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Sunday, January 1, 2012

Gold World News Flash

Gold World News Flash


International Forecaster December 2011 (#8) - Gold, Silver, Economy + More

Posted: 02 Jan 2012 05:00 AM PST

Public institutions worldwide are fighting ratings downgrades foremost of which is France, the US and, of course, sovereigns and banks worldwide. Miracles of miracles finally the rating agencies are doing their jobs. The caper they pulled in collusion with Wall Street in rating mortgage securities should have put them all in jail for life. We'll call these efforts makeup time for their previous sins, which they never were prosecuted for.


Calling the Bottom in Precious Metals

Posted: 02 Jan 2012 04:00 AM PST

Now that my subscribers and I are fully into bullish positions in the precious metals sector, I hope they won't mind me telling you that I called for the bottom in Gold stocks on Thursday morning (12/29). I believe the bottom is in for silver, Gold and their respective stocks, although the metals may need a re-test of the bottom while I think Gold or silver stocks (as sectors) will only make higher lows on any corrective action.


Where the Gold Price is heading in 2012 ?

Posted: 31 Dec 2011 04:38 PM PST

You Should not be worried about the Gold price...

[[ This is a content summary only. Visit my website http://goldbasics.blogspot.com for full Content ]]


This posting includes an audio/video/photo media file: Download Now

The Dollar Vigilante's Year in Review

Posted: 31 Dec 2011 03:16 PM PST

Another year has zoomed by. And what a year it was! Read More...



Gold in 2012

Posted: 31 Dec 2011 12:00 PM PST

We all understand that the future is unknowable. Events yet to come cannot be predicted. Nevertheless, the outlook for 2012 is probably set in stone, and the reason is simple. The financial crisis ...


China Gold Exchange Restrictions Will Cut Risk, Not Appetite

Posted: 31 Dec 2011 11:10 AM PST

"As I said before, I wouldn't read a lot into yesterday's price action in both gold and silver...but it's hard not to." [COLOR=#7f4028] Yesterday in Gold and Silver The gold price spent the entire trading day on Friday in the black, with the high of the day coming shortly before lunch in New York. From there it got sold off about a percent by the close of Comex trading at 1:30 p.m. Eastern time...and then did nothing into the close of electronic trading at 5:15 p.m. Eastern time. The spot gold price closed at $1,566.40...up $20.90 on the day. Not surp...


Powerful Rebound In Gold and Silver Prices About To Begin?

Posted: 31 Dec 2011 10:04 AM PST

by Jeb Handwerger, via SilverBearCafe.com:

Rarely has such technical destruction been visited on stalwart sectors such as gold, silver and the mining stocks(GDX). The silver charts reveal technical damage not seen since the destruction of 1984. It can only be conjecture that can account for a once in a generation obliteration of a once hallowed sector. It must be remembered that both gold(GLD) and silver(SLV) had major moves earlier this year to the $1900 and $50, surpassing overhead resistance and reaching overbought territory. This may be the reason why the decline in precious metal is overextended and extremely oversold. We urged caution back in April for silver and in September for gold. Silver has characteristically corrected close to 50% from its highs, while gold has fallen less than 20%. Pullbacks are normal and restorative in a secular bull market in precious metals especially after explosive moves.

Unless such technical destruction is reflective of an upcoming geopolitical news development, we must look for more mundane causes. When the woods are ablaze, the fire obliterates the sequoias at the same time they incinerate the pines. The recent declines may be the result of a rush to the U.S. dollar (UUP) and treasuries (TLT).

Read More @ SilverBearCafe.com


I Now Have 2 Million Reasons to Be Bullish on Gold

Posted: 31 Dec 2011 09:44 AM PST

by Peter Grandich:

"He who does not bellow the truth when he knows the truth makes himself the accomplice of liars and forgers." — Charles Peguy

If there's been one overriding theme I've stressed from when I turned bullish on gold at just over $300 in the spring of 2003, it's that the financial industry and most of those who report about it and the markets hate gold. I said it's foolhardy to expect there ever to be a universally bullish view for gold, and that we should appreciate that there will always be forces whose desire is for gold's price to be suppressed, lower than where it would be in a free market. Ironically, those who support such price suppression are the ones who call people like me and the good people at GATA tin-foil hat wearers, fanatics, or worse.

While most of those who may be bearish on gold now or have been so recently are legitimate forecasters who just see the cup as half empty versus my view of half full, there is one human being (as a Christian, I'm desperately trying to remember that we're all God's children, even though this person makes me think that God must experiment at times or at least have a good sense of humor) whom I have called the Tokyo Rose of Gold Forecasters and who has not only had the worst track record since the mother of all gold bull markets began about a decade ago but who also twists facts and tries to change his own history to conceal that he has been anything but bullish and that he has missed the greatest run in gold's history. I'm speaking of Kitco gold market analyst Jon Nadler.

