly paid sinecure at the ECB. Gustavo traded Brooklyn and Fulton Street for Paris and the Champs-Élysées. He became the ECB's Global Director of Statistical Creation. His notional job was to make up statistics that would support whatever lunatic policies were being proposed by central banks around the world. Gustavo's complete lack of moral fiber coupled with his gift for numbers allowed him to excel at his job.

Our Chance Conversation Over Lunch Where Gustavo Spilled the Beans

I was in Rome on business, (well, truthfully, I had left my home in New York to avoid some rather inconvenient lawsuits from my banks and other sundry creditors relating to my inability to make payments on my credit cards, lines of credit, loans, mortgages, and overdraft fees)…when I spied Gustavo (I surmised that he was in town visiting one of his mistresses) exiting the Gucci store on Via Venuto, laden with what appeared to be their entire inventory.

I greeted him with a smile and suggested we repair to the nearest bistro for a lunch and libation. I helped with his bags and we strolled to the uber-chic Rome Cavalieri Hotel on Via Alberto so that we might feast at la Pergola, perhaps the finest restaurant in Europe. Dear reader, I had dined with Gustavo before. I knew that the meal would be charged to his expense account at the ECB. Today my empty wallet and penury would not prevent me from enjoying a culinary delight. We were seated at a prestigious seat by the window that offered us a magnificent view of St. Peter's Basilica.  Gustavo's legendary expense account ensured that we received premium service.

Our conversation went like this:

Me: "Have you won the lottery? You must have $50,000 of Gucci accessories in these bags?"

Gustavo giggled: "It is better than that. Central banks, thanks to an agreement with the world's spy agencies, (this would be the aforementioned MAD agreement) are now privy to not only the emails  and phone calls of all the world's politicians, business leaders, journalists, accountants and lawyers but to the innermost thoughts of every citizen who uses an electronic device for communication. With this information we can use our resources to control the global markets.

Now there is no trade, no event, no market information that we bankers do not know in advance. We can literally make as much money as we want. At the same time we relegate to destitution any soul who dares to challenge us. All we had to do to finalize the agreement was to promise to kick back 20% of our profits to the senior members of the spy agencies and 10% of our profits to their political masters."

I almost choked on my Remy Martin Black Pearl Luis XIII Cognac as I digested Gustavo's statement. Little did I know that this particular brand of Cognac that Gustavo had requested, was worth $30,000/bottle. (Oh, how glorious it must be to be a banker with an expense account. However, as a frequent beneficiary of Gustavo's largesse I guess I should not complain.)

Me: "Do the words insider trading, market manipulation, extortion, thievery, invasion of privacy, immoral, illegal and just plain wrong not mean anything to you bankers?"

Gustavo said indignantly: "Don't you read the papers? Bankers have been given immunity from prosecution for any misdeed or imperfection no matter how damaging it is to the markets, the global economy and society…Banks are fined but no individual banker goes to jail.  How many times do bankers need to skate on corruption charges before you get it through your thick skull that you can fine the bank but you cannot put bankers in jail?

We central bankers will share the data gathering efforts with the world's commercial  or retail banks for a (big) fee. Our prudence will ensure that the inside information is shared fairly. The profits the banks will make on these trades will guarantee their survival. Furthermore, it will ensure the bank executives become richer than King Midas . It is truly a win-win situation."

I poked at the remainder of my appetizer, 'scampi Carpaccio with two caviars', and eagerly awaited the first course, 'liquorice consommé with sweet pepper cream and squid salad'. Gustavo had come a long way from his days making book from his car outside Madison Square Garden, I thought to myself. His notion of win-win was certainly unique.

Me: "I don't know where to begin. How does any of this help Main Street and the masses? This sounds like a conspiracy by the 1% to own the entire universe".

Gustavo slurred: "I am glad you brought that up." (The effects of his overindulgence of the Cognac was starting to have the usual impact.) "That whole silly Occupy movement and its childish 99% versus the 1% was our creation. The 1% is a phrase we coined to give us cover as we filled our pockets. There are two types of wealth in this world.

  1. wealth created by innovators, creators, entrepreneurs, risk-takers, hard workers, savers: diligent, honest, principled, prudent, responsible men and woman…These remarkable people, as they created wealth also created jobs and enhanced their community. The world rightfully respects, celebrates, admires, encourages and emulates their efforts.
  2. wealth created by creatures like me who scam, suck, pillage and plunder the public purse and Main Street's wallets. We create nothing.  We central bankers and our commercial and retail cousins contribute nothing. We take what we can while convincing the masses that we 'have got their backs.'  Can you believe that bankers are still able to pay themselves tens of millions of dollars a year after the damage they have done to the global economy?

If the public ever thought about it for a moment, their anger would not be focused on the notional 1% who accumulated their wealth the old-fashioned way – they earned it – [but, instead,]…on the '10%.' The scoundrels like myself: bankers, consultants, lobbyists and other assorted leeches who drain the public's purse while adding to their own personal fortune".

I was quite taken aback. Candor, honesty and critical self-analysis were not attributes I usually expected from Gustavo. I smiled at the waiter as he delivered my main course, a very appealing 'soya poached fillet of beef with garlic dandelion and wasabi purée'.

Me:Why are you sharing all this information with me. Are you not concerned that I might publish some of this, clearly confidential, information?”

Gustavo replied sardonically: ”Have you heard nothing I have said! Bankers are immune from prosecution. Furthermore, unless you write your commentary in crayon and pass it out on street corners, either we or the NSA will become aware [of] your attempt to undermine our dominance. We will simply disable your computer and delete your files. If you persist in inconveniencing us we will turn your file over to our 'Blackmail' department who will examine your life with a fine tooth comb, discover your secrets and threaten you with exposure unless you cease and desist."

Me: (As I was about to indulge in the first bite of my Caciocavallo Podolico I replied in dismay,) “It seems to me that the players in our global capital markets are more reminiscent of James Bond's nemesis, SPECTRE (SPecial Executive for Counter-intelligence, Terrorism, Revenge and Extortion) than a functioning system for the free and fair exchange of goods and capital.” (By the way, this cheese is the pride of Italy. At $500/lb, it has the same value by weight as silver. I would strongly recommend this taste sensation should you ever be dining with a banker and their expense account.)

