Gold World News Flash |
- Best Days for Gains in U.S. Housing Market Stocks Behind Us?
- This May Create A Cascading Collapse & Crisis
- Is The Perfect Storm Coming For Gold?
- Is The Perfect Storm Coming For Gold?
- Smuggling, politics pushing Indian government to reconsider gold import limits
- Write to Congress to protest monetary metals market manipulation
- The Week Ahead and Beyond
- Alasdair Macleod: Value vs. momentum and the gold price
- The Short Term Bottom In The Precious Metal Sector Is Almost Here
- This May Create A Cascading Collapse & Crisis
- Guest Post: Who Needs The Debt Ceiling?
- The Global Economy is Running Iut of Time
- Stocks Bear Market Focus Point: The Demise of the Social Compact is leading us to the next GFC
- Gold, Frankincense and Myrrh
- Debunking The 6 Key Myths About Gold
- JPM House Takes 13.77mt Gold in Dec, 17.8% 1-day Drop in Registered Stocks
- GATA will be part of Mines and Money Hong Kong conference in March
- Peak Resources video cites gold market manipulation and GATA
- Bill Murphy: Gold and Silver Sector in a Depression
- Celente - “March Economic Madness” & Why Gold Hits $5,000
- Noonan on the Merits of Using Charts & What They’re Currently Conveying About Silver
- Noonan: Here’s Why Silver Is So Low & What To Do About It
- More Precious Metals Miners To Shut Down
- JP Morgan House Account Reveals Gold Selling then Buying Pattern for 2013
- This Past Week in Gold
- Silver - A Rigged Market Coming To An End
- Market Monitor – December 14th
- Silver Rigged Market Manipulation Coming To An End
- Gold Price Drop Due to Market Manipulation or Lack of Demand?
| Best Days for Gains in U.S. Housing Market Stocks Behind Us? Posted: 16 Dec 2013 12:45 AM PST George Leong writes: Mortgage rates are on the rise. In November, the 30-year fixed rate mortgage stood at 4.26% compared to 3.35% a year earlier in November 2012. The average rate for the 30-year fixed rate mortgage in 2007 prior to the subprime meltdown was 6.34%, according to data from Freddie Mac. (Source: “30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Since 1971,” Freddie Mac web site, last accessed December 13, 2013.) |
| This May Create A Cascading Collapse & Crisis Posted: 15 Dec 2013 09:00 PM PST from KingWorldNews:
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| Is The Perfect Storm Coming For Gold? Posted: 15 Dec 2013 08:02 PM PST from ZeroHedge:
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| Is The Perfect Storm Coming For Gold? Posted: 15 Dec 2013 06:31 PM PST Due to western central bank price manipulation, the mining sector is in critical condition, the supply line is all but halted, and the physical supply is being swallowed up by Asia. The last shoe to drop is for major mining companies to start closing down production at major mines. Though this would be perceived as the end for gold, speculators will be happy to know that this would be the beginning of the biggest Fed induced bubble in history! But unlike previous Fed bubbles where they support the price increase, the gold bubble will be a result of western central planners mis-managing the gold price for the past 3 decades and finally losing control. As Peak Resources explains in the brief clip, the perfect storm is coming for gold...
Friday October 11th, gold trading was shut down for 10 seconds according to the CME. Why, because someone sold 2 million ounces of gold at one time. Who does this? Who sells nearly 2 and half percent of annual gold production in a single minute? The gold valued at over $2.5 billion could not have been sold by a small trader, and certainly not the smart money, institutional investors know that you don't exit a large trade like this... So who could it be? Try the dumb money, The Western Central Banks. As noted by organizations like GATA, TF Metals Report, ZeroHedge, and Shtfplan, gold manipulation is out in the open. Friday October 11th is just one of the daily examples. With the western central banks suppressing the price, the eastern central banks have been happy buyers. However, PeakResources.org believes this gold price suppression scheme is nearing its end. With the Federal Reserve on a fiat currency suicide mission with QE forever, and the U.S. federal government bankrupt, the days of dollar supremacy are in its last days. For gold though, the central banks have really screwed themselves. At a price of $1,250, gold mining companies can no longer make a profit. Recent studies show their all in cash cost anywhere from $1,400 to as high as $1,700. Liquid fuels, human energy, and new exploration are costly in the mining process, so it is unlikely these costs can be cut to accommodate the low gold price. Since gold's peak in 2011, the TSX Venture exchange, home to the worlds gold exploration companies, is down more than 59% The gold juniors index, the GDXJ, is down 83% And the large cap gold companies, despite seeing a 400% increase in the price of gold over the past 12 years, are trading at lower valuations then they did even 20 years ago. As noted in our video Peak Gold, no major gold discoveries have been found in more than 10 years! Gold production as a whole has plateaued. Remember, all mines have a limited supply of gold, at some point in time they either deplete themselves or become uneconomical. Uneconomical meaning companies can't mine for profit, which is exactly the case for nearly all gold mines today! Consider a very famous gold mining region, South Africa In 1971 South Africa produced 47.5 million ounces of gold, accounting for 68% of global mine production. In 2011, South Africa accounted for only 7% of gold production with about 8 million ounces of mine production. Despite all the technological advances and billions in exploration and development, South African gold production is down 82%. South Africa isn't an anomaly either, here in the U.S. production in the past 20 years is down 30%. Current discoveries are small, in remote areas, and are lower grade deposits. PeakResources.org recently attended a gold mining event in London, what we learned was that exploration budgets were being slashed! No development, no exploration, and a scaling back of projects. What this all leads to is a price spike in gold, just as gold rose rose from $35 to $850 in the 70s, The Dow Jones from 2,000 to 11,000 in the 1990, and Bitcoin from a penny to $1,200 more recently, so to can gold have a parabolic spike. The perfect storm is coming for gold... Due to western central bank price manipulation the mining sector is in critical condition, the supply line is all but halted, and the physical supply is being swallowed up by Asia. The last shoe to drop is for major mining companies to start closing down production at major mines. Though this would be perceived as the end for gold, speculators will be happy to know that this would be the beginning of the biggest Fed induced bubble in history! But unlike previous Fed bubbles where they support the price increase, the gold bubble will be a result of western central planners mis-managing the gold price for the past 3 decades and finally losing control. With fiat currency being pumped into the system daily and the gold sector in shambles, the central banks are in for a big surprise because sooner or later supply and demand economics will crush the very people who are behind the devastation we have seen in the gold mining and precious metal industry. |
| Smuggling, politics pushing Indian government to reconsider gold import limits Posted: 15 Dec 2013 04:04 PM PST Improved Current Account Deficit: Gold Import Curbs to Be Eased By Deepshikha Sikarwar http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/commodities/improved-current... NEW DELHI -- Gold buyers and the trade may soon have reason for cheer. The tough restrictions on the metal's imports could be eased following a dramatic improvement in the current account deficit and an unintended consequence of the curbs -- a rise in smuggling. "A review of the duty structure and the measures to restrict exports is expected by this month end," a finance ministry official said. Economists support relaxation of the measures. "The government and the central bank have already begun to unwind steps that were taken to address the high current account deficit and sharp rupee depreciation. This is the right time to begin steps to contain gold imports," said DK Joshi, chief economist for Crisil. But it should be done in a calibrated manner to prevent any shock to the system, Joshi said. ... Dispatch continues below ... ADVERTISEMENT Buy metals at GoldMoney and enjoy international storage GoldMoney was established in 2001 by James and Geoff Turk and is safeguarding more than $1.7 billion in metals and currencies. Buy gold, silver, platinum, and palladium from GoldMoney over the Internet and store them in vaults in Canada, Hong Kong, Singapore, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom, taking advantage of GoldMoney's low storage rates, among the most competitive in the industry. GoldMoney also offers delivery of 100-gram and 1-kilogram gold bars and 1-kilogram silver bars. To learn more, please visit: http://www.goldmoney.com/?gmrefcode=gata The government had raised customs duty on standard gold to 10 percent from 2 percent over about two years to contain imports that bloated the current account deficit to an all-time high of 4.8 percent of gross domestic product, or $88 billion, in the year to March. The country spent $56.8 billion of its precious foreign exchange reserves on gold imports in the last fiscal year. The high current