A few weeks ago, I issued this challenge:

Read More @ Grandich.com


Peter Schiff on Gold in 2012

Posted: 31 Dec 2011 09:42 AM PST


Bearish on Gold and Silver? What Fools These Mortals Be!

Posted: 31 Dec 2011 09:37 AM PST

Mark J. Lundeen [EMAIL="Mlundeen2@Comcast.net"]Mlundeen2@Comcast.net[/EMAIL] 30 December 2011 I'm having difficulty dealing with current market sentiment for gold and silver. The idiot-box keeps pounding into my head that gold and silver are sensitive to downturns in the global economy, and precious metals are not a safe harbor from the storm during good times or bad. What a frightening thought that is, when we consider that from 1980-2000, as the economy roared upwards, and the latest price quote for Microsoft or Intel was the price for peace of mind, gold and silver saw bear-market declines of 69% and 91%. These idiot-box "experts" must be expecting even worse declines in gold and silver as the global bond and stock markets melt-down sometime in the next few years. Maybe the real problem with gold and silver isn't that the economy goes up or down, but as the Federal Reserve approaches its centennial, there still is an economy? The problem with that theory is...


“He bought $889,695.90 (U.S.) in gold bullion, in the form of 15-kilogram bars. He then drove away and stored them at his office at 789 Don Mills Rd., near Eglinton Ave.”

Posted: 31 Dec 2011 09:08 AM PST

Mystery of the missing $2 million in gold bullion The head of an insolvent mortgage company unloaded $2.2 million in gold and silver from his car at a Rexdale parking lot at night, according to his own testimony, and handed … Continue reading


Two Lectures On The History Of Austrian Economics

Posted: 31 Dec 2011 09:01 AM PST

When it comes to the types of people in this world, there are those who say that the only way to fix the current economic catastrophe is to keep doing more of the same that got us in this condition in the first place (these are the people who say mean regression is irrelevant, and 10 men and women in an economic room can overturn the laws of math, nature, physics, and everything else and determine what is best for 7 billion people), and then there is everyone else. The former are called Keynesians. The latter are not. Only those in the former camp don't see the lunacy of their fundamental premise, a good example of which is the following. Luckily, the world is nearing the tipping point when the camp of the former, which for the simple reason that it allowed the few to steal from the many under the guise that it is for the benefit of all, is about to be overrun, hopefully peacefully and amicable but not necessarily, and the camp of the latter finally has its day in the sun. Naturally, when that happens the status quo loses, as the entire educational and employment paradigm is one which idolizes the former and ridicules the latter even though the former has now proven beyond a shadow of a doubt it is a miserable failure (ref: $20+ trillion excess debt overhang which will, without doubt, lead to a global debt repudiation or restructuring, with some components of "odious debt"). So for all those still confused what some of the core premises of the ascendent "latter" are, below we present two one-hour lectures by Israel Kirzner. We urge readers to set aside two hours, which otherwise would be devoted to watching rubbish on TV or waiting in line for In N Out burger, and watch the two lectures below. Because, contrary to what the voodoo shamans of failure will tell you, there is a way out. It is a very painful way, but it does exist. The alternative is an assured and complete systemic collapse once the can kicking finally fails. 

Part 1:

Part 2:

h/t ZH_Crown


Biderman's Daily Edge 12/29/2011: The Best Investment Ideas for 2012

Posted: 31 Dec 2011 08:40 AM PST

[Ed. Note: Related.]

from TrimTabs:

TrimTabs President & CEO Charles Biderman gives some advice for 2012 and explains why the past has conditioned Wall Street professionals to believe that economic miracles always Occur.


The Most Significant Developments of 2011 with Trends in 2012

Posted: 31 Dec 2011 08:37 AM PST

from Jesse's Café Américain:

As always the four great variables in human history are war, weather, disease, and religion.

Weather includes a wider range of natural phenomenon, and similarly religion includes secular movements such as fascism and communism that are essentially godless religions that involve the ordering of the relationship of the individual with a higher power that is not supernatural.

I do not address stocks, including the miners, specifically as I see that investment sector as extraordinarily risky. Tell me what the Fed and ECB will do and I will tell you how stocks will perform. That is the nature of this market.

As I am comfortable with stagflation, stocks most likely will not perform well in real terms. However, they could be targeted by the Fed as they implement nominal GDP growth and it puts more weight on selective inflation within the stagnant real economy.

