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Friday, March 2, 2012

Gold World News Flash

Save Your ASSets First

Gold World News Flash


Silver Update

Posted: 01 Mar 2012 06:58 PM PST


Why You Should Invest in These Three “Super Currencies” of Tomorrow ? and How

Posted: 01 Mar 2012 06:24 PM PST

There is a trio of currencies that you must include in your portfolio today*because they operate on an entirely different playing field than the U.S. dollar and the euro*and, as such, are set to undergo huge revaluations in the coming months. Without further ado… Words: 855 *So says Karim Rahemtulla ([url]www.wallstreetdaily.com[/url])*in edited excerpts from an article* which Lorimer Wilson, editor of www.munKNEE.com (Your Key to Making Money!), has further edited below for length and clarity – see Editor’s Note at the bottom of the page. (This paragraph must be included in any article re-posting to avoid copyright infringement.) Rahemtulla goes on to say, in part: The U.S. dollar and the euro, in addition to being in slow-growth economies, are*saddled with debilitating debts and are the victims of an enormous increase in money supply which will result is serious inflation and the devaluation of both currencies in the coming years. [The 3 "super currencies' are, in no p...


Is Gold Backwardation Now Permanent?

Posted: 01 Mar 2012 06:00 PM PST

Casey Research


Will It Ever Correct?

Posted: 01 Mar 2012 05:55 PM PST

Gold Scents


Kevin Michael Grace and J.S. Kim on gold market manipulation

Posted: 01 Mar 2012 05:07 PM PST

1a ET Friday, March 2, 2012

Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:

Kevin Michael Grace of Resource Clips and J.S. Kim of SmartKnowledgeU and the Underground Investor comment incisively on this week's manipulation of the gold market.

Grace's commentary is headlined "Auguries -- The Great and Powerful Oz" and it's posted at Resource Clips here:

http://resourceclips.com/2012/03/01/auguries-%e2%80%94-the-great-and-pow...

Kim's commentary is headlined "SmartKnowledgeU Discusses Gold and Silver Manipulation on the Keiser Report" and it's posted at the Underground Investor here:

http://www.theundergroundinvestor.com/2012/03/smartknowledgeu-discusses-...

CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.


ADVERTISEMENT

Sona Discovers Potential High-Grade Gold Mineralization
at Blackdome in British Columbia -- 13.6g over 1.5 Meters

From a Company Press Release
November 22, 2011

VANCOUVER, British Columbia -- With its latest surface diamond drilling program at its 100-percent-owned, formerly producing Blackdome gold mine in southern British Columbia, Sona Resources Corp. has discovered a potentially high-grade gold-mineralized area, with one hole intersecting 13.6 grams of gold in 1.5 meters of core drilling.

"We intersected a promising new mineralized zone, and we feel optimistic about the assay results," says Sona's president and CEO, John P. Thompson. "We have undertaken an aggressive exploration program that has tested a number of target zones. Our discovery of this new gold-bearing structure is significant, and it represents a positive development for the company."

Sona aims to bring its permitted Blackdome mill back into production over the next year and a half, at a rate of 200 tonnes per day, with feed from the formerly producing Blackdome mine and the nearby Elizabeth gold deposit property. A positive preliminary economic assessment by Micon International Ltd., based on a gold price of $950 per ounce over eight years, has estimated a cash cost of $208 per tonne milled, or $686 per gold ounce recovered.

For the company's complete press release, please visit:

http://www.sonaresources.com/_resources/news/SONA_NR18_2011-opt.pdf



Support GATA by purchasing DVDs of our London conference in August 2011 or our Dawson City conference in August 2006:

http://www.goldrush21.com/order.html

Or by purchasing a colorful GATA T-shirt:

http://gata.org/tshirts

Or a colorful poster of GATA's full-page ad in The Wall Street Journal on January 31, 2009:

http://gata.org/node/wallstreetjournal

Help keep GATA going

GATA is a civil rights and educational organization based in the United States and tax-exempt under the U.S. Internal Revenue Code. Its e-mail dispatches are free, and you can subscribe at:

http://www.gata.org

To contribute to GATA, please visit:

http://www.gata.org/node/16



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Prophecy Coal (TSX: PCY) Wins Positive Feasibility Study
for the 600-MW Chandgana Power Plant in Mongolia

Company Press Release
January 17, 2012

VANCOUVER, British Columbia, Canada -- Prophecy Coal Corp. (TSX: PCY, OTCQX: PRPCF, Frankfurt: 1P2) has received a positive feasibility study for the company's 600-megawatt Chandgana Mine-Mouth Power Project in central Mongolia. The report was independently prepared by Ralf Thomsen, project manager at Steag, a German firm specializing in the planning, financing, construction, and operation of highly efficient thermal power plants for fossil fuels.

The study covers technical specifications, deployment, and financial analysis of a 4x150-mw thermal power plant to be built adjacent to Prophecy's Chandgana Tal coal deposit, which contains 140 million tonnes of measured coal. Last year the power plant received a construction license and the coal deposit received a mining license. Engineering, procurement, and construction management selection and project financing discussion have begun and are expected to be concluded this year.

Construction is planned to start in April 2013, with the first 150-mw unit being commissioned in October 2015 and subsequent units to start in April 2016, October 2016, and April 2017. With proper maintenance the project will have 30 years of commercial operation.

For the complete statement from the company, including maps and charts, please visit:

http://www.prophecycoal.com/news_2011_jan17_prophecy_receives_power_plan...



The Gold Bubble Debate And The Flash Crash In Gold

Posted: 01 Mar 2012 03:53 PM PST

The "flash crash" in gold that occurred on Wednesday seemed to have as much logic behind it as the infamous stock market flash crash of May 6, 2010 when the Dow Jones quickly plunged 1,000 points for no particular reason. Yesterday's extraordinary price action in the precious metals has again resulted in mainstream press speculation [...]


James Turk: Mining stocks -- still on the runway

Posted: 01 Mar 2012 03:33 PM PST

11:30p ET Thursday, March 1, 2012

Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:

Will gold mining stocks ever catch up with bullion prices? GoldMoney founder, Free Gold Money Report editor, and GATA consultant James Turk writes tonight that the current underperformance of the shares is lasting longer than previous periods of underperformance. In any case Turk continues to see the shares as undervalued and he expects rising earnings to lift them up. His commentary is headlined "Mining Stocks -- Still on the Runway" and it's posted at the Free Gold Money Report Internet site here:

http://www.fgmr.com/mining-stocks-still-on-the-runway.html

CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.



ADVERTISEMENT

Prophecy Coal (TSX: PCY) Wins Positive Feasibility Study
for the 600-MW Chandgana Power Plant in Mongolia

Company Press Release
January 17, 2012

VANCOUVER, British Columbia, Canada -- Prophecy Coal Corp. (TSX: PCY, OTCQX: PRPCF, Frankfurt: 1P2) has received a positive feasibility study for the company's 600-megawatt Chandgana Mine-Mouth Power Project in central Mongolia. The report was independently prepared by Ralf Thomsen, project manager at Steag, a German firm specializing in the planning, financing, construction, and operation of highly efficient thermal power plants for fossil fuels.