account deficit and concerns over its funding were largely responsible for the rupee plummeting in August after the US Federal Reserve signalled its intention of rolling back its stimulus programme, an action it hasn't begun as yet. As part of the steps to clamp down on gold imports, the Reserve Bank of India had in July introduced an 80:20 scheme -- 20 percent of the bullion imported had to be exported back. Imports were also not allowed if importers were unable to meet the 20 percent norm. The government also banned trading of gold in special economic zones. The measures had the desired impact of slowing down gold and silver imports to $25.5 billion in first eight months of the fiscal from $33.5 billion in the year earlier. The fall has been more dramatic of late with imports dropping to $1.2 billion in November. Meanwhile, the rupee strengthened over 10 percent to 62.19 to the dollar as of the Friday close from the record low of 68.81 in August. But a section of the government is beginning to worry about ramifications of these measures -- a rise in smuggling, the effect on small traders, and demand building up. "There have been several representations," said the official cited above, adding that a call will have to be taken based on several factors, including the degree of the threat to the current account deficit, the impact on duty collections as gold imports shift to unofficial channels, and the effect on employment. Gold traders and jewellery exporters have lobbied hard with the government for the easing of the import compression measures, arguing that they had fuelled the grey market and hurt trade badly. Up to October, gold worth Rs 208 crore has been seized from smugglers against Rs 107 crore last year and Rs 42.38 crore in 2011-12. India's neighbouring countries, which have lower duties, have seen a surge in their imports of the metal. This gold is then being carried across into India by smugglers to take advantage of the duty differential. But the overall decline in the official trade has hurt the jewellery industry, which is one of the large employers in the unorganized sector. Gems and jewellery exports have also been subdued as the import norms have proven too cumbersome. Political calculations have also come into play with the Congress Party getting a drubbing in the recent assembly elections. Ahead of next year's general elections, the government does not want any kind of backlash, as the jewellery sector is a large employer in many states, including Gujarat. Join GATA here: Vancouver Resource Investment Conference http://www.cambridgehouse.com/event/vancouver-resource-investment-confer... Mines and Money Hong Kong http://www.minesandmoney.com/hongkong/ * * * Support GATA by purchasing DVDs of our London conference in August 2011 or our Dawson City conference in August 2006: http://www.goldrush21.com/order.html Or by purchasing a colorful GATA T-shirt: Or a colorful poster of GATA's full-page ad in The Wall Street Journal on January 31, 2009: http://gata.org/node/wallstreetjournal Help keep GATA going GATA is a civil rights and educational organization based in the United States and tax-exempt under the U.S. Internal Revenue Code. Its e-mail dispatches are free, and you can subscribe at: To contribute to GATA, please visit: ADVERTISEMENT How to profit with silver -- Future Money Trends is offering a special 16-page silver report with our forecast for 2013 that includes profiles of nine companies and technical analysis of their stock performance. Six of the companies have market capitalizations of less than $800 million and one company has a market cap of only $30 million. The most exciting of these companies will begin production in a few weeks and has a market cap of just $150 million. Half of all proceeds from the sale of this report will be donated to the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee to support its efforts exposing manipulation and fraud in the gold and silver markets. To learn about this report, please visit: http://www.futuremoneytrends.com/index.php?option=com_content&id=376&tmp... |
| Write to Congress to protest monetary metals market manipulation Posted: 15 Dec 2013 03:36 PM PST 6:44p ET Sunday, December 15, 2013 Dear Friend of GATA and Gold: Our friend Kasey Warner of West Virginia wrote the other day to her members of Congress to ask them to investigate manipulation of the monetary metals markets, which is something that can be done by every U.S. citizen who is invested in the monetary metals or wants the restoration of free markets in the United States. With her permission the text of Kasey's letter is appended, and you're free to use it whole or adapt it. If you need help identifying your members of Congress or finding their postal addresses, visit the Project Vote Smart Internet site: Please write to members of Congress only by regular U.S. mail; few members of Congress pay any attention to unsolicited e-mail. ... Dispatch continues below ... ADVERTISEMENT You Don't Have to Wait for Your Monetary Metal: Many investors lately report having to wait weeks and even months for delivery of their precious metal orders. All Pro Gold works with the largest wholesalers that have inventory "live" -- ready to go. All Pro Gold can ship these "live" gold and silver products as soon as payment funds clear. All Pro Gold can provide immediate delivery of 100-ounce Johnson Matthey silver bars, bags of 90 percent junk silver coins, and 1-ounce silver Austrian Philharmonics. All Pro Gold can deliver silver Canadian maple leafs with a two-day delay and 1-ounce U.S. silver eagles with a 15-day delay. Traditional 1-ounce gold bullion coins and mint-state generic gold double eagles are also available for immediate delivery. All Pro Gold has competitive pricing, and its proprietors, longtime GATA supporters Fred Goldstein and Tim Murphy, are glad to answer any questions or concerns of buyers about the acquisition of precious metals and numismatic coins. Learn more at www.allprogold.com or email info@allprogold.com or telephone All Pro Gold toll-free at 1-855-377-4653. Of course be respectful and include your own postal address and telephone number. Most members of Congress will at least acknowledge real postal correspondence. If you get any reply beyond a form letter, please let me know at CPowell@GATA.org. Thanks for your help. CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer * * * SAMPLE LETTER TO MEMBERS OF CONGRESS I have watched the precious metals market fairly closely for years. Knowing a little about the illegal aspects of market manipulation, I have become convinced that the U.S. government is involved in suppressing the price of gold, other precious metals, and various commodities. The Bank Participation Report issued by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission shows that JPMorganChase has a long-side corner in gold and a short-side corner in silver on the New York Commodities Exchange. Because the government is doing nothing to stop this price suppression, I suspect that JPMorganChase is working closely with the government to suppress monetary metals prices. While I have my own suspicions about why this is happening and allowed, these corners and manipulations are wrong and illegal whether my suspicions are correct or not. The CFTC is not doing its job. The government is supposed to work for the people. If there are good reasons for not proceeding against JPMorganChase for monetary metals market manipulation, the people should at least be able to find out what these reasons are so we can invest appropriately. Accordingly, I ask you to ensure that Congress exercises its oversight, gets anti-trust law enforced in the monetary metals markets, and requires the Federal Reserve and other government agencies to disclose all their records and activities related to the monetary metals markets. I find the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee (www.GATA.org) and market analyst Ted Butler (www.ButlerResearch.com) to be comprehensive and reliable sources of information about the monetary metals markets. They will be glad to provide you with whatever information you may need to accomplish the necessary changes. Join GATA here: Vancouver Resource Investment Conference http://www.cambridgehouse.com/event/vancouver-resource-investment-confer... Mines and Money Hong Kong http://www.minesandmoney.com/hongkong/ * * * Support GATA by purchasing DVDs of our London conference in August 2011 or our Dawson City conference in August 2006: http://www.goldrush21.com/order.html Or by purchasing a colorful GATA T-shirt: Or a colorful poster of GATA's full-page ad in The Wall Street Journal on January 31, 2009: http://gata.org/node/wallstreetjournal Help keep GATA going GATA is a civil rights and educational organization based in the United States and tax-exempt under the U.S. Internal Revenue Code. Its e-mail dispatches are free, and you can subscribe at: To contribute to GATA, please visit: |
| Posted: 15 Dec 2013 02:23 PM PST The recent string of data has convinced many observers that the US economic expansion has accelerated to the point where the Fed could begin to slow its assets purchases as at this week's meeting.
Although we had initially favored a Dec tapering over a Sept move, we have become less convinced. The key to argument is two-fold: core PCE inflation is low and is likely to fall sharply over the next few months, and the credibility of forward guidance, which is to replace the asset purchases, is enhanced by letting the post-Bernanke Fed announce and implement.