Stocks tend to play the role of a variable hedge in my forecast and my own portfolio. The bigger investments are bonds, including cash which is a bond of zero duration, and alternative currencies like gold and silver, oil and income producing physical assets.

Read More @ JessesCrossRoadsCafe.Blogspot.com


Silver Ends 2011 at $27.86

Posted: 31 Dec 2011 07:49 AM PST

Making Sense Of 2011

Posted: 31 Dec 2011 06:14 AM PST

This article originally appeared in the Daily Capitalist.

This is the time of year when you are supposed to look back and make sense of what happened during the year and make predictions about the new year. A futile task if there ever was one. 

How can anyone make sense of a world where:

  • California prohibits the production or sale of beer to which caffeine has been added (They want drunks to fall asleep at the wheel?).
  • Katy Perry and Russell Brand are getting divorced (Boy, didn't see that coming).
  • Cheetah, the famed comedian, dies at age 80 (Some controversy about he being the "real" Cheetah).
  • Words like "amazing," "baby bump," "shared sacrifice," "occupy," "blowback," "man cave," "ginormous" "the new normal" are banished (Just when I was thinking about building me a man cave).
  • We are bombarded with coronal mass ejections—solar flares (see Harold Camping, below).
  • Harold Camping retires in confusion over his faulty Rapture forecasts (Poor Harold; he should try econometrics).
  • The Rugby World Cup boosted host country New Zealand's GDP (It must have been the additional beer consumption).
  • Brazilian shoppers boost U.S. holiday spending because things are cheap here (They have inflation and higher taxes—Bernanke and Obama, take note).

These data are just too confusing for me. 

I've said enough about the economy this year and I'm fairly content with my calls. I don't do those predictions for the new year any more. I did a 2010 forecast, and 12 out of the 15 forecasts were correct (not nos. 12, 13,and 14). My Megatrends article in 2009 is also pretty good, but I think I would like to re-write it to change some things in hindsight.

But here is what really interests me about 2011: Looking back in time since the Crash of '08, I am impressed by how closely our depression has hewn to classic depression models, especially the Great Depression of the 30s and 40s where there was so much government meddling in the economy. (I urge anyone to read Murray Rothbard's America's Great Depression for the best analysis.) For example, we continue to experience the following indicia of a depression:

The classic credit crunch/liquidity freeze. It was "solved" but only for Wall Street and the big corporations. Not much has trickled down to the masses. The Fed opened the money sluices in 2009 and stood as a lender of last resort to the commercial paper market and opened up the discount window to all comers (not only the Primary Dealers, but also the money market funds and others). But the LRBs (local and regional banks) are something else. Their loan books are still lean (they are looking to new, riskier investments to pump up earnings). What is interesting is not that there is a lack of money for lenders to lend, but loan demand is weak. If you read the reports from the National Federation of Independent Businesses, small businesses (<500 employees) aren't borrowing. They aren't willing to take on debt because of uncertainty about the future of the economy and the future of government policies.

High level of unemployment. This has been persistent and is not yielding to classic Keynesian fiscal stimulus nostrums—not that they have ever worked. The reasons for this are complex, but it has mostly to do with capital destruction. And that has to do with the concept of deleveraging/liquidation of malinvested projects. I believe we still have a long way to go before we can say that there will be enough real capital formed to restart the economy and create jobs. Real capital is not something that can be printed; it must be earned and saved. Let me put it another way: if there were sufficient real capital, we would be in recovery and unemployment would be much lower.

Declining prices. We have been having "inflation" in the Austrian economic theory sense (money supply expansion), but official price inflation measures have been modest and are now declining. If you look at the charts on True (Austrian) Money Supply, we have seen money supply expansion for most of this year and it has resulted in what most economists interpret as economic growth. What they are seeing for the most part is money steroids-induced growth. When the money goes away, the activity goes away.

Deleveraging/Liquidation of Malinvestment. We see persistent declining prices in major asset classes (real estate) because of the continuing deleveraging/liquidation of malinvestments. This is most obvious in the housing markets where prices continue to decline. There is also another factor and that is the oncoming worldwide economic recession has reduced demand for commodities and those prices are declining (See the PPI). To complicate matters, the current economic good news is a head fake, mostly an artifact of an increasing money supply. The effect of monetary stimulation is wearing off and economic activity is starting to decline (almost all measures of manufacturing and industrial activity in the U.S. are declining, but that is another article, soon). 

Contracting money supply (deflation). Money supply may be contracting again. I believe this will result in further economic stagnation, a decline in the stock markets, an acceleration of declining prices and wages, and more quantitative easing. I am not suggesting that QE creates positive economic effects, but after the current money supply expansion wears off (the above noted head fake), a decline in money supply will indicate reduced economic activity. The government and the Fed, as well as the central banks of the major economies, will fight this with every tool they have.