The study covers technical specifications, deployment, and financial analysis of a 4x150-mw thermal power plant to be built adjacent to Prophecy's Chandgana Tal coal deposit, which contains 140 million tonnes of measured coal. Last year the power plant received a construction license and the coal deposit received a mining license. Engineering, procurement, and construction management selection and project financing discussion have begun and are expected to be concluded this year.

Construction is planned to start in April 2013, with the first 150-mw unit being commissioned in October 2015 and subsequent units to start in April 2016, October 2016, and April 2017. With proper maintenance the project will have 30 years of commercial operation.

For the complete statement from the company, including maps and charts, please visit:

http://www.prophecycoal.com/news_2011_jan17_prophecy_receives_power_plan...



Support GATA by purchasing DVDs of our London conference in August 2011 or our Dawson City conference in August 2006:

http://www.goldrush21.com/order.html

Or by purchasing a colorful GATA T-shirt:

http://gata.org/tshirts

Or a colorful poster of GATA's full-page ad in The Wall Street Journal on January 31, 2009:

http://gata.org/node/wallstreetjournal

Help keep GATA going

GATA is a civil rights and educational organization based in the United States and tax-exempt under the U.S. Internal Revenue Code. Its e-mail dispatches are free, and you can subscribe at:

http://www.gata.org

To contribute to GATA, please visit:

http://www.gata.org/node/16



ADVERTISEMENT

Sona Discovers Potential High-Grade Gold Mineralization
at Blackdome in British Columbia -- 13.6g over 1.5 Meters

From a Company Press Release
November 22, 2011

VANCOUVER, British Columbia -- With its latest surface diamond drilling program at its 100-percent-owned, formerly producing Blackdome gold mine in southern British Columbia, Sona Resources Corp. has discovered a potentially high-grade gold-mineralized area, with one hole intersecting 13.6 grams of gold in 1.5 meters of core drilling.

"We intersected a promising new mineralized zone, and we feel optimistic about the assay results," says Sona's president and CEO, John P. Thompson. "We have undertaken an aggressive exploration program that has tested a number of target zones. Our discovery of this new gold-bearing structure is significant, and it represents a positive development for the company."

Sona aims to bring its permitted Blackdome mill back into production over the next year and a half, at a rate of 200 tonnes per day, with feed from the formerly producing Blackdome mine and the nearby Elizabeth gold deposit property. A positive preliminary economic assessment by Micon International Ltd., based on a gold price of $950 per ounce over eight years, has estimated a cash cost of $208 per tonne milled, or $686 per gold ounce recovered.

For the company's complete press release, please visit:

http://www.sonaresources.com/_resources/news/SONA_NR18_2011-opt.pdf



Silver Update 3/1/12 Bullion Banks

Posted: 01 Mar 2012 03:24 PM PST

UK's Top Gold Fund Manager: ‘I Would Buy Gold At Almost Any Price'

Posted: 01 Mar 2012 02:27 PM PST

Leading gold fund manager Evy Hambro on why he doesn't expect the bullion price to fall.

by Emma Wall, Telegraph.co.uk:

Gold has emerged as one of the few winners from the financial crisis. Turbulence across markets globally and returns of next to nothing on cash over the past two years saw investors pour money into bullion. As a result, the gold price soared and Evy Hambro's BlackRock Gold & General fund saw inflows of nearly £1.5bn in the past 24 months alone, bolstering the fund to £3.4bn.

The best performing commodities manager tells us the gold rally is far from over.

Read More @ Telegraph.co.uk


Why the Silver and Gold Price Slam?

Posted: 01 Mar 2012 02:18 PM PST

from WealthCycles:

To understand the mid-day sell in precious metals on February 29, one must look at the actions of the two most important institutions for short- and medium-term financial planning, the world's two largest banks, the Federal Reserve Bank and the European Central Bank.

After news from both institutions, impacts yielded excellent opportunities for precious metals investors looking to get the most "bang for their buck."

Early in the day yesterday, the tone was set by the outcome of the European Central Bank's (ECB) "Long-Term Refinancing Operation" (LTRO). While most mainstream media voices would tell you that LTRO is simply a rock-bottom interest rate, three-year loan, rather than money-printing, in reality, there is no reason or expectation that these loans must be (or could possibly be) paid back in three years. The "loans" can simply be extended at will. The ECB conjures the loan funds out of thin air; the currency is not there otherwise.

Read More @ WealthCycles.com


10.7 Percent: Unemployment In Europe Is Worse Than It Was At The Peak Of The Last Recession

Posted: 01 Mar 2012 02:15 PM PST

from The Economic Collapse Blog:

The unemployment rate in the eurozone is now 10.7 percent. That is the highest the unemployment rate has been since the introduction of the euro. The unemployment rate in the eurozone never got any higher than 10.2 percent during the last recession. This is very troubling news. It was just recently announced that the eurozone has entered another recession, and already the unemployment rate is hitting new record highs. So how bad are things going to get in the months to come? The truth is that the problems for Europe are just starting. The European sovereign debt crisis continues to get worse, and another major global financial crisis is going to be here way too soon. The EU as a whole has a larger population, a larger banking system and more Fortune 500 companies than the United States does. When the financial system of Europe crashes, the entire world is going to feel it.

Some of the unemployment numbers coming out of Europe are absolutely staggering.

Read More @ TheEconomicCollapseBlog.com


IS GOLD A BUBBLE?

Posted: 01 Mar 2012 02:11 PM PST


Infographic: Is Gold A Bubble?

Posted: 01 Mar 2012 01:44 PM PST

Yes, another infographic, and yes, another answer (always the same) on whether gold is a bubble.

Courtesy of bullioninternational.com



Brazil declares new 'currency war' against foreign devaluations

Posted: 01 Mar 2012 01:20 PM PST

By Samantha Pearson
Financial Times, London
Thursday, March 1, 2012

http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/76d1d4d0-63d0-11e1-8762-00144feabdc0.html

SAO PAULO, Brazil -- Brazil has declared a fresh "currency war" on the United States and Europe, extending a tax on foreign borrowings and threatening further capital controls in an effort to protect the country's struggling manufacturers.

Guido Mantega, the finance minister who was the first to use the controversial term in 2010, said the government would not "sit by passively" as developed nations continue to pursue expansionary monetary policies at the expense of Brazil.

"When the real appreciates, it reduces our competitiveness. Exports are more expensive, imports are cheaper, and it creates unfair competition for businesses in Brazil," he said on Thursday after announcing changes to the so-called IOF tax.

... Dispatch continues below ...



ADVERTISEMENT

A Rare Opportunity with Collectible Gold Coins
Whose Premiums Are Far Below Normal

Sovereign debt problems in the United States as well as Europe will worsen this year. The mainstream financial media may never report about the likely inflationary consequences of bailouts and "quantitative easing," nor are they likely ever to recommend tangible assets for financial protection. But at Swiss America Trading Corp. we believe that it is no longer a luxury to own gold and silver coins but rather a necessity.