As I waited for his response, (he was busy talking to his broker), I gazed out the window at the Vatican and wondered if there might be spiritual salvation to guide us through the financial quagmire we had entered. I then remembered that the Vatican Bank scandals indicated that there would be no guidance from that direction. (Oh please dear reader, curtail your disapproval. Just Google 'Vatican Bank scandals' and see for yourself.)

Gustavo said boastingly as he hung up his phone: "I just made a million dollars in two hours based on information this new MAD Agreement provided me and the best part is that because I have set up Trusts in tax havens around the world I will not have to pay any taxes. Isn't life grand?"

I sighed as [I] gazed through the window and watched a beggar appealing for donations from shoppers on the Via Veneto. Is this what 'la Dolce Vita’  is all about?

[Editor's Note: The author's views and conclusions in the above article are unaltered and no personal comments have been included to maintain the integrity of the original post. Furthermore, the views, conclusions and any recommendations offered in this article are not to be construed as an endorsement of such by the editor.]

*http://davidhague.wordpress.com/2013/12/08/nsa-inks-landmark-deal-to-share-information-with-central-banks/ ((Go here to read about David Hague)

More Conversations Between David Hague & Gustavo Laframboise-Pierre: 

1. Funny Business: An Expose on What the World's Central Bankers Are Up To

Leave a comment

This article relates to a recent dinner I had with an European Central Bank [ECB] "executive" during which it was expressed/revealed (some might say, confirmed) that there is an on-going global conspiracy by Central Bankers to overthrow democracy and take over the world so to speak in what many refer to as a New World Order (NWO). My first reaction was that what he had to say was outlandish but, upon reflection, I think, in spite of the humorous circumstances surrounding the meeting, what he had to say was of considerable merit. Read on and express your own views in the Comment Section at the end of the article. Read More »

2. My Personal "(:Report:)" from the World Economic Forum in Davos

1 Comment

I am on assignment at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. Unfortunately my previous commentaries irked the organizers so profoundly that I was not allowed the intimate access usually accorded friendly members of the media. No matter, I am staying at a pleasant bed and breakfast about an hour and half outside of Davos….[But I digress. Back to the Forum.] Words: 2369 Read More »

3. The Central Bankers' Theme Song: "Money, Money, It's a Rich Man's World!"

1 Comment

I was afforded a most extraordinary experience recently that has given me unique insight into our global financial and political systems. The information I gleaned from this experience is disturbing. What you are about to read will forever change your view of banking, politics, economics and money. It certainly did mine! Read More »

Other Related Articles:

(The articles posted on munKNEE.com deliberately present a diverse perspective on subjects discussed. Below are links, with introductory paragraphs, to a variety of related articles designed to help you become truly informed regarding both sides of the issues so that you can assess the merits of all points of view and come to your own conclusion.)

1. Does Behavior of "We the People" Suggest Central Bankers Have Gone Too Far?

Another Thought Experiment

Posted: 18 Dec 2013 09:00 PM PST

from TF Metals Report:

About a month ago, I was maligned and pilloried by some detractors for having the audacity to suggest that the reported Comex vault stock numbers were obviously dubious. Other bloggers suggested that the deposits in question were easily explained by the deposit of 99.99% pure, Asian kilobars. OK, maybe. For fun today, I thought we’d take these folks at their word and see where it leads us.

First, some histoire….

Back in the middle of October, some very odd and very precise deposits were made into the eligible vault of JPMorgan. Over three days, the total amount of gold booked in was exactly and precisely ten metric tonnes. It looked like this:

Read More at TFMetals.com

Gold and Gold Stocks – An Update Ahead of the FOMC

Posted: 18 Dec 2013 08:40 PM PST

by Pater Tenebrarum, Acting-Man.com:

Gold’s Triangle, Tax Loss Selling Pressure and a Surfeit of Bearish Sentiment

Here we are again, donning our hat of Patron Saint of Lost Causes to take a look at the gold sector. While Acting Man was on its unexpected hiatus, nothing much actually happened, which is to say, price movements in gold and gold stocks were uneventful, with the latter continuing to trade at extremely low levels relative to gold (in fact, a new all time record low was established in terms of the XAU-gold ratio).

Tax loss selling has weighed on gold stocks in addition to the usual litany of problems, such as extremely bearish sentiment. If we employ the ratio of gold stocks to gold as a sentiment measure, which strikes us as a legitimate way of looking at it, then it can be stated that sentiment has never been more lopsidedly bearish than it is now – not even in 1942, when shortly after the Pearl Harbor attack, the ratio of gold stocks to gold set its previous historic low.

Read More @ Acting-Man.com

Chart Of The Day: The Taper In Perspective (And What We Learned Today)

Posted: 18 Dec 2013 08:38 PM PST

What did we learn today?

