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Wednesday, November 23, 2011

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‘China Will Collapse By The End Of 2011’

Posted: 23 Nov 2011 04:41 AM PST

Casey Research Host: Your original estimate for the collapse of China was by 2011… do you think (that was) relatively close?
Gordon Chang: I think it is very close when you see what is going on right now. 

-Gordon Chang, Forbes.com

Europe seems to be on everyone's mind the last few months. However, there is an elephant in the room that everyone is ignoring, and it's China.

For a while it seemed everyone was proclaiming that the 21st century would be "China's Century." Much like the 20th was "America's Century," and the 19th was "Britain's Century." Everyone just seems to accept the fact of China's ascendancy.

But is it true?

Gordon Chang, who writes for Forbes.com, thinks otherwise. His prediction is that China will collapse by the end of 2011!

read more

Too Big To Fail Is Too Big

Posted: 23 Nov 2011 04:40 AM PST

Arguably megolith financial institutions bear much of the blame for the financial crisis of 2008, and it is gargantuan Euro-banks that threaten to take the entire global economy out in the fallout of their impending collapse. Now the president of the Dallas Federal Reserve bank wants to put grossly obese banks on a diet. But do those who enabled the creation of mega-bank monopolies to begin with really have the political will to cut them down to size?

In a speech last week before the Columbia University Politics and Business Club,  Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Richard Fisher said, "[J]ust as health authorities in the United States are waging a campaign against the plague of obesity, banking regulators must do the same with regard to oversized banks that undermine the nation's financial health and are a potential threat to economic stability."

read more

Armstrong's take on gold confiscation:wise answer......

Posted: 23 Nov 2011 04:32 AM PST

Gold Buying Increasing in India

Posted: 23 Nov 2011 04:12 AM PST

Concerns Over Rupee Grow and Gold Buying Increases in India

by Roman Baudzus, GoldMoney.com:

Gold bars In recent months the Indian rupee has been under strong sales pressure. Last Tuesday it hit a low of 52.4 against the US dollar. Most emerging-market currencies have dropped recently against the greenback, and as pointed out by Nilesh Shah, analyst at Axis Direct, increasing numbers of Indians are looking to hedge against this depreciation by buying gold.

Hitherto, general expectations were that steady growth in emerging economies would be unaffected by imbalances in global trade. But many market participants no longer share this view. According to Shah, the Indian rupee has been under sales pressure for weeks, as investors expect India's economy to slow down in the coming quarters. Observers are also feeling less optimistic about the Chinese economy, which is struggling with serious problems caused by the hair-rising credit growth in recent years. The communist government and the People's Bank of China are trying to cool down the country's economy by increasing interest rates and bank reserve requirements. Though Chinese inflation has significantly receded from its late-summer record high, many investors still fear that China's housing market could collapse – as has happened in many western countries over the last few years. This would have drastic consequences for the development of the global economy and the commodity markets.

Read More @ GoldMoney.com

It’s About How Many Ounces of Gold You Own

Posted: 23 Nov 2011 04:09 AM PST

It's Not About Dollars. It's About How Many Ounces of Gold You Own

by David Schectman, MilesFranklin.com:

I'm wrapping up the daily around 2 a.m. and gold has started to make a comeback. It's up $7.90 at $1,707.30. Gold had been running ahead of last year's price by around $400 an ounce, but now it is only up by $330. It's down around $70 an ounce. It so happened that on November 15th I purchased gold at $1,779. Did I make a big mistake since if I had waited just eight days I would have saved around $80 an ounce? That's how it looks to people who try and catch the bottom. Now I want to restate one of the cornerstones of my philosophy on gold: "It's not about how much you paid for your gold; it's about how many ounces you end up with." Think "ounces," not "dollars." Well, how many extra ounces would I have been able to acquire if I had waited and entered closer to the bottom, at say $1,699? Let's check out a few examples:

Read More @ MilesFranklin.com

Decline in Commodities Is 'Artificial': Jim Rogers

Posted: 23 Nov 2011 02:57 AM PST

The recent decline in commodity prices have little to do with fundamentals and everything to do with the collapse of brokerage firm MF Global, says renowned investor Jim Rogers, who described the sell-off as artificial.