At the moment the public is showing little interest in Double Eagle U.S. $20 gold coins, so the price premiums above the intrinsic melt values (.9675 ounce of gold in each coin) are historically low. The ratio of price to bullion content for these coins has been 2:1 but today it is only about 1.25:1.

This is a real opportunity. So give us a call or e-mail and we will be glad to discuss the potential of these coins and how to use a ratio strategy to increase your gold ounces without money out of pocket.

In the January edition of his Early Warning Report, Richard Maybury writes: "As they are inherently in very limited supply, I believe that high-quality numismatics will become tulips, eventually rising a thousand percent or more in real terms, when money velocity goes into mid-second stage. In late stage, who knows -- 2,000 percent? 3,000?"

All inquiries will receive without charge (while supplies last) our latest book, "The Inflation Deception," as well as our newsletter "Real Money Perspectives."

-- Tim Murphy, trmurphy@swissamerica.com

-- Fred Goldstein, figoldstein@swissamerica.com

Telephone: 1-800-289-2646

Swiss America Trading Corp., 15018 North Tatum Blvd., Phoenix, AZ 85032

In a presidential decree, the government extended the existing 6 per cent financial transactions tax on overseas loans maturing in up to three years. Previously the levy was applied only to loans with maturities of under two years.

President Dilma Rousseff later weighed in on the debate, vowing to defend Brazilian industry and stop developed countries' policies from causing the "cannibalisation" of emerging markets.

The move comes as Brazil's central bank also steps up direct intervention in the market, selling dollars and offering derivatives called reverse currency swaps to curb the real's near 9 per cent surge against the U.S. dollar this year.

Brazil was one of the first emerging markets to speak out against the loose monetary policy of richer nations in the wake of the financial crisis, which it blamed for directing a flood of hot money to the country and overvaluing the real.

Although the crisis in the eurozone eased pressure on Brazil's currency late last year, a flurry of debt issuance this year has made the real one of the biggest gainers of 2012.

Countries from Colombia to Thailand have also followed suit with their own currency measures, and even the International Monetary Fund was seen to tacitly endorse the use of capital controls last April, giving Brazil's government further ammunition.

These currency intervention practices "were always just in reserve but today they are even recommended by the IMF," Mr Mantega said on Thursday. "The IMF didn't think this way and then they started to think this way mainly after Brazil introduced intervention measures which have been successful."

However, analysts doubt that such short-term measures will be enough to significantly change the direction of Brazil's currency.

"There is nothing they can do to really prevent the real from appreciating; they can just delay it from appreciating," said Italo Lombardi, Latin America economist at Standard Chartered.

He added that Thursday's measure would also have little effect because the average maturity of Brazilian bond placements abroad is much longer than three years.

After the announcement on Thursday, the real actually strengthened in midday trade to around 1.71 per dollar.

* * *

Support GATA by purchasing DVDs of our London conference in August 2011 or our Dawson City conference in August 2006:

http://www.goldrush21.com/order.html

Or by purchasing a colorful GATA T-shirt:

http://gata.org/tshirts

Or a colorful poster of GATA's full-page ad in The Wall Street Journal on January 31, 2009:

http://gata.org/node/wallstreetjournal

Help keep GATA going

GATA is a civil rights and educational organization based in the United States and tax-exempt under the U.S. Internal Revenue Code. Its e-mail dispatches are free, and you can subscribe at:

http://www.gata.org

To contribute to GATA, please visit:

http://www.gata.org/node/16



ADVERTISEMENT

Free Month Subscription to Market Force Analysis for GATA Supporters

Market Force Analysis is a unique, patent-pending approach to commodity market analysis. An algorithm has been developed to extract supply and demand weightings from futures market data. The difference between supply and demand is the market imbalance that is called "market force," so named because it is what drives price. It brings clarity to past market action and predicts market trends. Because it is derived from accurate futures market data it is not subject to the errors inherent in macro-level estimates of supply and demand.

Learn more here:

https://marketforceanalysis.com/About_MFA.html

Market Force Analysis focuses on short-term (15 days) and medium-term price predictions to help both short-term traders and long-term investors understand market moves and benefit from the generated prediction of prices. To read subscriber comments that show how much the service is appreciated, visit:

https://marketforceanalysis.com/Testimonials.html

The MFA service has been pioneered by market analyst and Gold Anti-Trust Action board member and researcher Adrian Douglas.

The Market Force Analysis premium service provides:

-- A bi-weekly report.

-- Access to the MFA hot list of junior mining stocks derived from analysis of more than 800 mining stocks. The MFA hot list consistently outperforms well-known mining share indices like the HUI, GDX, and GDXJ.

-- E-mail alerts about actionable trades.

-- E-mail updates with important information.

To obtain your 1-month free trial subscription to the Market Force Analysis letter, e-mail info@marketforceanalysis.com and put "MFA Free Trial" in the subject field.



9/11 Commissioner and Co-Chair of Congressional Inquiry into 9/11 Say in Sworn Declarations that Saudi Government Linked to 9/11

Posted: 01 Mar 2012 01:08 PM PST

Two former senators – one a 9/11 Commissioner, the other the co-chair of the joint Congressional inquiry into 9/11 – state in sworn declarations that the Saudi government backed the 9/11 attack.

The New York Times reports:

 

For more than a decade, questions have lingered about the possible role of the Saudi government in the attacks on Sept. 11, 2001, even as the royal kingdom has made itself a crucial counterterrorism partner in the eyes of American diplomats.

 

Now, in sworn statements that seem likely to reignite the debate, two former senators who were privy to top secret information on the Saudis’ activities say they believe that the Saudi government might have played a direct role in the terrorist attacks.

 

“I am convinced that there was a direct line between at least some of the terrorists who carried out the September 11th attacks and the government of Saudi Arabia,” former Senator Bob Graham, Democrat of Florida, said in an affidavit filed as part of a lawsuit brought against the Saudi government and dozens of institutions in the country by families of Sept. 11 victims and others. Mr. Graham led a joint 2002 Congressional inquiry into the attacks.

As we noted last year:

The Co-Chair of the Congressional Inquiry into 9/11 and former Head of the Senate Intelligence Committee, Bob Graham, previously stated that an FBI informant had hosted and rented a room to two hijackers in 2000 and that, when the Inquiry sought to interview the informant, the FBI refused outright, and then hid him in an unknown location, and that a high-level FBI official stated these blocking maneuvers were undertaken under orders from the White House (confirmed here).

 

Today, Graham called for a new 9/11 investigation. As Raw Story notes:

Graham on Monday called on the U.S. government to reopen its investigation into 9/11 after a report found that links between Saudi Arabia and the hijackers were never disclosed by the FBI to the 2002 joint Congressional intelligence committee investigating the attacks.

 

“In the final report of the congressional inquiry, there was a chapter related primarily to the Saudi role in 9/11 that was totally censored, every word of the chapter has been withheld from the public,” Graham said on MSNBC’s The Dylan Ratigan Show.

 

“Some of the other questions we ought to be asking are if we know that the Saudis who lived in San Diego and now apparently in Sarasota received substantial assistance, what about the Saudis who lived in Phoenix, Arizona? Or Arlington, Virginia? … What was happening in those places?”

