Gold World News Flash |
- Gold coins: The Mexican Libertad
- Richard Russell - US Dollar Collapse Will Accelerate
- Will March's Madness lead to April Fools?
- Gold and Silver and The Endgame for U.S.A Inc.
- Gold Seeker Closing Report: Gold Gains and Silver Surges 2% to a New 31-Year High
- BMO On A "New Paradigm For Silver"
- Adrian Douglas Demonstrates How The Fed Cooks Its Books (With PwC's Complicity)
- A Long Day
- Transocean Admits To Vocabulary Malfunction: Says 2010 Safety Wording "May Have Been Insensitive"
- Join GATA's Murphy at Vancouver reception for Japan relief April 21
- Sprott Physical Gold Trust Announces Follow On, Will Sequester Another $300 Million In Physical; PSLV Next?
- The Silver Price Slammed Through the $38 Barrier
- The Curious Case Of Bloomberg's Persistent Treasury "Demand" Disinformation Campaign
- MA Register of Deeds John O’Brien to State Treasurer | Stop Using Bank of America for County Deposits of $25 Millon a Year Because of MERS
- A World of Deficit Spending Without Any Changes
- Gold Bubble? Is There Currently One - I Don't Think So
- New Gold Takeover Re-Emphasizes Gold's Roots
- The Bedrock of the Gold Bull Rally
- U.S. To Reach Debt Limit By May 16: Geithner
- Ron Paul: The Fed's largesse undermines foreign policy
- Jared Sturdivant: Distressed Companies Offer Gold Lining
- Secretary Geithner Sends Debt Limit Letter to Congress
- San Francisco Rainwater Radiation 181 Times Above US Drinking Water Standard
- This time it's Lockhart
- Silver Leads the Metals Charge
- Goldâs historic undervaluation versus oil
- Silver demand huge, supply small, Sprott tells King World News
- The Gate of Tears
- Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts
- S Korea's foreign reserves rise to 298.6 bln USD in March
| Gold coins: The Mexican Libertad Posted: 04 Apr 2011 06:00 PM PDT |
| Richard Russell - US Dollar Collapse Will Accelerate Posted: 04 Apr 2011 05:44 PM PDT With gold and silver strong as of late, the Godfather of newsletter writers Richard Russell had this to say in his latest commentary, "(Bill) Gross warns that 75% of the US budget is nondiscretionary and is entitlement-based. With Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security, notes Gross, we are seeing $1 trillion deficits as far out as the eye can see. These three entitlements amount to 44% of Federal spending and their share is steadily rising." This posting includes an audio/video/photo media file: Download Now |
| Will March's Madness lead to April Fools? Posted: 04 Apr 2011 04:58 PM PDT Today was a quiet day in the market (even quieter than Bernie Madoff's trading floor on a triple witching Friday or a Money McBags column without the dick jokes) as investors bask in the fictitious and marginally above consensus guessed jobs numbers from Friday (and if you missed it, Money McBags dove in to the jobs report this weekend with all of the skill, finesse, and aplomb of Kirstie Alley diving in to a vat of Cherry Garcia ice cream) and get ready for tonight's highly anticipated college championship (and Money McBags is taking the Big East entrant and giving the points).
With Money McBags still getting over his hangover from cheering at this weekend's slut walk (though it was nowhere near as fun as watching this slut walk) and with news more non-existent than this second girl's vagina (and note to TLC, really? No, hold on a second and read that again, really? Money McBags honestly doesn't know if that whole thing is an April Fool's joke or way too much information but either way he'll be sure to tune in, though with the sound off, his eyes closed, and a barf bag close by) or people who give a shit about Katie Couric leaving CBS news (note to CBS, you have a news program?), today's column is going to be an old school When Genius Prevailed of 800 words and done because sometimes you have to play the cards which you are dealt.
In US macro news, Republicans released their first attempt at a budget which included cutting $4T by taking away many Medicare and Medicaid benefits in their attempt to become even less popular. Pundits are calling it "Operation Don't Elect Us" because even if the budget deficit is spiraling more out of control than Lindsay Lohan's career or Raj Rajaratnam's phone bill, cutting entitlements before the elections is one of the worst electoral strategies since Alf Landon's refusal to campaign and Alton B. Parker's refusal to be someone else. And as long as the macro news was driven by political gobbledygook, it is worth noting that President Obama announced his formal re-election campaign bid today and he promises to run on the strength of his accomplishments such as not being Bush, that super cool vegetable garden, and did Money McBags already say not being Bush?
In news you should care about if you've come to the award winning When Genius Prevailed (other than learning about Eva Green's NSWF nude scene in the new show Camelot, where viewers apparently "came a lot," and yes, that wins bad pun of the week so far), oil rose to 30 month highs as the Middle East remains in more turmoil than Southwest Airlines' planes (where fuselages have developed bigger cracks than the one in Kim Kardashian's ass) as Libyan rebels are being recognized as the legitimate government by France, Qatar, Italy, and a bunch of other countries who will run when it is time to support them. Rising oil prices obviously don't bode well for the Fed led recovery (even though energy prices don't figure in to the Fed's calculation of inflation which is as non-sensical as Snooki getting paid $2k more than Toni Morrison to speak at Rutgers since we all know she should have been paid at least $10k more because let's see Toni Morrison perform a San Diego Sandal while shotgunning a beer) which means the odds of QE3 rise by the day. The only other US market news was that the SEC is probing backdoor mergers which is bad news for both Chinese companies and Bree Olson.
Internationally, Japan apparently released radioactive waste in to the ocean (and Money McBags has seen this before and does not like where it is going), so it's good to see they have things under control. The nuclear meltdown and the fact that the Japanese economy has been stagnant since David Vitters was in diapers caused business confidence to sag more than Chelsea Handler's boobs as Japan continues to face more known unknowns than Magic Johnson's wife.
In the market, McDonald's said they will hire 50k workers which means there might eventually be one clean McDonald's bathroom, while semiconductor stocks fell after Nomura Securities said the sector is facing weakening demand, peak gross margins, and higher capital spending which is known as the pu pu platter of bad news.