The core PCE deflator, the Fed's preferred inflation measure rose 1.1% in October from a year ago. Consider the base effect when Nov 2012 monthly increase of 0.8% and Dec 2012 monthly increase of 0.5% drops out of the comparison. It is more prudent to taper at least when inflation is not falling especially from so such low levels.
There will be significant changes in the composition of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which extend beyond the chairmanship itself. The credibility of forward guidance dictates that the new Fed, under Yellen's leadership, articulates a new forward guidance that will coincide with the tapering decision.
There are other, less compelling reasons for the Fed not to taper, like avoiding unsettling money markets over the sensitive year-end period, or that more data is needed to confirm the economy has turned a corner. The point is that many observers seem to have simply extrapolated from some arguably strengthening of economic activity to conclude Fed tapering, without adequately taking into account the low and falling inflation and the need to maximize the credibility of forward guidance to ensure the market continues to recognize the difference between tapering and tightening.
The euro area reports the flash Dec PMI on Monday. While the PMIs generally do a good job tracking real sector activity, we note that they appear to be running ahead now. The weakness in the Nov industrial production figures, for example, was not anticipated by the survey data. More broadly, the contraction in the euro area as a whole has ended, but in its place is stagnation. In the euro area, a recovery has yet to begin. In the US, the issue is the strength of the expansion.
The divergence between the economic performance of France and Germany has been more evident in the PMI data than the performance of the asset markets. In part, due to robust Asian investment flows, France appears to have retained investor confidence. A continued poor performance of the French economy may become a greater market force next year.
At the end of the week, the last European Council, of the heads of state, will hold their last summit of the year. The most important issue will be the formal decision on the single resolution mechanism. The ECB will be the supervisor, working with the European Banking Authority. The debate over the mechanism itself has been fierce. The compromise seems to be that national authorities retain much control and responsibility for the process. It is not so much a banking union, especially in the first several years, as an agreed upon extension of the status quo.
Nevertheless, the pieces will be in place that will allow the Asset Quality Review and the stress test to proceed as planned for 2014. In the next phase of the construction of a banking union, the focus will be on the creation of a Single Resolution Fund. The way the resolution mechanism was worked out will shape the fund, especially before it can be adequately funded by the banks. Essentially, the bank and its investors are the first line of defense. The German desire for a banking union is limited by its wiliness to 1) let Brussels make decisions about the landesbanks, and 2) willingness to fund a resolution mechanism.
Outside of the US and euro area, there are several more events that investors will be monitoring. The UK has three events that will be noteworthy: inflation report, the latest reading on the labor markets and minutes from the recent BOE meeting.
Inflation expectations remain anchored, but price pressures remain sticky in the UK. Of particular interest will be the effect of the previously announced increase in utility prices. The BOE's forward guidance, like the Fed's, has provided an unemployment threshold (7.0% vs 6.5% for the Fed). The unemployment rate is likely to tick down to 7.5%. The UK's participation rate has held up better than in the US (and Australia) by contrast, but the price has been lower productivity.
As BOE Governor Carney pointed out in NY last week, the atrophy of skills is taking place in the UK on the job (labor shifted form high productivity to lower productivity positions) as opposed to among the long-term unemployed, as seems to be the case elsewhere. Finally, the BOE's minutes will be studied for clues to how forward guidance may evolve next year, especially in terms of labor market dynamics.
Sweden's Riksbank meets. It is a close call. Important real sector data has deteriorated and disinflationary conditions threatened to morph into deflation. Interest rates policy is recognized (by at least some board members) as an inefficient tool to address the elevated household debt levels. If a cut is not delivered, the krona may be subject to a short-covering bounce, but expectations for a cut will simply shift to early next year.
The Bank of Canada meets. It had previously distanced itself from the forward guidance that was inherited from Carney that indicated the "removal of accommodation" (i.e. a rate hike) would be delivered soon (though it repeatedly pushed out in time what that would be necessary).
Canada is experiencing disinflation and the impact on the real economy is likely to be a 2014 story. Headline inflation is running at 1.0% year-over-year, while the core rate at 1.2% is essentially the same as the US rate. However, a key difference is that Canada's housing prices and consumer debt are at record levels.
Although some Canadian banks have tried to play down the extent of the over-valuation in the housing market, it is clearly on the central bank's radar screen. Last week Governor Poloz recognized the housing market as the single biggest domestic economic threat. Mortgage borrowing increased another 1.8% in Q3, bringing household debt to 163.7% of disposable income.
Comments by the Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia that provided a specific bilateral exchange rate target of $0.8500 for the Australian dollar violate the spirit of G20 agreements. He is unlikely to repeat this faux pas. It is well understood and appreciated that the Australian dollar is over-valued by almost any metric one wants to use. However, a nominal bilateral exchange rate is a poor proxy for the competitiveness of the currency.
Moreover, macro-economic variables do not appear very sensitive to a few percentage point move that Steven's target entails. The new government will provide new economic forecasts and a fiscal update. Australia debt is rising and this issue will likely become more significant next year.
We note that of all forces that impact foreign exchange prices, the wishes of policy makers, unless a signal of action, tend not to be very salient. The largely speculative market seized on Steven's comments to push against the bottom pickers who were arguably poised to take a stand.
The Bank of Japan holds its final meeting for 2013. It is most unlikely to take any fresh initiatives. There seems to be a general expectation that the BOJ will take additional action, but there is much debate over when. We think it does not come before officials have greater visibility on the impact of the retail sales tax increase on April 1.
The Tankan report first thing Monday in Tokyo is expected to confirm a gradual increase in business sentiment in Japan. However, we note that businesses are not the most ardent supporters of Abenomics in deed, regardless of their support for the LDP. This is especially true in two important areas in which Abenomics has been disappointing: capital expenditures and sharing the windfall profits generated by a weaker yen in the form of base wage increases. Turning to emerging markets, five central banks meet. India is expected to hikes for the third consecutive time. A 25 bp increase will take the key overnight rate to 8%. Hungary is expected to deliver another 20 bp rate cut that would put its key rate at 3%. The central banks of the Czech Republic, Colombia and Turkey meet, but no action is expected.
Lastly, China seems to be on the move. Tensions over the disputed islands, airspace, and sea lanes have intensified and the risk of an international incident has increased markedly. China does not appear to be afraid of a confrontation, but, to the contrary, appears to be looking for one.
With the successfully landing and deployment of the Jade Rabbit rover, China became the third country and the first in almost four decades to have an unmanned moon landing. Neither of these developments appears to be having a particular impact on financial assets. However, many will be scrutinizing the bilateral trade flows, especially with Japan and South Korea, to see if China is linking the political dispute with trade, which it has done previously.
While the moon landing is a great feat from an engineering point of view, one can't help but wonder about the price for what appears to be an expensive way to bolster status and prestige. Recall that despite China being the second largest economy in the world; it is still a poor country, where GDP per capita is about $6500 a year. The Chinese economy is a little more than half the size of the US, its GDP per capita is roughly a fifth the size.