 

“I believe these are questions for which there are definitive answers, but the American people and largely their elected representatives have been denied that information.”

The Times continues:

 

His former Senate colleague, Bob Kerrey of Nebraska, a Democrat who served on the separate 9/11 Commission, said in a sworn affidavit of his own in the case that “significant questions remain unanswered” about the role of Saudi institutions. “Evidence relating to the plausible involvement of possible Saudi government agents in the September 11th attacks has never been fully pursued,” Mr. Kerrey said.

 

Their affidavits, which were filed on Friday and have not previously been disclosed, are part of a multibillion-dollar lawsuit that has wound its way through federal courts since 2002. An appellate court, reversing an earlier decision, said in November that foreign nations were not immune to lawsuits under certain terrorism claims, clearing the way for parts of the Saudi case to be reheard in United States District Court in Manhattan.

 

***

 

The Saudis are seeking to have the case dismissed in part because they say American inquiries — including those in which Mr. Graham and Mr. Kerrey took part — have essentially exonerated them. A recent court filing by the Saudis prominently cited the 9/11 Commission’s “exhaustive” final report, which “found no evidence that the Saudi government as an institution or senior Saudi individuals funded” Al Qaeda.

 

But Mr. Kerrey and Mr. Graham said that the findings should not be seen as an exoneration and that many important questions about the Saudis’ role had never been fully examined, partly because their panels simply did not have the time or resources given their wider scope.

 

Terry Strada of New Vernon, N.J., whose husband died in the World Trade Center, said it was “so absurd that it’s laughable” for the Saudis to claim that the federal inquiries had exonerated them.

Unanswered questions include the work of a number of Saudi-sponsored charities with financial links to Al Qaeda, as well as the role of a Saudi citizen living in San Diego at the time of the attacks, Omar al-Bayoumi, who had ties to two of the hijackers and to Saudi officials, Mr. Graham said in his affidavit.

 

Still, Washington has continued to stand behind Saudi Arabia publicly, with the Justice Department joining the kingdom in trying to have the lawsuits thrown out of court on the grounds that the Saudis are protected by international immunity.

 

As we’ve repeatedly noted:

 

9/11 Commissioner Bob Kerrey said that “There are ample reasons to suspect that there may be some alternative to what we outlined in our version . . . We didn’t have access . . . .” He also says that it might take “a permanent 9/11 commission” to end the remaining mysteries of September 11

Indeed, while everyone remembers the false allegations about Iraqi weapons of mass destruction, most forget that the other primary justification for the war was the false linkage between Iraq and 9/11.

The failure to really investigate 9/11 led us into a disastrous war … which has virtually bankrupted our country.

Unfortunately, the endless wars in the Middle East and North Africa are about oil, not national security (and see this).

So we have idiots like MSNBC talking head Joe Scarborough saying that – even if the Saudi government backed the 9/11 attacks – Saudi oil is too important to do anything about it:


Sharps Pixley's Norman blames gold smashing on single seller 'out for effect'

Posted: 01 Mar 2012 12:31 PM PST

8:25p Thursday, March 1, 2012

Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:

In his gold market commentary today Ross Norman, proprietor of the London bullion broker Sharps Pixley Ltd. and founder of TheBullionDesk.com, joins those who attribute gold's smashdown yesterday to a single source who was "out for effect." Norman writes:

"A reported 31-tonne sell order on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange rocked gold, which saw prices collapse from a high of $1,790 in London hours to $1,703 during New York trading, followed by a further dip to the low of $1,687 in out-of-hours electronic trading. ... Ordinarily if a seller wanted to get the best price for his metal he would seek to finesse the selling over time, hunting out liquidity (finding people who are the other side of his sell order) and thereby ensure he gets the best possible profit. This seller was clearly simply out for effect."

Norman's commentary is headlined "Gold Fall Creates a Fantastic Window of Opportunity for Potential Buyers" and it's posted at the Sharps Pixley Internet site here:

http://www.sharpspixley.com/comment/gold-fall-creates-a-fantastic-window...

CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.



ADVERTISEMENT

Free Month Subscription to Market Force Analysis for GATA Supporters

Market Force Analysis is a unique, patent-pending approach to commodity market analysis. An algorithm has been developed to extract supply and demand weightings from futures market data. The difference between supply and demand is the market imbalance that is called "market force," so named because it is what drives price. It brings clarity to past market action and predicts market trends. Because it is derived from accurate futures market data it is not subject to the errors inherent in macro-level estimates of supply and demand.

Learn more here:

https://marketforceanalysis.com/About_MFA.html

Market Force Analysis focuses on short-term (15 days) and medium-term price predictions to help both short-term traders and long-term investors understand market moves and benefit from the generated prediction of prices. To read subscriber comments that show how much the service is appreciated, visit:

https://marketforceanalysis.com/Testimonials.html

The MFA service has been pioneered by market analyst and Gold Anti-Trust Action board member and researcher Adrian Douglas.

The Market Force Analysis premium service provides:

-- A bi-weekly report.

-- Access to the MFA hot list of junior mining stocks derived from analysis of more than 800 mining stocks. The MFA hot list consistently outperforms well-known mining share indices like the HUI, GDX, and GDXJ.

-- E-mail alerts about actionable trades.

-- E-mail updates with important information.

To obtain your 1-month free trial subscription to the Market Force Analysis letter, e-mail info@marketforceanalysis.com and put "MFA Free Trial" in the subject field.



Support GATA by purchasing DVDs of our London conference in August 2011 or our Dawson City conference in August 2006:

http://www.goldrush21.com/order.html

Or by purchasing a colorful GATA T-shirt:

http://gata.org/tshirts

Or a colorful poster of GATA's full-page ad in The Wall Street Journal on January 31, 2009:

http://gata.org/node/wallstreetjournal

Help keep GATA going

GATA is a civil rights and educational organization based in the United States and tax-exempt under the U.S. Internal Revenue Code. Its e-mail dispatches are free, and you can subscribe at:

http://www.gata.org

To contribute to GATA, please visit:

http://www.gata.org/node/16



ADVERTISEMENT

A Rare Opportunity with Collectible Gold Coins
Whose Premiums Are Far Below Normal

Sovereign debt problems in the United States as well as Europe will worsen this year. The mainstream financial media may never report about the likely inflationary consequences of bailouts and "quantitative easing," nor are they likely ever to recommend tangible assets for financial protection. But at Swiss America Trading Corp. we believe that it is no longer a luxury to own gold and silver coins but rather a necessity.

At the moment the public is showing little interest in Double Eagle U.S. $20 gold coins, so the price premiums above the intrinsic melt values (.9675 ounce of gold in each coin) are historically low. The ratio of price to bullion content for these coins has been 2:1 but today it is only about 1.25:1.

This is a real opportunity. So give us a call or e-mail and we will be glad to discuss the potential of these coins and how to use a ratio strategy to increase your gold ounces without money out of pocket.