Money McBags has plenty more today at the award winning When Genius Prevailed and for those of you who got bent out of shape over some of the saltier language in Money McBags' weekend Labor Force Participation Rate Report analysis, you have heard of parody, right? See, Money McBags though it was funny to take the slogan "It's the economy, stupid," and go all Aristocrats on it. For those of you who thought the language wasn't salty enough, well, there are plenty of archives to quench your thirst. |
| Gold and Silver and The Endgame for U.S.A Inc. Posted: 04 Apr 2011 04:17 PM PDT By James West MidasLetter.com April 4, 2011 I'm going to take a leap of faith and assume the reader harbours a sufficiently enlightened mind to be aware of several key facts regarding the world as we know it. The fatuous commentary suggesting gold is a bubble, gold has peaked, gold is a bad investment, etc shall from this point forward be consigned to its rightful place in the Horribly Flawed Thinking dumpster and discussion of same restricted to the hopelessly naïve (or sublimely clever and duplicitous) CNBC. Henceforth we proceed under the assumption that ; The United States dollar is in a state of terminal deterioration, and its continuing viability as a fiat unit of trade value is for a limited time only. 1. Gold and silver, as the principle monetary metals, as well as platinum and palladium (secondary monetary metals) will be part of the formula that determines the fair value of any future global currency. 2. The new global currency must be accepted by the entire G8 b... |
| Gold Seeker Closing Report: Gold Gains and Silver Surges 2% to a New 31-Year High Posted: 04 Apr 2011 04:00 PM PDT Gold climbed as much as $10.89 to $1438.69 by a little after 8AM EST before it fell back off in New York, but it still ended with a gain of 0.29% and closed just $5.80 from a new all-time closing high. Silver surged to a new 31-year high of $38.593 before it also fell back off a bit, but it still ended with a gain of 2.02%. |
| BMO On A "New Paradigm For Silver" Posted: 04 Apr 2011 03:32 PM PDT Courtesy of the Village Whisperer, we are happy to present BMO's latest comprehensive report on silver titled "A new paradigm for silver." While we suggest readers skip the part about price expectations for gold, silver and other metals, which at this point nobody save for the Chairsatan has any clue where these will go (and Bernanke's mind is made up for him by Jan Hatzius, so as always pay attention to Goldman buy/sell signals on PMs), the report does have a very extensive section on the key supply and demand drivers, which for anyone new to the metal, is a must read. Additionally, the report covers virtually all the key silver miners of note (incidentally for those wondering, the San Critsobal strike was lifted earlier today). In summary:
Full report: BMO New Paradigm for Silver |
| Adrian Douglas Demonstrates How The Fed Cooks Its Books (With PwC's Complicity) Posted: 04 Apr 2011 01:15 PM PDT It turns out that public and private US corporations aren't the only ones cooking their books, and that PricewaterhouseCoopers' consent can be easily purchased. Here is an excerpt from the Fed's 1999 minutes confirming that the books at America's central bank have been "fudged" on at least one occasion: "The Board’s staff and our accounting function at the New York Fed have worked out an accounting treatment to correct for both the $5 million and the $26.6 million errors. That involves reducing the accrued interest asset account by the entire $31.6 million, with an offsetting reduction in interest income on foreign currency investments. We will make that adjustment before the end of the year and spread it among all the Reserve Banks. Of course, for all of us with responsibilities for SOMA this is an embarrassing, indeed humbling, event. As a technical matter, though, I understand that PricewaterhouseCoopers is comfortable with the conclusion of both our accounting and audit function and the Board staff that this is not a material event for purposes of disclosure for any Reserve Bank." Perhaps PwC can come out, unsolicited for now, and disclose just how many other such borderline disclosable events it may have encountered while helping the Fed cooks it books in the past several decades? From Adrian Douglas Of Market Force Analysis Deception and Cover-up at the FED? The title of this article is borrowed and modified from the book “Deception and Abuse at the Fed” by Robert C. Auerbach.
One would think that there was nothing of interest to see here; just mundane approval of accounting. If we look at the transcript we get an entirely different picture that shows that the FED contemplated that there could have been fraudulent diversion of funds or errors in accounting in the famous Exchange Stabilization Fund (ESF) that has received so much attention from GATA as one mechanism for manipulation of the gold market:
What is the solution to this accounting problem? Just fudge the accounts! They reduced reported income to make the 31.6 million dollar problem go away. Here is a repeat of the relevant section:
It is shocking that PriceWaterhouseCoopers should be “comfortable” that this is not a “material event” for the purposes of disclosure! Clearly the system is set up to deliberately deceive the public and avoid any transparency. Full transcripts of the FOMC meetings are only available after five years…and what is the time limit before they destroy detailed records?...you guessed it: five years!
The FED clearly recognized the tech bubble and even made reference to the infamous and most speculative “South Sea Bubble”. But they did not want to do anything because it was making the whole economy expand due to the wealth effect:
Greenspan lied that they could not recognize a bubble in advance. They did recognize it and even compared it to the South Sea Bubble and they purposefully let it continue because it was adding to household demand, a large part of that being driven by housing demand, and it was all founded on companies that had no or little fundamentals that were commanding ridicules valuations that were bound to crash bring the entire economy with it. And that is what happened. |
| Posted: 04 Apr 2011 01:03 PM PDT
My Dear Friends, I made a one day trip today from Sharon, Connecticut to Ottawa and back today. This took me slightly away from today's action. In review, the intra-day action in gold is following closely with the dollar's trading. This usually proceeds a full lock up of trading direction and action between gold and the US dollar. One of the worst looking charts belongs to the US dollar. I feel securing the upcoming try at $1444 to be the go sign for the next angel. Respectfully yours, |
| Transocean Admits To Vocabulary Malfunction: Says 2010 Safety Wording "May Have Been Insensitive" Posted: 04 Apr 2011 12:55 PM PDT A few days ago Transocean stunned every sapient creature (with a memory just a little longer than that of momos chasing every up and downtick of Travelzoo stock) in the world after it announced it had achieved an "exemplary" safety record last year as measured by its total recordable incident rate and total potential severity rate, which in turn justified executives' safety bonuses. For those who may have forgotten last year's unprecedented Gulf oil spill, this is comparable to TEPCO announcing next year that management will receive record bonuses due to the company's unprecedented ability to avoid hazard, not to mention nuclear power plant meltdown and recriticality. Luckily, it only took a few days for the firm's PR division to realize someone may get very angry with the company's spin of events, and as Reuters reports, the company has "acknowledged that its description of 2010 as its "best year in safety" despite a blowout that sank one of its rigs, killing 11 workers and causing a huge oil spill, might be insensitive." More on this unbelievable vocabulary malfunction:
And while America continues to eat shrimp and who knows what which "most certainly" has far less than the legal threshold of oil content in it, the company's executives keep getting richer.
We can't wait for TEPCO's CEO to emerge from the hospital following his hospitalization for a headache a few days after Fukushima blew up, if only to collect his well-deserved multi-million bonus from a nationalized TEPCO, and for the general irradiated population to simply shrug its shoulders. After all, the conditioning treatment that nothing can ever change in the klepocratic oligarchy is now all too well embedded. |