The soft moon landing may say more about China's desire to be seen as a great power, the egos of the key decision makers (individually or collectively) and the surplus accumulated by the state, than it does about China's space prowess. The terrestrial implications are more significant. |
| Alasdair Macleod: Value vs. momentum and the gold price Posted: 15 Dec 2013 02:17 PM PST 5:15p ET Sunday, December 15, 2013 Dear Friend of GATA and Gold: While the gold market increasingly is portrayed as a struggle between value buyers in the East and momentum traders in the West, economist and former banker Alasdair Macleod writes today, the struggle will be decided mainly by Western central bankers when they stop emptying their vaults to fill the gap between mine production and demand. Macleod, GoldMoney's research director, titles his commentary "Value Vs. Momentum and the Gold Price" and it's posted at GoldMoney's Internet site here: http://www.goldmoney.com/research/research-archive/value-versus-momentum... CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer ADVERTISEMENT Buy metals at GoldMoney and enjoy international storage GoldMoney was established in 2001 by James and Geoff Turk and is safeguarding more than $1.7 billion in metals and currencies. Buy gold, silver, platinum, and palladium from GoldMoney over the Internet and store them in vaults in Canada, Hong Kong, Singapore, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom, taking advantage of GoldMoney's low storage rates, among the most competitive in the industry. GoldMoney also offers delivery of 100-gram and 1-kilogram gold bars and 1-kilogram silver bars. To learn more, please visit: http://www.goldmoney.com/?gmrefcode=gata Join GATA here: Vancouver Resource Investment Conference http://www.cambridgehouse.com/event/vancouver-resource-investment-confer... Mines and Money Hong Kong http://www.minesandmoney.com/hongkong/ * * * Support GATA by purchasing DVDs of our London conference in August 2011 or our Dawson City conference in August 2006: http://www.goldrush21.com/order.html Or by purchasing a colorful GATA T-shirt: Or a colorful poster of GATA's full-page ad in The Wall Street Journal on January 31, 2009: http://gata.org/node/wallstreetjournal Help keep GATA going GATA is a civil rights and educational organization based in the United States and tax-exempt under the U.S. Internal Revenue Code. Its e-mail dispatches are free, and you can subscribe at: To contribute to GATA, please visit: ADVERTISEMENT How to profit with silver -- Future Money Trends is offering a special 16-page silver report with our forecast for 2013 that includes profiles of nine companies and technical analysis of their stock performance. Six of the companies have market capitalizations of less than $800 million and one company has a market cap of only $30 million. The most exciting of these companies will begin production in a few weeks and has a market cap of just $150 million. Half of all proceeds from the sale of this report will be donated to the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee to support its efforts exposing manipulation and fraud in the gold and silver markets. To learn about this report, please visit: http://www.futuremoneytrends.com/index.php?option=com_content&id=376&tmp... |
| The Short Term Bottom In The Precious Metal Sector Is Almost Here Posted: 15 Dec 2013 01:33 PM PST This Monday we will see a sharp drop in the metals. I expect GDX to hit 20.5 (or a little lower). Gold and silver will probably retest the late June lows. The good news (for the bulls) is that this will mark a short term bottom. Read More... |
| This May Create A Cascading Collapse & Crisis Posted: 15 Dec 2013 01:12 PM PST On the heels of unprecedented actions being taken across the globe, today 40-year veteran Robert Fitzwilson discusses the fact that we are in danger of seeing a cascading collapse and crisis erupt. This piece also includes an interesting chart of the S&P 500. Fitzwilson, who is founder of The Portola Group, put together the following tremendous piece below exclusively for King World News.This posting includes an audio/video/photo media file: Download Now |
| Guest Post: Who Needs The Debt Ceiling? Posted: 15 Dec 2013 01:11 PM PST Submitted by Russell Lamberti of the Ludwig von Mises Institute, US lawmakers reached a budget deal this week that will avert the sequester cuts and shutdowns. These fiscal “roadblocks” supposedly damaged investor confidence in 2013, although clearly no one told equity investors who’ve chased the S&P 500 up 26 percent this year. But even so the budget deal is seen by inflationists as only half the battle won, because it doesn’t deal with the pesky debt ceiling. Unsurprisingly, the old calls for a scrapping of the debt ceiling are being heard afresh. Last week, The Week ran an opinion piece by John Aziz which argues that America (and all other nations for that matter) should keep borrowing until investors no longer want to lend to it. To this end, it is argued, the US should scrap its debt ceiling because the only debt ceiling it needs is the one imposed by the market. When the market doesn’t want to lend to you anymore, bond yields will rise to such an extent that you can no longer afford to borrow any more money. You will reach your natural, market-determined debt ceiling. According to this line of reasoning, American bond yields are incredibly low, meaning there is no shortage of people willing to lend to Uncle Sam. So Washington should take advantage of these fantastically easy loans and leverage up. Here’s part of the key paragraph from Aziz:
What this fails to appreciate is that interest rates are a heavily controlled price in all of today’s major economies. This is particularly true in the case of America, where the Federal Reserve controls short-term interest rates using open market operations (i.e., loaning newly printed money to banks) and manipulates long-term interest rates using quantitative easing. By injecting vast amounts of liquidity into the economy, the Fed makes it appear as though there is more savings than there really is. But US bond yields are currently no more a reflection of the market’s demand for US debt than a price ceiling on gasoline is a reflection of its booming supply. Contra the view expressed in The Week, low rates brought about by contrived zero-bound policy rates and trillions of dollars in QE can mislead the federal government into borrowing more while at the same time pushing savers and investors out of US bond markets and into riskier assets like corporate bonds, equities, exotic derivatives, emerging markets, and so on. Greece once thought that the market was giving it the green light to “produce” more debt. Low borrowing rates for Greece were not a sign of fiscal health, however, but really just layer upon layer of false and contrived signals arising from easy ECB money, allowing Greece to hide behind Germany’s credit status. As it turned out, a legislative debt ceiling in Greece (one that was actually adhered to) would have been a far better idea than pretending this manipulated market was a fair reflection of reality. Investors were happy to absorb Greece’s debt until suddenly they weren’t. This is the nature of sovereign debt accumulation driven by easy money and credit bubbles. It’s all going swimmingly until it’s not. And there is little reason to think this time the US is different. Except that America might be worse. The very fact of the Fed buying Treasuries with newly printed money proves Washington is producing too much debt. China even stated recently that it saw no more utility accumulating any more dollar debt assets. If the whole point of QE is to monetize impaired assets, then the Fed likely sees Treasury bonds as facing considerable impairment risk. Theory and history are clear about the reasons for and consequences of large-scale and persistent debt monetization. Finally, it is wrong to assert that the debt ceiling is the main reason for America’s fiscal deficit reduction. The ceiling has never provided a meaningful barrier to America’s borrowing ambitions, hence the dozens of upward adjustments to the ceiling whenever it threatens to crimp the whims of Washington’s profligate classes. America’s rate of new borrowing is falling because all the money it has printed washed into the economic system and found its way back into tax revenues. Corporate profits are soaring to all-time highs on dirt cheap trade financing. Corporate high-grade debt issuance has set a new record in 2013. Companies are rolling their short-term debts, now super-cheap thanks to Bernanke’s money machine, and issuing long, into a bubbly IPO and corporate bond market. The last time corporate profits surged like they’re doing now was during the credit and housing bubble that preceded the unraveling and inevitable bust in 2008/09. These are money and credit cycle effects. The debt ceiling has had precious little to do with it. Moreover, US debt is neither crimped nor the US Treasury Department austere. Instead, the national debt is soaring, $60,000 higher for every US family since Obama took office and rising. Add to this the fact that the US Treasury’s bond issuance schedule is actually set to rise in 2014 due to huge amounts of maturing debt needing to be rolled over next year, and the fiscal significance of the debt ceiling fades even further. The singular brilliance of the debt ceiling however, is that it keeps reminding everyone that there is a growing national debt that never seems to shrink. That is a tremendous service to American citizens who live in the dark regarding the borrowing machinations of their political overlords. Yes, politicians keep raising the debt ceiling, but nowadays they have to bend themselves into ever twisty pretzels trying to explain why to their justifiably skeptical and cynical constituents. Most people don’t understand bond yields, quantitative easing, and Keynesian pump-a-thons too well, but they sure understand a debt ceiling.