In the January edition of his Early Warning Report, Richard Maybury writes: "As they are inherently in very limited supply, I believe that high-quality numismatics will become tulips, eventually rising a thousand percent or more in real terms, when money velocity goes into mid-second stage. In late stage, who knows -- 2,000 percent? 3,000?"

All inquiries will receive without charge (while supplies last) our latest book, "The Inflation Deception," as well as our newsletter "Real Money Perspectives."

-- Tim Murphy, trmurphy@swissamerica.com

-- Fred Goldstein, figoldstein@swissamerica.com

Telephone: 1-800-289-2646

Swiss America Trading Corp., 15018 North Tatum Blvd., Phoenix, AZ 85032


As Spirits Soar, Two Bubbles Worth Watching

Posted: 01 Mar 2012 12:09 PM PST

And now for something off the beaten path. As the title implies, while the rest of the world is transfixed on the usual bubble candidates in traditional asset classes, two of the bubbles currently brewing well beneath the radar are a second derivative on the uber-wealthy class in China and Hong Kong, which appears to have a very disproprionate impact on spending patterns for ultra luxury goods, in this case cognac and Swiss watches. Not only that, but investing in these up and coming bubbles has some useful externalities: one can drink cognac, while a Swiss watch can be melted into its constituent gold or platinum once the inevitable hyperinflation finally hits. Alternatively, as these are some of the most marginal products available, any changes in consumption patterns here will be the first indication that the Asian party is ending...

Source: Goldman


Gold smashing was a central bank operation, Salinas Price says

Posted: 01 Mar 2012 11:26 AM PST

7:25p ET Thursday, March 1, 2012

Dear Friend of GATA and Gold (and Silver):

Hugo Salinas Price, president of the Mexican Civic Association for Silver, tells King World News tonight that yesterday's smashing of the gold price was a central bank operation that should not deter anyone from continuing to acquire the monetary metals.

Salinas Price says: "If I saw the price declining little by little, day after day, that would be a worrisome signal. That would mean the market is not eager to acquire more gold or silver, but that's not the case. ... When I see that kind of collapse in gold, I know it's not the natural market doing that. Nobody getting rid of their gold and silver is going to dispose of it in that manner. They are going to do it little by little. This seller was definitely not interested in losses. What they were interested in was suppressing the price."

The interview is excerpted at the King World News blog here:

http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2012/3/1_Bil...

CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.



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From a technical standpoint, the chart shows what Comex May Silver must do before we assume that the trauma from Wednesday’s shock-and-awe selloff has mostly worn off.

Posted: 01 Mar 2012 10:59 AM PST

Gold, Silver Appear Unintimidated Precious metals appear to be recovering nicely after Wednesday's punitive selloff. Although we initially assumed it might take a few weeks for gold and silver to build a base for the next moon shot, yesterday's price … Continue reading


The Gold Price Rose $11.20 to $1,721.10 if you Don't Buy Silver or Gold you are Effectively Buying US Dollars or Euros or Yen

Posted: 01 Mar 2012 10:59 AM PST

Gold Price Close Today : 1721.10
Change : 11.20 or 0.66%

Silver Price Close Today : 3561.10
Change : 102.8 cents or 2.97%

Gold Silver Ratio Today : 48.331
Change : -1.113 or -2.25%

Silver Gold Ratio Today : 0.02069
Change : 0.000466 or 2.30%

Platinum Price Close Today : 1698.20
Change : 29.50 or 1.77%

Palladium Price Close Today : 713.10
Change : 9.00 or 1.28%

S&P 500 : 1,374.09
Change : 8.41 or 0.62%

Dow In GOLD$ : $155.30
Change : $ (0.66) or -0.42%

Dow in GOLD oz : 7.513
Change : -0.032 or -0.42%

Dow in SILVER oz : 363.10
Change : -9.98 or -2.67%

Dow Industrial : 12,930.30
Change : 28.23 or 0.22%

US Dollar Index : 78.79
Change : 0.051 or 0.06%

All right, I know y'all are all curious about the silver and GOLD PRICE. They bounced back today like a fine prizefighter. The GOLD PRICE rose $11.20 to $1,721.10 and silver rose 3%, 102.8c, to 3561.1c, after falling 6.8% yesterday.

Is it the end of the world? Mercy, NO! Is it the end of the world when T.J. Maxx runs a sale? My wife doesn't think so, and that's what the market is offering you right now on silver and gold.

I will admit that yesterday's $77.10 drop might give anybody cause to reach for his wastebasket and a short puke, but think about it. That's a 4.3% drop, 4 pennies out of a dollar, and not many of y'all would stoop down to pick up four pennies.

At its lowest yesterday the GOLD PRICE hit $1,696. What does that mean? Well, that support under $1,705 didn't give. Next, it closed yesterday at $1,709.90, ABOVE the $1,705 crucial support. Today it bounced up to the next support level, $1,725, and closed at at $1721.1

Now y'all think. Y'all were all happy as a fat rat in the city dump while gold was rising from $1,523 to $1,787, so why get riled when it drops back to $1,710? The up 5 steps, back one step is the normal growth process.

As long as GOLD holds about $1,696, it will not drop lower. Now let's talk about that, because I say stuff like that all the time. What am I leaving out? That if you buy here, you are risking that it WON'T hold $1,696. But if you keep waiting until you are 100% certain gold is rising, you'll sit there watching the whole bull market, and miss it. Besides, the risk you sit is greater than the risk you run. If you don't buy silver or gold, you are effectively buying US dollars or euros or yen. You really want to hold those?

SILVER gained nearly 3% today, 102.8c, which salved yesterday's 255.7c loss (owch.) Looking at the chart, yesterday merely took silver down for a final kiss good buy to its 300 day moving average. Today it bounce up above that 3482c mark.

Yesterday's fall satisfied a 38% correction. That could be enough. If silver falls 50% of its foregoing rise, it would hit 3200c. Testifying against much more falling is that downtrend line from the August high, which yesterday nearly touched. Another final kiss good-bye?

Long and short here is that yesterday's fall was catalyzed by the Bernancubus remarks, but both metals were due for a correction. The Bernancubus just helped us get it all done in one day.

Yesterday offered a perfect example how central banks destabilize markets. That goof Bernanke mumbled around before congress and suggested he might not print more money.

When are folks going to learn this is all propaganda? Brakes! Gas! Brakes! Gas! He's just driving the sheep into the direction he wants them to go. In the end, I'll warrant y'all, he WILL inflate, because he hath no weapon besides. The whole institutional set-up breathes and eats inflation, and without it the system dies and apparatchiki like the redoubtable Mr. Bernanke become supernumerary and worthless.

This issue differs somewhat from the manipulation- of-silver-and-gold issue. Do the Fed and the government manipulate silver and gold, not to mention stocks? Of COURSE they do, but NEVER successfully over the long term. Witness: their gold manipulations since 1996 have successfully kept gold, then at $252, down to $1,721.10 today, only a 6.83-fold increase.

However, when a market is ready to correct, a little push further by the government (as we saw yesterday) is liable to work a big, but short-lived and temporary, effect. Anyhow, Bernanke's intervention no more caused the drop in silver and gold than germs cause disease. A weakness in the immune system causes disease, and the germs take advantage of it. That germ Bernanke saw silver and gold with a weak immune system, and took advantage of it.