  • We learned that the repeated pleadings of the TBAC (starting in May and continuing throughout the year) for a Taper, did not fall on deaf ears, and the Fed finally became aware that it is monetizing US debt at too feverish a pace resulting in an acute lack of liquidity in the bond market.
  • We learned that despite the arrival of the taper, Bernanke will end his tenure with the lamentable record of having been the only Fed Chairman never to have started a tightening cycle (remember: according to Bernanke "tapering is not tightening").
  • We learned that even though the Fed has taken its first step toward balance sheet renormalization one year after launching open-ended QE, it will still inject $75 billion in "Flow" into the capital markets, if not the economy, on a monthly basis, an amount which still means the Fed will consume about 0.25% of all outstanding and newly-issued 10 Year equivalents on a weekly basis (and more if the deficit declines further). The side effect of that will be that as Dealers scramble for the last piece of capital appreciation, even more capital will be sequestered into the US capital markets, leading to even more asset inflation, and even more core CPI deflation (which eventually will result in the Untaper).
  • We learned that even the Fed does not give much credit to the BLS' definition of inflation, because while the Fed has now repeatedly observed that the unemployment rate is sliding due to the collapse in the participation rate and hence labor improvements are simply a mathematical mirage, its core lament was the very subpar, and outright disinflationary CPI readings. Readings, however, which if taken seriously, would not have allowed the Fed to taper right here and right now.
  • We learned that good news will continue to be bad news, and vice versa, as the faster the economy relapses into a sub-2% growth rate (and Obamacare will promptly help out in that department in the new year), the faster the Fed will take a long, hard look at returning to its baseline $85 billion (or more) per month liquidity injection. Because "data dependent" means that the stronger the data, the faster the Fed's crutches go away: crutches that have been responsible for 100% of the market upside since March 2009. Or maybe this time the Fed has actually timed the economic recovery flawlessly and indeed a virtuous cycle is emerging. Maybe, maybe not: ask Jean-Claude Trichet who hiked rates at the ECB a few months before the sharpest European crisis flare up forced Bernanke to once again bail out the Old World.
  • We learned that over the past year – based on the pace of security monetization - the panic at the Fed regarding the economy has been greater than during QE1 and QE2 (see chart below). The minimal reduction to $75 billion in QE per month, or $900 billion per year, shows that the panic is still as acute and as pressing as ever, even as the cost of balance sheet expansion gets larger, even as the Fed now owns one third of all 10 Year equivalents, and even as the incremental benefits of QE to the economy – if any - decline with every month. The "good" news (if only for corporate insiders and the 1%): in the absence of capex spending, and organic growth, corporate PE multiples will continue to expand in lockstep with the Fed's balance sheet, pushing the S&P into ever greater, and ever more unsustainable bubble territory.
  • Perhaps most importantly, we learned that courtesy of very dovish forward guidance, the thresholds for further flow reduction will be very steep, and the unemployment rate will have to drop to 6% before QE ends let alone unleashes the start of a tightening cycle. Of course with unemployment benefits ending, the US may have an unemployment print of 6.5% as soon as February/March. More importantly, it means that without a firm flow reduction schedule, the current monthly liquidity injection amount will remain unchanged for a long time, as the last thing Janet Yellen will want to do as she carefully settles into her new job will be to accelerate what is already a tightening (because, yes, Flow matters, not Stock, and tapering is tightening) monetary regime.

* * *

  • Finally, we learned what the difference between $85 billion and $75 billion is in the grand scheme of things. Or, in case we haven't, here is a chart showing just how "vast" the impact of today's announcement will be on the Fed's balance sheet at December 31, 2014 when instead of printing well over $5 trillion at its old monetization pace, the Fed's balance sheet will be only $4.9 trillion.

On Bernanke's Legacy

Posted: 18 Dec 2013 08:25 PM PST

Ben Bernanke is concerned about his legacy.

 

Any why not? After all, he’s all but destroyed capitalism to benefit the largest banks in the financial system.

 

Capitalism means failure if you screw up. But under Bernanke’s watch, “capitalism” meant giving trillions in taxpayer money to those who screwed up.

 

It also meant a massive drop in median incomes, diminishing purchasing power for every American, increasing costs of living, inflation abroad leading to bloody revolutions, and funneling US funds overseas to bankrupt European entities.

 

The man and his policies, in a nutshell, have been a disaster for the world. We would all have been better off if he’d never left Princeton but had simply remained in the classroom where he’d simply corrupt young minds, rather than bet the US Dollar and the republic on his misguided theories.

 

So how did those theories work out?

 

Under Bernanke’s watch…

 

·      The US has never experienced 3% GDP growth.

·      The labor participation rate has fallen to levels not seen since the ‘70s.

·      Inflation-adjusted median incomes have fallen 7%.

·      The US’s debt load has risen from $8.4 trillion to over $16 trillion.

·      The Fed’s balance sheet has increased from $800 billion to over $4 trillion (larger than the economies of Brazil, France and even Germany).

·      Food prices have hit record highs fomenting revolutions in the Middle East and untold suffering around the globe.

·      The Fed has funneled trillions of Dollars into both US banks and European banks.

·      The Fed has allowed fraud, insider trading, and corruption.

 

And so on.

 

So now, Bernanke is trying to begin polishing his legacy by tapering $10 billion a month. Somehow this is supposed to show us that he can make decisions other than leaving a paperweight on the printing press (the Fed has engaged in money printing in over 90% of months since the Crisis hit in 2008).

 

We all know how this will eventually end… with the system Crashing down yet again, thanks to his creating the largest bubble in history: that of the bond market today. But by that point it will be someone else’s mess to clean up and we the taxpayers will be the ones who pick up the tab, whether it’s through more bailouts, bail-ins, or a Dollar collapse.

For actionable market insights on how to play bull runs and bear corrections, swing by:

 

http://phoenixcapitalmarketing.com/special-reports.html

 

Best Regards

 

Phoenix Capital Research

 

 

 

 

 

Who Knew What 50 Seconds Before The FOMC Release?

Posted: 18 Dec 2013 06:47 PM PST

Last time it was trading faster than the speed of light in gold and stocks. This time, 50 seconds before the FOMC statement was officially released to the great unwashed, Nanex notes that the market exploded with activity reaching levels higher than during the actual FOMC news release. As they show in the charts below, approximately $106 Million of SPY and 3,700 eMini Futures contracts traded in 1 second. Gold - while less voluminous - was just as berserko in the minutes and seconds leading up the news release. What is going on here?

 

See also this image of eMini liquidity during this time.

 

For clairfication, here is S&P 500 Futures price and volume... (1-second bars)

 

And Gold...

 

And Nanex shows the incredible surge in activity...

1. Trades per second in NMS Stocks and ETFs (2,200 of approximately 8000 symbols traded).
Note the peak occurred about 50 seconds before the FOMC announcement.



2. Dollars traded (thousands) per second in NMS Stocks and ETFs.
Note the peak occurred about 50 seconds before the FOMC announcement.



3. Symbols traded per second in NMS Stocks and ETFs.



Nanex Research

Guest Post: Keeping It Real

Posted: 18 Dec 2013 06:00 PM PST

Submitted by Jim Quinn of The Burning Platform blog,

“One only needs to reflect on the dramatic decline in the value of the dollar that has taken place since the Fed was established in 1913. The goods and services you could buy for $1.00 in 1913 now cost nearly $21.00. Another way to look at this is from the perspective of the purchasing power of the dollar itself. It has fallen to less than $0.05 of its 1913 value. We might say that the government and its banking cartel have together stolen $0.95 of every dollar as they have pursued a relentlessly inflationary policy.” - Ron Paul – End the Fed

 

The BLS reported the CPI yesterday morning. They tell me that inflation is well contained and has only risen by 1.2% in the past twelve months. Our beloved Federal Reserve chairman is worried inflation is too low. It is fascinating that the only people worried about inflation being too low are Ivy League educated economists and bankers whose wealth depends upon the middle class sinking further into poverty. As a person who lives in the real world, I can honestly say I like it when the things I need to buy cost less today than they did last year. When did inflation become a good thing for the average American? Our country was somehow able to grow from a fledgling new country to a world power in just over a century while experiencing mild deflation, except during times of war. The fallacy that inflation is beneficial to the common man has been peddled by bankers since 1971 when Nixon and his cronies closed the gold window and unleashed the inflationary boogeyman in the form of feckless politicians, captured Keynesian academics, and greedy soulless bankers.