ConclusionThose who adhere to the don’t-stop-til-you-get-enough theory of sovereign borrowing, and by extension argue for a scrapping of the debt ceiling, couldn’t be more misguided. In free markets with no Fed money market distortion, interest rates can be a useful guide of the amount of real savings being made available to borrowers. When borrowers want to borrow more, real interest rates will rise, and at some point this crimps the marginal demand for borrowing, acting as a natural “debt ceiling.” But when markets are heavily distorted by central bank money printing and contrived zero-bound rates, interest rates utterly cease to serve this purpose for prolonged periods of time. What takes over is the false signals of the unsustainable business cycle which fools people into thinking there is more savings than there really is. Greece provides a recent real-world case study of this very phenomenon in action. In these cases we are likely to see low rates sustained during the increase in government borrowing, only for them to quickly reset higher and plunge a country into a debt trap which may force default or extreme money printing. Debt monetization has a proven track record of ending badly. It is after all the implicit admission that no one but your monopoly money printer is willing to lend to you at the margin. The realization that this is unsustainable can take a while to sink in, but when it does, all it takes is an inevitable fat-tail event or crescendo of panic to topple the house of cards. If the market realizes it’s been duped into having too much before the government decides it’s had enough, a debt crisis won’t be far away. |
| The Global Economy is Running Iut of Time Posted: 15 Dec 2013 12:49 PM PST Energy drives all economic activity. Scientifically based evidence, recently to hand, leads to the conclusion that humanity has approximately 15 years to get its energy house in order. If we fail to achieve this outcome the global economy will not deteriorate, it will collapse. The flip side of this statement is that if we succeed – which is eminently possible from a technical perspective – we can look forward to a long period of global economic stability, if not growth. The obstacles to success are egocentricism and hubris of those in power. In the article below, Brian Bloom summarises key evidence to prove that the current status quo has a bias towards failure in all the world’s industrialised democracies. Urgent action is required. |
| Stocks Bear Market Focus Point: The Demise of the Social Compact is leading us to the next GFC Posted: 15 Dec 2013 12:32 PM PST For those readers of my commentaries who do not look at charts on a regular basis, the price charts in the commentary that follows this one, should be a timely reminder of where we are in the scheme of things and how unrelated to the real world equity prices have become as a result. Risk is now at levels not seen since 2006 – 2008. What makes this situation even more unstable and untenable over the short to medium term, is that the Obama government, as part of their plan to destroy the US Tea Party once and for all by grabbing a majority vote in the US house of Reps on November 4th 2014, will be doing “whatever it takes” to keep the US dollar depressed and US equities on the boil. But despite this, financial markets are just too big and too fragmented to be totally controlled – even by the USA. |
| Posted: 15 Dec 2013 06:16 AM PST Sean Brodrick writes: Christmas is a season for many things… and it’s also a time for commodities. No, I don’t mean the jewelry you’ll inevitably buy your sweetheart. I’m talking the old-time commodities: gold, frankincense and myrrh. Those were the gifts of the Magi to baby Jesus. In one form or another, these commodities or their replacements are still highly sought-after more than 2,000 years later. |
| Debunking The 6 Key Myths About Gold Posted: 15 Dec 2013 06:10 AM PST Here is how we respond to the myths of gold as propagated by some father-in-laws, some financial advisers and all Paul Krugmans. Myth 1: Gold “Is A Barbaric Relic” In fact, John Maynard Keynes never said gold was a “barbaric relic”. Actually, Keynes said that the gold standard monetary system was a barbaric relic. |
| JPM House Takes 13.77mt Gold in Dec, 17.8% 1-day Drop in Registered Stocks Posted: 15 Dec 2013 04:04 AM PST Goldsilver |
| GATA will be part of Mines and Money Hong Kong conference in March Posted: 14 Dec 2013 07:15 PM PST 10:17p ET Saturday, December 14, 2013 Dear Friend of GATA and Gold: Your secretary/treasurer will speak at the Mines and Money conference in Hong Kong, to be held from Monday to Friday, March 24-28, 2014, along with some GATA favorites: -- Gold advocate and mining entrepreneur Jim Sinclair. -- Swiss gold fund manager Egon von Greyerz. -- Grant Williams of Vulpes Investment Management in Singapore, editor of the "Things That Make You Go Hmmm. ..." letter. -- Market analyst David Tice. -- U.S. Global Investors CEO Frank Holmes. -- Economist, investment strategist, and gold expert Frank Veneroso. There will be dozens of other speakers, and dozens of resource companies concentrating in the Asia-Pacific region will be exhibiting. The conference will be held at the Hong Kong Convention and Exhibition Centre in Hong Kong's Wan Chai neighborhood. Of course Hong Kong itself may need little introduction. It may be enough to note that its skyline makes Manhattan look like a Kansas wheatfield and that, as a former British colony, it remains easy to get around even for people who speak only English. The conference's Internet site has all the background, including registration and hotel information, here: http://www.minesandmoney.com/hongkong/ CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer ADVERTISEMENT Buy metals at GoldMoney and enjoy international storage GoldMoney was established in 2001 by James and Geoff Turk and is safeguarding more than $1.7 billion in metals and currencies. Buy gold, silver, platinum, and palladium from GoldMoney over the Internet and store them in vaults in Canada, Hong Kong, Singapore, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom, taking advantage of GoldMoney's low storage rates, among the most competitive in the industry. GoldMoney also offers delivery of 100-gram and 1-kilogram gold bars and 1-kilogram silver bars. To learn more, please visit: http://www.goldmoney.com/?gmrefcode=gata Join GATA here: Vancouver Resource Investment Conference http://www.cambridgehouse.com/event/vancouver-resource-investment-confer... Mines and Money Hong Kong http://www.minesandmoney.com/hongkong/ * * * Support GATA by purchasing DVDs of our London conference in August 2011 or our Dawson City conference in August 2006: http://www.goldrush21.com/order.html Or by purchasing a colorful GATA T-shirt: Or a colorful poster of GATA's full-page ad in The Wall Street Journal on January 31, 2009: http://gata.org/node/wallstreetjournal Help keep GATA going GATA is a civil rights and educational organization based in the United States and tax-exempt under the U.S. Internal Revenue Code. Its e-mail dispatches are free, and you can subscribe at: To contribute to GATA, please visit: ADVERTISEMENT How to profit with silver -- Future Money Trends is offering a special 16-page silver report with our forecast for 2013 that includes profiles of nine companies and technical analysis of their stock performance. Six of the companies have market capitalizations of less than $800 million and one company has a market cap of only $30 million. The most exciting of these companies will begin production in a few weeks and has a market cap of just $150 million. Half of all proceeds from the sale of this report will be donated to the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee to support its efforts exposing manipulation and fraud in the gold and silver markets. To learn about this report, please visit: http://www.futuremoneytrends.com/index.php?option=com_content&id=376&tmp... |
| Peak Resources video cites gold market manipulation and GATA Posted: 14 Dec 2013 06:44 PM PST 9:45p ET Saturday, December 14, 2013 Dear Friend of GATA and Gold: Gold market manipulation and GATA figure in a five-minute video made for the Peak Resources organization that has been posted at YouTube here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CM9UUJojzN4 CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer ADVERTISEMENT You Don't Have to Wait for Your Monetary Metal: Many investors lately report having to wait weeks and even months for delivery of their precious metal orders. All Pro Gold works with the largest wholesalers that have inventory "live" -- ready to go. All Pro Gold can ship these "live" gold and silver products as soon as payment funds clear. All Pro Gold can provide immediate delivery of 100-ounce Johnson Matthey silver bars, bags of 90 percent junk silver coins, and 1-ounce silver Austrian Philharmonics. All Pro Gold can deliver silver Canadian maple leafs with a two-day delay and 1-ounce U.S. silver eagles with a 15-day delay. Traditional 1-ounce gold bullion coins and mint-state generic gold double eagles are also available for immediate delivery. All Pro Gold has competitive pricing, and its proprietors, longtime GATA supporters Fred Goldstein and Tim Murphy, are glad to answer any questions or concerns of buyers about the acquisition of precious metals and numismatic coins. Learn more at www.allprogold.com or email info@allprogold.com or telephone All Pro Gold toll-free at 1-855-377-4653. Join GATA here: Vancouver Resource Investment Conference http://www.cambridgehouse.com/event/vancouver-resource-investment-confer... * * * Support GATA by purchasing DVDs of our London conference in August 2011 or our Dawson City conference in August 2006: http://www.goldrush21.com/order.html Or by purchasing a colorful GATA T-shirt: Or a colorful poster of GATA's full-page ad in The Wall Street Journal on January 31, 2009: http://gata.org/node/wallstreetjournal Help keep GATA going GATA is a civil rights and educational organization based in the United States and tax-exempt under the U.S. Internal Revenue Code. Its e-mail dispatches are free, and you can subscribe at: To contribute to GATA, please visit: |