| Join GATA's Murphy at Vancouver reception for Japan relief April 21 Posted: 04 Apr 2011 12:26 PM PDT 8:22p ET Monday, April 4, 2011 Dear Friend of GATA and Gold: Cambridge House, sponsor of the resource investment conferences throughout Canada and in Phoenix, Arizona, is seeking to mobilize the Vancouver-area mining, mine finance, and mine-investing communities in support of Japan disaster relief with a fundraising reception and networking party in the rooftop lounge of the Fairmont Hotel Vancouver, 900 West Georgia St., to be held from 4 to 7 p.m. Thursday, April 21. GATA Chairman Bill Murphy will attend and would love to meet there with GATA supporters in the Vancouver area. Admission will be C$15 and the event will feature snacks, cocktails, a silent auction, musical entertainment, and the rooftop lounge's spectacular view of the beautiful city below. Proceeds will be given to the Canadian Red Cross Japan relief fund. CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer ADVERTISEMENT The Gold Standard Now: It Can Work Today a dollar is worth 80 percent less than it was 40 years ago, and less than 5 percent of its value a hundred years ago. We deserve a dollar that is as good as gold, a dollar that will hold its value from year to year so we can be financially secure and our economy can generate more and better jobs. For most of America's history, our dollar was literally as good as gold. But on August 15, 1971, our politicians destroyed the link between gold and the dollar. They destroyed the foundations of our economic system. A new Internet site, TheGoldStandardNow.org, provides news and cutting-edge analysis about this most important issue and explains how the gold standard worked in the past and how it can work in the future. Visit us today: http://www.thegoldstandardnow.org/about/137-welcome-newsmax Join GATA here: An Evening with Bill Murphy and James Turk https://www.amsterdamgold.eu/gata/index.asp?BiD=12 Or by purchasing a colorful GATA T-shirt: Or a colorful poster of GATA's full-page ad in The Wall Street Journal on January 31, 2009: http://gata.org/node/wallstreetjournal Or a video disc of GATA's 2005 Gold Rush 21 conference in the Yukon: Help keep GATA going GATA is a civil rights and educational organization based in the United States and tax-exempt under the U.S. Internal Revenue Code. Its e-mail dispatches are free, and you can subscribe at: To contribute to GATA, please visit: http://www.gata.org/node/16 ADVERTISEMENT Prophecy Resource Spins Off Platinum/Palladium Venture: Company Press Release, January 18, 2011 VANCOUVER, British Columbia -- Prophecy Resource Corp. (TSX-V:PCY)and Pacific Coast Nickel Corp. announce that they have agreed that PCNC will acquire Prophecy's Nickel PGM projects by issuing common shares to Prophecy. PCNC will acquire the Wellgreen PGM Ni-Cu and Lynn Lake nickel projects in the Yukon Territory and Manitoba respectively by issuing up to 550 million common shares of PCNC to Prophecy. PCNC has 55.7 million shares outstanding. Following the transaction: -- Prophecy will own approximately 90 percent of PCNC. -- PCNC will consolidate its share capital on a 10 old for one new basis. -- Prophecy will change its name to Prophecy Coal Corp. and PCNC will be renamed Prophecy Platinum Corp. -- Prophecy intends to distribute half of its PCNC shares to shareholders pro-rata in accordance with their holdings. Based on the closing price of the common shares of PCNC on January 17, $0.195 per share, the gross value of the transaction is $107,250,000. For the complete announcement, please visit: http://prophecyresource.com/news_2011_jan18.php |
| Posted: 04 Apr 2011 11:54 AM PDT It's a good thing that unlike the silver market, which continues to be in backwardation (see chart), the gold market is fully supplied. Otherwise the just released news from Sprott Asset Management that his Physical Gold Trust (PHYS) is pursuing a $300 million follow on would finally send gold breaking out to $2,000, where it will be sooner or later anyway. Amusingly, contrary to various other blogs' expectations that Sprott is top ticking the market with selling shareholder shelf statements, Sprott is doing just the opposite: "certain funds managed by Sprott Asset Management LP, have agreed to purchase no less than $115 million of Units in this Offering." So yeah, no top tick here. Still, the news that Sprott is about to mop up another $300 million in physical gold from the market will likely send gold quite higher. It appears to have already had an impact on silver, which jumped by $20 cents to another 31 year high on the news, as the market now likely expects a follow on offering in PSLV as well imminently. The press release TORONTO, ONTARIO--(Marketwire - 04/04/11) - Sprott Physical Gold Trust (the "Trust") (TSX:PHY.U - News)(NYSE:PHYS - News), a trust created to invest and hold substantially all of its assets in physical gold bullion and managed by Sprott Asset Management LP, announced today that it has launched a follow-on offering of transferable, redeemable units of the Trust ("Units") in an aggregate amount of up to $340 million at a price of $12.54 per unit (the "Offering"). Certain lead investors, including certain funds managed by Sprott Asset Management LP, have agreed to purchase no less than $115 million of Units in this Offering. The Trust will use the net proceeds of this Offering to acquire physical gold bullion in accordance with the Trust's objective and subject to the Trust's investment and operating restrictions described in the prospectus related to this Offering. Under the trust agreement governing the Trust, the net proceeds of the Offering per unit must be not less than 100% of the most recently calculated net asset value per Unit of the Trust prior to, or upon determination of, pricing of the offering. The Units are listed on the NYSE Arca and the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbols "PHYS" and "PHY.U", respectively. The Offering will be made simultaneously in the United States and Canada by Morgan Stanley and RBC Capital Markets. |
| The Silver Price Slammed Through the $38 Barrier Posted: 04 Apr 2011 11:38 AM PDT Gold Price Close Today : 1432.20 Change : 4.10 or 0.3% Silver Price Close Today : 38.484 Change : 74.7 cents or 2.0% Gold Silver Ratio Today : 37.22 Change : -0.628 or -1.7% Silver Gold Ratio Today : 0.02687 Change : 0.000446 or 1.7% Platinum Price Close Today : 1785.00 Change : 16.50 or 0.9% Palladium Price Close Today : 783.80 Change : 9.30 or 1.2% S&P 500 : 1,332.87 Change : 0.46 or 0.0% Dow In GOLD$ : $178.98 Change : $ (0.16) or -0.1% Dow in GOLD oz : 8.658 Change : -0.008 or -0.1% Dow in SILVER oz : 322.21 Change : 0.54 or 0.2% Dow Industrial : 12,400.03 Change : 23.31 or 0.2% US Dollar Index : 75.90 Change : 0.043 or 0.1% Recognizing the difference between a "bubble" and a "primary trend" (bull market) is like a bakery quality control supervisor distinguishing between a "cookie with a hole in it" and a "doughnut." Lots of those who pose as market quality control supervisors, the gurus and experts, are having trouble making that distinction. Does that make a hill of beans to you? It ought to, since the first and most important principle of all investing is always align your investments with the primary trend. The GOLD PRICE perched precariously just below its last high, closing Comex $4.10 richer at $1,432.20, but without a new high close and a breach of that stubborn resistance at $1,438 under its belt. This performance is not bad, but it accomplisheth not the needful goal: breaking that resistance and running to new all time highs, particularly above $1,451. The momentum indicators I watch all sing a sweet tune of higher prices, and sound no warning sirens. The precarious part reflects gold's danger here. Should it fall through $1,410, then $1,400, it will have posted a double top, or potentially a broadening top. On the other hand, it might be forming a right shoulder on an inverted head and shoulders that promises to add $100 points to a breakout at $1,438. Gold will go higher this week, or, ICBW. The SILVER PRICE slammed through the 3800c barrier and is now gobbling up dollars 50c and 75c at a bite. Comex last saw silver at 3848.4c, up 74.7c (close enough to 75c to scare it to death). Yes, 'tis nuts. Yes, 'tis overbought. Yes, 'twill bring a hangover SOMEday. Yes, 'tis climbing higher still, bet thereupon. US DOLLAR INDEX didn't reveal anything today, just wasted oxygen. Traded flat between 75.70 and 75.98, but didn't violate last Thursday's 75.55 low. The mind says that if QE2 money printing influenced markets before it began, that its impending cessation ought likewise to influence them. Ought to send the dollar scooting up, and bond yields scooting down. Alas, 'tain't so. Bonds are dropping and the dollar has gone from catastrophe to catalepsy. What a currency! Sure proves the wisdom and necessity of central banks, doesn't it? A friend mentioned today that Bumblin Ben Bernanke the Banksters' Bunko Man had after 3 years been forced to reveal what banks got the bailout money. You mushrooms are getting mighty uppity, wanting to know what Bumblin Ben is doing with the dough he took from your treasury. You are a suspicious lot, when he was just trying to save humanity -- oh, AND the bankers' trillions. The euro, scrofulous European phony money that poses as an item of value, could make no headway today. This failure strikes at precisely the last high, and resembleth a double top. Euro must drag its scrofulous, scabrous body through that high, 1.4234, to disprove that double top thesis. Why anybody would buy that trash lies beyond my ken. I'd rather spend my money on a hog scalder or a jet engine or anything that might actually be worth something on its own feet. Gold in euros is building a long even-sided triangle and when it breaks out will shoot a long ways, up or down. Right now its skating along its 200 DMA, so that breakout ought to point toward the moon, and not earth's nether regions. STOCKS, stocks, stocks! What can I say about the investment I love to hate on the day it makes a new high for the move? I'll think of something -- acid. Friday and Monday stocks bumped along and around that 12,400 ceiling. Maybe it will stymie them, or maybe it will break through. Either way, this does not look like the chart of a market I want to own. Why is it levitating? I don't know, but suspect a monetary magician behind the performance, along with lots of legerdemain and illusion. To the chase! Why would one want to own stocks anyway? Because they represent a stream of future revenue. Aha! But what if the future goes dry, and the revenue floweth not? What is, as many have done, they stop paying dividends and keep the future for themselves? Finally, what if Providence locks them into a primary down trend (bear market)? Why, in that case, I wouldn't any more want to own them than I want to own your case of athlete's foot. But reason? Reason? Nay, all reason to own stocks hath fallen in the streets, and been run over by a garbage truck. The Dow today closed at 12,400.03, up 23.31. S&P500 found enough new buyers to add a magnificent 0.46 [sic] point. Can y'all spell d-o-u-b-l-e-t-o-p? Or d-a-w-g? Argentum et aurum comparenda sunt -- -- Gold and silver must be bought. - Franklin Sanders, The Moneychanger The-MoneyChanger.com © 2011, The Moneychanger. May not be republished in any form, including electronically, without our express permission. To avoid confusion, please remember that the comments above have a very short time horizon. Always invest with the primary trend. Gold's primary trend is up, targeting at least $3,130.00; silver's primary is up targeting 16:1 gold/silver ratio or $195.66; stocks' primary trend is down, targeting Dow under 2,900 and worth only one ounce of gold; US$ or US$-denominated assets, primary trend down; real estate in a bubble, primary trend way down. Whenever I write "Stay out of stocks" readers inevitably ask, "Do you mean precious metals mining stocks, too?" No, I don't. |