It is no coincidence inflation accelerated the moment politicians, academics and bankers were unleashed to spend your money at will in order to obtain votes, Nobel prizes in economics, and ill-gotten obscene levels of wealth. David Stockman described Nixon’s dreadful sellout of the American people in his brilliant new book:

“Nixon’s estimable free market advisors who gathered at the Camp David weekend were to an astonishing degree clueless as to the consequences of their recommendation to close the gold window and float the dollar. In their wildest imaginations they did not foresee that this would unhinge the monetary and financial nervous system of capitalism. They had no premonition at all that it would pave the way for a forty-year storm of financialization and a debt-besotted symbiosis between central bankers possessed by delusions of grandeur and private gamblers intoxicated with visions of delirious wealth.”  -David Stockman – The Great Deformation: The Corruption of Capitalism in America

The USD has lost 83% of its purchasing power since 1971. The moment Nixon began playing politics with the USD and bullied the Federal Reserve Chairman into pumping up the money supply prior to the 1972 election, the inflation genie got out of the bottle and led to the miserable stagflation of the 1970′s. It took extreme measures by Paul Volcker to get it back under control in the early 1980′s. Since Volcker we’ve had nothing but academics and toadies who have chosen to change the definition of inflation in order to mislead the average American regarding how badly they are getting screwed. Every refinement, tweak, adjustment, or revision to the calculation of CPI has been designed to produce a lower figure. Why control inflation when you can just change the calculation to suit your purposes?

Over the proceeding decades, the BLS has sliced and diced the CPI in such a way that they can make it say whatever TPTB want it to say. They need to keep the mushrooms (you) in the dark regarding your standard of living deteriorating, while the beneficiaries of inflation (bankers, politicians) see their standard of living soaring. They have made hedonistic “adjustments”, quality “adjustments”, substitution “adjustments” and geometric weighting “adjustments”, all with the sole purpose to reduce the level reported to the American people on a monthly basis.

CPI was supposed to measure a common basket of goods and services that Americans needed to purchase in order to live their lives. If the price for this basket rose, you had inflation. If the price for this basket fell, you had deflation. The politicians, academics, bankers  and government bureaucrats decided if the price of steak went up by 10%, you would switch to chicken, therefore the price of steak did not go up by 10%. They decided if the price of a new car went up 5%, but you now had heated seats, the price didn’t really go up 5%. They now want to change to a chained CPI, which will further depress the reported figure. CPI no longer represents the increase in price of goods and services you need to live your day to day life.

Even the composition of the index doesn’t match the true cost picture for the average American. Somehow they bury the energy component within multiple categories and have the gall to argue that energy costs only comprise 9.6% of the average American expense budget. Tell that to the suburban two worker family that drives 30,000 miles per year and has to heat and cool a 2,000 square foot home. I doubt that too many families only spend 7% of their money on medical care. Housing accounts for 41% of the CPI calculation, but it is again a made up calculation called owner’s equivalent rent. Only an Ivy League economist could explain the calculation. The fact that home prices have risen by 12%, rents have risen by 4% and mortgage rates have risen from 3.25% to 4.5% in the last year somehow results in a 2.4% annual rate of inflation for housing.

 

If you have the feeling your standard of living has been falling  for the last few decades even though your owners tell you the economy is expanding, inflation is contained, unemployment is falling, the stock market is rising, and consumer spending is growing, then you might be smarter than a 5th grader. The financial elite ruling class are counting on the dreadful public education system, along with their mainstream corporate media propaganda arms, to keep the techno-distracted math challenged masses from understanding how the financialization of the country has resulted in their demise.

Being a skeptical sort, I decided to verify the accuracy of the CPI propaganda issued by the Bureau of Lies and Scams. The combination of the internet and memories from my youth provide a powerful and accurate assessment about the truthfulness of our government. I decided to create a chart of goods and services that average Americans have spent their hard earned wages on for decades. In a matter of minutes I was able to obtain prices from 1971 for various items common to most people. I was eight years old in 1971, being raised in a middle class one earner household on the salary of a truck driver. The chart below provides the proof the government CPI data is a bad joke and the American people are the butt of that joke.

         
Category 1971 2013 % Change  
Average Price of New Car $3,470 $31,252 800.6%  
Average Price of New Home $26,000 $245,800 845.4%  
Gallon of Gasoline $0.36 $3.50 872.2%  
Natural Gas $0.35 $4.00 1042.9%  
Loaf of Bread $0.20 $2.20 1000.0%  
Sirloin Steak per pound $1.19 $7.00 488.2%  
Dozen Eggs $0.25 $1.90 660.0%  
Box of cereal 12 oz $0.36 $3.50 872.2%  
Pack of Cigarettes $0.32 $6.00 1775.0%  
College Tuition – Private  $1,832 $30,094 1542.7%  
Monthly Rent $150 $1,073 615.3%  
Baseball ticket – Phila $2 $23 1050.0%  
Movie ticket $1.50 $9.00 500.0%  
Maximum Social Security Tax $406 $8,950 2104.4%  
Median Household Income $9,028 $51,017 465.1%  
Median wage per worker $6,497 $27,519 323.6%  
Average Hourly Earnings  $3.60 $20.31 464.2%  
CPI 40.5 232.0 472.8%  
Consumer Credit Outstanding (tril.) $0.14 $3.07 2092.9%  
Mortgage Debt Outstanding (tril.) $0.51 $13.18 2484.3%  
         

The BLS tells me the CPI has risen by 473% since 1971. The very same agency also tells me average hourly earnings have risen by 464% since 1971. This means the average worker is earning less than they did in 1971 in real terms. The median wage per worker has lagged CPI dramatically, as the averages have been skewed by those making outrageous compensation in the financial world. Median household income has barely kept pace with inflation even though households were forced to send both parents into the workforce, with the expected consequences of higher divorce rates and children left to fend for themselves or be raised by strangers.