| Bill Murphy: Gold and Silver Sector in a Depression Posted: 14 Dec 2013 06:40 PM PST Bill Murphy: Gold and Silver Sector in a Depression [[ This is a content summary only. Visit http://www.GoldSilverNewsBlog.com or http://www.newsbooze.com or http://www.figanews.com for full links, other content, and more! ]] |
| Celente - “March Economic Madness” & Why Gold Hits $5,000 Posted: 14 Dec 2013 04:16 PM PST Today top trends forecaster Gerald Celente spoke with King World News about his amazing 2014 predictions and why gold will hit $5,000. For the first time ever, Celente is now predicting that gold will smash through the $2,000 level and head thousands of dollars higher. Here is what Celente, who is the founder of Trends Research and the man many consider to be the top trends forecaster in the world, had to say in this remarkable interview.This posting includes an audio/video/photo media file: Download Now |
| Noonan on the Merits of Using Charts & What They’re Currently Conveying About Silver Posted: 14 Dec 2013 10:06 AM PST According to the charts, the price of silver is not ready to reverse its trend. [In fact,] the monthly chart, and the lower time So says Michael Noonan (tradersedgeplus.com) in paraphrased excerpts from his original article* entitled Silver – A Rigged Market Coming To An End. [The following is presented by Lorimer Wilson, editor of www.FinancialArticleSummariesToday.com and www.munKNEE.com and the FREE Market Intelligence Report newsletter (sample here – register here). The excerpts may have been edited ([ ]), abridged (…) and/or reformatted (some sub-titles and bold/italics emphases) for the sake of clarity and brevity to ensure a fast and easy read. This paragraph must be included in any article re-posting to avoid copyright infringement.]Noonan goes on to say in further edited excerpts: The Merit of Using Charts The use of charts has its detractors, many simply from an inability to understand them, some from misapplying them, and a few from saying the charts are not real because they reflect the paper market, which is rigged. [The latter may indeed be] true but, paper valued or not, even the price for the physical is dictated by the paper market – at least for now. Until that changes, it is the only game in town. For anyone not overly used to looking at charts, they do convey a certain degree of logic, and the message can, at times, be incredibly helpful. A chart reflects the directional momentum of price behavior exhibited by participants. It is a way of tracking the results of all bets being placed, and it is the best way to see how the most skilled and informed, what we call smart money that moves markets, operate. Smart money trades with prevailing price direction, called the trend. They buy low and sell high, axiomatically, so it pays to have an idea of what they are doing. A monthly chart provides the overall history and context of a market, and it is closely followed by smart money. Most traders/investors do not even look at monthly charts. We look for any existing synergy between the various time frames, for it tells a more compelling "story" about what is likely to happen. To the degree any synergy may be apparent, the greater the degree of logic one can glean from the charts. According to the charts, the price of silver is not ready to reverse its trend. The monthly chart, and the lower time frames, clearly indicate the trend as down. Knowledge of the trend is the most important piece of information one can have, as a starting point. Monthly Chart [As can be seen in the monthly chart below] there is a small amount of spacing when the August swing high failed to reach the 2011-2012 swing lows. This tells us that sellers were confident enough that price was headed lower, that there was no need to wait and see how broken support would be retested. Whenever spacing exists, the probability is high that the last swing low will be exceeded. That swing low was $18 this past June. Those odds are in the 80% area, right now. To what degree the swing low will be exceeded is unknown. It could be a failed probe, or it could take price a few dollars lower. Because this is a politically driven war against the precious metals, no one has a clue how much lower and how much longer the elites can maintain its increasingly fragile control.With $18 having been a previous area of support, from 2008, and again in 2009-2010, the ability for sellers to move the market lower will be met with increasing buying support. For now, that spacing is indicative of silver having its work cut out to change the trend, and trends can take time to change. The one exception would be a surprise event that moves the market unexpectedly, creating a V-bottom, with price accelerating off the lows. Weekly Chart The labeling on the weekly chart below supports what was expressed on the monthly. The focus will be on explaining the numbers. When we say there is a high degree of logic in reading developing market activity, the more detailed weekly chart serves as a great example. At 1, you see a wide range vertical decline bar. This is telling us that sellers just took over in a big way, evidenced by the EDM [Ease of Downward Movement]. At 2 here was a reaction rally where price stopped at a half-way retracement. A horizontal line can be drawn from that swing high, extended into the future. We made it a dashed line to indicate it was drawn as of that swing high date, and how the market developed from that point on was At 3, we can expect resistance, based upon the logic that price just failed at that level in October/November 2011. A failed probe to the upside develops, right at where price failed at 2, confirming the importance resistance just under $36. At 4, eight months later, there is another failed rally, respecting the horizontal line drawn almost a year earlier. Three failures at the $36 level are a good clue that price is more than likely to head lower. From 4, down to support at $26, you see a series of lower swing highs and lows, indicating a weak market. At some point in the future, a rally to 5 will become pertinent. Once support was broken at $26, and with ease, that level will become future resistance. There is a small change of behavior, when price rallies quickly for four weeks in August, where the last swing high was formed. That failure is what created the bearish spacing. The decline since has been relatively labored, telling us buyers are more active and not allowing sellers to move the market lower with ease. Still, the odds of the June low at $18 to be broken remain high. This is the message from the market that tells us about the participants and the degree of control sellers have over buyers. Sellers remain in charge, despite all of the bullish news and indicators there are about strong demand for and a shortage of silver. All of that bullish news has been priced into the market. In other words, it is going to take something new to move the market to the upside. Our scenario is not a definitive explanation for silver, but it goes to show the kind of thinking one needs to better understand why precious metals are going lower and not higher. One of the strongest moving factors to act as a catalyst for silver will be the fate of the fiat dollar. That is all central bankers care about. China's and India's record buying aren't even enough to change the trend. Let that be your message of how strong a hold central bankers can exert in suppressing price. Why would China or India want to see silver at $25, $30, $50, or over $100 when they can buy at current levels? Take a page from their book and keep on buying. Daily Chart Just as history does not directly repeat but often rhymes, so, too, does the market. People make history. The markets are composed of people, as well, and this is why one sees repeating pattern behavior. The daily chart below picks up where the failed August rally created the spacing on the weekly chart. You see the rhyming pattern on the daily repeating like the weekly above. The reason why 1 starts where is does is due to the gap lower, next day, and the last small rally just before price broke sharply was at point 2. 3 and 4 are similar to explanation given above, so no need to repeat. The chart says it all. At some point, a rally will meet up with 5. We see the same broken support, just like the weekly, only the last swing high retest, 2 bars ago, Tuesday, [this is written Thursday evening, the 12th], it did not leave any spacing behind. However, Thursday's wide range decline on increased volume erased the Tuesday rally which had even stronger volume. This is an indication of how rallies cannot be sustained and a sign of a still weak market. Conclusion Finally, there is no answer for when a change will occur, and there have been a great many silver experts that have used bullish signs as justification for calling for much higher prices, but that has not materialized. Listen to what the market is saying, and not what others are saying about the market. It may be weeks, it may be months, it may even be longer before the manipulators lose control, and they will, as history tells us. History also tells us it often lasts longer than most people expect. Buy the physical while you can, even if it takes another year before reality prevails. Just as one cannot know when a turn will occur, one cannot also know for how long silver will be able to be purchased, in the interim. Be smart. Better a year early than a day too late. [Editor's Note: The author's views and conclusions in the above article are unaltered and no personal comments have been included to maintain the integrity of the original post. Furthermore, the views, conclusions and any recommendations offered in this article are not to be construed as an endorsement of such by the editor.]