| The Curious Case Of Bloomberg's Persistent Treasury "Demand" Disinformation Campaign Posted: 04 Apr 2011 11:10 AM PDT Less than a month ago, Zero Hedge thoroughly debunked an article written by Bloomberg's Susanne Walker and Wes Goodman, titled "China Adding to $1 Trillion of U.S. Debt Caps Rise in Rates" which had one purpose only: to eliminate public panic arising from the imminent removal of the Fed as a buyer of first and last resort, and attempt to convince naive readers that China is in fact adding to its holdings. To wit: "China, the largest investor in U.S. government debt after the Fed, increased longer-term notes and bonds by 39 percent to $1.145 trillion in December from a year earlier." As we showed previously this statement was based on a completely unfactual apples to oranges comparison of pre and post-revision TIC data, further showing that if the authors had conducted their analysis properly it would have actually shown a decline in China's Treasury holdings in a 12 month period. Then in a development so ironic it would even make Alanis Morisette blush, we disclosed the very next day that Bill Gross dumped all of his Treasury holdings, pending an answer to the question of "who will buy US Treasurys once the Fed stops monetizing", immediately refuting Bloomberg's "all is rosy on the foreign front" argument, reinforcing our thesis that with the Fed gone, foreigners will promptly cease to co-bid alongside the bidder of biggest resort, and in essence ending any artificial attempts to make the US paper demand picture any better. Yet today, less than a month later, Bloomberg's Daniel Kruger, in an article titled "Fed Exit Means No Pain for Obama as Foreigners Buy 60% of Notes at Auction" repeats precisely the same mistakes as his colleagues which we have since corrected, cheery picks some other data, and goes on to present a goalseeked argument to a conclusion that once again appears to have come from "above." Frankly, we are stunned by this persistence to refute Bill Gross' (not to mention Zero Hedge's) factually based view that foreign demand is declining materially for US bonds, and without QE3, it is very possible that it may disappear entirely. So allow us to debunk Bloomberg's second attempt (which we again hope is merely a function of misunderstanding of the subject material) at outright factless spin. First, Kruger repeats the same mistake as his colleagues Walker and Goodman did less than a month ago, and which we took the time to correct:
Since apparently nobody is aware that the TIC data is revised on a periodic basis, we will again present how the data looked like pre-revision. From our previous post:
Hopefully this is merely a trivial mistake, although by now we would think Bloomberg editor Dave Liedtka (who oddly edited both articles yet appears very much inexperienced in dealing with Treasury data) would have at least a rudimentary understanding of TIC data. Yet where the Kruger article gets into cherrypicking data is what really disappoints us and makes us truly wonder about the objectivity of Bloomberg. Kruger says: "The class of investors that includes foreign central banks purchased 60 percent of the $66 billion in benchmark 10-year U.S. notes sold this year, up from 42 percent in 2010. Fed data show banks have increased their holdings of Treasuries to the most since December, as a panel of bond dealers and investors that advises the government says lenders may double their stake to $3.2 trillion in 2016." Kruger is correct about the take down of the 10 Year auction, however, he ignores to mention that it is skewed far higher due to the outlier February auction in which Indirects took down a record 71.3%. An in fact in during the QE2 regime (from September 2010 when QE2 was priced in, through March 2010), the 10 Year has averaged a far more modest 53.6% average purchasing rate (take down). And just like in late 2009, early 2010, the foreign take down for the 10 Year is starting to drop precisely on expectations of the end of quantitative easing (not teh plunge from September 2009 to January 2010). Next, and this is far more grievous, Kruger completely fails to mention that the Indirect take down of all other bond maturities is far lower than the 10 Year as the below chart demonstrates. Indeed, while foreigners have an interest in the 10 Year, it is more than offset by a lack of interest in the short-end of the curve. Average indirect take downs in 2011 of the 2 Year are 30.4%, of the 3 Year: 33.8%, of the 5 Year: 40.5%, of the 7 Year: 50.4%, and of the 30 Year: 40.7% - confirming that pretty much everywhere across the curve except at the 10 Year position the Fed is the primary buyer. Alas, you will not find this far less than flattering data anywhere in Kruger's analysis. But where Kruger's analysis falls completely on its face is when looking at Treasury securities held in custody for foreign officials and international accounts, or specifically the place where the bulk of foreign purchases are parked: this is also the best place to get information on weekly foreign demand for US paper, since the Treasury International Capital is not only inaccurate, but comes out with a three month delay. And here is where the data gets really ugly. Let's cut straight to the chart: The chart really says it all: in the three months of 2011, foreign demand has been the "flattest" since the start of the financial collapse. Comparing the change in holdings from December 31, 2010 ($2.618 trillion) through March 31, 2011 ($2.637 trillion) shows a negligible increase of just $19.5 billion, or less than $7 billion per month! This pales even in comparison with the same anemic period from last year when this account changed by $54.9 billion. We wonder if Mr. Kruger can explain to us how a $7 billion run rate in UST purchases per month will sustain the $1.5 trillion in annual debt issuance to fund ongoing US deficits. In addition, Mr. Kruger's analysis also completely ignores that in addition to gross issuance there are things called "redemptions" by the Treasury, or maturing bonds which constitute a cash outflow, an undetermined amount of which goes to Foreign lenders. Alas while it is impossible to break it down by how much Indirects received from the Treasury in maturing debt, we do know that of the $534 billion in gross issuance in 2011, "only" $339 billion was a net cash inflow to the Treasury, or net issuance. In other words $194.8 billion, or 36.5% of total, was redemptions! But this one will also not find mentioned in Mr. Kruger's piece, and this could easily skew the answer and explain why there was any interest in the 10 Year to begin with (or any other maturity). But all of this really is moot as it only looks at primary market analysis, whereas as we wrote yesterday, the bulk of the action is and has always been in the secondary market, where the Fed monetizes debt on a daily basis via POMO. And here, as Zero Hedge demonstrated yesterday, a whopping 83.4% of net issuance (which is the correct number to look at, not the gross, or not net of maturities) since the start of QE2 has been monetized by the Fed. No if, ands, or buts. And no spin by any mainstream media can change this stone cold fact. The bottom line is that when one removes the noise, the propaganda, and the misinformation, foreign interest in US Treasurys is dropping, and the Fed is a net buyer of more than every 8 out of 10 bonds issued. We certainly expect foreign interest to plunge once (if) it is definite that QE3 is not coming. Yet that won't be the end of the world: interest will surely be there.... At a price. We expect that in the absence of QE2, the 10 Year to be fairly priced about 200 bps wide of where it is trading now, somewhere in the 5.50% range. Which, incidentally, will lead to a complete devastation in the US housing market, a plunge in short-end yields, a huge bear flattening in the market, and the next financial system collapse. But something tells us Mr Kruger won't write about this particular story (nor will his "editor" David Liedtka be asked to edit on it.) In the meantime, Zero Hedge will be happy to consult with any and all Bloomberg authors on the matter of Treasury issuance, a topic which it seems very few there have much if any experience with. |
| Posted: 04 Apr 2011 11:06 AM PDT Just imagine if a few hundred more counties did this...