Failed fiscal stimulus. We don't need to say much anymore about this as we see our president on the stump in a rather desperate attempt to pump us up in the hope that talking about the subject will create jobs. Conventional wisdom still beats this drum in favor of more spending and more debt. But that won't fly with the Republicans, at least before the election. 

A resurgence of gold as an investment asset. Massive government debt and Fed money supply expansion has created an unstable future, a weak dollar, and a demand for gold and silver. We have seen major banks and hedge funds jump on the gold train, something that they never have considered before. As DoctoRx has written many times, gold and silver have been overhyped, but still remains an important investment in view of long-term economic risks. As readers know, he suggests waiting on the sidelines for a while longer. Much of gold's price depends on the status of the dollar, U.S. economic performance, U.S. debt levels, Fed policies, general commodities prices, and  instability in the rest of the world. Unlike FDR, citizens have the right to own gold and protect themselves against long-term degradation of their assets.

In other words, no matter how much the Fed and the Administration try to flog the economy, nothing has really worked. As much as Bernanke boasted about being able to prevent another depression, he and the Bush-Obama Administrations have done everything they could to make things worse. And the classic indicators of a depression are still playing out and reminding us of the inefficacy and incompetence of conventional economic wisdom.

What will 2012 bring? I don't exactly know, but I think it will be continued economic stagnation and perhaps even negative GDP, continued high unemployment, and more quantitative easing. (I will discuss this soon.) What will really be important in 2012 is the Presidential and Congressional elections. If the Republicans take hold of the presidency and Congress, then in 2013 we can hope Obamacare will be repealed, spending will be seriously cut, and some of the more egregious new regulations will be eliminated. I don't have a lot of faith in the Republicans to achieve real reform, but I think they will know why they were voted in and that they will have only 3 years to attack some of our fundamental problems (spending, debt, entitlements). If Obamacare manages to take hold, then I don't have much hope for America's long-term prospects.


HAPPY NEW YEAR! FT says gold to surpass $2000 level in 2012

Posted: 31 Dec 2011 04:40 AM PST

The Financial Times, which would never be mistaken for a gold advocacy group, has published a year-end optimistic outlook for the metal. Gold closed in the London market yesterday at $1531 per ounce. Having started the year at $1388.50, that puts the metal at a 10.3% gain on the year, even after the sell-off over the last quarter. The remainder of the FT forecast linked below is well-worth your time. FT sees the coming year as a mixed bag and one likely to produce its share of surprises.

Here's what it had to say about gold:

Has gold peaked?
No. It will take some time for gold to regain its reputation with investors after a violent fall in the final months of 2011. But ultimately that will be restored, if only because they have few alternatives while the crisis continues. Investors need no reminding of the risks elsewhere while US and European politicians dither over economic growth measures and their ballooning sovereign debts.

Most importantly, Asian and Middle Eastern investors – from central banks to sovereign wealth funds – will continue buying lots of gold. Though there may be drops along the way, the gold price in 2012 will surpass 2011's peak of $1,920 an ounce, rising above $2,000 for the first time in history.

– Jack Farchy

Link
_________

I would like to take this opportunity to wish you and yours the very best for 2012. 2011 was a very good year for gold owners, and 2012 — an election year — promises at the very least to be an interesting one. Gold, for all the years of double digit returns, still boasts asset preservation as its principal contribution. Ours is not to make a fortune on our gold, but to preserve the fortunes — small or large — we have already made. By seeing gold as wealth insurance, as opposed to an investment for gain, and by owning it in unassailable form, i.e., gold coins, we secure the advantage. Unfortunately, price volatility is likely to continue for the foreseeable future both up and down, but we should never lose sight of the real reasons why we own gold. In this age of uncertainty the old questions remain the most important: Should I own it? Do I own enough?

MK


2011 Greatest Hits: Presenting The Most Popular Posts Of The Past Year

Posted: 31 Dec 2011 04:27 AM PST

Continuing our tradition of listing what according to Zero Hedge readers were the key news events of the year for the third year in a row (2009 and 2010 can be found here and here), we present, as is now customary, the most popular posts of the year as determined by the number of page views, or said otherwise - by the readers themselves. So without further ado, here are this year's top 20.