Now that we have all that straightened out, let's talk about pleasanter things, or at least, more rational.

Stocks keep on struggling along in the same trading range, burning up buying power and getting all gussied up for a sizeable fall.

Dow today gained a magnificent 0.22 %, 28.23 points, to 12,980.30. S&P500 climbed 8.41, 0.62%, to 1,374.09. Stocks have no direction and they've traded out a fatal rising wedge -- not a recipe for success and higher prices. But don't believe me -- what am I, a natural born fool from Tennessee, next to the geniuses of Wall Street and Washington? Why, I couldn't come up to Comrade Bernanke's shoe soles, intellectually speaking. Physically, of course, I'm a head or so taller. I'd say "better looking", too, but that's like shooting carp in a rain barrel -- with a hand grenade.

The dollar's 7/10% gain yesterday-- 54.1 basis points -- nailed a tent stake into the euro's head. It dropped 1.14%, huge move for a currency. Today it ended at 1.3316, down another 0.12%. Chart begs to say that the euro's rally reached its 50% correction level and ran out of gas, and is about to begin diving again. 20 day moving average stands nearby at 1.3245. If the euro tries to cross that bridge, it will find no bridge, only a gulf.

Yen fell, too, yesterday, but only to prove a double bottom at 123c/Y100 (Y81.30/US$1). Rose slightly today, 0.07%, to 123.28c (Y81.12).

Wow. Trying to pick the best paper currency is like trying to pick the World's Most Likeable Dictator. Tough choice. Anyway, the scrofulous dollar gained 5.1 basis points today to close at 78.788. Dollar has escaped that gravity that was pulling it earthward and built new support above 78.60. Whether it can pierce 79 is another question.

Argentum et aurum comparenda sunt -- -- Gold and silver must be bought.

- Franklin Sanders, The Moneychanger
The-MoneyChanger.com

© 2012, The Moneychanger. May not be republished in any form, including electronically, without our express permission.

To avoid confusion, please remember that the comments above have a very short time horizon. Always invest with the primary trend. Gold's primary trend is up, targeting at least $3,130.00; silver's primary is up targeting 16:1 gold/silver ratio or $195.66; stocks' primary trend is down, targeting Dow under 2,900 and worth only one ounce of gold; US$ or US$-denominated assets, primary trend down; real estate bubble has burst, primary trend down.

WARNING AND DISCLAIMER. Be advised and warned:

Do NOT use these commentaries to trade futures contracts. I don't intend them for that or write them with that short term trading outlook. I write them for long-term investors in physical metals. Take them as entertainment, but not as a timing service for futures.

NOR do I recommend investing in gold or silver Exchange Trade Funds (ETFs). Those are NOT physical metal and I fear one day one or another may go up in smoke. Unless you can breathe smoke, stay away. Call me paranoid, but the surviving rabbit is wary of traps.

NOR do I recommend trading futures options or other leveraged paper gold and silver products. These are not for the inexperienced.

NOR do I recommend buying gold and silver on margin or with debt.

What DO I recommend? Physical gold and silver coins and bars in your own hands.

One final warning: NEVER insert a 747 Jumbo Jet up your nose.


Central Bank Bubble Blowers and the Rehypothecation Inflation-Nation

Posted: 01 Mar 2012 10:57 AM PST

from CapitalAccount:

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke was on Capitol Hill today delivering his report card, talking economic forecasts and headwinds while defending the Fed's "accommodative monetary policy." Speaking of report cards, we look at how even the failing marks of central bankers and other economic decision makers get glossed over by the mainstream media and ultimately forgotten by the public. Top on our list, of course, is CNBC which is basically a PR machine for the big banks on wall street, let's not forget. Is it this PR machine what has allowed even former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan to emerge from the financial crisis relatively unscathed after he largely contributed to it with his reckless interest rate policies and serial bubble blowing that earned him the nickname Alan "Bubbles" Greenspan? We interview Danny Schechter, the news dissector (also author and filmmaker), to get his take on this. He bumped into Alan Greenspan recently, and wrote an article on the Rand Man and his legacy as deregulator in chief.

Meanwhile, Greek credit default swaps will not pay out…again! What's going on here? Last time we had a major credit event, it led to the collapse and then zombification of AIG as a conduit for bailing out the likes of Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Deutsche Bank, etc. Are the issuers on the hook this time around, and this is just the ISDA working on behalf of them against the speculator hedge funds and other people with net short positions in sovereign debt? Pimco's Bill Gross likened the ISDA's decision to a flood protection insurance policy that failed to pay out in the event of a flood. Is this failure to trigger CDS because decision makers are really worried about another AIG-type market paralyzing counter party risk scare? Or is it about protecting the vested interests of CDS writers this time around? And regardless of how you take your leverage, we delve further into one more way that the shadow banking system gets around capital requirements and liquidity restraints by using something called rehypothecation. We break it down in word-of-the-day. Hypothecation occurs whenever a borrower (for example, a bank or financial merchant) pledge collateral to secure a debt. The borrower retains ownership of the collateral, but it is controlled by the creditor in that he has the right to seize possession if the borrower defaults. A common example is when someone enters into a mortgage agreement with a bank. In this case, the mortgagee lives in the house, which remains collateral for the bank until the mortgage is finally paid off. Now, rehypothecation is simply the hypothecation of collateral that has ALREADY been hypothecated. This occurs principally in the financial markets, where a bank or other broker-dealer reuses the collateral pledged by its clients as collateral for its own borrowing. In the US, rehypothecation of collateral by broker-dealers is limited to 140% of the loan amount to a client under Rule 15c3-3 of the SEC. So what then is churning? Well, churning is the process of rehypoethecating something that has already been rehypothecated! Sounds nuts right? Well, it's really nothing other than a form of fractional reserve lending, except you aren't using depots but instead, you are using hypothecated collateral. It's kind of like me going into your safety deposit box and borrowing the money from the box and lending it out to someone else, who then re-lends it to someone else and so on. The only difference is that the cash in the box has not been posted as collateral.

And as another meeting of EU leaders commences over the eurozone crisis, do you ever wonder what policymakers are really doing in the never-ending string of debt crisis meetings? We've got the Sudoku photo evidence to show you. We also tackle the question of bonuses, and if it's really fair to grab the Schiff Brothers (peter schiff and andrew schiff) as examples for excessive profit taking on wall street. After all, they don't have access to the Fed's discount window, and their firm, Euro Pacific Capital, is certainly not too big to fail.


Dollar Going Out With A Whimper, Not A Bang - So Far

Posted: 01 Mar 2012 10:28 AM PST

Last year the US ran a $272 billion trade deficit with China, which means we sent the Chinese that many extra dollars in return for the clothes, toys and iPhones they sent us. This lopsided relationship has been in place ... Read More...