www.4closureFraud.org |
| A World of Deficit Spending Without Any Changes Posted: 04 Apr 2011 10:02 AM PDT Junior Mogambo Ranger (JMR) Terry L. sent me the essay "Fiscal Armageddon in the USA" by C. Banesh, who reminds us that "Sometime between now and 2012 the US debt will equal the country's Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the total market value of all the goods and services in our economy for an entire year." Nobody says it, although it is obvious to everyone that I will be a complete raving lunatic by that time, driven out of my mind by the monetary excesses of the Federal Reserve. The facts are pretty stark, in that, "The $1.65 Trillion deficit for 2012 will make the debt grow to 105% of the nation's GDP," which he calls "a perilous milestone." For some reason, perhaps my rising sense of panic, I suddenly wonder if he really means milestone, which it would be, or maybe he means millstone hanging around our necks, which it also is, or maybe this was some oblique reference to tombstone, in that We're Freaking Doomed (WFD), or that we should get stoned on the way to our tombs, or that st... |
| Gold Bubble? Is There Currently One - I Don't Think So Posted: 04 Apr 2011 10:00 AM PDT |
| New Gold Takeover Re-Emphasizes Gold's Roots Posted: 04 Apr 2011 09:51 AM PDT Streetwise Blog submits: New Gold's (NGD) friendly purchase of Richfield Ventures Corp. (RCVTF.PK) immediately signals two things: the company hasn't forgotten about its gold roots, and investors don't have to worry about the project pipeline. Despite a history rooted in gold, at the moment New Gold has a 30-per-cent stake in Goldcorp's (GG) El Morro project, which has copper assets, and its New Afton mine in British Columbia that is slated to move into production next year is also sitting on a bunch of copper. If any investors worried that the company was moving away from its roots, the Richfield acquisition will quell those concerns because Richfield's Blackwater project is dominated by gold. As for the project pipeline, New Afton is scheduled to move into production next year, which means New Gold will need something else to develop. That 'something' will now be Blackwater, which is also located in British Columbia, making it Complete Story » |
| The Bedrock of the Gold Bull Rally Posted: 04 Apr 2011 09:36 AM PDT Frank Holmes submits: Last week I had the pleasure of participating in a webcast for Bloomberg Markets Magazine regarding gold investing. It was a very insightful presentation, and I suggest you view the replay at bloombergmarkets.com. What struck me on the call was the negativity surrounding the gold market. Call it a bubble, a frenzy or mania, there seems to be a large number of voices in the marketplace who just are not fans of gold, whether prices are moving up, down or sideways. Naysayers started calling gold a bubble back when prices hit $250 an ounce and though gold's bull market has tossed and flung the bubble callers around for almost a decade now, their voices have only gotten increasingly louder as prices broke through $1,000, $1,200 and now $1,400 an ounce. However, gold prices appear asymptomatic of the signs generally associated with financial bubbles. For instance, we haven't seen price spikes. Complete Story » |
| U.S. To Reach Debt Limit By May 16: Geithner Posted: 04 Apr 2011 09:31 AM PDT The United States will hit the legal limit on its ability to borrow no later than May 16, Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said on Monday, ramping up the pressure on Congress to act to avoid a default. Previously, the Treasury had warned that the country could hit the $14.294 trillion statutory debt limit between April 15 and May 31. In a letter to U.S. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, Geithner said that while the projections could change, the Obama administration does not believe they could change in a way that would give Congress more time to raise the debt ceiling. Gold and Silver Coins Continue to Make HeadlinesThis posting includes an audio/video/photo media file: Download Now |
| Ron Paul: The Fed's largesse undermines foreign policy Posted: 04 Apr 2011 09:24 AM PDT By U.S. Rep. Ron Paul http://paul.house.gov/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=1845:... Last week I was both surprised and pleased when the Supreme Court upheld lower court decisions requiring the Federal Reserve Bank to comply with requests for information made by Bloomberg under the Freedom of Information Act ("FOIA"). Bloomberg simply wanted to know who received loans from the Fed's discount window in the aftermath of the 2008 financial market crisis, and how much each entity received. Surely this is basic information that should be available to every American taxpayer. ... Dispatch continues below ... ADVERTISEMENT Prophecy Resource Spins Off Platinum/Palladium Venture: Company Press Release, January 18, 2011 VANCOUVER, British Columbia -- Prophecy Resource Corp. (TSX-V:PCY)and Pacific Coast Nickel Corp. announce that they have agreed that PCNC will acquire Prophecy's Nickel PGM projects by issuing common shares to Prophecy. PCNC will acquire the Wellgreen PGM Ni-Cu and Lynn Lake nickel projects in the Yukon Territory and Manitoba respectively by issuing up to 550 million common shares of PCNC to Prophecy. PCNC has 55.7 million shares outstanding. Following the transaction: -- Prophecy will own approximately 90 percent of PCNC. -- PCNC will consolidate its share capital on a 10 old for one new basis. -- Prophecy will change its name to Prophecy Coal Corp. and PCNC will be renamed Prophecy Platinum Corp. -- Prophecy intends to distribute half of its PCNC shares to shareholders pro-rata in accordance with their holdings. Based on the closing price of the common shares of PCNC on January 17, $0.195 per share, the gross value of the transaction is $107,250,000. For the complete announcement, please visit: http://prophecyresource.com/news_2011_jan18.php The Fed fought tooth and nail all the way to the Supreme Court to preserve their privileged secrecy. But transparency and openness won the day. There are some 29,000 pages to decipher, but a few points stand out initially. The Fed lent huge sums of our money to foreign banks. This in itself was not surprising, but the actual amount is staggering. In one week at the height of the crisis, about 70 percent of the money doled out went to foreign banks. We were told that bailing out banks was going to stave off a massive depression. Depression for whom? We now know that the Fed's bailout had nothing to do with helping the American people, who have gotten their depression anyway with continued job losses and foreclosures. But now we learn that a good deal of the money did not even help American banks. In light of recent world events, perhaps the most staggering revelation is that quite a bit of money went to the Arab Banking Corp., a third of whose stock is owned by the Libyan central bank. This occurred while Libya, a declared state sponsor of terrorism, was under strict economic sanctions. How erratic the United States must appear when we shower a dictator alternately with dollars and bombs. Also, we must consider the possibility that those loans are inadvertently financing weapons the Gadhafi regime is using against its own people and Western militaries. This would not be the first time the covert activities of the Fed have undermined not only our economy and the value of the dollar but our foreign policy as well. Of course I can't say I'm surprised by the poor quality of the data provided by the Fed. The category of each loan made, whether from the "Primary Discount Window," the "Secondary Discount Window," or "Other Extensions of Credit," is redacted. Thus we don't know with certainty how much discount window lending was provided to foreign banks and how much was merely "other extensions of credit." Also, some of the numbers simply do not seem to add up. We are of course still wading through the massive document dump, but it does seem as though several billions of dollars are unaccounted for. As the world economy continues to falter in spite of -- or rather because of -- cheap money doled out by the Federal Reserve, its ability to deceive financial markets and American taxpayers is coming to an end. People are beginning to realize that when the Fed in effect doubles the worldwide supply of U.S. dollars in a relatively short time, it has the effect of stealing half your money through reduced purchasing power. Rapid inflation will continue as trillions in new money and credit recently created by the Fed flood into the commodity markets. It is becoming more obvious that the Fed operates for the benefit of a few privileged banks, banks that never suffer for bad decisions they make. Quite the opposite -- as we have seen since October 2008, under our current monetary system politically connected banks are paid to make bad decisions. ----- U.S. Rep. Ron Paul, R-Texas, is chairman of the House Subcommittee on Domestic Monetary Policy. Join GATA here: An Evening with Bill Murphy and James Turk https://www.amsterdamgold.eu/gata/index.asp?BiD=12 Or a colorful GATA T-shirt: Or a colorful poster of GATA's full-page ad in The Wall Street Journal on January 31, 2009: http://gata.org/node/wallstreetjournal Or a video disc of GATA's 2005 Gold