By the government’s own measures, the average American’s standard of living has fallen since 1971. But, we also know the government has been manipulating the CPI figure lower since the mid-1980′s. After examining the true cost increases for housing, transportation, energy, food, education and entertainment, you would have to be brain dead or an Ivy League economist to believe inflation since 1971 has only been 473%. If home prices and car prices are 800% higher, while the energy needed to power and heat them are 900% to 1,000% higher, and the cost of food is 500% to 1,000% higher, how could the CPI only be 473% higher?

There are far more people going to college today than in 1971. With college tuition 1,500% higher, how can this not be reflected in the CPI? It certainly isn’t because the education is better. Statistics show the uneducated poor are more likely to smoke. Lucky for them, cigarette prices have risen at a rate of 4 times CPI due to the government taxing the crap out of them to fund their various taxpayer boondoggles. Inflation always hurts the poor and enriches the peddlers of debt.

My dad would take me to the brand new Veterans Stadium (built for $50 million in 1971) to see the Phillies in the early 1970′s. He paid $2.00 for a general admission seat and kids got in for 50 cents. We would buy a bag of soft pretzels outside the stadium and bring them into the park. We’d get a hot dog and soda for another $1. The entire outing to see a baseball game was about $5. Today, if I wanted to bring my family of five to a Phillies game at Citizen Bank Park (built for $458 million and paid for by the taxpayer) the lowest cost for the outing would be about $200. In 1971, you could spend a vacation week at the Jersey shore for $200. Now it gets you 3 hours of watching spoiled millionaires playing a child’s game while sitting with a bunch of foul mouthed drunks.

I also found it fascinating that the most regressive tax on earth, the Social Security tax, which hammers the poor and middle class while leaving the rich virtually unscathed has gone up by 2,100% since 1971. The rate in 1971 was 5.2% and the maximum salary level was $7,800. Today, the rate is 7.65% and the maximum level is $113,700. This increased cost for every middle class American is not factored into the inflation figures. Why would the government need to increase the maximum taxable wages by 1,500% when wages have gone up by less than 500%? The hard working truck driver bears the full impact, while Jamie Dimon not so much.

So now that I’ve proved beyond a shadow of a doubt the prices of everything we need to live have far outpaced our wages and the patently false drivel published by the BLS and parroted by the MSM, what are the implications? Well that is an easy one and is summed up by the last two entries in the chart. The average American has been lured into $16 trillion of debt over the last forty years in a pathetic attempt to keep up with the Joneses. Consumer credit (credit cards, auto loans, student loans) has gone up by 2,100% and mortgage debt has gone up by 2,500%. The American people have been sold a false lifestyle dream built on easy credit by evil bankers and Madison Avenue PR maggots.

There are those who would blame the people who have chosen to live far beyond their means. They have a point. The American people certainly haven’t shown a penchant for delayed gratification, saving for the future, or consuming less than they produce. But it takes two to tango and the lead in this dance of debt has been and continues to be the Federal Reserve and their Wall Street bank owners. It’s always reasonable to ask – Who benefits? – when trying to figure out why something has happened over time. Did the American people benefit by increasing the debt owed to Wall Street banks from $650 billion in 1971 to $16.25 trillion today? I don’t think so, based upon the visible deterioration I am witnessing in my suburban paradise.

The financialization of America; where Wall Street con artists,shysters and swindlers rake in billions for shuffling paper and making risky casino bets; mega-corporations ship blue collar middle class jobs to Asia in an all out effort to increase quarterly profits; politicians spend future generations into the poor house in order to get re-elected; and the Federal Reserve purposefully creates monetary inflation to prop up the corrupt system; has systematically destroyed the working middle class and created generations of debt slaves. The American people have been foolish, infantile, and easily duped. But it is clear to me who the real culprits in our long downward spiral have been. Lord Acton stated the obvious, many years ago:

 “The issue which has swept down the centuries and which will have to be fought sooner or later is the people versus the banks.”  ? John Emerich Edward Dalberg-Acton

TF Metals Report: Is MorganChase buying all that gold for China?

Posted: 18 Dec 2013 04:13 PM PST

7:10p ET Wednesday, December 18, 2013

Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:

Gold delivery data from the New York Commodities Exchange has gotten the TF Metal Report's Turd Ferguson wondering whether JPMorganChase is actually the buyer for China in the United States. Ferguson's commentary is headlined "Another Thought Experiment" and it's posted at the TF Metals Report's Internet site here:

http://www.tfmetalsreport.com/blog/5322/another-thought-experiment

CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.



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Jan Skoyles: Did China's announcement expose bitcoin's weak spot?

Posted: 18 Dec 2013 03:50 PM PST

6:51p ET Wednesday, December 18, 2013

Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:

Having banned a bitcoin exchange from taking yuan deposits, The Real Asset Co.'s Jan Skoyles writes, China has shown that digital currencies are far from invincible against government. Skoyles' commentary is headlined "Did China's Announcement Expose Bitcoin's Weak Spot?" and it's posted at The Real Asset Co.'s Internet site here:

http://therealasset.co.uk/china-bitcoin-weak-spot/

CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.



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The Gold Price Closed Up $4.90 at $1,236.10

Posted: 18 Dec 2013 03:50 PM PST

Gold Price Close Today : 1236.10
Change : 4.90 or 0.40%

Silver Price Close Today : 20.014
Change : 0.222 or 1.12%

Gold Silver Ratio Today : 61.762
Change : -0.445 or -0.72%

Silver Gold Ratio Today : 0.01619
Change : 0.000116 or 0.72%

Platinum Price Close Today : 1342.20
Change : -1.50 or -0.11%

Palladium Price Close Today : 698.40
Change : -1.25 or -0.18%

S&P 500 : 1,810.65
Change : 29.65 or 1.66%

Dow In GOLD$ : $270.38
Change : $ 3.84 or 1.44%

Dow in GOLD oz : 13.080
Change : 0.186 or 1.44%

Dow in SILVER oz : 807.83
Change : 5.73 or 0.71%

Dow Industrial : 16,167.97
Change : 292.71 or 1.84%

US Dollar Index : 80.550
Change : 0.330 or 0.41%

Comex closes before the FOMC vomits out its decision, so the GOLD PRICE closed up $4.90 at $1,236.10 while silver gained 22.2 cents to close at 2001.4.