  • In 20th place, with 70,324 reads, and confirming that in addition to all the vast changes in the financial arena (recall that the downgrade of the US was the straw that broke the camel's back and literally broke the market as well), 2011 was a year of vast geopolitical tensions, fears and overhauls, we have "Aircraft Carrier CVN-77 Parks Next Door To Syria Just As US Urges Americans To Leave Country "Immediately"." Needless to say, Syria will most likely be the unofficial conduit to a military escalation involving Iran. Unless of course the foreplay is skipped and the US military industrial complex skips right to the main course.
  • In 19th place, with over 71,000 reads, we brought to our readers' attention that in addition to being the year of outright denial, there were glimmers of acceptance that the status quo is failing and no matter what, a new regime will be needed... but only after a "global financial apocalypse takes place" - behold: "Step Aside BBC "Trader": Head Of UniCredit Securities Predicts Imminent End Of The Eurozone And A Global Financial Apocalypse."
  • If there was one person of the year award, it likely would have to go to Kyle Bass, who at 18th place with 72.5k reads have our readers "Some words of advice." It is not that Bass discovered something huge or ground-shattering in 2011 - to the contrary - he continued his slow, steadfast unraveling of the broken system, and unlike other flip-floppers stuck to his story. He was proven right in many ways in 2011. Will he be proven even more right in 2012, with a collapse of Japan to follow that of Europe? Stay tuned and find out.
  • The 17th most popular post, with over 73,000 reads came from an unsuspecting source, the BBC, which continued the theme of unexpected confessions from the strangest of sources, when an IMF advisors said that "In The Absence Of A Credible Plan We Will Have A Global Financial Meltdown In Two To Three Weeks." No credible plan was found, and the meltdown was delayed yet again, courtesy of last minute global bailout measures by the Fed, although the half lives of such interventions are getting shorter and shorter. How long will the next such bailout persist? Or that one after?
  • The hacker group anonymous achieved its fair share of notoriety in 2011, as the 16th most popular post of 2011 indicates, with just under 74,000 reads, most recently by hacking the server of Stratfor and exposing the personal information of all of its tens of thousands of clients. However, it first came to the scene earlier in the year, when it released a clip threatening it would "Brings Peaceful Revolution To America: Will Engage In Civil Disobedience Until Bernanke Steps Down." Bernanke did not step down, nor was civil disobedience unleashed, and many of the bombastic calls fell well short, although for Anonymous to truly make an impression on the public it likely will have to step up its game in 2012. Surely a hacked FRBNY email account or two would bring the group new heights in notoriety.
  • At 15th place we get another appearance by Kyle Bass, even if indirect this time, whose suggestion that The University of Texas take delivery of $1 billion in physical gold, was followed through, and resulted in a post with 74,500 reads. Oddly enough, Bass' advice reverberated in Latin America, where Venezuela's Hugo Chavez did the same by demanding the country's physical gold be shipped back to the country from the London cartel. It begs the question - just how much unrehypothecated gold is out there?
  • In 14th place, the always colorful, unabashed and very much outspoken Euroskeptic Nigel Farrage, and Herman van Rompuy nemesis generated 80,000 reads and came one step closer to being proven correct when months ahead of the Euro's 10 year anniversary, he basically confirmed that the Euro is a dead currency. Judging by the record number of EUR shorts in the last week of 2011, at least the speculators out there agree with him.
  • In number 13, with 83,500 reads, the broad population proved it was starved for fair and objective coverage of the first truly important event in the Arab Spring when the Egyptian system was toppling, as the dominoes of discontent, with or without the boots on the ground, were starting to drop, first in Tunisia, then Egypt, then Libya. Is Syria next? And if so, what about Iran? One thing is certain - the geopolitical space will be quite hot in 2012 as well, the main question remains: when will the Arab Spring become a European season?
  • Number 12 reminded us that while one of the main events of 2010, the BP oil spill in the GOM, may have been plugged, the fears remain after it was reported that "Possible New Oil Spill 100 By 10 Miles Reported in Gulf Of Mexico." That nearly 85,000 people were concerned enough to click on this post confirms that when it comes to offshore drilling in the US, nothing has been resolved.
  • At number 11 Jim Rogers proved his predictive acumen, when the former Soros partner warned the public days before siver hit $50 per ounce when he commented "On Triple Digit Silver And Issues Warning: "Parabolic Moves Always Collapse." Hopefully the 83,300 people who read the post took heed and booked profits. On the other hand, with central banks only starting to really loosen monetary policy and print in the end of 2011 (the ECB along expanding its balance sheet in 6 months more than the Fed did in all of QE1), it is guaranteed that Rogers' warning will be repeated at least once again in 2012.
  • Number 10 showed us two things: that things are never what they seem on the surface, and that the conventional media is a joke and a conflicted farce, better suited for comedy than distributing the news when "Former CIA Analyst Tells Truth About Libya Intervention On CNN, Hilarity Ensues." Nearly 87,000 readers took great delight to watch the unmasking of the Mainstream Media's stupidity and bias.