Rush 21 conference in the Yukon: Help keep GATA going GATA is a civil rights and educational organization based in the United States and tax-exempt under the U.S. Internal Revenue Code. Its e-mail dispatches are free, and you can subscribe at: To contribute to GATA, please visit: ADVERTISEMENT Sona Drills 85.4g Gold/Ton Over 4 Metres at Elizabeth Gold Deposit, Company Press Release, October 27, 2010 VANCOUVER, British Columbia -- Sona Resources Corp. reports on five drillling holes in the third round of assay results from the recently completed drill program at its 100 percent-owned Elizabeth Gold Deposit Property in the Lillooet Mining District of southern British Columbia. Highlights from the diamond drilling include: -- Hole E10-66 intersected 17.4g gold/ton over 1.54 metres. -- Hole E10-67 intersected 96.4g gold/ton over 2.5 metres, including one assay interval of 383g of gold/ton over 0.5 metres. -- Hole E10-69 intersected 85.4g gold/ton over 4.03 metres, including one assay interval of 230g gold/ton over 1 metre. Four drill holes, E10-66 to E10-69, targeted the southwestern end of the Southwest Vein, and three of the holes have expanded the mineralized zone in that direction. The Southwest Vein gold mineralization has now been intersected over a strike length of 325 metres, with the deepest hole drilled less than 200 metres from surface. "The assay results from the Southwest Zone quartz vein continue to be extremely positive," says John P. Thompson, Sona's president and CEO. "We are expanding the Southwest Vein, and this high-grade gold mineralization remains wide open down dip and along strike to the southwest." For the company's full press release, please visit: http://sonaresources.com/_resources/news/SONA_NR19_2010.pdf |
| Jared Sturdivant: Distressed Companies Offer Gold Lining Posted: 04 Apr 2011 09:20 AM PDT Jared Sturdivant, portfolio manager and managing partner of O-Cap Management, LP, likes to find special-situation investment opportunities, which include companies that have "good assets and bad balance sheets." When he finds them, he digs deep to ascertain their value and looks for the catalyst that will turn them into attractive investment opportunities. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Jared talks about which companies in the metals sector look good to him now. The Gold Report: Jared, welcome to your first interview with The Gold Report. Could you share how O-Cap Management works? Jared Sturdivant: We are an investment fund, really a hybrid between private equity and a traditional hedge fund. We take a long-term approach to investing in public equities and pre-IPO private situations, as well as distressed debt or structured financings. Our investors have to be qualified. TGR: Because you delve into private equity, do investors have to commit for a predefined p... |
| Secretary Geithner Sends Debt Limit Letter to Congress Posted: 04 Apr 2011 09:17 AM PDT The Honorable Harry Reid Dear Mr. Leader: I am writing to update you on the Treasury Department's projections regarding when the statutory debt limit will be reached and to inform you about the limits of the available measures at our disposal to delay that date temporarily. In our previous communications to Congress, we provided regular estimates of the likely time period in which the debt limit could be reached. We can now make that projection with more precision. The Treasury Department now projects that the debt limit will be reached no later than May 16, 2011. This is a projection based on the expected level of tax receipts, the timing of our commitments and obligations over the next several weeks, and our judgment concerning the level of cash balances we need to operate. Although these projections could change, we do not believe they are likely to change in a way that would give Congress more time in which to act. Treasury will provide an update of this projection in early May. [source] PG View: The very first "available measure" Geither addresses is the sale of the Nation's gold. Of course, it's not a viable measure because it "would undercut confidence in the United States both here and abroad." No mention of the eroding confidence that stems from the ever-larger debt burden. Geithner reminds us that "Increasing the limit does not increase the obligations we have as a Nation; it simply permits the Treasury to fund those obligations that Congress has already established." What he doesn't say, is that the US has never met a debt ceiling it couldn't meet and ultimately exceed. According to the Treasury Secretary there is simply no option, the debt ceiling must be raised or the US faces a default. However, there is reason to believe that raising that debt ceiling, pushes us irrevocably closer to that same end result. At best, we may be buying some time. |
| San Francisco Rainwater Radiation 181 Times Above US Drinking Water Standard Posted: 04 Apr 2011 09:15 AM PDT Radiation from Japan rained on Berkeley, California, during recent storms at levels that exceeded drinking water standards by 181 times. A rooftop water monitoring program managed by the University of California at Berkeley’s Department of Nuclear Engineering detected substantial spikes in rain-borne iodine-131 during those torrential downpours. The levels exceeded federal drinking water thresholds, known as Maximum Contaminant Levels -- or MCLs -- by as much as 181 times or 18,100%. Iodine-131 is one of the most cancer-causing toxic radioactive isotopes spewed when nuclear power plants are in meltdown. It is being ingested by cows, which have begun passing it through into their milk and radioactivity has been detected. [Multiple Sources] |
| Posted: 04 Apr 2011 09:11 AM PDT [url]http://www.traderdannorcini.blogspot.com/[/url] [url]http://www.fortwealth.com/[/url] Last week I posted my views on the "Dueling Fed Governors" which can be found here. [URL]http://traderdannorcini.blogspot.com/2011/04/federal-reserve-confusion-i-dont-think.html[/URL] In that post I explained my rationale for what the apparent conflict between the various Federal Reserve Governors is designed to do, namely, keep the speculative community off balance and unable to lean too hard on either the Dollar or the long bond. You will recall that we were first treated to the "hawks" sounding the warning that QE was going to be coming to an end June 30 with one going as far as saying that the last $100 billion out of the proposed $600 billion in Treasury purchases would not be needed. That talk was enough to RESCUE the DOLLAR from crashing through the 75 level on the chart. In my view that was exactly what it was supposed to do. Then they had to deal with the fallout to the long bond m... |
| Silver Leads the Metals Charge Posted: 04 Apr 2011 09:08 AM PDT Spot silver continues to lead the charge of the metals and mining complex. The iShares Silver Trust (SLV) and Silver Wheaton (SLW) are in thrust position -- as is the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) and Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold (FCX) -- poised to rally to hurdle key resistance plateaus on the way to new high ground. |
| Goldâs historic undervaluation versus oil Posted: 04 Apr 2011 08:47 AM PDT The Wikileaks/Financial Times revelations on significant gold buying interest in the Middle East — notably Iran’s central bank, Jordan’s central bank and Qatar’s sovereign wealth fund — brought to mind the story of Saudi Arabia’s King Ibn Saud and his sale of oil concessions to the major oil companies. In payment he received 35,000 British sovereigns — a coin many of you hold in your own sovereign wealth fund. The good king understood the difference between the value of gold and the value of a paper promise. |
| Silver demand huge, supply small, Sprott tells King World News Posted: 04 Apr 2011 08:47 AM PDT 4:45p ET Monday, April 4, 2011 Dear Friend of GATA and Gold (and Silver): Sprott Asset Management Chairman Eric Sprott today tells King World News that investment demand for silver has been enormously underestimated even as much more gold is available for sale than silver is. But Sprott still expects gold to surpass $2,000 amid central bank money printing. Excerpts from the interview are headlined "Gold to Go Over $2,000 Because of Money Printing" and you can find them at the King World News blog here: http://kingworldnews.com/kingworldnews/KWN_DailyWeb/Entries/2011/4/4_Eri... Or try this abbreviated link: CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer ADVERTISEMENT Sona Drills 85.4g Gold/Ton Over 4 Metres at Elizabeth Gold Deposit, Company Press Release, October 27, 2010 VANCOUVER, British Columbia -- Sona Resources Corp. reports on five drillling holes in the third round of assay results from the recently completed drill program at its 100 percent-owned Elizabeth Gold Deposit Property in the Lillooet Mining District of southern British Columbia. Highlights from the diamond drilling include: -- Hole E10-66 intersected 17.4g gold/ton over 1.54 metres. -- Hole E10-67 intersected 96.4g gold/ton over 2.5 metres, including one assay interval of 383g of gold/ton over 0.5 metres. -- Hole E10-69 intersected 85.4g gold/ton over 4.03 metres, including one assay interval of 230g gold/ton over 1 metre. Four drill holes, E10-66 to E10-69, targeted the southwestern end of the Southwest