Then the FOMC news hit, and the gold price dropped 1.7% to a low at $1,215.20. The SILVER PRICE lost 58.4 cents (2.9%) to a low at 1942c. Both climbed after that, the GOLD PRICE back to $1,220.90 and silver to 1976c. Like the dollar rising, this makes no sense.

How is this positive? News that took stocks way up to new highs didn't drive silver and gold to new lows, and they bounced a little after their lows. They act sold out, that is, their woe is not attracting new sellers.

But it's too soon to say. Let's see what they do tomorrow. It would be a good sign if they held on above today's lows, and a sign of lower prices if they break those marks.

Wait patiently. A low is near.

FOMC, the great and mighty, hath spoken!

Ahh, me. They said they would taper -- well, sort of. They will reduce long term Treasury bond purchases from $45 billion a month to $40 billion a month, and Mortgage Backed Securities purchases from $40 bn/mo. to $35 bn/mo. That's a total $10 billion reduction from the current $85 bn monthly rate.

Y'all are saying now that I ought to eat crow because I said they wouldn't taper but they did. I say, y'all can eat your own crow, because this is no substantial action, only cosmetic. Lo, I shall explain.

Say you had a REALLY obese friend who got up to 700 lb. by eating 6,000 calories a day. Now say he calls you up and tells you he is changing his lifestyle and reducing his daily calories to 5,294. You would deduce he is not serious about trimming his waistline, right?

The Fed's $10 bn/mo. reduction amounts to the same drop, 11.76%. Instead of creating $1.02 trillion a year, they will be creating only $900 billion a year. Wait, wait! Don't I remember that in September 2008 when the Fed cranked up the money creation machine that the Fed's entire balance sheet was only $939 billion, and it had taken 95 years to get there? And now, after adding $3 trillion in new money, they are going to "taper" by adding "only" $900 billion a year.

Aww, shucks! That sure sounds like a solution to me, like buying another case of bourbon is a solution for an alcoholic with the shakes.

But trembling Wall Street was relieved to find the Fed would keep on pumping out new money plus promised to keep interest rates low, which they cannot do without continuing to buy bonds. Dow leapt 292.71 (1.84%) to a new high at 16,167.97. Nor was the S&P500 far behind, adding 29.654 (1.66%) to a new high at 1,810.65.

Shucks, the millennium has arrived, and the Fed is planning to teach fried chickens to fly so they can just fly right into our mouths. Won't even have the trouble of picking up a drumstick.

I will now plainly tell you what the Fed is doing: they are ruining the American economy. They climbed on that tiger of pumping out money to bail out the banks' balance sheets (y'all know, the banks that are Too Big to Fail run by bankers who are Too Big to Jail), keep Wall Street rising, and suppress interest rates. They can probably do this for quite a while, but at some time it will explode all over the Fed, the dollar, and America. They are destroying the economy pimping for the banks. A time for jubilation? Nay, a time to weep and grieve.

Dow jumped enough to make a new CLOSING but not a new intraday high, and closed at the top of its range. S&P500 made a new closing but not a new intraday high. From here it must climb or die. 'Twould be very weak if it stops here and vacillates. Seasonally it should rally into year end in any event.

On an end of day basis the Dow in Gold made a new high today at 13.28 oz (G$274.52 gold dollars). Oddly enough, the Dow in Silver did not make a new high, but closed above its 20 DMA. Ended at 820.08 oz, up 2.95%.

On the announcement that the Federal Reserve would further and surely depreciate the US dollar, the US dollar index -- rose 33 basis points (0.41%) to 80.55. Sure. Right. That makes sense to me. Oh, yeah. This came after a low at 79.50.

To the US dollar index's rise the euro fell like a piano off the third story, down 0.62% to $1.3684. Japanese yen crumpled 1.56%, falling to 95.92 cents per Y100, by far a new low for the move and way below the May low at 96.41c.

SPECIAL OFFER: British sovereigns

One of the world's most common gold coins is the British sovereign, thanks to the British empire. It is 22 karat (91-2/3% pure gold) and has a net gold content of nearly a quarter ounce, namely, 0.2354 troy ounce.

We bought a slug of sovereigns today, and would like to find them a happy home. Yes, these are great survival coins, since they're in a small size and widely recognized and very liquid. These are all old sovereigns, i.e., minted before 1934, so may show a little wear but I guarantee the gold content. They will be a mixture of George V, Edward VII, and the various Victoria types. Head of the sovereign appears on the obverse and Pistrucci's unforgettable St. George slaying the dragon on the reverse.

THE OFFER

Ten (10) each British Sovereigns, mixed types but all minted before 1935 at $301.95 each, a total of $3019.5 plus $35 shipping for a total of $3,054.5 Based on spot gold at $1,220.90, that's a premium of 5.1% over the gold content and five bucks per coin LESS than our current retail price. Great survival coin (US Air Force used to put them in their downed pilot survival kits). Sorry, I have only Sixteen lots at this price and cannot re-order except at higher prices..

LIMIT two (2) lots per customer.

Special Conditions:

First come, first served, and no re-orders at these prices. I will write orders based on the time I receive your e-mail.

We will not take orders for less than the minimum shown above.

All sales on a strict "no-nag" basis. We will ship as soon as your check clears, but we allow Two weeks (14 days) for your check to clear. Calls looking for your order two days after we receive your check will be politely and patiently rebuffed.

It increases your chances of getting your order filled if you offer me a second choice, e.g., "I want to order Two lots but if not available will take One lot." ORDERING INSTRUCTIONS:

1. You may order by e-mail only to offers@the-moneychanger.com. No phone orders, please. Please do NOT order by replying to this email, because it will delay your email.

Your email must include your complete name, address, and phone number. We cannot ship to you without your address. Sorry, we cannot ship outside the United States or to Tennessee.

Repeat, you must include your complete name, address, and phone number. Our clairvoyant quit without warning last week, I tripped, dropped, and smashed my crystal ball, and our fortune-teller is on strike, so I can no longer read your mind.