"With MF Global going bankrupt – which was a gigantic commodities firm – there was a lot of artificial forced liquidation of commodities. People have to sell whether they like it or not. It's artificial selling right now," Rogers told CNBC in Hong Kong on Wednesday morning.

read more

Jim Rickards - Who Will Bail Out the Fed & How High for Gold?

Posted: 23 Nov 2011 02:57 AM PST

With investors globally beginning to ask who will print next and how much, Jim Rickards put together the following piece exclusively for King World News.  One of the reasons Rickards has gained worldwide recognition is because of his ability to forecast, ahead of time, key moves by both the Fed and central planners.

Jim Rickards' clients include private investment funds and banks, government directorates around the globe in national security and defense and he has worked directly with the Fed and US Treasury.

read more

Cash for Gold in the Eurozone Bailout

Posted: 23 Nov 2011 02:57 AM PST

Ever since the eurozone bond markets first started to get the jitters, hedge fund managers have been whispering that gold could play a part in resolving the crisis.

Until recently this discussion has mainly been the preserve of gold market conspiracy theorists and backbench German politicians.

But now the use of gold to fund a eurozone bailout is coming closer to reality. Buried within a draft of the European Commission study on joint 'eurobonds,' reported by the Financial Times this week, is the suggestion that gold could be used as collateral for these bonds.

read more

“Disastrous” Bond Sale Shakes Confidence in Germany

Posted: 23 Nov 2011 02:29 AM PST

Euro bond sellers face lack of buyers

Investors confused over gold

Posted: 23 Nov 2011 01:43 AM PST

The owner of 130 of the 150 tonnes of gold bought by central banks in Q3, remains a mystery

Posted: 23 Nov 2011 01:37 AM PST

Vietnam PM orders central bank to stabilize forex, gold rates

Posted: 23 Nov 2011 01:27 AM PST

Eurozone Contagion Deepens After Disastrous German Auction; Silver Supply Issues

Posted: 23 Nov 2011 12:59 AM PST

Silver Supply Issues

Posted: 23 Nov 2011 12:52 AM PST

From ZeroHedge:

Gold is lower in all major currencies today except euros with euro gold having risen 0.25% to EUR 1,263/oz. The euro came under pressure due to the surprise collapse in new Eurozone industrial orders which led to Germany failing to get bids for 35% of bunds offered. The German 10-year bund yield rose sharply from 1.92% to over 2.06%. This is one of Germany's worst auctions since the launch of the Euro with the Bundesbank having to pick up nearly 40% of the 6 billion euros on offer. The German auction in turn led to further weakness in European equity markets. Asian equity indices followed US equities lower after news of a new US bank stress test and then the poor Chinese manufacturing data. Gold will be supported at these levels as the euro zone debt crisis continues to degenerate with the periphery increasingly affecting the core – leading to contagion. The bond auction in Germany is a disaster. If Germany has to buy its own bonds, it is frightening to think how other European nations, including France, will fare at bond auctions in the coming weeks. Gold remains possibly the most under-owned asset in the world, and definitely the most infrequently and poorly covered in the mainstream media.

Read More @ ZeroHedge.com

The smart way to buy gold

Posted: 23 Nov 2011 12:48 AM PST

It’s the Debt, Stupid

Posted: 23 Nov 2011 12:44 AM PST

from GoldMoney.com:

Financial news As reported in the London Telegraph:

"A survey of 68 top City institutions by the Bank of England found that 54pc of respondents reckoned the probability of a short-term "high-impact event" to be "high or very high" – a level not witnessed since the survey began in July 2008, just two months before Lehmans' tipped the world into recession.

Respondents said they feared a eurozone debt crisis and another economic downturn most."

This comes just two days after a warning from the British Prime Minister David Cameron that clearing the UK's deficit was "proving harder than anyone envisaged". Partly this is because the "cuts" that are supposedly happening on Cameron's watch are in fact nothing of the kind: British government spending increased by £22.8 billion during the coalition government's first year in power, with spending projected to increase by another £20bn this year. As ever with government, what is actually happening is a reduction in the rate of increase in state spending.