Vein, and three of the holes have expanded the mineralized zone in that direction. The Southwest Vein gold mineralization has now been intersected over a strike length of 325 metres, with the deepest hole drilled less than 200 metres from surface. "The assay results from the Southwest Zone quartz vein continue to be extremely positive," says John P. Thompson, Sona's president and CEO. "We are expanding the Southwest Vein, and this high-grade gold mineralization remains wide open down dip and along strike to the southwest." For the company's full press release, please visit: http://sonaresources.com/_resources/news/SONA_NR19_2010.pdf Join GATA here: An Evening with Bill Murphy and James Turk https://www.amsterdamgold.eu/gata/index.asp?BiD=12 Or a colorful GATA T-shirt: Or a colorful poster of GATA's full-page ad in The Wall Street Journal on January 31, 2009: http://gata.org/node/wallstreetjournal Or a video disc of GATA's 2005 Gold Rush 21 conference in the Yukon: Help keep GATA going GATA is a civil rights and educational organization based in the United States and tax-exempt under the U.S. Internal Revenue Code. Its e-mail dispatches are free, and you can subscribe at: To contribute to GATA, please visit: ADVERTISEMENT The Gold Standard Now: It Can Work Today a dollar is worth 80 percent less than it was 40 years ago, and less than 5 percent of its value a hundred years ago. We deserve a dollar that is as good as gold, a dollar that will hold its value from year to year so we can be financially secure and our economy can generate more and better jobs. For most of America's history, our dollar was literally as good as gold. But on August 15, 1971, our politicians destroyed the link between gold and the dollar. They destroyed the foundations of our economic system. A new Internet site, TheGoldStandardNow.org, provides news and cutting-edge analysis about this most important issue and explains how the gold standard worked in the past and how it can work in the future. Visit us today: http://www.thegoldstandardnow.org/about/137-welcome-newsmax |
| Posted: 04 Apr 2011 08:47 AM PDT by Addison Wiggin – April 4, 2011
0:00 — Light Sweet Crude is touching another post-Panic of '08 high this morning. ![]() At $108.25, we're still a stretch from the record $147 price set in July 2008. But it's $2 higher than it was on this date in April of that year. So we've got time. 0:11 — No single factor lies behind the latest run-up as we begin the trading week. Rather, a confluence of events across the Middle East and North Africa continues to make the markets nervous:
0:24 — Yemen has little oil to speak of, but it sits on the eastern side of a narrow waterway crucial to the world oil trade, described in Byron King's "New War" scenario as the Bab-el-Mandeb, "the Gate of Tears." ![]() Yemen is home to a volatile religious mix — 52% Sunni, 46% Shiite. The dictator, Ali Abdullah Saleh, has ruled the place for 32 years. Seleh has been helping the United States wage a secret war against al-Qaida sympathizers since Sept. 11. So unlike with Libya, the U.S. government doesn't want to see him go. The problem is how Saleh is suppressing the protests — especially on the country's northern border with Saudi Arabia. 0:45 — "What Saleh's been doing," explains Nation Institute fellow Jeremy Scahill, "is taking sides with really extremist Wahhabi factions from Saudi Arabia and allowing the Saudis to go in and try to exterminate the Shiite minority inside of Yemen. "So the Houthis [Shiite tribesmen] see him as a puppet of the U.S. and the Saudis. "The U.S and the Saudis are creating a situation that could draw in Iran to defend the Shiite population there. The dangerous game the U.S. is playing in the north of Yemen could well draw in the Iranians because this is Shiites being exterminated, and it gets covered a lot on Iranian state television." "Saleh has lost allies," the BBC reports this morning, "Yemen's army is split. The government has lost control of entire areas of the country. And the economy is collapsing." 0:56 — Yemen, as we described in Apogee Advisory a year ago, is a demographic time bomb waiting to blow. Perhaps the fuse has already been lit. The desolate, arid country is also another front in the 1,354 year-old Sunni-Shiite conflict Byron describes in his New War scenario. A year ago, the media laughed when Mr. King suggested the New War could send oil to $220 in a heartbeat. At $108 — and rising — journalists are beginning to sober up and ask different questions. Byron explains the New War scenario here… and will help you get ahead of the news cycle to bulletproof your portfolio… in this presentation. 1:09 — On the other side of the peninsula, Egypt state media reports police have thwarted an attack on a natural gas pipeline that supplies Jordan, Syria, Lebanon and Israel. The same pipe was recently reopened after an explosion at a terminal shut the pipe down for six weeks in February and March. In response to the first incident, Israeli leaders ramped up efforts to develop a gas deposit known as Leviathan. With some 16 trillion cubic feet of gas, Leviathan is one of the world's largest new gas fields of the past 25 years: ![]() "The geology off the coast of Israel," Byron explains, "has every indication of meeting criteria for a major 'petroleum system.' It has analogues with other of the world's best hydrocarbon-rich areas. There are salt layers similar to, but not as thick as, the pre-salt of Brazil. There are structures and stratographic traps, like off West Africa, with oil plays like Angola and Namibia. "Plus, I think it's fair to speculate that the really deep stuff offshore Israel has some similarity with what I've seen of the Wilcox Trend beneath the Gulf of Mexico." Only two companies are working this region. One is fairly well-known in the oil and gas sector. The other is a newcomer… and Byron says it has enormous potential. Shares can be had right now for a little over $1 each. Byron spotlights the company in the current issue of Energy & Scarcity Investor. New subscribers also get a special report identifying a stock that could beat all the familiar names in the race to ramp up production of rare earths outside China. Learn all about it in this presentation. 1:48 — The strife across the Middle East is helping to push up gas prices here in the United States again. The national average for gas at the pump this morning, AAA tells us, is $3.66 — up 84 cents from a year ago. The highest price ever recorded was $4.11 back on July 17, 2008. As the summer "driving months" are still a few windstorms away, chances are good we'll have a go at that record this year. 1:50 — Stocks are inching up as the week begins, the Dow eclipsing 12,400 and adding onto Friday's gains. "The Fed's money-pumping operations are keeping shares high," says Options Hotline editor Steve Sarnoff. "The assertiveness of demand for stocks didn't look like an April Fools' prank. This strengthens underlying support and forecasts higher prices down the road." 1:59 — Gold is inching back to where it was for much of last week, at $1,436. Silver, meanwhile, has powered to another post-1980 record, currently $38.46. 2:04 — The greenback is treading water as a new week begins. The dollar index is up a skosh, to 75.9. 2:16 — "The Canadian dollar has reached multiyear highs against the U.S. dollar," counsels our currency trader Abe Cofnas. "This is partially due to the loonie's co-movement with oil as well as the more positive U.S. economic outlook. "Remember, the United States is the key export market for Canada, accounting for about 80% of its exports. So better U.S. growth means more demand for Canadian products." On the basis of this action, Abe recommended a Canadian dollar trade to his readers today with the potential for gains of 156% by Friday… maybe sooner. He also recommended a play on a strengthening British pound that could turn every $1 invested into $4… again, no later than Friday. Did you buy it? Last week, Abe's readers collected an average 104% gain on four plays… including a 177% gain on a Japanese yen trade… all in five days or less. The market Abe covers moves fast… and no other North American trading advisory makes trades on it. Yet we're making it easier than ever for you to try it out… as we explain here. 2:35 — Sales of U.S. Silver Eagles in March totaled 2,767,000, according to the U.S. Mint. That's down from February, and less than half of the all-time record set in January — 6,422,000. But put in the context of Silver Eagle sales going back to their launch in late 1986, the upward trend is unbroken. ![]() A chart like this reinforces our outlook that silver has the potential to outperform gold by 3-to-1 in the next 12-24 months… a forecast we spell out in detail here. 2:43 — The premium over spot price for a Silver Eagle is up to $4, according to an informal survey we made of dealers today — a signal the Mint can't keep up with demand. "Why can't they keep the supply of coins up?" asks Rep. Ron Paul, chairman of the House Subcommittee on Domestic Monetary Policy. That's in part a rhetorical question: The Mint doesn't make its own blanks. "There is a contract with a foreign company, which makes no sense at all." Dr. Paul will bring the Mint's operations under the microscope at his subcommittee's hearing next Thursday. The