2. When you buy from us, we cannot later change or cancel the trade. We are giving you our word that we will sell at that price, and you are giving us your word that you will buy at that price, regardless what later happens in the market, up or down.

If you break your word to us, we will never again do business with you.

3. Orders are on a first-come, first-served basis until supply is exhausted.

4. "First come, first-served" means that we will enter the orders in the order that we receive them by e-mail.

5. If your order is filled, we will e-mail you a confirmation. If you do not receive a confirmation, your order was not filled.

6. You will need to send payment by personal check or bank wire (either one is fine) within 48 hours. It just needs to be in the mail, not in our hands, in 48 hours.

7. "No Nag Basis" means that we allow fourteen (14) days for personal checks to clear before we ship. Want your order faster? Send a bank wire, but that's not required. Once we ship, the post office takes four to fourteen days to get the registered mail package to you. All in all, you'll see your order in about one month if you send a check.

8. Please mention you saw this offer on goldprice.org in your email.

Argentum et aurum comparenda sunt -- -- Gold and silver must be bought.

- Franklin Sanders, The Moneychanger
The-MoneyChanger.com

© 2013, The Moneychanger. May not be republished in any form, including electronically, without our express permission. To avoid confusion, please remember that the comments above have a very short time horizon. Always invest with the primary trend. Gold's primary trend is up, targeting at least $3,130.00; silver's primary is up targeting 16:1 gold/silver ratio or $195.66; stocks' primary trend is down, targeting Dow under 2,900 and worth only one ounce of gold or 18 ounces of silver. or 18 ounces of silver. US $ and US$-denominated assets, primary trend down; real estate bubble has burst, primary trend down.

WARNING AND DISCLAIMER. Be advised and warned:

Do NOT use these commentaries to trade futures contracts. I don't intend them for that or write them with that short term trading outlook. I write them for long-term investors in physical metals. Take them as entertainment, but not as a timing service for futures.

NOR do I recommend investing in gold or silver Exchange Trade Funds (ETFs). Those are NOT physical metal and I fear one day one or another may go up in smoke. Unless you can breathe smoke, stay away. Call me paranoid, but the surviving rabbit is wary of traps.

NOR do I recommend trading futures options or other leveraged paper gold and silver products. These are not for the inexperienced.

NOR do I recommend buying gold and silver on margin or with debt.

What DO I recommend? Physical gold and silver coins and bars in your own hands.

One final warning: NEVER insert a 747 Jumbo Jet up your nose.

The Gold Price Closed Up $4.90 at $1,236.10

Posted: 18 Dec 2013 03:50 PM PST

Gold Price Close Today : 1236.10
Change : 4.90 or 0.40%

Silver Price Close Today : 20.014
Change : 0.222 or 1.12%

Gold Silver Ratio Today : 61.762
Change : -0.445 or -0.72%

Silver Gold Ratio Today : 0.01619
Change : 0.000116 or 0.72%

Platinum Price Close Today : 1342.20
Change : -1.50 or -0.11%

Palladium Price Close Today : 698.40
Change : -1.25 or -0.18%

S&P 500 : 1,810.65
Change : 29.65 or 1.66%

Dow In GOLD$ : $270.38
Change : $ 3.84 or 1.44%

Dow in GOLD oz : 13.080
Change : 0.186 or 1.44%

Dow in SILVER oz : 807.83
Change : 5.73 or 0.71%

Dow Industrial : 16,167.97
Change : 292.71 or 1.84%

US Dollar Index : 80.550
Change : 0.330 or 0.41%

Comex closes before the FOMC vomits out its decision, so the GOLD PRICE closed up $4.90 at $1,236.10 while silver gained 22.2 cents to close at 2001.4.

Then the FOMC news hit, and the gold price dropped 1.7% to a low at $1,215.20. The SILVER PRICE lost 58.4 cents (2.9%) to a low at 1942c. Both climbed after that, the GOLD PRICE back to $1,220.90 and silver to 1976c. Like the dollar rising, this makes no sense.

How is this positive? News that took stocks way up to new highs didn't drive silver and gold to new lows, and they bounced a little after their lows. They act sold out, that is, their woe is not attracting new sellers.

But it's too soon to say. Let's see what they do tomorrow. It would be a good sign if they held on above today's lows, and a sign of lower prices if they break those marks.

Wait patiently. A low is near.

FOMC, the great and mighty, hath spoken!

Ahh, me. They said they would taper -- well, sort of. They will reduce long term Treasury bond purchases from $45 billion a month to $40 billion a month, and Mortgage Backed Securities purchases from $40 bn/mo. to $35 bn/mo. That's a total $10 billion reduction from the current $85 bn monthly rate.

Y'all are saying now that I ought to eat crow because I said they wouldn't taper but they did. I say, y'all can eat your own crow, because this is no substantial action, only cosmetic. Lo, I shall explain.

Say you had a REALLY obese friend who got up to 700 lb. by eating 6,000 calories a day. Now say he calls you up and tells you he is changing his lifestyle and reducing his daily calories to 5,294. You would deduce he is not serious about trimming his waistline, right?

The Fed's $10 bn/mo. reduction amounts to the same drop, 11.76%. Instead of creating $1.02 trillion a year, they will be creating only $900 billion a year. Wait, wait! Don't I remember that in September 2008 when the Fed cranked up the money creation machine that the Fed's entire balance sheet was only $939 billion, and it had taken 95 years to get there? And now, after adding $3 trillion in new money, they are going to "taper" by adding "only" $900 billion a year.

Aww, shucks! That sure sounds like a solution to me, like buying another case of bourbon is a solution for an alcoholic with the shakes.

But trembling Wall Street was relieved to find the Fed would keep on pumping out new money plus promised to keep interest rates low, which they cannot do without continuing to buy bonds. Dow leapt 292.71 (1.84%) to a new high at 16,167.97. Nor was the S&P500 far behind, adding 29.654 (1.66%) to a new high at 1,810.65.

Shucks, the millennium has arrived, and the Fed is planning to teach fried chickens to fly so they can just fly right into our mouths. Won't even have the trouble of picking up a drumstick.