  • At number 9 was the news following the aftermath of the MF Global debacle, that instead of making liquidity more valuable, the CME decided to double down, and allow the same form of liquidity largesse that took down Corzine's house of rehypothecated cards, to be burden-shared by its own clients who had to endure the lowering of initial margins on all trades. That the CME left some first year clerk to draft the press release which simply said that that Initial and Maintenance margin would be the same, only to have to re-issue a PR the next day when it became completely unclear just what the CME's goals were- capital preservation or taking even more systemic risk -was just the cherry on top. This is what 93,000 readers discovered when they read "CME Goes To Collateral DefCon 1: Makes Maintenance Margin Equal To Initial For... Everything!?"
  • Wikileaks proved to be a bust in 2011, when it released virtually nothing actionable, although those who sifted through its archives, including the 94,000 or so others who joined in when the discovery went viral, found some pearls such as this one which disclosed "The Reason(s) Behind China's Shadow Gold Buying Spree" It was also the 8th most read item on Zero Hedge in 2011.
  • Next, we are reminded that more than anything, the biggest ongoing event of 2011 was the slow, methodological and relentless collapse of Europe. Only instead of the usual bullshit headlines and rumors, the reason why "Europe According To..." was the 7th most popular post, is that it took the same bias and prejudice that will never allow Europe to be the same integrated NWO globalist dream that the US melting pot has become, and flipped it on its head, exposing the sheer humor at the stupidity of it all.
  • If there is anything unique about 2011 (and as everyone knows by now, from market terms it is as if 2011 never happened), it is that it ushered some very unwitting people on the stage of global opinion, such as Ann Barnhardt of Barnhardt Capital Management. The 6th most read post of the year with over 101k reads was Ann Barnhardt, quite a colorful character on a normal day, saying that "The Entire System Has Been Utterly Destroyed By The MF Global Collapse." And while some may have taken her admonition for nothing more than a extremist joke, Banrhardt's warning that all modern capital markets are a scam is absolutely valid. Expect many more MF Global-type collapses in the future to merely validate her argument which caused Barnhardt to close down her own brokerage.
  • In 5th spot, we once again go back to Europe, this time by way of UBS, which took the art of Mutual Assured Destruction to a whole new level "Bring Out Your Dead - UBS Quantifies Costs Of Euro Break Up, Warns Of Collapse Of Banking System And Civil War." While the final outcome of Europe is certain, what UBS did is squarely put a bulls eye on its own back, confirming that should the MF Global trade, namely betting the ranch on global moral hazard, fail, and a Eurozone break ups follows, UBS will likely be the first bank to be shorted to death by the global vigilante squad which forgives any central bank insanity, but never forgets.
  • In 4th place was the resurgence of the topic of shadow banking, aka the $20+ trillion unregulated funding system, read synthetic uncollateralized leverage, which as we have been warning for two years, is the true cause of fear at the heart of modern capital markets. MF Global's unwind exposed two things: the rampant use of off-balance sheet vehicles known as repos (entirely unregulated), and the fact that any bank which wishes to commit fraud would simply go to the UK and do anything and everything perfectly legally courtesy of absolutely no oversight, until everything collapses in a smoldering heap. Zero Hedge also brought to the vernacular two other terms: rehypothecation, and its bigger bother, hyper rehypothecation. To find out why shadow banking will likely be the financial topic of 2012 read, together with 105,000 others, "Why The UK Trail Of The MF Global Collapse May Have "Apocalyptic" Consequences For The Eurozone, Canadian Banks, Jefferies And Everyone Else"
  • Third place goes to "China Proposes To Cut Two Thirds Of Its $3 Trillion In USD Holdings" which with 109,000 reads, shows that when it comes to the Nash Equilibrium between China and the US, the balance is always very tenuous. Whether or not China will indeed proceed and dump US paper, knowing full well it would likely be committing an act of self-destruction in the process, is unclear. We do know that China recently did in fact dump US Treasurys, and we also know that as Zero Hedge reported, in the past month foreigners sold a record amount of US paper. And without incremental demand for US paper from abroad, it only leaves the US, i.e., the Federal Reserve-Primary Dealer system left to monetize America's debt. Certainly QE X will be a topic of great debate and discussion in the coming year, if for no other reason than the US needs to fund another $1.2 trillion in deficit spending. And if there is nobody else willing to buy 10 Year US paper at 1.84%, Ben Bernanke will have no choice but to step in.
  • The first runner up for most popular post of 2011, with 140,000 reads, was the announcement that "Trading Of Over The Counter Gold And Silver To Be Illegal Beginning July 15" - while the argument given by the official entities was that this is to protect investors from predator brokers, many saw into this yet another attempt of capital controls, and a further limitation of how, where and why one can trade their precious metals. And while executive order 6102: "the return" it was not, at least not yet, once the year end hedge fund liquidation phase ends, and PMs resume their surge ever higher, we would certainy not put it beyond our leaders to be forced to eventually confiscate all the freely held gold and silver in circulation. It has been done before; it will be done again.
  • And our most popular post of the year, with 148,000 reads, was "BBC Speechless As Trader Tells Truth: "The Collapse Is Coming...And Goldman Rules The World" in which Zero Hedge brought FX trader, who contrary to attempts of discrediting, was not a member of some comedy troupe, Alessio Rastani 15 minutes of fame for no other reason than, in a few short paragraphs, daring to explain all the ways in which the system is broken, where it is headed, and who stands to profit from it all.