*http://edgetraderplus.com/market-commentaries/silver-a-rigged-market-coming-to-an-end Other Recent Noonan Articles: 1. Noonan: Charts Say "Still No Ending Action to Decline In Gold & Silver" The decline is holding near the last swing low. Will the June low hold? The odds are greater for the low not holding, based on the trend, but there is no way to determine the probability of the June low giving way, for it is possible it will not. Read More » The dramatic rise in Bitcoin is the best reminder for all those buying and holding physical gold and silver, for whatever length of time and at whatever price, better days are assured. It is just a matter of time. Read More » 3. Noonan: Charts Say NO End In Sight for Decline In Gold & Silver Prices No matter what the latest "news" development is for PMs that paints a rosy picture, those in the fundamentalist camp are looking through rose-colored glasses to expect change in the near future. The charts for gold & silver continue to tell a more accurate story that belie all known fundamentals, and the charts shown here depict a market in decline with no apparent end in sight. Read More » 4. Noonan on Gold & Silver: "When Fundamentals Fail, Charts Prevail" & This Is What They're Conveying Fundamentals are relative, charts are absolute. They accurately reflect all that is going on, regardless of reasoning/motivation and…right now, the charts are letting us know that higher PM prices are unlikely to occur anytime soon. Barring some kind of "overnight surprise" that will shock the markets, odds favor lower prices over higher prices unless and until demand shows up in chart activity. Read More » 5. Noonan: When Will Silver Rise to Higher Values? Here's the Answer It takes time to turn a market around, and silver is in that process. There is no degree of certainty that a bottom has been reached, but there exist at least a probability the recent lows may hold. Whether the lows hold or not, one cannot lose sight of why accumulating silver has been so important. When price finally accelerates higher, the trying of one's patience will quickly be forgotten and all will be well. Read More » 6. Noonan: Charts are Infallible! Here's Why & What They're Saying About Gold & Silver Some of the finest and most highly regarded minds in the world of PMs have been saying gold and silver are going higher…[but] the charts have "said" otherwise, and that has been the correct read…The fundamentals may be as bullish as can be [but] the charts are sending a different message. Read More » 7. Noonan: Is Gold's Decline Being Caused By Fed Payback Time to China? Noonan: Here’s Why Silver Is So Low & What To Do About It Posted: 14 Dec 2013 09:52 AM PST The demand for silver has grown exponentially in the past few years (record sales for American Eagle coins, record buying So says Michael Noonan (tradersedgeplus.com) in paraphrased excerpts from his original article* entitled Silver – A Rigged Market Coming To An End. [The following is presented by Lorimer Wilson, editor of www.FinancialArticleSummariesToday.com and www.munKNEE.com and the FREE Market Intelligence Report newsletter (sample here – register here). The excerpts may have been edited ([ ]), abridged (…) and/or reformatted (some sub-titles and bold/italics emphases) for the sake of clarity and brevity to ensure a fast and easy read. This paragraph must be included in any article re-posting to avoid copyright infringement.]Noonan goes on to say in further edited excerpts: The answer is not to be found in the myriad supply and demand figures, no matter how cogently presented as absolute numbers, or dramatically presented graphs, and with so many comparisons to other times/situations. Facts and figures do not lie...The reason why silver continues to languish is purely a political one. Silver, along with gold, compete against fiat currencies. All [Western]currencies are issued by central banks. All central banks are owned by the elites, New World Order (NWO), the moneychangers, Debt = Wealth. That is the motto for the elites who charge their central banks with running up as much debt as possible for every man, woman, child. and country. The more debt, the more interest owed to the 1/10th of 1% who own the world's wealth. As an example, what was the answer to resolve Greece's unmanageable debt problems? Have that country borrow even more! The problem today is that the NWO is losing its grip as the growth of debt escalates to previously unimagined levels. The biggest threat to fiat currencies is sound money, such as being backed by gold and silver. This is why the United States:
What the U.S. did not count on was China, even Russia, to a lesser extent, emerging as world powers, and world powers that now have the gold. The Western central bankers have been leasing, hypothecating and re-hypothecating gold with impunity, with no country ever strong enough to challenge Western financial supremacy. Then, in the 1990s, China wanted its gold back from the United States. "Sorry, Chinks!" was the arrogant response from the US. It was gone, "leased" out to keep a controlled lid on the world's price of gold. Central bankers were running a It is now payback by the Chinese. Now aligned with Russia, Brazil, India, and South Africa, the BRICS nations have formed a trading alliance outside of the US petro-dollar. The world's reserve currency has not only been challenged, it has fast become irrelevant, except in West and EU, and even in the EU, that is changing. The golden genie was let out of the bottle over a decade ago, and all the central bankers cannot put it back. Every attempt has been made to keep a lid on the price of silver and gold by central bankers desperate to hang onto their waning power. This is why Germany was told it would have to wait seven years to get its gold back from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. It simply ain't there, anymore. Gone. Guess where it is? China. Retribution can be a bitch. The East is over taking the West, and they are doing it by buying all the available physical silver and gold. Even more. China has been on a shopping spree, buying as many precious metals mining operations around the world as are available. Here is your largest demand factor, followed by the remaining BRICS nations. What about diminishing supply? What about the almost empty vaults at COMEX and LBMA? What about the demand of 68:1 claim for each ounce of gold? What about…insert your own example of how supply is being exhausted. All factual, all true. The elephant in the room no one is addressing is the political one. The elites have kept pressure on PMs to keep their last gasp efforts of control alive. The current price of silver has nothing to do with supply and demand, nothing. It is all about central banks being used by the elites to prevent silver and gold from exposing the fraud. There was a reason why, in the Wizard of OZ, the theme was to "follow the yellow brick road." The all-controlling Wizard behind the curtain was a fraud. The all-controlling elites behind the central bank curtain are also a fraud, but a more sinister one that has been cornered like a rat, and they are fighting back. The way in which the elites are fighting back is why silver is under $20, right now. If the price of silver were allowed to rally and reflect reality, the exponentially higher prices would expose what lies behind the central bank fraud. The market is rigged. If you want an idea of what to expect for the future price of silver, one only has to look at Bitcoin. It is not a government regulated market, and it is one that has taken the world by surprise. Just a few years ago, Bitcoin was under $1. Recently, it ran up to over $1,200. The appetite for any fiat alternative is huge. Bitcoin is not a currency, nor does it have the history of being currency-backed like silver and gold do. Once the lid is taken off the precious metals markets, they will leave Bitcoin in the dust. The good news is: every single fiat currency throughout the history of the world has failed. An ounce of silver is still the same ounce of silver from thousands of years ago. The bad news is: no one knows for how much longer the elites can keep control, via their central banks, in suppressing the price. The good news to the bad news is that the end is near. We are looking at the sale of the century for the price of silver, right now. There is a reason why China, Russia, and India have been huge buyers of physical silver and gold. Because of silver's properties of being an indispensable necessity for industrial use, it has been used up considerably more than has gold. Both will rise incredibly in the not too distant future, and odds based on the gold/silver ratio favor silver. One is likely to experience a greater return on investment in silver over gold. There is never any guarantee, but using historical relationships between the two makes silver a better buy and hold. The ratio is around 62:1. As both metals rise, once freed from central bank tentacles, the probability is that the ratio will move more toward 20:1. Wherever it goes, anything less than 62:1 makes silver preferred, on that basis. This remains the best opportunity to be buying and holding physical silver. Only buy the physical metal, in coin or bar form, as you can afford. Do not buy silver in any form of paper, for you are unlikely to ever received physical, if promised. Plus, the fine print will tell you that delivery can be made in some form of paper payment in place of physical delivery. Does it make sense to wait for the "best price possible?" Not as far as we are concerned. Silver may not be available at any price, or in very limited quantities, at some point. Plus, the reasons for buying are about wealth preservation that will eventually lead to increased There could be one more new low in the near future, but that does not mean the physical will be commensurately lower. It is a personal choice. The time to buy is now, in the present. When silver eventually reaches over $150 the ounce, will it have made any material difference if you paid a dollar or two more or less the ounce? [Editor's Note: The author's views and conclusions in the above article are unaltered and no personal comments have been included to maintain the integrity of the original post. Furthermore, the views, conclusions and any recommendations offered in this article are not to be construed as an endorsement of such by the editor.]