I will now plainly tell you what the Fed is doing: they are ruining the American economy. They climbed on that tiger of pumping out money to bail out the banks' balance sheets (y'all know, the banks that are Too Big to Fail run by bankers who are Too Big to Jail), keep Wall Street rising, and suppress interest rates. They can probably do this for quite a while, but at some time it will explode all over the Fed, the dollar, and America. They are destroying the economy pimping for the banks. A time for jubilation? Nay, a time to weep and grieve.

Dow jumped enough to make a new CLOSING but not a new intraday high, and closed at the top of its range. S&P500 made a new closing but not a new intraday high. From here it must climb or die. 'Twould be very weak if it stops here and vacillates. Seasonally it should rally into year end in any event.

On an end of day basis the Dow in Gold made a new high today at 13.28 oz (G$274.52 gold dollars). Oddly enough, the Dow in Silver did not make a new high, but closed above its 20 DMA. Ended at 820.08 oz, up 2.95%.

On the announcement that the Federal Reserve would further and surely depreciate the US dollar, the US dollar index -- rose 33 basis points (0.41%) to 80.55. Sure. Right. That makes sense to me. Oh, yeah. This came after a low at 79.50.

To the US dollar index's rise the euro fell like a piano off the third story, down 0.62% to $1.3684. Japanese yen crumpled 1.56%, falling to 95.92 cents per Y100, by far a new low for the move and way below the May low at 96.41c.

SPECIAL OFFER: British sovereigns

One of the world's most common gold coins is the British sovereign, thanks to the British empire. It is 22 karat (91-2/3% pure gold) and has a net gold content of nearly a quarter ounce, namely, 0.2354 troy ounce.

We bought a slug of sovereigns today, and would like to find them a happy home. Yes, these are great survival coins, since they're in a small size and widely recognized and very liquid. These are all old sovereigns, i.e., minted before 1934, so may show a little wear but I guarantee the gold content. They will be a mixture of George V, Edward VII, and the various Victoria types. Head of the sovereign appears on the obverse and Pistrucci's unforgettable St. George slaying the dragon on the reverse.

THE OFFER

Ten (10) each British Sovereigns, mixed types but all minted before 1935 at $301.95 each, a total of $3019.5 plus $35 shipping for a total of $3,054.5 Based on spot gold at $1,220.90, that's a premium of 5.1% over the gold content and five bucks per coin LESS than our current retail price. Great survival coin (US Air Force used to put them in their downed pilot survival kits). Sorry, I have only Sixteen lots at this price and cannot re-order except at higher prices..

LIMIT two (2) lots per customer.

Special Conditions:

First come, first served, and no re-orders at these prices. I will write orders based on the time I receive your e-mail.

We will not take orders for less than the minimum shown above.

All sales on a strict "no-nag" basis. We will ship as soon as your check clears, but we allow Two weeks (14 days) for your check to clear. Calls looking for your order two days after we receive your check will be politely and patiently rebuffed.

It increases your chances of getting your order filled if you offer me a second choice, e.g., "I want to order Two lots but if not available will take One lot." ORDERING INSTRUCTIONS:

1. You may order by e-mail only to offers@the-moneychanger.com. No phone orders, please. Please do NOT order by replying to this email, because it will delay your email.

Your email must include your complete name, address, and phone number. We cannot ship to you without your address. Sorry, we cannot ship outside the United States or to Tennessee.

Repeat, you must include your complete name, address, and phone number. Our clairvoyant quit without warning last week, I tripped, dropped, and smashed my crystal ball, and our fortune-teller is on strike, so I can no longer read your mind.

2. When you buy from us, we cannot later change or cancel the trade. We are giving you our word that we will sell at that price, and you are giving us your word that you will buy at that price, regardless what later happens in the market, up or down.

If you break your word to us, we will never again do business with you.

3. Orders are on a first-come, first-served basis until supply is exhausted.

4. "First come, first-served" means that we will enter the orders in the order that we receive them by e-mail.

5. If your order is filled, we will e-mail you a confirmation. If you do not receive a confirmation, your order was not filled.

6. You will need to send payment by personal check or bank wire (either one is fine) within 48 hours. It just needs to be in the mail, not in our hands, in 48 hours.

7. "No Nag Basis" means that we allow fourteen (14) days for personal checks to clear before we ship. Want your order faster? Send a bank wire, but that's not required. Once we ship, the post office takes four to fourteen days to get the registered mail package to you. All in all, you'll see your order in about one month if you send a check.

8. Please mention you saw this offer on goldprice.org in your email.

Argentum et aurum comparenda sunt -- -- Gold and silver must be bought.

- Franklin Sanders, The Moneychanger
The-MoneyChanger.com

© 2013, The Moneychanger. May not be republished in any form, including electronically, without our express permission. To avoid confusion, please remember that the comments above have a very short time horizon. Always invest with the primary trend. Gold's primary trend is up, targeting at least $3,130.00; silver's primary is up targeting 16:1 gold/silver ratio or $195.66; stocks' primary trend is down, targeting Dow under 2,900 and worth only one ounce of gold or 18 ounces of silver. or 18 ounces of silver. US $ and US$-denominated assets, primary trend down; real estate bubble has burst, primary trend down.

WARNING AND DISCLAIMER. Be advised and warned:

Do NOT use these commentaries to trade futures contracts. I don't intend them for that or write them with that short term trading outlook. I write them for long-term investors in physical metals. Take them as entertainment, but not as a timing service for futures.

NOR do I recommend investing in gold or silver Exchange Trade Funds (ETFs). Those are NOT physical metal and I fear one day one or another may go up in smoke. Unless you can breathe smoke, stay away. Call me paranoid, but the surviving rabbit is wary of traps.

NOR do I recommend trading futures options or other leveraged paper gold and silver products. These are not for the inexperienced.

NOR do I recommend buying gold and silver on margin or with debt.

What DO I recommend? Physical gold and silver coins and bars in your own hands.

One final warning: NEVER insert a 747 Jumbo Jet up your nose.

U.S. Dollar’s Demise and the Rise of Bitcoin

Posted: 18 Dec 2013 09:13 AM PST

One of the questions investors have been asking lately concerns the outlook for the U.S. dollar index. Investors are understandably concerned by the dollar’s weakness and worry that perhaps that any notable increase in inflation could lead to further erosion in the dollar’s value.

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