"Speculation" in Absence of Physical Demand Blamed for Gold's 5%

Posted: 01 Mar 2012 10:03 AM PST

PRECIOUS METALS rallied in Asian and early London trade Thursday morning, with gold futures at one point recovering more than a third of yesterday's sharp $100-per-ounce decline as global stock markets also rose. Broad commodity markets rose, but the single Euro currency slipped to fresh 1-week lows as European banks received the €529 billion in 3-year loans they requested from the European Central Bank's LTRO program yesterday.


Dollar Going Out With A Whimper, Not A Bang — So Far

Posted: 01 Mar 2012 09:17 AM PST

Last year the US ran a $272 billion trade deficit with China, which means we sent the Chinese that many extra dollars in return for the clothes, toys and iPhones they sent us. This lopsided relationship has been in place for a long time, allowing (or requiring) China to accumulate about $1.7 trillion dollars of various kinds of US paper.

From China's perspective, this is a good deal in the short run but potentially a bad one longer-term. And lately the world has been wondering what they would do with all this low-yielding, rapidly-depreciating currency. The worst case scenario had them reacting to US deficits and debt monetization by converting their dollars into real assets at pretty much any price, sending the value of the dollar through the floor and igniting a currency crisis or hyperinflation.

Optimists dismissed the above as unlikely, since traders would see the change in strategy coming and front-run China by dumping dollars immediately, decimating the value of China's remaining reserves. So the only option for China — and Japan, Saudi Arabia and other big trade surplus countries — is to keep playing the game by accumulating dollars in order to protect the value of their current reserves.

But there's a lot of policy room between unrestrained accumulation and complete abandonment of the dollar. A surplus country can, for instance, keep accepting dollars but convert a growing share of them into other currencies or hard assets, over time lessening the dollar's relative importance. This, it turns out, is exactly what China has been doing:

China's Share of Reserves in U.S. Dollar Dives

By Tom Orlik and Bob Davis

Beijing—Fresh U.S. Treasury data suggest that China has lost its taste for investing as much of its $3.2 trillion in foreign-exchange reserves in U.S. dollars and may be increasing its holding of euro-denominated securities during a time that a debt crisis has roiled European markets.

Economists have long warned that if China started to cut back its purchases of U.S. securities, U.S. interest rates could climb, damaging the U.S. economy. China's diversification of its vast reserves, however, hasn't caused disruption so far, partly because of strong global demand for U.S. securities as a safe haven during troubled times.

Overall, foreign demand for dollar securities has remained strong; foreign holdings increased $1.8 trillion, or about 17%, to $12.52 trillion over 12 months to June, according to the Treasury data.

But the data, which provide one of the very few clues about how China invests its reserves, suggest that the percentage of dollar holdings in China's foreign-exchange reserves has fallen to a decade-low of 54% from 65% in 2010. Purchases of U.S. securities equaled just 15% of the increase in China's foreign-exchange reserves in the 12 months, down from 45% in 2010 and an average of 63% over the past five years, according to calculations based on information published by the U.S. Treasury and the Chinese government.

Some economists said China's move was well-timed. "It would be optimal for China to adopt a contrarian strategy and pick times when the dollar is strong to aggressively diversify the currency composition of its reserve portfolio away from the dollar," said Eswar Prasad, a China scholar at the Brookings Institution.

China won't say how it invests its foreign-exchange reserves, which have grown rapidly over the past decade. Beijing has used its control over the exchange rate as a key plank of its development strategy and has racked up immense trade surpluses. That requires China's State Administration of Foreign Exchange to invest the proceeds overseas. In the past, SAFE has hinted that about two-thirds of its stash is held in U.S. securities, a percentage that generally has been in line with annual data collected by the U.S. Treasury.

The new Treasury data suggest China has begun to rapidly diversify its portfolio of currencies. "It clearly indicates China's intention not to put all eggs in one basket," said Lu Feng, director of Peking University's China Macroeconomic Research Center.

China has many reasons to try to reduce its exposure to the dollar. They include very low yields paid by Treasuries and a vulnerability to U.S. decisions on managing its debt that could lead to inflation that would erode the value of those holdings. Last summer's political debate over raising the U.S. debt ceiling sparked worries that the U.S. could default on some payments.

To arrive at the percentage of dollar holdings in China's reserves, U.S. Treasury data on Chinese purchases of U.S. securities must be compared to Beijing data on its foreign-exchange holdings. That calculation is complicated by the impact of currency movements on the value of China's reserves. Even so, it is clear that China is purchasing fewer dollar-based securities than it had in the past.

Treasury data show that China's holdings of U.S securities edged up 7% up to $1.73 trillion as of June 30, translating into an increase of $115 billion from 12 months earlier. Over the same time, China's foreign-exchange holdings increased by 30% to $3.2 trillion, an increase of $743 billion. Essentially, the pace of China's purchases of U.S. securities didn't come close to matching the pace of expansion of its foreign reserve pile, reducing the percentage of dollar holdings in China's foreign exchange haul.

Nick Lardy, an expert on the Chinese economy at the Peterson Institute, noted that a fall in China's holdings of debt issues by troubled mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac accounted for most of the decline. Over the period covered by the annual survey, China continued to add to its holdings of U.S. Treasurys, he said.

Monthly data on China's holdings of U.S Treasurys has been seen as less reliable than the annual survey. But the Treasury has now introduced a new survey technique intended to improve the accuracy of the data. The latest numbers show China's holdings of U.S Treasurys dropped to $1.15 trillion in December, falling $156 billion since the period covered by the annual survey. That suggests China's diversification away from dollars may have continued in the second half of 2011.
As China has appeared to lose its dollar appetite between June 2010 and 2011, the greenback weakened 9.2% against a broad range of currencies according to the Federal Reserve. It has since risen about 3%, as the euro crisis deepened and the U.S. economy has shown signs of strengthening.

Where did the money not invested in dollars go? China's SAFE won't say. Officials at the foreign-exchange agency didn't respond to questions faxed to them on Thursday.

But China's leaders have made increasingly strong statements that they would like to help the 17-nation euro zone deal with its troubles. In February, Premier Wen Jiabao, speaking at the EU China summit, said "Europe is a main investment destination for China to diversify its foreign-exchange reserves."

Klaus Regling, the chief executive of the European Financial Stability Facility—the euro-zone's rescue fund for Greece and other financially troubled nations—was in Beijing in October for talks with SAFE. Regular talks have continued since then and EFSF documents show that Asia, apart from Japan—essentially China—accounted for between 14% and 24% of purchases for three EFSF bond sales worth €13 billion in the first half of 2011, before Mr. Regling's trip to Beijing.

Stephen Green, China economist at Standard Chartered, said the majority of China's increased investment in Europe has probably gone into core euro zone countries like Germany that boast relatively low debt levels. Chinese officials have privately made clear that they are wary of buying bonds directly from Greece, Portugal and other troubled European nations.
With Europe's fiscal situation being even more precarious than that of the U.S., a shift of reserves into euros brings its own risks.

Mr. Green, the Standard Chartered analyst was acerbic in describing China's choice between investing in the U.S. and Europe: "At least if you diversify into Europe, you are balancing your risks between two equally awful fiscal messes."