Read More @ GoldMoney.com

25 Bitter And Painful Facts

Posted: 23 Nov 2011 12:43 AM PST

25 Bitter And Painful Facts About The Coming Baby Boomer Retirement Crisis That Will Blow Your Mind

from The Economic Collapse Blog:

For decades we were warned that when the Baby Boomers started to retire that this country would be facing a retirement crisis of unprecedented magnitude. Well, that day has arrived ladies and gentlemen. Back on January 1st, the Baby Boomers began to retire and more than 10,000 of them will be retiring every single day for years to come. Most of them have not saved up nearly enough money for retirement. At the same time, private sector pension plans are failing all over the place, hundreds of state and local government pension plans from coast to coast are woefully underfunded, and the Social Security system is on the road to complete and total disaster. A massive wave of humanity is hitting retirement age at a moment in history when the U.S. economy is coming apart at the seams. We do not have the resources to keep the promises that we made to the Baby Boomers, and most of them have not made adequate preparations for retirement. What we have is a gigantic mess on our hands, and millions of Baby Boomers are going to find retirement to be very bitter and very painful.

Read More @ TheEconomicCollapseBlog.com

Who Will Bail Out the Fed & How High for Gold?

Posted: 23 Nov 2011 12:41 AM PST

from King World News:

With investors globally beginning to ask who will print next and how much, Jim Rickards put together the following piece exclusively for King World News. One of the reasons Rickards has gained worldwide recognition is because of his ability to forecast, ahead of time, key moves by both the Fed and central planners.

Jim Rickards' clients include private investment funds and banks, government directorates around the globe in national security and defense and he has worked directly with the Fed and US Treasury. Jim is also a KWN resident expert and author of the extraordinary new book, "Currency Wars: The Making of the Next Global Crisis."

Who Will Bail Out the Fed?
by Jim Rickards, Sr. Managing Dir. Tangent Capital

Read the Article @ KingWorldNews.com

Eric Sprott Swings For The Silver Fences

Posted: 23 Nov 2011 12:39 AM PST

Sprott Swings For The Silver Fences (Can He Deliver?)

by Silver Shield, Dont-Tread-On.Me:

Eric Sprott's PSLV filed a prospectus, as he is required to do, with the intent of purchasing $1,500,000,000 of physical silver for the PSLV. (Propectus.)

"Though there are a lot of factors at play, such as a volatile silver price, the recent movement could have something to do with Sprott's recently filed prospectus for a new offering of up to $1.5-billion of new Physical Silver Trust units. For the longest time Eric Sprott had been holding off on such a filing, telling the Globe in May that "there will not be an offering that negatively impacts the premium on the PSLV." (Source.)

While this is a very exciting development for physical silver holders, I remain very skeptical about if this will really come to fruition.  I believe  Mr. Sprott is well intentioned and really intends on doing the deed, there is just not enough metal to deliver and I am quite sure heavy pressure will be brought to bear on Mr. Sprott to stop this date with destiny.  The counter party to physical silver is a group of criminal men who trade the paper form of it to control the world's resources. When you read the true story about the Hunt Brothers, the Federal Reserve, SEC and Treasury had daily briefing on the Hunts and rigged the game to break their backs.  Mr. Sprott has been very wise not to use debt or leverage to make this move, but I know these guys are not going to give up the ship without a dirty fight.

Read On @ Dont-Tread-On.Me

Brazil to invest 2.4 bn dollars in gold production

Posted: 23 Nov 2011 12:36 AM PST

Much more than gold

Posted: 23 Nov 2011 12:33 AM PST

Al Korelin interviews GATA Chairman Bill Murphy at Silver Summit

Posted: 23 Nov 2011 12:29 AM PST

The Myths and Reality of Gold Confiscation

Posted: 23 Nov 2011 12:15 AM PST

November 23, 2011 There are a number of common misconceptions about the gold confiscation foisted on the American people by President Franklin Roosevelt in 1933. Most of these have been

Financial Times : Cash for gold in the eurozone bailout

Posted: 22 Nov 2011 11:57 PM PST

Gold Will Diverge From Stock Market

Posted: 22 Nov 2011 11:49 PM PST

Bud Conrad believes that Gold can reach heights others do not even imagine. He lays out his case in a  lengthy analysis for those interested. In Mr. Conrad's opinion, the case rests on the following: … until there are fundamental changes in government fiscal and monetary policies – and a recognition that the sovereign debt is [...]