*http://edgetraderplus.com/market-commentaries/silver-a-rigged-market-coming-to-an-end Other Recent Noonan Articles: 1. Noonan: Charts Say "Still No Ending Action to Decline In Gold & Silver" The decline is holding near the last swing low. Will the June low hold? The odds are greater for the low not holding, based on the trend, but there is no way to determine the probability of the June low giving way, for it is possible it will not. Read More » The dramatic rise in Bitcoin is the best reminder for all those buying and holding physical gold and silver, for whatever length of time and at whatever price, better days are assured. It is just a matter of time. Read More » 3. Noonan: Charts Say NO End In Sight for Decline In Gold & Silver Prices No matter what the latest "news" development is for PMs that paints a rosy picture, those in the fundamentalist camp are looking through rose-colored glasses to expect change in the near future. The charts for gold & silver continue to tell a more accurate story that belie all known fundamentals, and the charts shown here depict a market in decline with no apparent end in sight. Read More » 4. Noonan on Gold & Silver: "When Fundamentals Fail, Charts Prevail" & This Is What They're Conveying Fundamentals are relative, charts are absolute. They accurately reflect all that is going on, regardless of reasoning/motivation and…right now, the charts are letting us know that higher PM prices are unlikely to occur anytime soon. Barring some kind of "overnight surprise" that will shock the markets, odds favor lower prices over higher prices unless and until demand shows up in chart activity. Read More » 5. Noonan: When Will Silver Rise to Higher Values? Here's the Answer It takes time to turn a market around, and silver is in that process. There is no degree of certainty that a bottom has been reached, but there exist at least a probability the recent lows may hold. Whether the lows hold or not, one cannot lose sight of why accumulating silver has been so important. When price finally accelerates higher, the trying of one's patience will quickly be forgotten and all will be well. Read More » 6. Noonan: Charts are Infallible! Here's Why & What They're Saying About Gold & Silver More Precious Metals Miners To Shut Down Posted: 14 Dec 2013 09:09 AM PST This is an interview with Rick Rule on the Metals & Minerals Investment Conference in San Francisco. Last year, there were over 200 companies at the Conference while this year there are only 70 companies. Is this an indicator of the bottom? Rick Rule: I think this is a very good indicator of a bottom. Diminished participation, both in terms of the number of attendees and the number of issuers is a very good thing. We have not seen professional capitulation in this market, issuer capitulation. But this may be a good forward indicator of just that. It may be a good forward indicator of issuer capitulation which is always the mark of a market bottom. What if gold would continue its decline? Rick Rule: I buy precious metals, at least gold and silver, for insurance purposes. If the price goes down, it means my insurance premium goes down. What rational consumer wouldn’t value lower priced premiums? Most gold and silver buyers have a very different point of view. They’re buying it as punters, they’re buying it as speculators, and they have a crisis of confidence when it goes down as opposed to goes up. I buy it as a store of value, and as an insurance policy. The mining companies and investors are demoralized. You are bullish? Rick Rule: This is ebullient. I was just at Mines & Money Sydney and I think I am the only bullish voice in Australia. I can say without a doubt that as depressed as this market is, the Australian market is more depressed, which is a different way of saying better. Why being comfortable and confident in buying right now? Rick Rule: It doesn’t mean I’m going to be right in the near term. The TSX.v is (down) 75% in three years which means that the market is 75% less risky. Every set of circumstance that existed in 2010, every argument for the bull market, exists today. What's different, is that the stocks are off by three quarters. What part of that shouldn’t people like? What resource stocks should have most interest: copper, uranium, gold? Rick Rule: Yes, yes, and yes. I am particularly attracted to companies that are being produced for a cost that exceeds their sales price. I am particularly interested in industries that are in liquidation. Uranium is in liquidation. Will it go up next year or the year after? I don’t know but I think it's a three or four year double. I’m more attracted to platinum and palladium, because they’re precious metals, but they’re precious metals with a difference. The supply demand scenario is more in their favor. Will precious metal mines shut down? Rick Rule: Absolutely. Imminently. Scotiabank says that on a total cost of production basis (which includes exploration costs and acquisition costs) that the all in cost to produce an ounce of gold industry wide, worldwide, is $1,760 an ounce or something like that. So you make this stuff for $1,760, you sell it for $1,260. You lose $500 and being a miner you try to make it up on volume. This is profoundly tough math. It’s frustrating because they are wasting their asset. Rick Rule: Most mining company managements don’t believe in their product. Most people who are in the gold mining business are in the gold mining business because their cost of capital is low. If gold miners believed in gold mining, they would hold their working capital in gold. They mouth the sort of precious metal story about how gold is better than dollars, but they keep their working capital in dollars. Don’t confuse the interests of management as being in every way aligned with your interests. More companies should be having mergers and amalgamations if they were caring about their shareholders. Mergers imply that part of the management team goes to management heaven and stops getting salaries. Managers think in terms of what is to them, real yield which is yield to managers. If you understand that you’ll understand their behavior. |
| JP Morgan House Account Reveals Gold Selling then Buying Pattern for 2013 Posted: 14 Dec 2013 07:16 AM PST Here is a chart that I was able to construct from CME data that shows JP Morgan's Comex Gold Delivery activity for their 'house account' only. I have marked the nominal price of gold on the chart for this year. The last data is as of December 10, 2013. The months marked with boxes are 'active months' for the delivery process. December is also an active month. |
| Posted: 14 Dec 2013 07:02 AM PST Summary: Long term - on major sell signal since Mar 2012. Short term - on mixed signals. Gold sector cycle - down as of 11/08. COT data is now favorable for a bear market rally. Read More... |
| Silver - A Rigged Market Coming To An End Posted: 14 Dec 2013 06:47 AM PST No one can question the fact that the demand for silver has grown exponentially in the past few years, record sales for American Eagle coins being one small example, record buying in India, another larger example. Demand has never been greater. Read More... |
| Market Monitor – December 14th Posted: 14 Dec 2013 06:00 AM PST Top Market Stories For November 14th, 2013: Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts – 146,000 Ounces Come Out of JPM’s Registered Inventory - Jesse's Cafe We Give Up! Part 2: Republicans Cave On Budget, Debt Limit, Everything - John Rubino Contrarian Gold Stocks 3 - 321 Gold Here is how you will know if the gold bull market [...] |
| Silver Rigged Market Manipulation Coming To An End Posted: 14 Dec 2013 03:31 AM PST No one can question the fact that the demand for silver has grown exponentially in the past few years, record sales for American Eagle coins being one small example, record buying in India, another larger example. Demand has never been greater. Supply, on the other hand, keeps diminishing. Global mining production is at its lowest in the past decade. The annual Consumption/ Production ratio is indicative of acute deficits. Whenever there is a situation where demand rises sharply, while supply commensurately declines, it is a recipe for higher prices, and usually, much higher prices. This is true, unless one is talking about the silver market. Under the conditions of record rising demand and considerably less supply, the price of silver is at its lowest levels in the past three years. |
| Gold Price Drop Due to Market Manipulation or Lack of Demand? Posted: 14 Dec 2013 03:02 AM PST What is holding down the gold price? Fear of the end of quantitative easing? Manipulation by a few big players? Central banks leasing inventories? CPM Group Managing Partner Jeffrey M. Christian says forget about all of that. The bottom line is that demand is down as investors big and small wait to see where the price will settle before they start buying again. In this interview with The Gold Report, he explains the impact of new gold investors buyingâ€"and sellingâ€"ETFs, hedge funds, algo traders and central banksâ€"all factors that could lead to an upward trend in gold equities in 2014 and reinforce the long-term case for owning gold. |
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In the 1914 film series called "The Perils of Pauline", the lead character found herself facing a variety of dangers and villains, with each episode ending with what is referred to as a "cliff hanger". As investors, we, too, find ourselves traveling through a seemingly endless series of cliff hangers. Next week promises to be another one.
Due to western central bank price manipulation, the mining sector is in critical condition, the supply line is all but halted, and the physical supply is being swallowed up by Asia. The last shoe to drop is for major mining companies to start closing down production at major mines. Though this would be perceived as the end for gold, speculators will be happy to know that this would be the beginning of the biggest Fed induced bubble in history! But unlike previous Fed bubbles where they support the price increase, the gold bubble will be a result of western central planners mis-managing the gold price for the past 3 decades and finally losing control. As






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