Unfortunately the trend from 2009 to 2010 and now, to 2011, is quite obvious: the world is getting ever more insolvent, only this time instead of banks, entire countries are or will soon file for bankruptcy. Which means that taxpayers of the other solvent countries will be on the hook to bail out the transgressors, until finally only one country is left standing. In the meantime any and all diversion tactics will be used to redirect attention from where it deserves to be: the increasingly more disastrous condition of the Welfare State/Banker Oligarchy status quo, and the inevitable warfare to follow: first currency, then trade, then all out.

While we will not predict what happens to the market in 2012 one thing is certain: the main topics discussed in the past three years will continue to dominate the airwaves and things will get far worse before they get better. As a result, five things that we believe will happen almost without a shadow of a doubt: volatility in 2012 will break all records, retail investors will continue to leave markets in droves, correlations will remain at all time highs, politicians will suckle more than ever at the Wall Street teat knowing well the party is soon ending, and lastly, central planning will hit unseen levels. Everything else is noise and soundbites.

It is on this rather grim background that we wish all our readers the best of luck and success in 2012. The final prediction for the new year we will make with 100% certainty is that Zero Hedge will be there each and every day helping readers expose the fallacies, fiction and fraud that the system is reduced to (ab)using each and every day just to kick the can down the road for a few more hours.


Weekly precious metals market review at King World News

Posted: 31 Dec 2011 04:07 AM PST

12:02p ET Saturday, December 31, 2011

Dear Friend of GATA and Gold (and Silver):

Bill Haynes of CMI Gold and Silver and futures market analyst Dan Norcini discuss last week's recovery in the precious metals as they're interviewed by Eric King for the King World News weekly review. Audio is posted here:

http://www.kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/Broadcast/Entries/2011/12/31_...

CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.



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Sona Discovers Potential High-Grade Gold Mineralization
at Blackdome in British Columbia -- 13.6g over 1.5 Meters

From a Company Press Release
November 22, 2011

VANCOUVER, British Columbia -- With its latest surface diamond drilling program at its 100-percent-owned, formerly producing Blackdome gold mine in southern British Columbia, Sona Resources Corp. has discovered a potentially high-grade gold-mineralized area, with one hole intersecting 13.6 grams of gold in 1.5 meters of core drilling.

"We intersected a promising new mineralized zone, and we feel optimistic about the assay results," says Sona's president and CEO, John P. Thompson. "We have undertaken an aggressive exploration program that has tested a number of target zones. Our discovery of this new gold-bearing structure is significant, and it represents a positive development for the company."

Sona aims to bring its permitted Blackdome mill back into production over the next year and a half, at a rate of 200 tonnes per day, with feed from the formerly producing Blackdome mine and the nearby Elizabeth gold deposit property. A positive preliminary economic assessment by Micon International Ltd., based on a gold price of $950 per ounce over eight years, has estimated a cash cost of $208 per tonne milled, or $686 per gold ounce recovered.

For the company's complete press release, please visit:

http://www.sonaresources.com/_resources/news/SONA_NR18_2011-opt.pdf



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Sunday-Monday, January 22-23, 2012
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Prophecy Drills 384.9 Meters Grading 0.623 g/t PGM+Au,
0.3% Ni, 0.15% Cu (0.45% NiEq) From Surface At Yukon Wellgreen Project

Company Press Release
Thursday, December 8, 2011

VANCOUVER, British Columbia -- Prophecy Platinum Corp. (TSX-V: NKL, OTC-QX: PNIKF, Frankfurt: P94P) has announced the final drill results from 2011 drilling at the company's fully owned Wellgreen platinum group metals, nickel, and copper project in the Yukon Territory.

Borehole WS11-192 intercepted 384.9 meters of 0.45 percent nickel equivalent starting from 9.45 meters depth. Included in this greater interval of continuous mineralization is a platinum group metals-rich zone with a combined platinum-palladium-gold grade of 1.358 grams per ton over 19.23 meters (nickel equivalent 0.74%).