Sprott Goes For The Silver Fences

Posted: 22 Nov 2011 11:49 PM PST

Don' Tread on Me

Sprott Physical Silver Trust Filing For $1.5 Billion Units

Posted: 22 Nov 2011 11:39 PM PST

Silver: Investment Demand Is Just Part of the Picture

Posted: 22 Nov 2011 11:18 PM PST

Keith Neumeyer: The Silver Market Lacks Integrity

Posted: 22 Nov 2011 09:18 PM PST

¤ Yesterday in Gold and Silver

After a bit of a sell-off in early Far East trading on Tuesday morning, the gold price began to rise shortly after 12 o'clock noon Hong Kong time.

Gold spent most of Tuesday in rally mode, with the odd sell-off interspersed along the way.

Once the price hit the $1,700 mark at 9:45 a.m. Eastern time, the gold price got sold off every time it attempted to break through that price level...and gold closed the electronic trading session in New York at $1,699.40 spot...up $22.10 on the day.  Net volume was very decent at 140,000 contracts.

The silver price was more 'volatile' yesterday...but every time that the silver price showed the slightest hint of going vertical [a 'no ask' market], a seller showed up immediately to prevent the price from going ballistic.

Silver hit its high of the day [$33.17 spot] just minutes before the close of Comex trading at 1:30 p.m. Eastern time...and then got sold off a bit.

Silver closed at $32.77 spot...up $1.13 on the day.  A very nice gain to be sure, but it would have certainly done better if a willing seller hadn't shown up a couple of times during the trading day...once in London and twice in New York.  Volume was a very respectable 34,000 contracts...only slightly lower than Monday's volume.

Here's the New York Spot Silver [Bid] chart on its own...and it's easy to pick out the two times that a seller of last resort had to show up to prevent the silver price from going vertical...as there are no legitimate sellers left in the silver market...at least not at these ridiculously low prices.

Here's the dollar chart and, for the second day running, was not a price factor in the gold or silver markets.

I was underwhelmed at the performance of the gold stocks yesterday...and a lot of day traders were quick to hit the 'sell' button the moment that the gold price peaked a few minutes before 1:30 p.m.  The HUI only finished up 1.60%.

Considering that silver was up three percent yesterday, the silver stocks did only marginally better than their golden brethren.  Nick Laird's Silver Sentiment Index was only up 1.64%.

(Click on image to enlarge)

The CME's Daily Delivery Report showed that only 9 gold and 2 silver contracts were posted for delivery on Thursday.

The GLD ETF had a fairly chunky addition yesterday, as authorized participants deposited 194,539 troy ounces of the metal.  But over at the SLV ETF, they reported a withdrawal of 972,844 ounces.

The U.S. Mint had a sales report yesterday.  They sold another 5,000 ounces of gold eagles...1,500 one-ounce gold buffaloes...and 40,000 silver eagles.

Monday was a huge day over at the Comex-approved depositories.  They didn't receive a single ounce of silver, but shipped an eye-watering 2,759,596 troy ounces out the door.  Obviously an authorized participant required this silver more desperately somewhere else.  Most of it came out of Brinks', Inc...and the link to the CME's report is here.  It's worth a look.

Here's an interesting graph that Washington state reader S.A. sent me yesterday.  It's Switzerland's monetary base...and the massive intervention to devalue the Swiss franc a while back is the most obvious feature on the chart.

(Click on image to enlarge)

Here's a short comment from Richard Russell that BIG GOLD editor Jeff Clark sent around yesterday.  Richard's been in this business for 63 years...the same age as I am...so I have a tendency to listen to what he has to say...

"My advice: We are moving closer and closer to what I call "survival period" -- the period where the magic of compounding turns into what will be the poison of compounding. This isn't a time for timing. This is a time for action. Reduce your exposure to bonds and all items that provide fixed interest rates. Similarly, reduce your exposure to stocks except the gold miners. Look to expand your positions in inflation-protected assets, especially gold."

"Those who are holding stocks in the hopes of the usual rebound are going to be terribly disappointed in the years ahead. This bear market is going to be unlike anything we've ever seen before. In the end my survival vehicle will be gold. I say again, timing is hopeless. Gold will have purchasing power and true wealth as almost everything else is destroyed by this unprecedented bear market. The US Government is now so loaded with ever-growing debt that it has become a mathematical freak. We return to different times, when rising interest rates will eat up the US government. With $55 trillion in assorted debts, the US is in no shape to deal with rising interest rates. We are in a state of reverse compounding, leading to inevitable bankruptcy on a massive scale."

Amen to that!

I have the same number of stories today that I did yesterday...and the final edit is up to you once again.