Eagle program is near and dear to him. In fact, the program likely wouldn't exist were it not for Paul's involvement in the U.S. Gold Commission appointed by President Reagan in 1981. [Ed note. Most of Paul's recommendations during that commission were overlooked. But they were preserved for posterity in a book called The Case for Gold — which is back in print after 28 years, thanks to a joint effort by the Ludwig von Mises Institute and our own Laissez Faire Books. You still have a chance to get your own copy — free. Here's how.] 3:02 — U.S. Gold and Silver Eagles are now legal tender in Utah. Actually, they're legal tender in every state — a 1-ounce Gold Eagle has a face value of $50 — but "the intent would be to see where a gold or silver coin is valued at its market value instead of its face value," says State Rep. Brad Galvez, who introduced the bill. "This allows the people of Utah to protect their assets against what we're seeing in inflation and the devaluation of the dollar." ![]() Gov. Gary Herbert signed the bill into law last week. An aide who wished to remain anonymous told CNN, "If somebody is stupid enough that they want to buy a Snickers bar at 7-Eleven with a gold coin worth thousands of dollars, they will be able to do that." Uh-huh. There is one practical effect to the bill: Sales of Gold and Silver Eagles will not be subject to state capital gains taxes; sales of foreign precious metals coins still will. "So alarming has been the collapse of the dollar," says writer Seth Lipsky in The Wall Street Journal, "that the legislatures in as many as a dozen American states are considering using their authority — under Article 1, Section 10 of the Constitution — to make legal tender out of gold and silver coins… "However, the von NotHaus verdict will stand as a warning." 3:34 — You may recall von NotHaus was convicted last month of violating a law that makes it illegal, in the words of the FBI press release, "to create private coin or currency systems to compete with official coinage and currency of the United States." But as Lipsky points out, that's not entirely true. In another wrinkle to an incredibly tangled case, the judge threw out the part of the indictment that claimed "it is a violation of law for private coin systems to compete with the official coinage of the United States." You can't make this stuff up. "It is not clear that there is a constitutional basis or a logic," Lipsky concluded in his piece, "for prohibiting individuals from making and selling pieces of gold and silver and using them, on a voluntary basis, as money — i.e., to 'compete with' the official coinage of the U.S." To be continued… 3:57 — "What was left to convict the man on, we don't know," added our own Bill Bonner to the von NotHaus saga on Friday. "But the court did so. And now he must appeal… or face penalties, possibly time in jail… and possibly a long time. "But what about the rest of us? Are we sentenced too? Will we be forced to pay the price for the feds' goofy monetary policies? "Compare Mr. von NotHaus's money to the money issued by the U.S. Treasury Department. The Treasury's dollars have no precious metal content — none. At best, their content comes from trees and cotton plants, with a scrap value that is probably negative. Meaning, if it loses its value as money, you'll have to pay someone to haul it away. "So who do the authorities haul to the hoosegow? The guy who mints honest money in tiny quantities… or the guy who puts out $2.2 trillion in 'paper' money that is sure to lose its value quickly? "Go ahead…take a guess." 4:19 — "Like P.J. O'Rourke," writes an eloquent reader who's made his way through Dice Have No Memory: Big Bets and Bad Economics From Paris to the Pampas and posted his insights here, "Bill Bonner has the entertaining ability to make us laugh at the stupidity we humans are capable of in large groups while teaching truths that we seem determined to forget. It is indeed a truth that the only animal capable of learning from the mistakes of others is so reluctant to actually do so. Thus, we go round again. "As the Bible teaches: 'Professing themselves wise, they became fools.' The sociopaths craving power that rise like pond scum to positions of authority and become the societal cancer known as government can only be exorcised through an informed populace. "Via the hard-won truths of history, Mr. Bonner provides that necessary information. Exposing the intellectual dishonesty and moral bankruptcy of the 'wise' men, he delivers the education our government-controlled school system totally abdicates — and he does it in a delightful way that will have you impatient for the next installment. "If you enjoy the sarcastic wit of O'Rourke or the finger-pointing ridicule of Monty Python, you will love the quite real education Bill provides. We learn that, far from being doom and gloom, the cure for our economic ills is quite simple — shine the light of knowledge and reason through the fog between the ears of authority. "Through his writings, Bill Bonner hands you that flashlight." The 5: If you have similar visions, and are inclined, please share them on AMZN so you can help introduce The Daily Reckoning to the uninitiated masses. Thanks. 5:00 — "I have been reading The Daily Reckoning for most of its existence," adds another. "You're absolutely right about Bonner shining a light through the fog. He's a great thinker and the best writer out there and has since surrounded himself with a team of (like-minded) outstanding writers and thinkers." The 5: Heh. "Bonner called the 2008 recession," the reader continues "expecting it earlier, however and fully expects a double dip — again expecting it to have manifested itself by now. His team forecast the rise in gold, which would have protected a number of investors through the recession. "When the three car companies went to Washington, two of them with their hands out, it was with the DR in my veins that I recommended to my brother to invest in the third, Ford, which doubled in value in a week or two and has ultimately ten-tupled in value since my recommendation." The 5: "Journalists believe their job is to report the facts," Mr. Bonner writes in the introduction to Dice, commenting on the roots of the project, "not to laugh at them. Even the commentariat and editorialists believe they need to take the news seriously; who will buy their papers and magazines if they make a joke of it? "The lectorat, too, had become convinced that the world of finance, investments and economics was serious business. Many believed that the latest developments — both in technology as well as in financial theory — would make them rich. "They had heard that the Internet made wealth secrets available to everyone. You could now go onto the Internet to find out how to make a nuclear bomb, or a fortune. 'Stocks for the long run' seemed like an almost risk-free road to riches. Readers weren't going to pay someone to mock their ambitions and undermine their hopes. "But The Daily Reckoning was free. Readers could not complain that they were not getting their money's worth." Over the weekend, we posted the introduction to Dice Have No Memory: Big Bets and Bad Economics From Paris to the Pampas to Daily Reckoning website. Take a look: You'll not only relive the last decade of economic and financial folly — but come to new conclusions about what's best for your money. And don't forget to order your copy right here. And a couple more for your friends and family, right here. Cheers, Addison Wiggin P.S. "We could see much higher prices in the near-to-mid term," says Jonas Elmerraji of an oil-themed play he recommended this morning to readers of Penny Momentum Trader. He's watching the $108 oil price as closely as the rest of us, and he's suggesting two ways to play it depending on your risk tolerance. In late February, a similar play generated a 27.5% gain in a week, a textbook play for Jonas' S.T.O.R.M. system. Mr. Elmerraji explains how the S.T.O.R.M. works (including a newly minted text messaging service) to quickly grow your trading account in this presentation.
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| Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts Posted: 04 Apr 2011 08:31 AM PDT |
| S Korea's foreign reserves rise to 298.6 bln USD in March Posted: 04 Apr 2011 08:23 AM PDT April 04, 2011 (Xinhua) — South Korea's foreign reserves rose to 298.6 billion U.S. dollars in March mainly due to increased conversion value of non-dollar denominated assets, the country's central bank said on Monday. … The March reading marked the record high of reserves and the fourth consecutive month of growth. The increase was attributable to rising investment profits and growing conversion value [i.e., exchange rate] of non-dollar denominated assets caused by weaker dollar, according to the BOK. The nation's foreign reserves consisted of [source] RS View: A rationally structured portfolio of reserves, in light of the withering dollar, argues for significantly fewer dollar-denominated items (i.e., fewer U.S. securities and deposits) and significantly more of that universally translatable asset which, at the present time, occupies a space so unjustifiably neglected and underrepresented as a part of the BoK balance sheet. |
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