The final drilling results for 2011 have shown the Wellgreen Central-East and Central-West deposits to be one contiguous body, whereby there is good potential to broaden significantly the Central-West resource base, which currently contributes only about a quarter of the current 43-101 compliant resource at Wellgreen. Overall the drilling program met with good success in expanding the resource to the east and south. The long drill intercepts suggest the deposit remains very much open in those directions.

For the complete drilling results and the full company statement, please visit:

http://prophecyplat.com/news_2011_dec08_prophecy_platinum_wellgreen_dril...



Biderman On 2012: Long Gold, Short EUR And Stop Praying For A Miracle

Posted: 31 Dec 2011 03:41 AM PST

Wearing a shirt that only a mother could love, Charles Biderman of TrimTabs offers his insightful perspective on the year ahead. Against the backdrop of a fog-bound Sausalito, Biderman sees only one path over the medium-term for Gold (up) as developed market central bankers print their respective fiat currencies and emerging market central bankers horde the one true sound money alternative. Just as we have been pointing out, he notes that the ECB has been QE-ing in all but name and the region faces at best a recession and at worst a depressionary breakup. Cost averaging into a Long Gold, Short EUR position is among his favorite ideas for 2012. Furthermore, he likes non-USD commodity producers in local currencies - implicitly long commodities and short the USD but it is his epiphany that a 'Miracle on Main Street' is hoped for by any and every market observer and media hack that rings truest. The hoped-for miracle that explosive growth (just as has always been the case post WWII) is just around the corner and will rescue us from the doldrums-like state we are meandering through is simply our heuristic biases run wild (together with an entire industry of asset managers and strategists who always see 10-15% appreciation ahead in broad equity markets over the next year). Until there is a total restructuring of developed market economies to the point where entrepreneurs are encouraged to act and where government spending is 'closer' to government income and not to 'wish fulfillment', there can be no jump-start to growth. Political will remains bereft of desire to do anything but kick the can down the road - and unfortunately, that can is getting bigger and heavier by the minute.

Happy New Year...


Follow-Up/New Year’s Resolution

Posted: 31 Dec 2011 02:30 AM PST

The following is automatically syndicated from Grandich's blog. You can view the original post here. Stay up to date on his model portfolio! December 31, 2011 05:49 AM As expected, Tokyo Rose again denied history and uses his classic I ‘ve nothing to say to anyone who calls him out for what he is, and more importantly what he isn’t. Just as his delusional mind has created fathom facts to support his constant bearish views towards gold for years, he has changed a $1,000 number into $1,500 despite no such number ever being used except by him. This so-called journalist also demonstrated my claim how the vast majority of his like operate when it comes to gold. To start a column by calling me a bomb thrower was not only unprofessional but a clear indication he wouldn’t know the meaning of fair and balance. All he had to do was do the least amount of real journalism to see what a fraud Nadler really is by starting with the fact $1,500 was never mentioned in any exchange....


“I note the frustration and anger of the anti-gold crowd. To miss 12 years of rising prices is enough to make any investor furious with himself.&#8221;

Posted: 31 Dec 2011 12:49 AM PST

Richard Russell – We are Watching Market History in Gold  


Must listen to podcast &#8211; shocker prediction for 2012 &#8211; UK's debt's worst in G20 with no gold &#8211; &#8220;If there is a crisis in 2012, it will be Sterling, not the Euro or Dollar.&#8221;

Posted: 30 Dec 2011 11:22 PM PST

Eric King interviews Jim Rickards


Gold Stocks Lessons Learned in 2011 and Implications for 2012

Posted: 30 Dec 2011 11:15 PM PST

2011 certainly was a difficult year for gold bugs. Gold barely held onto its gains for the year while Silver went parabolic and eventually fell to negative on the year. Mining stocks? Don't ask. The large caps (gdx) are currently down 17% on the year while the mid-tiers (gdxj) are down 41% and the explorers (gldx) are down 44%. In our last commentary we discussed the equities with respect to investing and speculating. By now, you should know that most mining stocks are speculations and do not perform consistently, even in a raging bull market.


Platinum: Fire Sale On The Rich Man's Gold

Posted: 30 Dec 2011 09:50 PM PST

John Lee writes: About 2000 years ago, Aristotle explained why gold remained the ideal choice of money throughout major nations and civilizations.  In words that are just as relevant today, he said "Gold is durable, not like wheat, divisible, not like diamonds, convenient, not like lead, constant, not like real estate, and best of all, as jewelry, it has intrinsic value".


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