It's hard to tell [especially during the heavy roll-overs out of the December contract] whether there was a short covering rally in both metals yesterday.
Sprott Asset Management Files $1.5 Billion Short Form Shelf Prospectus for PSLV. Gold in India's coffers makes government richer. Cash for gold in the eurozone bailout.

¤ Critical Reads

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Margin Debt Soars By Most Since June 2007 Just In Time For November Market Rout

And so the wave of beta chasers has once again be caught flat footed. Following the 11% jump in the S&P, hedge funds, which are now down 2% YTD and getting killed with redemption requests, it was only natural that in focusing solely on performance and not on fundamentals, that margin debt would increase.

I borrowed this zerohedge.com story from yesterday's King Report...and the link is here.

Fed Minutes: Bernanke Firmly In Control Of FOMC, QE3 Coming

The FOMC minutes for the two-day November meeting suggest that under current economic circumstances the Federal Reserve will have to engage in a third round of quantitative easing.

Those who favored further monetary stimulus in the last meeting accepted that QE should be unveiled in the context of a "communications initiative," which means making sure that market expectations are aligned with the Fed's.

This story showed up over at the forbes.com website yesterday...and I thank Washington state reader S.A. for bringing it to my attention.  The link is here.

MF Global: Proof that the U.S. government is not able or willing to protect investors

I have traded commodity markets since the late 1970s. I have always been told — and I believed — that my money was safe, held in segregated bank accounts under the jurisdiction and regulatory supervision of an agency of the U.S. government, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

I have been lied to! My money was never safe. Neither was or is yours, if you are a futures trader. No matter what firm you use for futures trading — Merrill Lynch, Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley, Citi Group — your money could disappear even though the U.S. government has been charged with keeping it safe.

The saddest part of this story is that the media had not even identified the real story – that investors can be robbed with the U.S. government as the accomplice.

This story was posted over at the peterbrandt.com website yesterday...and I thank reader Norbert Wangnick for sharing this story with us.  It's well worth your time...and the link is here.

Insight: Farm belt rage over MF Global could chill markets

When the CME Group pledged $300 million of its own money to help former MF Global customers get their cash back faster, the exchange was likely thinking of customers like Kansas cattle rancher Tim Rietzke.

Fed up and frustrated with his broker's collapse and what he sees as the CME's slow efforts to help him retrieve $30,000 in stranded capital, Rietzke says his faith in the futures industry has been shaken to its core.

"I would be hedging some feeder cattle right now, but I'm not going to do it. I'm leaving them exposed to the cash market and I don't like that," Rietzke said.

Rietzke may reside far from the trading pit in Chicago, but he and thousands of other ranchers and farmers across the country are at the heart of futures trading.

This is another story that I borrowed from yesterday's King Report.  This Reuters piece is from Monday...and is a must read.  The link is here.

MF Global Customers Missing $1.2 Billion Denied Committee

MF Global Inc. brokerage customers, who may be missing more than $1.2 billion from their accounts, won't be allowed to form a committee to represent their interests in bankruptcy, a judge ruled.

Judge Martin Glenn, overseeing a hearing today in Manhattan Bankruptcy court, said he will deny commodity customers' request to form an official committee. He urged the trustee to work closely with commodities customers. 

"Nobody in the legislative history of this country thought about a case like this," Lewis Kruger, a lawyer for a group of customers, argued before Glenn today. "This case may determine whether there is a commodities market in the future. I have great concern about what's going to happen in this industry. This is a far-reaching case and it needs to have an imaginative resolution."

This longish story was posted over at Bloomberg late yesterday...and I thank West Virginia reader Elliot Simon...and the link is here.

Congress to Probe 'Every Aspect' of MF Global Failure in December Hearing

Jon S. Corzine, the former U.S. senator and New Jersey governor who ran MF Global Holdings Ltd. (MF) until the firm filed bankruptcy last month, has been called to testify at a House hearing on the failure next month.

Corzine, who was chairman and chief executive officer of the New York-based firm, will face questions "on the decisions and events leading to the collapse of MF Global" at a Dec. 15 hearing before the House Financial Services Oversight and Investigations panel, according to a statement released today.

This is another late-afternoon story from Bloomberg...and another Elliot Simon offering.  The link is here.

Gold & Silver Market Morning, November 23, 2011

Posted: 22 Nov 2011 09:00 PM PST

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