Some Thoughts
Moving out of dollars and into euros, even via German bonds, is not, as the analyst quoted above points out, an especially high-percentage bet. There are two explanations here: 1) China doesn't understand Europe's dilemma, which is that either the eurozone falls apart — a bad thing for all European paper — or Germany takes the peripheral countries' debt onto its own balance sheet via guarantees and direct aid, which is bad specifically for German paper. Or 2) China grasps Europe's situation but is so desperate to get out of dollars that it's willing to "diversify" into something just as bad.

But it's not just euro-bonds that China is accumulating. They've been buying gold (only admitting it after the fact), and farmland and mines in Africa and Latin America. So the quality of their portfolio is rising as it shifts towards hard rather than financial assets.

As the article also notes, China's scaling back of its dollar holdings in relative terms hasn't caused the dollar to tank because the rest of the world is so troubled that money is flowing into dollars by default. This is probably temporary. Either the rest of the world gets its act together and begins to look safe again or the US is sucked into the maelstrom of a eurozone implosion or Middle East war or whatever. Or our ongoing debt binge finally gets the scrutiny it deserves and even in an unsafe world the US is discovered to be fundamentally unsound.

So for surplus countries the dollar's recent exchange rate stability is a great chance to sell into strength and accelerate their diversification programs. Next year's numbers will probably show another big shift out of dollars.

Why does it matter what China or any other country does with dollars the US has already created and spent? Because the foreign exchange markets are where the dollar's value is determined, and the numbers are now huge. There are maybe $3 trillion in the vaults of just a handful of countries, all of whom want to protect their investment and none of whom trusts the US to do it for them. If China is seen as easing itself out of dollars without adverse consequence, then the other big dollar holders will be tempted to follow suit. The result: a growing number of sellers, which will eventually send the dollar down at an accelerating rate, which will cause the remaining dollar holders to panic and head for the exits. Trillions of dollars being converted to hard assets or euros and yen (or Mexican pesos or Brazilian real) all at once is a currency crisis that the Fed won't be able to stop.


Gold Fractal Projection of $3,500 into Mid 2012 Remains Intact!

Posted: 01 Mar 2012 08:53 AM PST

As we have discussed in a previous article, our Fractal Model suggests the wave for Gold in US Dollars will sweep up into the $3500 to $3600 area into the mid-year time-frame.  The leading edge of that time-frame begins in May and extends out for a few months.  A potential for Gold to spike to a $3900 extended fib level exists.  Like all parabolic moves in Gold, the late stages create the biggest price movements.  Personally, I would be happy with a huge Gold run up to the $3200 level.


Triple Lutz Report–The Leap Day Metals Massacre–Episode 165

Posted: 01 Mar 2012 08:34 AM PST

If you bought a lot of precious metals on February 28, 2012, then Leap Day was your nightmare come true. Gold down over $80 per ounce and Silver down over $2. However, today is a new day, and they're both up. While it may take a while for them to achieve new highs, they are quickly going through technical resistance points, and it could happen a lot faster than any of the "experts" believe possible. The key is to accumulate precious metals over time, never make big one-time purchases, unless you can do so at extremely attractive terms and prices. Slow and steady is the way to win the precious metals price race. At times you'll be averaging up and at others you'll be averaging down. But, you won't be experiencing the buyer's remorse that occurs after one of these dramatic pullbacks.

Remember, the price only matters when you're buying. Because, if you're like most precious metals investors, you won't be selling until much later and at much more advantageous prices. Or you may never sell, because gold and silver will be the only currencies accepted universally. Either way, if the time comes to start selling your metals hoard, you'll be purchasing stocks and real estate that are yielding 30 percent per year or more. So turn down the talking heads at CNBC, pop open a beer, and utter some prayers of thanks.

Please fill out the subscription box on KerryLutz.com to receive your free Financial Survival Toolkit.


This posting includes an audio/video/photo media file: Download Now

Kingsgate Consolidated Profits Soar as CEO Sees Good Value in Silver

Posted: 01 Mar 2012 08:30 AM PST

Australian based mining company Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd. (OTC:KSKGY and ASX:KCN) reported its latest half year results for 2011 on Wednesday, February 22nd. The firm's net profits attributable to members grew by a whopping 192 percent to $33.988 million for the half-year period that concluded on December 31st of 2011 compared with the $11.581 million result seen for the same period of 2010. The firm's directors declared a 10 cent dividend to reward shareholders of record as of March 6th, 2012, payable on March 21st. Kingsgate Operates Chatree and Challenger Gold Mines Kingsgate is the second largest publically traded mining company in Australia, and it operates the low cost Chatree gold mine in central Thailand and the Challenger underground gold mine in in Southern Australia. The firm estimated that its gold production at those locations for the upcoming half year period would be on the order of 115,000 to 125,000 ounces at Chatree and 95,000 to 105,000 ounces...


Hecla Mining Announces Record Revenues, Resources and Reserves

Posted: 01 Mar 2012 08:29 AM PST

February 22nd, 2012 By Dr. Jeffrey Lewis Hecla Mining Co. (NYSE: HL), the largest primary silver producer in the United States, announced its fourth quarter and full year earnings results on Tuesday, February 21st, showing record yearly revenue of $477.6 million for the 12 month period ending on December 31st of 2011. In addition, the mining concern showed net income for the year of $150.6 million, which represents earnings of $0.54 per share, and it reported a gross profit of $265 million. For its fourth quarter, Hecla showed net income of $18.4 million that amounts to diluted earnings after adjustments of $0.06 per share. Although the consensus estimate among market analysts had been for a slightly higher result of $0.07 earnings per share, according to a survey performed by Zacks Investment Research, the stock market responded positively to the earnings news. Hecla's shares traded higher at the open after Tuesday's announcement, rallying from the $5.02 lev...


Keeping the Faith After Gold's Plunge

Posted: 01 Mar 2012 08:28 AM PST

March 1, 2012 [LIST] [*]The day the Dow dropped 650 points — which it didn't... but gold did... therein lies the Leap Day lesson... [*]Chris Mayer on a beaten-down sector...and spectacular growth... headlines be damned! [*]What's behind a shifting rare-earth landscape? Mr. King eyes profits... [*]Monitoring inflation "Fed-style"... 24/7 medical diagnostics in your pocket... a $5 million lawsuit over a half-tank of gas (and how you're gonna pay)... and more! [/LIST] Imagine if the Dow had dropped 650 points yesterday. It would have been the lead story on every newscast and website. It would have trumped the uprising in Syria, the presidential race, even Justin Bieber's 18th birthday. In percentage terms, gold fell an equivalent amount yesterday... and outside of the sliver of the population that pays attention to such things, no one noticed. The fact hardly anyone's paying attention makes a huge difference. We'll come back to that momentarily... From a h...


Gold Seeker Closing Report: Gold and Silver Gain Over 1% and 2%

Posted: 01 Mar 2012 08:26 AM PST

Gold rebounded about 2% in Asia from yesterday's nearly $100 loss before it fell back to $1702.63 by a little before 9AM EST, but it then climbed to as high as $1726.00 in New York and ended with a gain of 1.41%. Silver rose to as high as $35.637 and ended with a gain of 2.7%.


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